Hana Microelectronics
Hana Microelectronics Outperform (16E TP Bt34.50) Close Bt31.00
Company Initiation
Electronic Components
June 10, 2016
Growth driven by rising demand for sensors Price Performance (%)
Source: SET Smart
FY16
FY17
Consensus EPS (Bt)
2.691
3.020
KT ZMICO vs. consensus Share data
‐1.5%
‐4%
Reuters / Bloomberg
HANA.BK/HANA TB
Paid‐up Shares (m)
804.88
Par (Bt)
1.00
Market cap (Bt bn / US$ m)
25.00/708.00
Foreign limit / actual (%)
100.00/76.63
52 week High / Low (Bt)
44.00/24.50
Avg. daily T/O (shares 000)
1,126.00
NVDR (%)
7.15
Estimated free float (%)
46.55
Beta
0.64
URL
www.hanagroup.com
CGR Level 4 (Certified)
Anti‐corruption
Waraporn Wiboonkanarak Analyst, no. 2482 [email protected] 66 (0) 2624‐6273 Ruchanon Chiemkarnkit Assistant analyst [email protected] 66 (0) 2624‐6268
Growing in line with accelerating auto and telecommunication markets HANA has changed its product mix to focus on sensor equipment used in the automotive and telecommunication sectors, for which demand is rising alongside accelerating growth in IT applications. We initiate our coverage on HANA with an Outperform rating. Our 2016E target price of Bt34.50/share is based on 13X PER (vs. sector’s average PER of 15X), which seems justified when considering the expected earnings growth of 13% CAGR in 2017‐19E. We believe the firm’s weak business outlook for 2016E has been priced in, so HANA is attractive in particular for anticipated dividend yields of 6‐7% p.a. 2016E operating performance to be impacted by inventory adjustment HANA’s 1Q16 net profit fell by 41%YoY and 6%QoQ owing mainly to the deceleration of orders for laptop/touchpad products that accounted for 13% of total revenue. The firm’s management anticipates that orders will remain slow during 2Q16‐3Q16 before picking up in 4Q16 when Windows 10 is developed. While revenue from PC products is projected to decline by 22%YoY, HANA’s overall revenue should still grow by 5%YoY, driven mainly by an anticipated good performance from the products in the automotive communication consumer segment and the industrial segment. However, higher depreciation costs at the plants in Lamphun and Cambodia will likely keep the firm’s gross profit margin low at 13.6% (vs. 14.8% in 2015); therefore, the firm’s 2016E bottom line is expected to fall by 8.5%YoY. Brighter outlook for 2017‐19E following the change in product mix HANA’s operating performance should improve in 2017‐19E, with expected earnings growth of 13% CAGR. The bright earnings outlook should be driven by growing demand for sensor equipment used in the automotive and telecommunication sectors. We believe the revenue contribution from this product line will rise to 55‐64% of the total revenue in 2017‐19E. Meanwhile, HANA has continued to reduce the exposure of laptop/touchpad products. Consequently, the firm’s overall revenue trend should become less volatile. Finally, the firm’s wide‐margin product line and benefits of economies of scale should help to increase the gross profit margin to 14‐14.8%. Strong financial status with a net cash position HANA saw a low D/E ratio and cash on hand of Bt9.1bn as of the end of 1Q16. Also, its earnings outlook for the next few years seems promising. We thus project dividend yields of 6‐7% p.a. in 2016‐19E, assuming a payout ratio of 68%. The current share price is trading at 11x PER, which we believe already reflects the weak earnings outlook for this year. We view that now is a good time to accumulate the stock for the expected attractive dividends. Financials and Valuation FY Ended 31 Dec Revenues (Bt mn) Net profit (Bt mn) EPS (Bt) EPS growth (%) Norm. Profit (Bt mn) Norm. Profit growth (%) Dividend (Bt) BV (Bt)
2014
2015
2016E
2017E
2018E
21,227 3,405 4.23 48% 1,948 37% 2.00 22.82
20,521 2,066 2.57 ‐39% 2,328 20% 2.00 24.13
21,604 2,130 2.65 3% 2,130 ‐8.5% 1.80 24.98
22,813 2,328 2.89 9% 2,328 9.3% 1.97 25.90
24,210 2,588 3.21 11% 2,588 11.1% 2.19 26.93
FY Ended 31 Dec Norm. PER (x) EV/EBITDA (x) PBV (x) Dividend yield (%) ROE (%) Net Gearing (%)
2014 12.4 5.3 1.3 6.7% 11.1% ‐41%
2015 10.4 5.2 1.2 6.7% 12.3% ‐42%
2016E 11.3 5.4 1.2 6.0% 10.8% ‐41%
2017E 10.4 4.9 1.2 6.6% 11.4% ‐42%
2018E 9.3 4.5 1.1 7.3% 12.2% ‐43%
REFER TO DISCLOSURE SECTION AT THE END OF THE NOTES page 1 of 11
Investment Theme and Valuation We initiate our coverage on HANA with an Outperform rating and the 2016E target price of Bt34.50/share. HANA’s earnings growth will potentially be underpinned by the positive outcome of its decision to shift its product mix to highlight sensor equipment used in the automotive and telecommunication sectors. The demand from these sectors is rising alongside the accelerating growth of a variety of IT applications designed to serve new groups of consumers. HANA’s 2016E earnings are expected to decelerate by 8.5% in 2016E, pressured by the slowdown in the computer industry where demand has been on the downtrend. We believe the recent fall in the share price to trade at PER of a mere 11x over 2016E earnings presents a good time to accumulate the stock while awaiting earnings recovery in 2017‐19E (with expected earnings growth of 13% CAGR). In addition, the anticipated average dividend yield of 6‐7% is another appeal. Figure 1: Peer comparison Peer company
Price
(Local) DELTA 70.00 KCE 83.00 SVI 5.10 SMT 7.20 HANA 30.00 THAILAND'S AVERAGE
Mkt Cap (mn) 87,317 47,323 11,555 6,026 24,146
EPS Growth (%) 15 13.8 21.9 ‐3.0 n.a. 19.50
16E 4.0 35.5 4.9 n.a. ‐8.50
17E 11.7 9.4 27.9 33.5 9.3
CAGR (%)
PEG
15 13.9 21.4 16.6 n.a. 10.4
PER (x) 16E 13.3 16.4 15.8 20.6 11.3
17E 11.9 15.0 12.4 15.4 10.4
Yield (%) 16E 4.2 1.8 2.2 n.a. 6.0
14 20.9 37.5 18.2 ‐14.6 11.1
15 21.7 31.4 14.9 ‐3.4 12.3
ROE (%) 16E 20.5 33.7 11.3 10.6 10.8
17E 20.9 29.7 12.4 18.2 11.4
16E‐18E 11.2 8.83 21.6 22.4 11.8
15.6
15.1
13.1
3.6
16.3
15.4
16.8
16.6
15.8
16E 1.19 1.86 0.73 n.a. 0.96
Source: Bloomberg, KT ZMICO Research Figure 2: PER (average 11.4x) and PBV band (average 1.3x) PBV(X)
PER(X) 20
2.5
+3.0 S.D.
18 16
+2.0 S.D.
14
+1.0 S.D.
12 10 8 6 4
+2.0 S.D.
2.0
+1.0 S.D. 1.5
Avg. -0.5 S.D. -1.0 S.D.
1.0
-2.0 S.D.
0.5
Avg. -1.0 S.D. -2.0 S.D.
