Grand Strand Market Report

Report 2 Downloads 112 Views
Grand Strand Market Report September 2016 Single Family Residential sales activity dipped as sales prices rise 4%. Year-to-date sales and sales price remain strong, up 3.6% and 3.3% respectively. Condo sales in September are flat with prices rising 3.3% compared to September 2015. Residential lot sales are up 15% compared to September 2015 but down 6.7% for the year. SFR sales volume dipped 9.4% in September which marked four consecutive months of decline as compared to 2015 record performance. Year-to-date, SFR sales are up 3.6% compared to 2015. Median sales price increased to $215,320, up 4% for the month, and up 3.3% in 2016. When compared to September 2015, sales prices for new construction and resales are up 7.6% and 3.9% respectively. Year-to-date, the median sales price for new construction has remained stable with resales up 6.6%. The average sold-to-list ratio for Single Family Residential sales in September was 96%, flat compared to the same month in 2015. Condo sales decreased 0.9% compared to September 2015 but are up 8.2% year-to-date compared to 2015. Condo inventory remained stable, only increasing by 0.1% in September. Median sales price increased 3.3% to $124,000 in September and maintained its growth at 3.5% for the year. The average sold to list ratio for condo sales in September was 93%, up 100 basis points compared to the same month in 2015. Residential lot sales were up 15% in September compared to 2015 but are down 6.7% year-todate. Median sales price saw an 8.2% decrease for the month compared to 2015 with the yearto-date sales price decreasing 4.7%. However, sold to list ratios are up 400 basis points for September and up 500 basis points for the year.

At a glance… SFR Sales Month

Inventory

YTD

Month

Condo Sales Inventory Month

YTD

Month

Residential Lot Sales Inventory Month

YTD

Month

Median Sales Price

$215,320

Median Sales Price

$124,000

Research performed by

Median Sales Price

$44,500

Contents Active Inventory Inventory Trends – SFR & Condo Closed Sales – SFR Median Sales Price – SFR Sold to List Price Ratio – SFR New Construction vs Resale – SFR % of Total Sales Median Sales Price

3

Closed Sales – Condo Median Sales Price – Condo Sold to List Price Ratio – Condo

10

Closed Sales – Residential Lot Median Sales Price – Residential Lot Sold to List Price Ratio – Residential Lot

12

4 5 6 7 8 9

11 11

13 13

Be sure to check out our website for daily updates and breaking news in the real estate and financial markets, also… “Like” us on Facebook – www.facebook.com/SiteTechSystems Follow us on Twitter – @SiteTechSystems www.sitetechsystems.com

2 Research performed by

Grand Strand Active Inventory Single Family Residential Horry Co. Georgetown Total Average List Price Median List Price

Distribution by Price Range

# Listings 4,472 759 5,231 $354,067 $257,400

Condo/Townhome Horry Co. Georgetown Total Average List Price Median List Price

Total Average List Price Median List Price

G’town Co. 65 118 330 155 91

Distribution by Price Range

# Listings 3,616 388 4,004 $200,958 $157,950

Residential Lot Horry Co. Georgetown

Less than $150k $150k- $250k $250k- $500k $500k- $1.0 MM $1 MM +

Horry Co. 668 1,686 1,600 408 110

Less than $100k $100k- $150k $150k- $200k $200k- $400k $400k- $750k $750k +

Horry Co. 904 915 602 999 165 31

G’town Co. 20 73 84 103 90 18

Distribution by Price Range

# Listings 1,370 619 1,989 $139,900 $74,900

Less than $25k $25k- $50k $50k- $75k $75k- $100k $100k- $175k $175k- 250k $250k +