2
Source: Bloomberg, KT ZMICO Research Positive signs from the change in product mix The computer industry used to be the key growth driver for manufacturers of electronic products, including HANA, whose market share for touchpads used in computers stands at 45% of the global market. However, the growing popularity of smartphones has reduced the demand for computers, thus affecting the overall computer industry. In a bid to cope with the changing trend, HANA has begun to make adjustments by shifting its attention to products used in the automotive and telecommunication industries where the outlook is brighter than the computer industry. Hence, in 2015 the revenue contribution from its PC products dropped to 16% of total revenue vs. 22% in 2014, with the figure expected to drop further to 10‐13% in 2016‐19E. REFER TO DISCLOSURE SECTION AT THE END OF THE NOTES page 2 of 11
Jan-16
Jan-15
Jan-14
Jan-13
Jan-12
0.0 Jan-11
Jan-16
Jan-15
Jan-14
Jan-13
Jan-12
Jan-11
0
Figure 3: Global shipments of laptops and desktop PCs
Figure 4: HANA’s product mix in 2015‐19
Million units
100%
350
90%
300
80%
250
127
129
134
121
121
150
40% 202
194
30%
197
170
170
50
2016
34%
35%
36%
11%
11%
10%
20%
21%
29%
32%
16%
13%
0% 2015 Desktop‐PCS
28%
16%
20% 10%
0 2014
25%
34%
60% 50%
174
26%
35%
70%
123
200
100
29%
39%
2017 Laptops
2018
2019
Source: Market Realist, IDC, KT ZMICO Research
2015 Other
2016E Automotive
2017E 2018E Telecom
2019E Computer
Source: HANA, KT ZMICO Research
Sensors used in smartphones will become more significant HANA is an expert in the manufacturing of sensors used in the automotive and telecommunication industries. At present, the products used in the telecommunication sector contribute around 31% of the firm’s total revenue. We believe the growing demand for cellular phones in the low‐to‐mid price range in emerging countries, higher volume of connections between electronic devices and cellular phones amid the growing Internet‐of‐things trend, and 4G/5G technology are all important factors prompting electronic manufacturers to proactively develop themselves. A number of IT applications require larger amounts of sensors in devices in order to increase features for a variety of consumer applications, e.g., entertainment, weather forecasts, heart rate calculation, fingerprint scans for security purposes, etc. At present, a basic smartphone contains fewer sensors compared to high‐end smartphone models, e.g., Samsung Galaxy S5 (six sensors) and iPhone 6 (10 sensors). Seeing the changing trend, HANA plans to raise the revenue contribution from sensors to 32‐36% in the new few years. Figure 5: Sensor growth in Samsung smartphones in 2010‐15
Figure 6: Mobile generation
Source: IDC, Statista, KT ZMICO Research
Source: Qualcomm, KT ZMICO Research
Figure 7: Global Smartphone shipments in 2011 ‐ 19
Figure 8: Vendor market share in 2011‐15
CAGR 9% 1,873
billion units 2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0
35%
1,862
30%
31%
30%
1,579 1,302
1,433
1,435
20%
1,020
19%
23%
19% 15%
16%
15%
15%
725 495
10% 5%
2011
24%
25%
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016E
2017E
Worldwide Smartphone shipment
Source: IDC, Statista, KT ZMICO Research
2018E
2019E
0%
6% 5% 4% 3% 1% 0% 2011 2012 Samsung Apple
6% 5% 2%
7% 6% 4%
2013 Huawei
2014 Lenovo
Source: IDC, KT ZMICO Research
REFER TO DISCLOSURE SECTION AT THE END OF THE NOTES page 3 of 11
7% 5%
2015 Xiaomi
Automobiles will become more like portable computers Apart from sensors used in smartphones, HANA is also in the supply chain of sensors used in automobiles (16% of total revenue in 2015). We see continuing growth in this market, as sensors are required for the enhancement of driving efficiency and assistance. It should be noted that OEM‐based auto parts makers in the first tier are now developing autonomous car systems that require sensors as major equipment for system development. HANA should benefit from this trend and the firm is thus expected to raise the revenue contribution from sensors used in automobiles to 20‐28% in the next few years. Figure 9: Catalyst for sensor growth
Figure 10: ADAS are key to semi and fully autonomous vehicles
Source: Sensata, KT ZMICO Research
Source: Sensata, KT ZMICO Research
Earnings Performance Hit by the flood crisis in late 2011, but recovered rapidly Back in late 2011 when many central provinces in Thailand were hit hard by the flood crisis, the supply chain in the electronic sector was severely impacted. Nonetheless, HANA was impacted at a lesser extent when compared to its peers and managed to recover rapidly due to its extensive production bases in Thailand, the US and China. This is evidenced by the firm’s strong core profit growth of 29% CAGR during 2012‐15. The major growth contributors were the PCBA and IC packaging segments that grew at average rates of 3% and 11% p.a., respectively. Meanwhile, a larger portion of high‐margin IC products, economies of scale and the depreciation of the baht from Bt31.03/US$ in 2012 to Bt34.25/US$ in 2015 were all major factors driving the gross profit margin to 14.8% in 2015 vs. 9.8% in 2012. Figure 11: HANA’s revenue and profit in 2011‐15
Figure 12: HANA’s profitability in 2011‐15
m.n. 16%
25,000 21,227 20,000 16,315
17,233
20,521
17,667
14%
14.8% 13.5%
12.6% 9.8%
9.8%
10%
15,000
6%
6.8%
4%
5,000 1,597
1,092
1,420
1,948
2,328
‐ 2011
2012 Revnue
2013
Source: HANA, KT ZMICO Research
2014 Core profit
2015
9.2% 9.3%
8.0%
8%
10,000
11.3%
11.2%
12%
8.8%
6.3% 6.1% 3.9%
2% 0% 2011
2012 GPM
2013 EBIT margin
2014 2015 Core profit margin
Source: HANA, KT ZMICO Research
REFER TO DISCLOSURE SECTION AT THE END OF THE NOTES page 4 of 11
Deceleration in 1Q16 earnings caused by Chinese economic slowdown and downtrend in computer industry The Chinese economic slowdown has negatively affected HANA’s PCBA business, especially the computer/PC product group that contributed 13% of total revenue in 1Q16. For the same quarter, the revenue from this business dropped by 41%YoY, causing the 1Q16 gross profit margin to narrow by 6% YoY and 41%QoQ. In addition, due to declining economies of scale from the PCBA product group, the firm’s 1Q16 gross profit margin stood at 12.3% vs. 17.9% in 4Q15 and 12.1% in 1Q15. The management expects the impact from the slowdown in the PC business to linger during 2Q‐3Q16, but the situation should begin to improve in 4Q16 when Windows 10 is developed. Being concerned about the declining demand for PC products, we thus project a 22% YoY decrease in revenue to be generated by PC products in 2016E. On the contrary, products used in the automotive communication consumer and industrial sectors (accounting for 66% of total revenue) are likely to drive the firm’s 2016E revenue growth by 5%YoY. However, the expansion of the plants in Lamphun and Cambodia may create a larger depreciation burden, squeezing the company’s gross profit margin to 13.6% in 2016E vs. 14.8% in 2015. Hence, HANA’s 2016E net profit is expected to fall by 8.5%YoY. Figure 13: HANA’s 1Q16 earnings results Profit and Loss (Btmn) Year‐end 31 Dec Revenue Gross profit EBITDA Interest expense Other income Income tax Forex gain (loss) Net profit (loss) Core profit (loss) Reported EPS (Bt) Gross margin (%) EBITDA margin (%) Net margin (%) Current ratio (x) Interest coverage (x) Net debt / equity (x) BVPS (Bt) ROE (%)
1Q15
4Q15
1Q16
% YoY
% QoQ
2016E
% YoY
YTD(%2016E)
4,994 603 633 (2) 98 (15) 88 517 429 0.64 12.08 12.67 10.35 4.92 181.16 0.05 23.32 2.78
5,125 918 933 (2) 126 (5) 71 822 751 1.02 17.92 18.20 16.04 5.06 278.30 (0.42) 24.13 4.22
4,742 582 554 (2) 104 (4) 128 484 356 0.60 12.27 11.68 10.20 5.56 147.95 (0.44) 24.58 2.47
(5.0) (3.5) (12.4) (9.3) 6.9 (69.8) 45.7 (6.4) (17.0) (6.4)
(7.5) (36.6) (40.6) (23.3) (17.4) (8.2) 80.8 (41.1) (52.6) (41.1)
21,604 2,940 2,960 (8) 480 (43) 0 2,130 2,130 2.65 13.61 13.70 9.86 4.95 200.66 (0.41) 24.98 10.78
5.3 (3.0) (4.0) 6.1 2.6 (8.0) (100.0) 3.1 (8.5) 3.1
22.0 19.8 18.7 20.5 21.8 10.1 n.m. 22.7 16.7 22.7
Source: KT ZMICO Research Brighter outlook for 2017‐19E following the change in product mix HANA’s operating performance should improve in 2017‐19E, with expected earnings growth of 13% CAGR. The bright earnings outlook should be driven by growing demand for sensor equipment used in automobiles and cellular phones. With long‐standing expertise and a production cost advantage over its peers, HANA will try to increase its market share. Our preliminary forecasts call for revenue contributions from PCBV and IC packaging products to rise to 55%, 60%, and 64% of the total revenue in 2017 to 19E, respectively. In the recent analyst meeting, the management expressed concern over the economic slowdown and disclosed that they had attempted to reduce the revenue exposure of computer/PC products; the revenue portion from these products is thus expected to be reduced to approximately 10‐11% in 2017‐19E. Hence, the impact from this weak business on the firm’s overall earnings performance should eventually become minor. While the firm’s profit margin may be pressured by costs linked to the plant expansion projects in the short term, its margin should gradually improve thanks to potential economies of scale. Hence, the gross profit margin is projected at 14‐14.8% during 2017‐19E.