Horry Co. 179 376 246 144 200 110 115

G’town Co. 63 87 57 72 120 87 133

3 Research performed by

Grand Strand Inventory Trends SFR Inventory - September 5,258

5,369

5,231

2014

2015

2016

4,888

4,717

2012

2013

Historical Data 5,800 5,600 5,400 5,200 5,000 4,800 4,600 4,400 4,200 4,000

May-10 5,453

May-16

Feb-16

Nov-15

Aug-15

May-15

Feb-15

Nov-14

Aug-14

May-14

Feb-14

Nov-13

Aug-13

May-13

Feb-13

Nov-12

Aug-12

May-12

Feb-12

Nov-11

Aug-11

May-11

Feb-11

Nov-10

Aug-10

May-10

Dec-11 4,340

Aug-16

Sep-16 5,231

Condo Inventory – September 4,364 4,213 4,143

2012

2013

2014

4,000

4,004

2015

2016

Historical Data Jun-10 5,748

6,000 5,500 5,000

Sep-16 4,004

Dec-13 3,930

4,500 4,000

Aug-16

May-16

Feb-16

Nov-15

Aug-15

May-15

Feb-15

Nov-14

Aug-14

May-14

Feb-14

Nov-13

Aug-13

May-13

Feb-13

Nov-12

Aug-12

May-12

Feb-12

Nov-11

Aug-11

May-11

Feb-11

Nov-10

Aug-10

May-10

3,500

4 Research performed by

Closed Sales – SFR September

Year to Date

678 555

2014

2015

614

4,372

2016

2014

5,286

5,475

2015

2016

Historical Data 800

Jun-15 756

700 600 500

Sep-16 614

Jan-09 149

400 300 200

Sep-16

May-16

Jan-16

Sep-15

Jan-15

May-15

Sep-14

May-14

Jan-14

Sep-13

Jan-13

May-13

Sep-12

Jan-12

May-12

Sep-11

May-11

Jan-11

Sep-10

Jan-10

May-10

Sep-09

May-09

Jan-09

Sep-08

Jan-08

May-08

Sep-07

May-07

Jan-07

Sep-06

Jan-06

May-06

100

Year Over Year 800 600 400 200 0 Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

2015

2016

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

5 Research performed by

Median Sales Price – SFR September

Year to Date $207,500

$215,320 $200,798

$207,063

$190,000

$196,000

2014

2015

2014

2016

2015

2016

Historical Data $250,000 $240,000 $230,000 $220,000 $210,000 $200,000 $190,000 $180,000 $170,000 $160,000 $150,000