REFER TO DISCLOSURE SECTION AT THE END OF THE NOTES page 5 of 11
Figure 14: HANA’s revenue and profit growth in 2015‐19E Btmn 30,000
16% 14%
15%
20,000 15,000
6%
5%
20% 12%
15%
11%
9%
12% 6%
10% 5%
10,000
0%
5,000
14.8%
25% 20%
25,000
Figure 15: HANA’s profitability in 2015‐19E
‐3%
‐5%
‐9%
‐10%
‐ 2015 Revenue
2016E Profit
2017E 2018E Revenue growth% (RHS)
2019E Profit growth% (RHS)
Source: HANA, KT ZMICO Research
10%
13.6%
14.0%
9.9%
10.2%
7.9%
8.3%
11.3% 9.3%
14.6%
14.9%
10.7%
10.9%
8.8%
9.2%
8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2015
2016E GPM
2017E EBIT margin
2018E
Source: HANA, KT ZMICO Research
Strong financial status with a net cash position HANA saw a low D/E ratio and cash on hand of Bt9.1bn as of the end of 1Q16. Also, its earnings outlook for the next few years seems promising. The firm’s strong financial status will not only facilitate its future expansion plans but also enable it to maintain its dividend payments. After reserving cash of US$100mn as per the firm’s policy, HANA is expected to offer dividends per share (DPS) of Bt1.8, Bt2.0, Bt2.2 and Bt2.5 in 2016E to 2019E, respectively. The expected DPS for 2016E implies a DPS of 6.0%, assuming a payout ratio of 68%. Figure 16: DPS in 2011‐2019
Figure 17: Total assets as of 1Q16
bt/share 3.0 2.5
2.5
2.2 2.0
2.0
2.0
1.8 1.5
1.5
PP&E‐net , 7,075 btmn
2.0
1.5
Cash and equivalents , 6,104 btmn
1.5 1.0 0.5 ‐ 2011
2012
2013
2014
2015 2016E DPS
Source: HANA, KT ZMICO Research
2017E
2018E
2019E
Short‐Term Investments , Inventories , 3,017 btmn 3,367 btmn Account receivable , 3,318 btmn
Source: HANA, KT ZMICO Research
REFER TO DISCLOSURE SECTION AT THE END OF THE NOTES page 6 of 11
2019E Core margin
Company Profile HANA provides electronic manufacturing service (EMS) with three major product groups: i) PCBA: putting IC components and electronic parts into PCB; ii) IC packaging: manufacturing and testing electrical circuits and iii) micro displays: manufacturing liquid crystal on silicon (LCOS) products used for converting an electrical signal to a high‐definition image signal. The company highlights its extensive service range as its major strategy that brings the company a competitive advantage over rivals. Figure 18: Product mix by product in 2011‐15 Figure 19: Product mix by end user in 1Q15‐1Q16 100% 90%
2%
1%
1%
32%
33%
1%
2%
80% 70%
100% 90% 80%
37%
36%
37%
60%
50%
50%
40%
40%
30%
30%
20%
20% 61%
67%
66%
63%
61%
0%
28%
16%
12%
70%
60%
10%
28%
14%
14%
29%
30%
31%
6%
5%
6%
18%
18%
19%
23%
31%
32%
32%
31%
19%
15%
15%
15%
13%
1Q15 Other
2Q15 Industrial
4Q15 Telecom
1Q16 Computer
10% 0%
2011
2012 Microdisplay
2013 IC
Source: HANA, KT ZMICO Research
2014
2015 PCBA
3Q15 Automotive
Source: HANA, KT ZMICO Research
HANA’s services cover clients in different industries. With a focus on offering high‐end products with a lengthy product lifecycle and useful life, the firm can set a clear long‐term business strategy. Figure 20: Product mix by location of customers in 2015 Figure 21: HANA’s plants in 2014‐16 ,000 m² 250 Others 26%
Malaysia 31%
200 3 150
3 13
3 13
91
91
52
52
40
40
91
HK 6%
100 US 8%
Singapore 11%
China 18%
32
50
40 0 2014 Ohio
Source: HANA, KT ZMICO Research
Cambodia
2015 Jiaxing
Lamphun
Source: HANA, KT ZMICO Research
HANA’s extensive production bases give the firm a number of production alternatives. At present, there are six production bases both domestically and internationally. Its domestic plants are located in Lamphun (two plants) and Ayutthaya (one plant). Internationally, one plant is located in China and one in the US. In addition, the firm commenced a new overseas plant in Cambodia in Sep‐15 in a bid to cope with higher labor costs, which is a major problem for the sector that requires a huge labor force. For this new plant, HANA will focus on products that mostly require manpower; this will enable it to benefit from production cost savings, as the minimum wage in Cambodia is threefold lower than in Thailand. The lower labor costs will also allow HANA to help its clients manage costs, which will be another attraction for potential clients in a number of industries that are facing problems related to high labor costs and high labor turnover.
REFER TO DISCLOSURE SECTION AT THE END OF THE NOTES page 7 of 11
2016 Ayutthaya
Industry Overview and Outlook The global semiconductor market value jumped from US$144.4bn in 1995 to US$335.2bn in 2014, representing growth of 9% CAGR during the period. In 2015, the industry’s growth contracted slightly by ‐0.2%YoY due to the global investment slowdown. According to the World Semiconductor Trade Statistics (WSTS), the world’s semiconductor market will grow to US$341bn and US$352bn in 2016E and 2017E, respectively. Major growth contributors will be producers from Asia Pacific, accounting for 60% of the total market value globally, with 21%, 10%, and 9% being contributed by producers in the US, Europe and Japan, respectively. Figure 22: Global semiconductor sales
Figure 23: Global regional semiconductor market
Source: WSTS, SIA, KT ZMICO Research
Source: WSTS, SIA, KT ZMICO Research
Global sales of semiconductor products have been driven by growing demand from each industry. In particular, combined sales of semiconductor products related to PC/computers and communication (e.g., smartphones) accounted for 63.8% of the total global market value in 2015, with huge demand coming from emerging markets. PricewaterhouseCoopers (PWC) projected that the global semiconductor market will be driven by automotive and industrial products, with projected growth of 9% CAGR and 8% CAGR in 2016‐19E for the respective products. According to PWC, the expected growth should be driven by rising demand for electronic parts used in automobiles and control systems in the industrial sector. Finally, another semiconductor market research house, IC Insight, anticipated that the market value of communication‐related products would achieve 6% CAGR during 2016‐19E, driven by growing demand for basic cellular phones in developing countries. Figure 24: Total global semiconductor market by end user Figure 25: Total global semiconductor market by product 2015 segment 2015
Source: WSTS, SIA, KT ZMICO Research
Source: WSTS, SIA, KT ZMICO Research
With the technological growth in 2015, sensor and Opto market grew rapidly at around +4% and +11%, respectively. IC Insight projected the sales of sensor and Opto equipment to achieve 5.6% CAGR and 8.3% CAGR, respectively, during 2016‐21E, driven by growing demand for light speed and automatic control systems used in different industries. REFER TO DISCLOSURE SECTION AT THE END OF THE NOTES page 8 of 11
Upside/Downside Risks Technological changes HANA’s business involves dynamic technologies, with over 40% of total revenue being generated by products used in computers and cellular phones. Thus, there is risk that the firm may lose its competitiveness. In a bid to manage this risk factor, HANA has attempted to enlarge its client base to cover a variety of industries and it continues to invest in state‐of‐the‐art equipment. Furthermore, the company has also sought production bases that will bring it a competitive advantage over peers in order to cope with problems related to growing labor costs and higher labor turnover. Exchange rates Almost 100% of HANA’s revenue is in US dollar terms; meanwhile, over 60% of its total costs are in the same currency, which can act as a natural hedge. In addition, capital expenditures are also in US dollar terms. To manage FX risks, HANA signs forward contracts, which are extended every 3‐6 months. The fluctuations in currency exchange rates certainly have a direct impact on the firm’s profit and loss profile. Note that for every Bt1 that the Thai baht weakens against the US dollar (i.e., variance from our current baht/US$ exchange rate assumption), it would result in a 4.2% increase in our net profit projections for HANA.
REFER TO DISCLOSURE SECTION AT THE END OF THE NOTES page 9 of 11
FINANCIAL TABLE PROFIT & LOSS (Btmn) Revenues Cost of sales and service Gross profit SG&A EBITDA Depreciation & amortization EBIT Interest expense Other income / exp. EBT Corporate tax FX gain (loss) Extra Items Non‐controlling Net profit Reported EPS Core net profit Core EPS Dividend (Bt) BALANCE SHEET (Btmn) Cash and equivalents Accounts receivable Inventories Investment PP&E‐net Other assets Total assets ST debt & current portion Long‐term debt Total liabilities Paid‐up shares Shareholder equity Total liab. & shareholder equity
2015
2016E
2017E
2018E
2019E
21,227 (18,358) 2,869 (993) 3,001 1,125 1,876 (8) 448 2,315 (367) 107 1,350 ‐ 3,405 4.23 1,948 2.42 2.00
20,521 (17,491) 3,030 (1,115) 3,084 1,168 1,916 (8) 468 2,375 (47) (262) ‐ ‐ 2,066 2.57 2,328 2.89 2.00
21,604 (18,664) 2,940 (1,237) 2,960 1,257 1,702 (8) 480 2,174 (43) ‐ ‐ ‐ 2,131 2.65 2,131 2.65 1.80
22,813 (19,610) 3,203 (1,309) 3,239 1,346 1,894 (7) 491 2,377 (48) ‐ ‐ ‐ 2,330 2.89 2,330 2.89 1.97
24,210 (20,683) 3,527 (1,388) 3,559 1,421 2,138 (6) 511 2,643 (53) ‐ ‐ ‐ 2,590 3.22 2,590 3.22 2.19
27,081 (23,054) 4,028 (1,537) 3,981 1,491 2,490 (5) 543 3,029 (61) ‐ ‐ ‐ 2,968 3.69 2,968 3.69 2.51
2014
2015
2016E
2017E
2018E
2019E
8,331 3,354 3,329 331 6,566 141 22,051 360 516 3,688 805 18,364 22,051
9,121 3,318 3,367 ‐ 7,075 243 23,123 347 534 3,699 805 19,424 23,123
9,162 3,687 3,528 ‐ 7,327 243 23,948 300 530 3,842 805 20,105 23,948
9,380 3,894 3,707 ‐ 7,491 243 24,716 260 460 3,865 805 20,851 24,716
9,909 4,132 3,910 ‐ 7,381 243 25,574 220 380 3,895 805 21,680 25,574
10,522 4,622 4,358 ‐ 6,990 243 26,735 160 320 4,106 805 22,630 26,735
2014
2015
2016E
2017E
2018E
2019E
3,772 (249) 1,125 (464) 4,184 (788) (480) (1,268) (16) ‐ (1,610) (9) (1,635) 1,282 2,917 3.62
2,114 (45) 1,168 (281) 2,956 (1,601) 97 (1,505) ‐ ‐ (1,610) 796 (814) 637 1,451 1.80
2,131 ‐ 1,257 (336) 3,052 (1,510) ‐ (1,510) (52) ‐ (1,449) ‐ (1,500) 41 1,542 1.92
2,337 ‐ 1,338 (253) 3,423 (1,400) ‐ (1,400) (110) ‐ (1,589) ‐ (1,699) 323 2,023 2.51
2,598 ‐ 1,412 (291) 3,719 (1,300) ‐ (1,300) (120) ‐ (1,767) ‐ (1,887) 532 2,419 3.01
2,976 ‐ 1,483 (607) 3,852 (1,100) ‐ (1,100) (120) ‐ (2,024) ‐ (2,144) 608 2,752 3.42
2014
2015
2016E
2017E
2018E
2019E
20.2% 32.3% 48.0% 13.5% 14.1% 8.8% 16.0% 9.2% 15.8%
‐3.3% 2.8% ‐39.3% 14.8% 15.0% 9.3% 10.1% 11.3% 2.0%
5.3% ‐4.0% 3.1% 13.6% 13.7% 7.9% 9.9% 9.9% 2.0%
5.6% 9.5% 9.4% 14.0% 14.2% 8.3% 10.2% 10.2% 2.0%
6.1% 9.9% 11.2% 14.6% 14.7% 8.8% 10.7% 10.7% 2.0%
11.9% 11.9% 14.6% 14.9% 14.7% 9.2% 11.0% 11.0% 2.0%
CASH FLOW (Btmn)
Net income Non‐cash adjustment Depreciation & amortization Change in working capital Cash flow from operations Capex (Invest)/Divest Others Cash flow from investing Debt financing (repayment) Equity financing Dividend payment Others Cash flow from financing Net change in cash Free cash flow FCF per share (Bt) PROFITABILITY Revenue growth (%) EBITDA growth (%) EPS growth (%) Gross margin (%) EBITDA margin (%) Operating margin (%) Net margin (%) Core profit margin (%) Effective tax rate (%)
2014
REFER TO DISCLOSURE SECTION AT THE END OF THE NOTES page 10 of 11
Note: KT ZMICO has two major shareholders, Krungthai Bank PLC (KTB) and Seamico Securities PLC (ZMICO). Therefore, prior to making investments in the securities of KTB and ZMICO, investors should consider the risk factors carefully. An executive of KT ZMICO Securities is also a board member of BCP, BTC, CI, CPI, KBS, MAJOR, MK, PACE, PSL, SVH, VNG, ZMICO, SAWAD, TFG. A management member of KT ZMICO Securities is also a board member of BTC and NFC. KT ZMICO is a financial advisor for U, LOXLEY, ZMICO, MAKRO, CPALL, SAFARI, PACE, PLE, TPOLY. KT ZMICO is a co‐underwriter of TPBI.
Anti‐corruption Progress Indicator
Level 1 (Committed) : Organization’s statement or board's resolution to work against corruption and to be in compliance with all relevant laws. Level 2 (Declared) : Public declaration statement to participate in Thailand's private sector Collective Action Coalition Against Corruption (CAC) or equivalent initiatives Level 3 (Established) : Public out preventive measures, risk assessment, communication and training for all employees, including consistent monitoring and review processes Level 4 (Certified) : Audit engagement by audit committee or auditors approved by the office of SEC, and receiving certification or assurance by independent external assurance providers (CAC etc.) Level 5 (Extended) : Extension of the anti‐corruption policy to business partners in the supply chain, and disclosure of any current investigations, prosecutions or closed cases Insufficient or not clearly defined policy Data not available / no policy
DISCLAIMER This document is produced using open sources believed to be reliable. However, their accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. The statements and opinions herein were formed after due and careful consideration for use as information for the purposes of investment. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. This document is not, and should not be construed as, an offer or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. The use of any information contained in this document shall be at the sole discretion and risk of the user.
KT ZMICO RESEARCH – RECOMMENDATION DEFINITIONS STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS BUY: Expecting positive total returns of 15% or more over the next 12 months OUTPERFORM: Expecting total returns between ‐10% to +15%; returns expected to exceed market returns over a six‐month period due to specific catalysts UNDERPERFORM: Expecting total returns between ‐10% to +15%; returns expected to be below market returns over a six‐month period due to specific catalysts SELL: Expecting negative total returns of 10% or more over the next 12 months
SECTOR RECOMMENDATIONS OVERWEIGHT: The industry, as defined by the analyst's coverage universe, is expected to outperform the relevant primary market index by at least 10% over the next 12 months. NEUTRAL: The industry, as defined by the analyst's coverage universe, is expected to perform in line with the relevant primary market index over the next 12 months. UNDERWEIGHT: The industry, as defined by the analyst's coverage universe, is expected to underperform the relevant primary market index by 10% over the next 12 months.
REFER TO DISCLOSURE SECTION AT THE END OF THE NOTES page 11 of 11
th
th
th
th
KT•ZMICO Securities Company Limited
st
8 , 15 -17 , 19 , 21 Floor, Liberty Square Bldg., 287 Silom Road, Bangrak, Bangkok 10500 Telephone: (66-2) 695-5000
Phaholyothin Branch
rd
Fax. (66-2) 631-1709
Ploenchit Branch
th
nd
2
Sindhorn Branch
3 Floor, Shinnawatra Tower II,
8 Floor, Ton Son Tower,
1291/1 Phaholyothin Road,
900 Ploenchit Road, Lumpini,
Floor, Sindhorn Tower 1, 130-132 Wireless Road, Lumpini,
Phayathai, Bangkok 10400
Pathumwan, Bangkok 10330
Pathumwan, Bangkok 10330
Telephone: (66-2) 686-1500
Telephone: (66-2) 626-6000
Telephone: (66-2) 627-3550
Fax. (66-2) 686-1666
Fax. (66-2) 626-6111
Fax. (66-2) 627-3582, 627-3600
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Chachoengsao Branch
Viphavadee Branch
Phitsanulok Branch
G Floor, Lao Peng Nguan 1 Bldg.,
Krung Thai Bank, Singhawat Branch
333 Soi Cheypuand, Viphavadee-Rangsit Road,
114 Singhawat Road,
Ladyao, Jatujak, Bangkok 10900
Muang, Phitsanulok 65000
Telephone: (66-2) 618-8500
Telephone: 083-490-2873
Fax. (66-2) 618-8569
th
Chonburi Branch
Pattaya Branch
108/34-36 Mahajakkrapad Road,
4 Floor, Forum Plaza Bldg.,
382/6-8 Moo 9, T. NongPrue,
T.Namuang, A.Muang,
870/52 Sukhumvit Road, T. Bangplasoy,
A. Banglamung, Cholburi 20260
Chachoengsao 24000
A. Muang, Cholburi 20000
Telephone: (038) 362-420-9
Telephone: (038) 813-088
Telephone: (038) 287-635
Fax. (038) 362-430
Fax. (038) 813-099
Fax. (038) 287-637
Khon Kaen Branch
5th Floor, Charoen Thani Princess Hotel,
Hat Yai Branch
Sriworajak Building Branch
200/301 Juldis Hatyai Plaza Floor 3,
1st – 2nd Floor, Sriworajak Building, 222
260 Srichan Road, T. Naimuang,
Niphat-Uthit 3 Rd,
Luang Road, Pomprab,
A. Muang, Khon Kaen 40000
Hatyai Songkhla 90110
Bankgok 10100
Telephone: (043) 389-171-193
Telephone: (074) 355-530-3
Telephone: (02) 689-3100
Fax. (043) 389-209
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Fax. (02) 689-3199
Central World Branch
Chiang Mai Branch
Phuket Branch
999/9 The Offices at Central World,
422/49 Changklan Road, Changklan
22/61-63, Luang Por Wat Chalong Road,
16th Fl., Rama 1 Rd, Pathumwan,
Subdistrict, Amphoe Meuang,
Talat Yai, Mueang Phuket,
Bangkok 10330
Chiang Mai 50100
Phuket 83000
Telephone: (66-2) 673-5000,
Telephone: (053) 270-072
Tel. (076) 222-811,(076) 222-683
(66-2) 264-5888 Fax. (66-2) 264-5899
Fax: (053) 272-618
Fax. (076) 222-861
Pak Chong Branch
Cyber Branch @ North Nana
173 175, Mittapap Road,
Krung Thai Bank PCL, 2 Floor, North Nana Branch 35 Sukhumvit Rd.,Klong Toey Nua Subdistrict , Wattana District, Bangkok 10110 Telephone: 083-490-2871
Nong Sarai, Pak Chong, Nakhon Ratchasima 30130 Tel. (044) 279-511 Fax. (044) 279-574
Nakhon Ratchasima Branch
Bangkhae Branch
6th Floor The Mall Group Building Bangkhae 275 Moo 1 Petchkasem Road, North Bangkhae, Bangkhae, Bangkok 10160 Tel. (66-2) 454-9979 Fax. (66-2) 454-9970
624/9 Changphuek Road, . Naimaung, A.Maung, Nakhon Ratchasima 30000 Telephone: (044) 247222 Fax: (044) 247171 Information herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its completeness and accuracy are not guaranteed. All opinions expressed constitute our views on that date and are not intended as an offer or solicitation to sell or buy any securities. Investors should exercise care when making a decision to invest in securities. No one may modify or distribute any part of this report unless written permission is first received from Seamico Securities Plc. If any modifications are made, quotes or references taken from the report and the report date must be clearly mentioned and must not cause misunderstanding or damage to the company.