Sep-16 $215,320 Jun-06 $242,310

Jun-16

Jan-16

Aug-15

Mar-15

Oct-14

May-14

Dec-13

Jul-13

Feb-13

Sep-12

Apr-12

Nov-11

Jun-11

Jan-11

Aug-10

Mar-10

Oct-09

May-09

Dec-08

Jul-08

Feb-08

Sep-07

Apr-07

Nov-06

Jun-06

Jan-06

Sep-12 $160,163

6 Research performed by

Jan-06

Jan-10

Research performed by

Jan-13

Sep-16

May-16

Jan-16

Sep-15

May-15

2015

Jan-15

Sep-14

May-14

Jan-14

2014

Sep-13

September

May-13

95%

Sep-12

2016

May-12

Jan-12

Sep-11

May-11

Jan-11

Sep-10

May-10

2015

Sep-09

96%

May-09

Jan-09

Sep-08

May-08

2014

Jan-08

Sep-07

May-07

Jan-07

Sep-06

100 98 96 94 92 90 88 86 84 82 80

May-06

Sold to List Price Ratio – SFR Year to Date

96% 96%

95%

94%

2016

Historical Data

Jan-06 98%

Sep-16 96%

September-09 & Apr-11 86%

7

New Construction vs Resale – SFR % of Total Sales

September

Year to Date

63%

62%

68%

68%

65%

65%

37%

38%

32%

32%

35%

35%

2014

2015

2016

2014

2015

2016

New Construction

New Construction

Resale

Resale

Historical Data – % of Total Sales 90%

800

80%

Apr-13 78%

Sep-16 68%

70%

700 600

60%

Jun-13 64%

Dec-13 64%

500

50% 400 40%

Sep-16 32%

Dec-13 36%

Jun-13 36%

300

30% 200

20%

Apr-13 22%

100

10%

Total SFR Sales

% New Construction

Sep-16

Jun-16

Mar-16

Dec-15

Sep-15

Jun-15

Mar-15

Dec-14

Sep-14

Jun-14

Mar-14

Dec-13

Sep-13

Jun-13

Mar-13

Dec-12

Sep-12

Jun-12

Mar-12

Dec-11

0

Sep-11

0%

% Resale

8 Research performed by

New Construction vs Resale – SFR Median Sales Price

September

$220,452 $176,500

$225,578 $192,500

2014

Year to Date

2016

New Construction

$229,000 $194,500

$182,500

$173,000

$200,000

2015

$229,090

$221,968

$242,800

2014

2015

Resale

2016

New Construction

Resale

Historical Data – Median Sales Price Mar-14 $249,440

$260,000

Sep-16 $242,800

$240,000 $220,000

Aug-12 $183,320

$200,000 Sep-16 $200,000

$180,000 Aug-14 $184,900

$160,000 $140,000

Nov-11 $145,000

New Construction

Jul-16

Sep-16

Mar-16

May-16

Jan-16

Nov-15

Jul-15

Sep-15

Mar-15

May-15

Jan-15

Sep-14

Nov-14

Jul-14

May-14

Jan-14

Mar-14

Sep-13

Nov-13

Jul-13

May-13

Jan-13

Mar-13

Nov-12

Jul-12

Sep-12

Mar-12

May-12

Jan-12

Nov-11

Sep-11

$120,000

Resale

9 Research performed by

Closed Sales – Condo September 426

Year to Date 422

3,802

3,513

3,168

361

2014

2015

2014

2016

2015

2016

Historical Data May-06 845

900 800 700

Sep-16 422

600 500 400 Jan-09 117

300 200

Sep-16

May-16

Jan-16

Sep-15

Jan-15

May-15

Sep-14

May-14

Jan-14

Sep-13

Jan-13

May-13

Sep-12

Jan-12

May-12

Sep-11

May-11

Jan-11

Sep-10

Jan-10

May-10

Sep-09

May-09

Jan-09

Sep-08

Jan-08

May-08

Sep-07

May-07

Jan-07

Sep-06

Jan-06

May-06

100

Year Over Year 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

2015

2016

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

10 Research performed by

Median Sales Price – Condo September

Year to Date $119,000

$124,000 $115,000

$120,000 $112,000

$117,000

2014

2015

2014

2016

2015

2016

Historical Data Jun-07 $249,921

$250,000 $200,000

Sep-16 $124,000

Nov-11 $93,450

$150,000 $100,000

Jun-16

Jan-16

Aug-15

Mar-15

Oct-14

May-14

Dec-13

Jul-13

Feb-13

Sep-12

Apr-12

Nov-11

Jun-11

Jan-11

Aug-10

Mar-10

Oct-09

May-09

Jul-08

Dec-08

Feb-08

Sep-07

Apr-07

Jun-06

Nov-06

Jan-06

$50,000

Sold to List Price Ratio – Condo September

Year to Date 93%

93% 92% 92%

92%

2014

2015

91%

2014

2016

2015

2016

Historical Data Apr-09 & September09 81%

Jun-16

Jan-16

Aug-15

Mar-15

Oct-14

May-14

Dec-13

Jul-13

Feb-13

Sep-12

Apr-12

Nov-11

Jun-11

Jan-11

Aug-10

Mar-10

Oct-09

May-09

Dec-08

Jul-08

Feb-08

Sep-07

Sep-16 93%

Apr-07

Nov-06

Jun-06

Jan-06

100 95 90 Mar-06 85 & Apr-06 98% 80 75

11 Research performed by

Closed Sales – Residential Lot September

Year to Date 115

113

823

776

100

2014

2015

768

2014

2016

2015

2016

Historical Data 300

Apr-06 266

250 200

Sep-16 115

150 100

Jan-09 11

50

Sep-16

May-16

Jan-16

Sep-15

Jan-15

May-15

Sep-14

May-14

Jan-14

Sep-13

Jan-13

May-13

Sep-12

Jan-12

May-12

Sep-11

May-11

Jan-11

Sep-10

Jan-10

May-10

Sep-09

May-09

Jan-09

Sep-08

Jan-08

May-08

Sep-07

May-07

Jan-07

Sep-06

Jan-06

May-06

0

Year Over Year 150 100 50 0 Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

2015

2016

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

12 Research performed by

Median Sales Price – Residential Lot September $50,000

Year to Date $50,000

$48,500

$48,250 $46,000

$44,500

2014

2015

2014

2016

2015

2016

Historical Data Aug-06 $130,000

$150,000 $100,000

Sep-16 $44,500

Nov-11 $15,000

$50,000

Jun-16

Jan-16

Aug-15

Mar-15

Oct-14

May-14

Dec-13

Jul-13

Feb-13

Sep-12

Apr-12

Nov-11

Jun-11

Jan-11

Aug-10

Mar-10

Oct-09

May-09

Jul-08

Dec-08

Feb-08

Sep-07

Apr-07

Jun-06

Nov-06

Jan-06

$0

Sold to List Price Ratio – Residential Lot September

Year to Date 83%

82% 78%

78%

2014

2015

81% 78%

2014

2016

2015

2016

Historical Data Apr-06 99%

120 100

Sep-16 82%

80 60

Jun-16

Jan-16

Aug-15

Mar-15

Oct-14

May-14

Dec-13

Jul-13

Feb-13

Sep-12

Nov-11

Jun-11

Jan-11

Aug-10

Mar-10

Oct-09

May-09

Dec-08

Jul-08

Feb-08

Sep-07

Apr-07

Nov-06

Jun-06

Jan-06

40

Apr-12

Nov-11 47%

13 Research performed by