Company Initiation
Electronic Components
June 10, 2016
Growth driven by rising demand for sensors Price Performance (%)
Source: SET Smart
FY16
FY17
Consensus EPS (Bt)
2.691
3.020
KT ZMICO vs. consensus Share data
‐1.5%
‐4%
Reuters / Bloomberg
HANA.BK/HANA TB
Paid‐up Shares (m)
804.88
Par (Bt)
1.00
Market cap (Bt bn / US$ m)
25.00/708.00
Foreign limit / actual (%)
100.00/76.63
52 week High / Low (Bt)
44.00/24.50
Avg. daily T/O (shares 000)
1,126.00
NVDR (%)
7.15
Estimated free float (%)
46.55
Beta
0.64
URL
www.hanagroup.com
CGR Level 4 (Certified)
Anti‐corruption
Waraporn Wiboonkanarak Analyst, no. 2482 [email protected] 66 (0) 2624‐6273 Ruchanon Chiemkarnkit Assistant analyst [email protected] 66 (0) 2624‐6268
Growing in line with accelerating auto and telecommunication markets HANA has changed its product mix to focus on sensor equipment used in the automotive and telecommunication sectors, for which demand is rising alongside accelerating growth in IT applications. We initiate our coverage on HANA with an Outperform rating. Our 2016E target price of Bt34.50/share is based on 13X PER (vs. sector’s average PER of 15X), which seems justified when considering the expected earnings growth of 13% CAGR in 2017‐19E. We believe the firm’s weak business outlook for 2016E has been priced in, so HANA is attractive in particular for anticipated dividend yields of 6‐7% p.a. 2016E operating performance to be impacted by inventory adjustment HANA’s 1Q16 net profit fell by 41%YoY and 6%QoQ owing mainly to the deceleration of orders for laptop/touchpad products that accounted for 13% of total revenue. The firm’s management anticipates that orders will remain slow during 2Q16‐3Q16 before picking up in 4Q16 when Windows 10 is developed. While revenue from PC products is projected to decline by 22%YoY, HANA’s overall revenue should still grow by 5%YoY, driven mainly by an anticipated good performance from the products in the automotive communication consumer segment and the industrial segment. However, higher depreciation costs at the plants in Lamphun and Cambodia will likely keep the firm’s gross profit margin low at 13.6% (vs. 14.8% in 2015); therefore, the firm’s 2016E bottom line is expected to fall by 8.5%YoY. Brighter outlook for 2017‐19E following the change in product mix HANA’s operating performance should improve in 2017‐19E, with expected earnings growth of 13% CAGR. The bright earnings outlook should be driven by growing demand for sensor equipment used in the automotive and telecommunication sectors. We believe the revenue contribution from this product line will rise to 55‐64% of the total revenue in 2017‐19E. Meanwhile, HANA has continued to reduce the exposure of laptop/touchpad products. Consequently, the firm’s overall revenue trend should become less volatile. Finally, the firm’s wide‐margin product line and benefits of economies of scale should help to increase the gross profit margin to 14‐14.8%. Strong financial status with a net cash position HANA saw a low D/E ratio and cash on hand of Bt9.1bn as of the end of 1Q16. Also, its earnings outlook for the next few years seems promising. We thus project dividend yields of 6‐7% p.a. in 2016‐19E, assuming a payout ratio of 68%. The current share price is trading at 11x PER, which we believe already reflects the weak earnings outlook for this year. We view that now is a good time to accumulate the stock for the expected attractive dividends. Financials and Valuation FY Ended 31 Dec Revenues (Bt mn) Net profit (Bt mn) EPS (Bt) EPS growth (%) Norm. Profit (Bt mn) Norm. Profit growth (%) Dividend (Bt) BV (Bt)
2014
2015
2016E
2017E
2018E
21,227 3,405 4.23 48% 1,948 37% 2.00 22.82
20,521 2,066 2.57 ‐39% 2,328 20% 2.00 24.13
21,604 2,130 2.65 3% 2,130 ‐8.5% 1.80 24.98
22,813 2,328 2.89 9% 2,328 9.3% 1.97 25.90
24,210 2,588 3.21 11% 2,588 11.1% 2.19 26.93
FY Ended 31 Dec Norm. PER (x) EV/EBITDA (x) PBV (x) Dividend yield (%) ROE (%) Net Gearing (%)
2014 12.4 5.3 1.3 6.7% 11.1% ‐41%
2015 10.4 5.2 1.2 6.7% 12.3% ‐42%
2016E 11.3 5.4 1.2 6.0% 10.8% ‐41%
2017E 10.4 4.9 1.2 6.6% 11.4% ‐42%
2018E 9.3 4.5 1.1 7.3% 12.2% ‐43%
REFER TO DISCLOSURE SECTION AT THE END OF THE NOTES page 1 of 11
Investment Theme and Valuation We initiate our coverage on HANA with an Outperform rating and the 2016E target price of Bt34.50/share. HANA’s earnings growth will potentially be underpinned by the positive outcome of its decision to shift its product mix to highlight sensor equipment used in the automotive and telecommunication sectors. The demand from these sectors is rising alongside the accelerating growth of a variety of IT applications designed to serve new groups of consumers. HANA’s 2016E earnings are expected to decelerate by 8.5% in 2016E, pressured by the slowdown in the computer industry where demand has been on the downtrend. We believe the recent fall in the share price to trade at PER of a mere 11x over 2016E earnings presents a good time to accumulate the stock while awaiting earnings recovery in 2017‐19E (with expected earnings growth of 13% CAGR). In addition, the anticipated average dividend yield of 6‐7% is another appeal. Figure 1: Peer comparison Peer company
Price
(Local) DELTA 70.00 KCE 83.00 SVI 5.10 SMT 7.20 HANA 30.00 THAILAND'S AVERAGE
Mkt Cap (mn) 87,317 47,323 11,555 6,026 24,146
EPS Growth (%) 15 13.8 21.9 ‐3.0 n.a. 19.50
16E 4.0 35.5 4.9 n.a. ‐8.50
17E 11.7 9.4 27.9 33.5 9.3
CAGR (%)
PEG
15 13.9 21.4 16.6 n.a. 10.4
PER (x) 16E 13.3 16.4 15.8 20.6 11.3
17E 11.9 15.0 12.4 15.4 10.4
Yield (%) 16E 4.2 1.8 2.2 n.a. 6.0
14 20.9 37.5 18.2 ‐14.6 11.1
15 21.7 31.4 14.9 ‐3.4 12.3
ROE (%) 16E 20.5 33.7 11.3 10.6 10.8
17E 20.9 29.7 12.4 18.2 11.4
16E‐18E 11.2 8.83 21.6 22.4 11.8
15.6
15.1
13.1
3.6
16.3
15.4
16.8
16.6
15.8
16E 1.19 1.86 0.73 n.a. 0.96
Source: Bloomberg, KT ZMICO Research Figure 2: PER (average 11.4x) and PBV band (average 1.3x) PBV(X)
PER(X) 20
2.5
+3.0 S.D.
18 16
+2.0 S.D.
14
+1.0 S.D.
12 10 8 6 4
+2.0 S.D.
2.0
+1.0 S.D. 1.5
Avg. -0.5 S.D. -1.0 S.D.
1.0
-2.0 S.D.
0.5
Avg. -1.0 S.D. -2.0 S.D.
2
Source: Bloomberg, KT ZMICO Research Positive signs from the change in product mix The computer industry used to be the key growth driver for manufacturers of electronic products, including HANA, whose market share for touchpads used in computers stands at 45% of the global market. However, the growing popularity of smartphones has reduced the demand for computers, thus affecting the overall computer industry. In a bid to cope with the changing trend, HANA has begun to make adjustments by shifting its attention to products used in the automotive and telecommunication industries where the outlook is brighter than the computer industry. Hence, in 2015 the revenue contribution from its PC products dropped to 16% of total revenue vs. 22% in 2014, with the figure expected to drop further to 10‐13% in 2016‐19E. REFER TO DISCLOSURE SECTION AT THE END OF THE NOTES page 2 of 11
Jan-16
Jan-15
Jan-14
Jan-13
Jan-12
0.0 Jan-11
Jan-16
Jan-15
Jan-14
Jan-13
Jan-12
Jan-11
0
Figure 3: Global shipments of laptops and desktop PCs
Figure 4: HANA’s product mix in 2015‐19
Million units
100%
350
90%
300
80%
250
127
129
134
121
121
150
40% 202
194
30%
197
170
170
50
2016
34%
35%
36%
11%
11%
10%
20%
21%
29%
32%
16%
13%
0% 2015 Desktop‐PCS
28%
16%
20% 10%
0 2014
25%
34%
60% 50%
174
26%
35%
70%
123
200
100
29%
39%
2017 Laptops
2018
2019
Source: Market Realist, IDC, KT ZMICO Research
2015 Other
2016E Automotive
2017E 2018E Telecom
2019E Computer
Source: HANA, KT ZMICO Research
Sensors used in smartphones will become more significant HANA is an expert in the manufacturing of sensors used in the automotive and telecommunication industries. At present, the products used in the telecommunication sector contribute around 31% of the firm’s total revenue. We believe the growing demand for cellular phones in the low‐to‐mid price range in emerging countries, higher volume of connections between electronic devices and cellular phones amid the growing Internet‐of‐things trend, and 4G/5G technology are all important factors prompting electronic manufacturers to proactively develop themselves. A number of IT applications require larger amounts of sensors in devices in order to increase features for a variety of consumer applications, e.g., entertainment, weather forecasts, heart rate calculation, fingerprint scans for security purposes, etc. At present, a basic smartphone contains fewer sensors compared to high‐end smartphone models, e.g., Samsung Galaxy S5 (six sensors) and iPhone 6 (10 sensors). Seeing the changing trend, HANA plans to raise the revenue contribution from sensors to 32‐36% in the new few years. Figure 5: Sensor growth in Samsung smartphones in 2010‐15
Figure 6: Mobile generation
Source: IDC, Statista, KT ZMICO Research
Source: Qualcomm, KT ZMICO Research
Figure 7: Global Smartphone shipments in 2011 ‐ 19
Figure 8: Vendor market share in 2011‐15
CAGR 9% 1,873
billion units 2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0
35%
1,862
30%
31%
30%
1,579 1,302
1,433
1,435
20%
1,020
19%
23%
19% 15%
16%
15%
15%
725 495
10% 5%
2011
24%
25%
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016E
2017E
Worldwide Smartphone shipment
Source: IDC, Statista, KT ZMICO Research
2018E
2019E
0%
6% 5% 4% 3% 1% 0% 2011 2012 Samsung Apple
6% 5% 2%
7% 6% 4%
2013 Huawei
2014 Lenovo
Source: IDC, KT ZMICO Research
REFER TO DISCLOSURE SECTION AT THE END OF THE NOTES page 3 of 11
7% 5%
2015 Xiaomi
Automobiles will become more like portable computers Apart from sensors used in smartphones, HANA is also in the supply chain of sensors used in automobiles (16% of total revenue in 2015). We see continuing growth in this market, as sensors are required for the enhancement of driving efficiency and assistance. It should be noted that OEM‐based auto parts makers in the first tier are now developing autonomous car systems that require sensors as major equipment for system development. HANA should benefit from this trend and the firm is thus expected to raise the revenue contribution from sensors used in automobiles to 20‐28% in the next few years. Figure 9: Catalyst for sensor growth
Figure 10: ADAS are key to semi and fully autonomous vehicles
Source: Sensata, KT ZMICO Research
Source: Sensata, KT ZMICO Research
Earnings Performance Hit by the flood crisis in late 2011, but recovered rapidly Back in late 2011 when many central provinces in Thailand were hit hard by the flood crisis, the supply chain in the electronic sector was severely impacted. Nonetheless, HANA was impacted at a lesser extent when compared to its peers and managed to recover rapidly due to its extensive production bases in Thailand, the US and China. This is evidenced by the firm’s strong core profit growth of 29% CAGR during 2012‐15. The major growth contributors were the PCBA and IC packaging segments that grew at average rates of 3% and 11% p.a., respectively. Meanwhile, a larger portion of high‐margin IC products, economies of scale and the depreciation of the baht from Bt31.03/US$ in 2012 to Bt34.25/US$ in 2015 were all major factors driving the gross profit margin to 14.8% in 2015 vs. 9.8% in 2012. Figure 11: HANA’s revenue and profit in 2011‐15
Figure 12: HANA’s profitability in 2011‐15
m.n. 16%
25,000 21,227 20,000 16,315
17,233
20,521
17,667
14%
14.8% 13.5%
12.6% 9.8%
9.8%
10%
15,000
6%
6.8%
4%
5,000 1,597
1,092
1,420
1,948
2,328
‐ 2011
2012 Revnue
2013
Source: HANA, KT ZMICO Research
2014 Core profit
2015
9.2% 9.3%
8.0%
8%
10,000
11.3%
11.2%
12%
8.8%
6.3% 6.1% 3.9%
2% 0% 2011
2012 GPM
2013 EBIT margin
2014 2015 Core profit margin
Source: HANA, KT ZMICO Research
REFER TO DISCLOSURE SECTION AT THE END OF THE NOTES page 4 of 11
Deceleration in 1Q16 earnings caused by Chinese economic slowdown and downtrend in computer industry The Chinese economic slowdown has negatively affected HANA’s PCBA business, especially the computer/PC product group that contributed 13% of total revenue in 1Q16. For the same quarter, the revenue from this business dropped by 41%YoY, causing the 1Q16 gross profit margin to narrow by 6% YoY and 41%QoQ. In addition, due to declining economies of scale from the PCBA product group, the firm’s 1Q16 gross profit margin stood at 12.3% vs. 17.9% in 4Q15 and 12.1% in 1Q15. The management expects the impact from the slowdown in the PC business to linger during 2Q‐3Q16, but the situation should begin to improve in 4Q16 when Windows 10 is developed. Being concerned about the declining demand for PC products, we thus project a 22% YoY decrease in revenue to be generated by PC products in 2016E. On the contrary, products used in the automotive communication consumer and industrial sectors (accounting for 66% of total revenue) are likely to drive the firm’s 2016E revenue growth by 5%YoY. However, the expansion of the plants in Lamphun and Cambodia may create a larger depreciation burden, squeezing the company’s gross profit margin to 13.6% in 2016E vs. 14.8% in 2015. Hence, HANA’s 2016E net profit is expected to fall by 8.5%YoY. Figure 13: HANA’s 1Q16 earnings results Profit and Loss (Btmn) Year‐end 31 Dec Revenue Gross profit EBITDA Interest expense Other income Income tax Forex gain (loss) Net profit (loss) Core profit (loss) Reported EPS (Bt) Gross margin (%) EBITDA margin (%) Net margin (%) Current ratio (x) Interest coverage (x) Net debt / equity (x) BVPS (Bt) ROE (%)
1Q15
4Q15
1Q16
% YoY
% QoQ
2016E
% YoY
YTD(%2016E)
4,994 603 633 (2) 98 (15) 88 517 429 0.64 12.08 12.67 10.35 4.92 181.16 0.05 23.32 2.78
5,125 918 933 (2) 126 (5) 71 822 751 1.02 17.92 18.20 16.04 5.06 278.30 (0.42) 24.13 4.22
4,742 582 554 (2) 104 (4) 128 484 356 0.60 12.27 11.68 10.20 5.56 147.95 (0.44) 24.58 2.47
(5.0) (3.5) (12.4) (9.3) 6.9 (69.8) 45.7 (6.4) (17.0) (6.4)
(7.5) (36.6) (40.6) (23.3) (17.4) (8.2) 80.8 (41.1) (52.6) (41.1)
21,604 2,940 2,960 (8) 480 (43) 0 2,130 2,130 2.65 13.61 13.70 9.86 4.95 200.66 (0.41) 24.98 10.78
5.3 (3.0) (4.0) 6.1 2.6 (8.0) (100.0) 3.1 (8.5) 3.1
22.0 19.8 18.7 20.5 21.8 10.1 n.m. 22.7 16.7 22.7
Source: KT ZMICO Research Brighter outlook for 2017‐19E following the change in product mix HANA’s operating performance should improve in 2017‐19E, with expected earnings growth of 13% CAGR. The bright earnings outlook should be driven by growing demand for sensor equipment used in automobiles and cellular phones. With long‐standing expertise and a production cost advantage over its peers, HANA will try to increase its market share. Our preliminary forecasts call for revenue contributions from PCBV and IC packaging products to rise to 55%, 60%, and 64% of the total revenue in 2017 to 19E, respectively. In the recent analyst meeting, the management expressed concern over the economic slowdown and disclosed that they had attempted to reduce the revenue exposure of computer/PC products; the revenue portion from these products is thus expected to be reduced to approximately 10‐11% in 2017‐19E. Hence, the impact from this weak business on the firm’s overall earnings performance should eventually become minor. While the firm’s profit margin may be pressured by costs linked to the plant expansion projects in the short term, its margin should gradually improve thanks to potential economies of scale. Hence, the gross profit margin is projected at 14‐14.8% during 2017‐19E.
REFER TO DISCLOSURE SECTION AT THE END OF THE NOTES page 5 of 11
Figure 14: HANA’s revenue and profit growth in 2015‐19E Btmn 30,000
16% 14%
15%
20,000 15,000
6%
5%
20% 12%
15%
11%
9%
12% 6%
10% 5%
10,000
0%
5,000
14.8%
25% 20%
25,000
Figure 15: HANA’s profitability in 2015‐19E
‐3%
‐5%
‐9%
‐10%
‐ 2015 Revenue
2016E Profit
2017E 2018E Revenue growth% (RHS)
2019E Profit growth% (RHS)
Source: HANA, KT ZMICO Research
10%
13.6%
14.0%
9.9%
10.2%
7.9%
8.3%
11.3% 9.3%
14.6%
14.9%
10.7%
10.9%
8.8%
9.2%
8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2015
2016E GPM
2017E EBIT margin
2018E
Source: HANA, KT ZMICO Research
Strong financial status with a net cash position HANA saw a low D/E ratio and cash on hand of Bt9.1bn as of the end of 1Q16. Also, its earnings outlook for the next few years seems promising. The firm’s strong financial status will not only facilitate its future expansion plans but also enable it to maintain its dividend payments. After reserving cash of US$100mn as per the firm’s policy, HANA is expected to offer dividends per share (DPS) of Bt1.8, Bt2.0, Bt2.2 and Bt2.5 in 2016E to 2019E, respectively. The expected DPS for 2016E implies a DPS of 6.0%, assuming a payout ratio of 68%. Figure 16: DPS in 2011‐2019
Figure 17: Total assets as of 1Q16
bt/share 3.0 2.5
2.5
2.2 2.0
2.0
2.0
1.8 1.5
1.5
PP&E‐net , 7,075 btmn
2.0
1.5
Cash and equivalents , 6,104 btmn
1.5 1.0 0.5 ‐ 2011
2012
2013
2014
2015 2016E DPS
Source: HANA, KT ZMICO Research
2017E
2018E
2019E
Short‐Term Investments , Inventories , 3,017 btmn 3,367 btmn Account receivable , 3,318 btmn
Source: HANA, KT ZMICO Research
REFER TO DISCLOSURE SECTION AT THE END OF THE NOTES page 6 of 11
2019E Core margin
Company Profile HANA provides electronic manufacturing service (EMS) with three major product groups: i) PCBA: putting IC components and electronic parts into PCB; ii) IC packaging: manufacturing and testing electrical circuits and iii) micro displays: manufacturing liquid crystal on silicon (LCOS) products used for converting an electrical signal to a high‐definition image signal. The company highlights its extensive service range as its major strategy that brings the company a competitive advantage over rivals. Figure 18: Product mix by product in 2011‐15 Figure 19: Product mix by end user in 1Q15‐1Q16 100% 90%
2%
1%
1%
32%
33%
1%
2%
80% 70%
100% 90% 80%
37%
36%
37%
60%
50%
50%
40%
40%
30%
30%
20%
20% 61%
67%
66%
63%
61%
0%
28%
16%
12%
70%
60%
10%
28%
14%
14%
29%
30%
31%
6%
5%
6%
18%
18%
19%
23%
31%
32%
32%
31%
19%
15%
15%
15%
13%
1Q15 Other
2Q15 Industrial
4Q15 Telecom
1Q16 Computer
10% 0%
2011
2012 Microdisplay
2013 IC
Source: HANA, KT ZMICO Research
2014
2015 PCBA
3Q15 Automotive
Source: HANA, KT ZMICO Research
HANA’s services cover clients in different industries. With a focus on offering high‐end products with a lengthy product lifecycle and useful life, the firm can set a clear long‐term business strategy. Figure 20: Product mix by location of customers in 2015 Figure 21: HANA’s plants in 2014‐16 ,000 m² 250 Others 26%
Malaysia 31%
200 3 150
3 13
3 13
91
91
52
52
40
40
91
HK 6%
100 US 8%
Singapore 11%
China 18%
32
50
40 0 2014 Ohio
Source: HANA, KT ZMICO Research
Cambodia
2015 Jiaxing
Lamphun
Source: HANA, KT ZMICO Research
HANA’s extensive production bases give the firm a number of production alternatives. At present, there are six production bases both domestically and internationally. Its domestic plants are located in Lamphun (two plants) and Ayutthaya (one plant). Internationally, one plant is located in China and one in the US. In addition, the firm commenced a new overseas plant in Cambodia in Sep‐15 in a bid to cope with higher labor costs, which is a major problem for the sector that requires a huge labor force. For this new plant, HANA will focus on products that mostly require manpower; this will enable it to benefit from production cost savings, as the minimum wage in Cambodia is threefold lower than in Thailand. The lower labor costs will also allow HANA to help its clients manage costs, which will be another attraction for potential clients in a number of industries that are facing problems related to high labor costs and high labor turnover.
REFER TO DISCLOSURE SECTION AT THE END OF THE NOTES page 7 of 11
2016 Ayutthaya
Industry Overview and Outlook The global semiconductor market value jumped from US$144.4bn in 1995 to US$335.2bn in 2014, representing growth of 9% CAGR during the period. In 2015, the industry’s growth contracted slightly by ‐0.2%YoY due to the global investment slowdown. According to the World Semiconductor Trade Statistics (WSTS), the world’s semiconductor market will grow to US$341bn and US$352bn in 2016E and 2017E, respectively. Major growth contributors will be producers from Asia Pacific, accounting for 60% of the total market value globally, with 21%, 10%, and 9% being contributed by producers in the US, Europe and Japan, respectively. Figure 22: Global semiconductor sales
Figure 23: Global regional semiconductor market
Source: WSTS, SIA, KT ZMICO Research
Source: WSTS, SIA, KT ZMICO Research
Global sales of semiconductor products have been driven by growing demand from each industry. In particular, combined sales of semiconductor products related to PC/computers and communication (e.g., smartphones) accounted for 63.8% of the total global market value in 2015, with huge demand coming from emerging markets. PricewaterhouseCoopers (PWC) projected that the global semiconductor market will be driven by automotive and industrial products, with projected growth of 9% CAGR and 8% CAGR in 2016‐19E for the respective products. According to PWC, the expected growth should be driven by rising demand for electronic parts used in automobiles and control systems in the industrial sector. Finally, another semiconductor market research house, IC Insight, anticipated that the market value of communication‐related products would achieve 6% CAGR during 2016‐19E, driven by growing demand for basic cellular phones in developing countries. Figure 24: Total global semiconductor market by end user Figure 25: Total global semiconductor market by product 2015 segment 2015
Source: WSTS, SIA, KT ZMICO Research
Source: WSTS, SIA, KT ZMICO Research
With the technological growth in 2015, sensor and Opto market grew rapidly at around +4% and +11%, respectively. IC Insight projected the sales of sensor and Opto equipment to achieve 5.6% CAGR and 8.3% CAGR, respectively, during 2016‐21E, driven by growing demand for light speed and automatic control systems used in different industries. REFER TO DISCLOSURE SECTION AT THE END OF THE NOTES page 8 of 11
Upside/Downside Risks Technological changes HANA’s business involves dynamic technologies, with over 40% of total revenue being generated by products used in computers and cellular phones. Thus, there is risk that the firm may lose its competitiveness. In a bid to manage this risk factor, HANA has attempted to enlarge its client base to cover a variety of industries and it continues to invest in state‐of‐the‐art equipment. Furthermore, the company has also sought production bases that will bring it a competitive advantage over peers in order to cope with problems related to growing labor costs and higher labor turnover. Exchange rates Almost 100% of HANA’s revenue is in US dollar terms; meanwhile, over 60% of its total costs are in the same currency, which can act as a natural hedge. In addition, capital expenditures are also in US dollar terms. To manage FX risks, HANA signs forward contracts, which are extended every 3‐6 months. The fluctuations in currency exchange rates certainly have a direct impact on the firm’s profit and loss profile. Note that for every Bt1 that the Thai baht weakens against the US dollar (i.e., variance from our current baht/US$ exchange rate assumption), it would result in a 4.2% increase in our net profit projections for HANA.
REFER TO DISCLOSURE SECTION AT THE END OF THE NOTES page 9 of 11
FINANCIAL TABLE PROFIT & LOSS (Btmn) Revenues Cost of sales and service Gross profit SG&A EBITDA Depreciation & amortization EBIT Interest expense Other income / exp. EBT Corporate tax FX gain (loss) Extra Items Non‐controlling Net profit Reported EPS Core net profit Core EPS Dividend (Bt) BALANCE SHEET (Btmn) Cash and equivalents Accounts receivable Inventories Investment PP&E‐net Other assets Total assets ST debt & current portion Long‐term debt Total liabilities Paid‐up shares Shareholder equity Total liab. & shareholder equity
2015
2016E
2017E
2018E
2019E
21,227 (18,358) 2,869 (993) 3,001 1,125 1,876 (8) 448 2,315 (367) 107 1,350 ‐ 3,405 4.23 1,948 2.42 2.00
20,521 (17,491) 3,030 (1,115) 3,084 1,168 1,916 (8) 468 2,375 (47) (262) ‐ ‐ 2,066 2.57 2,328 2.89 2.00
21,604 (18,664) 2,940 (1,237) 2,960 1,257 1,702 (8) 480 2,174 (43) ‐ ‐ ‐ 2,131 2.65 2,131 2.65 1.80
22,813 (19,610) 3,203 (1,309) 3,239 1,346 1,894 (7) 491 2,377 (48) ‐ ‐ ‐ 2,330 2.89 2,330 2.89 1.97
24,210 (20,683) 3,527 (1,388) 3,559 1,421 2,138 (6) 511 2,643 (53) ‐ ‐ ‐ 2,590 3.22 2,590 3.22 2.19
27,081 (23,054) 4,028 (1,537) 3,981 1,491 2,490 (5) 543 3,029 (61) ‐ ‐ ‐ 2,968 3.69 2,968 3.69 2.51
2014
2015
2016E
2017E
2018E
2019E
8,331 3,354 3,329 331 6,566 141 22,051 360 516 3,688 805 18,364 22,051
9,121 3,318 3,367 ‐ 7,075 243 23,123 347 534 3,699 805 19,424 23,123
9,162 3,687 3,528 ‐ 7,327 243 23,948 300 530 3,842 805 20,105 23,948
9,380 3,894 3,707 ‐ 7,491 243 24,716 260 460 3,865 805 20,851 24,716
9,909 4,132 3,910 ‐ 7,381 243 25,574 220 380 3,895 805 21,680 25,574
10,522 4,622 4,358 ‐ 6,990 243 26,735 160 320 4,106 805 22,630 26,735
2014
2015
2016E
2017E
2018E
2019E
3,772 (249) 1,125 (464) 4,184 (788) (480) (1,268) (16) ‐ (1,610) (9) (1,635) 1,282 2,917 3.62
2,114 (45) 1,168 (281) 2,956 (1,601) 97 (1,505) ‐ ‐ (1,610) 796 (814) 637 1,451 1.80
2,131 ‐ 1,257 (336) 3,052 (1,510) ‐ (1,510) (52) ‐ (1,449) ‐ (1,500) 41 1,542 1.92
2,337 ‐ 1,338 (253) 3,423 (1,400) ‐ (1,400) (110) ‐ (1,589) ‐ (1,699) 323 2,023 2.51
2,598 ‐ 1,412 (291) 3,719 (1,300) ‐ (1,300) (120) ‐ (1,767) ‐ (1,887) 532 2,419 3.01
2,976 ‐ 1,483 (607) 3,852 (1,100) ‐ (1,100) (120) ‐ (2,024) ‐ (2,144) 608 2,752 3.42
2014
2015
2016E
2017E
2018E
2019E
20.2% 32.3% 48.0% 13.5% 14.1% 8.8% 16.0% 9.2% 15.8%
‐3.3% 2.8% ‐39.3% 14.8% 15.0% 9.3% 10.1% 11.3% 2.0%
5.3% ‐4.0% 3.1% 13.6% 13.7% 7.9% 9.9% 9.9% 2.0%
5.6% 9.5% 9.4% 14.0% 14.2% 8.3% 10.2% 10.2% 2.0%
6.1% 9.9% 11.2% 14.6% 14.7% 8.8% 10.7% 10.7% 2.0%
11.9% 11.9% 14.6% 14.9% 14.7% 9.2% 11.0% 11.0% 2.0%
CASH FLOW (Btmn)
Net income Non‐cash adjustment Depreciation & amortization Change in working capital Cash flow from operations Capex (Invest)/Divest Others Cash flow from investing Debt financing (repayment) Equity financing Dividend payment Others Cash flow from financing Net change in cash Free cash flow FCF per share (Bt) PROFITABILITY Revenue growth (%) EBITDA growth (%) EPS growth (%) Gross margin (%) EBITDA margin (%) Operating margin (%) Net margin (%) Core profit margin (%) Effective tax rate (%)
2014
REFER TO DISCLOSURE SECTION AT THE END OF THE NOTES page 10 of 11
Note: KT ZMICO has two major shareholders, Krungthai Bank PLC (KTB) and Seamico Securities PLC (ZMICO). Therefore, prior to making investments in the securities of KTB and ZMICO, investors should consider the risk factors carefully. An executive of KT ZMICO Securities is also a board member of BCP, BTC, CI, CPI, KBS, MAJOR, MK, PACE, PSL, SVH, VNG, ZMICO, SAWAD, TFG. A management member of KT ZMICO Securities is also a board member of BTC and NFC. KT ZMICO is a financial advisor for U, LOXLEY, ZMICO, MAKRO, CPALL, SAFARI, PACE, PLE, TPOLY. KT ZMICO is a co‐underwriter of TPBI.
Anti‐corruption Progress Indicator
Level 1 (Committed) : Organization’s statement or board's resolution to work against corruption and to be in compliance with all relevant laws. Level 2 (Declared) : Public declaration statement to participate in Thailand's private sector Collective Action Coalition Against Corruption (CAC) or equivalent initiatives Level 3 (Established) : Public out preventive measures, risk assessment, communication and training for all employees, including consistent monitoring and review processes Level 4 (Certified) : Audit engagement by audit committee or auditors approved by the office of SEC, and receiving certification or assurance by independent external assurance providers (CAC etc.) Level 5 (Extended) : Extension of the anti‐corruption policy to business partners in the supply chain, and disclosure of any current investigations, prosecutions or closed cases Insufficient or not clearly defined policy Data not available / no policy
DISCLAIMER This document is produced using open sources believed to be reliable. However, their accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. The statements and opinions herein were formed after due and careful consideration for use as information for the purposes of investment. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. This document is not, and should not be construed as, an offer or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. The use of any information contained in this document shall be at the sole discretion and risk of the user.
KT ZMICO RESEARCH – RECOMMENDATION DEFINITIONS STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS BUY: Expecting positive total returns of 15% or more over the next 12 months OUTPERFORM: Expecting total returns between ‐10% to +15%; returns expected to exceed market returns over a six‐month period due to specific catalysts UNDERPERFORM: Expecting total returns between ‐10% to +15%; returns expected to be below market returns over a six‐month period due to specific catalysts SELL: Expecting negative total returns of 10% or more over the next 12 months
SECTOR RECOMMENDATIONS OVERWEIGHT: The industry, as defined by the analyst's coverage universe, is expected to outperform the relevant primary market index by at least 10% over the next 12 months. NEUTRAL: The industry, as defined by the analyst's coverage universe, is expected to perform in line with the relevant primary market index over the next 12 months. UNDERWEIGHT: The industry, as defined by the analyst's coverage universe, is expected to underperform the relevant primary market index by 10% over the next 12 months.
REFER TO DISCLOSURE SECTION AT THE END OF THE NOTES page 11 of 11
th
th
th
th
KT•ZMICO Securities Company Limited
st
8 , 15 -17 , 19 , 21 Floor, Liberty Square Bldg., 287 Silom Road, Bangrak, Bangkok 10500 Telephone: (66-2) 695-5000
Phaholyothin Branch
rd
Fax. (66-2) 631-1709
Ploenchit Branch
th
nd
2
Sindhorn Branch
3 Floor, Shinnawatra Tower II,
8 Floor, Ton Son Tower,
1291/1 Phaholyothin Road,
900 Ploenchit Road, Lumpini,
Floor, Sindhorn Tower 1, 130-132 Wireless Road, Lumpini,
Phayathai, Bangkok 10400
Pathumwan, Bangkok 10330
Pathumwan, Bangkok 10330
Telephone: (66-2) 686-1500
Telephone: (66-2) 626-6000
Telephone: (66-2) 627-3550
Fax. (66-2) 686-1666
Fax. (66-2) 626-6111
Fax. (66-2) 627-3582, 627-3600
Nakhon Pathom Branch 1156 Petchakasem Road, Sanamchan Subdistrict, Amphoe Meuang , Nakhon Pathom Province 73000 Telephone: (034) 271300 Fax: (034) 271300 #100
Chachoengsao Branch
Viphavadee Branch
Phitsanulok Branch
G Floor, Lao Peng Nguan 1 Bldg.,
Krung Thai Bank, Singhawat Branch
333 Soi Cheypuand, Viphavadee-Rangsit Road,
114 Singhawat Road,
Ladyao, Jatujak, Bangkok 10900
Muang, Phitsanulok 65000
Telephone: (66-2) 618-8500
Telephone: 083-490-2873
Fax. (66-2) 618-8569
th
Chonburi Branch
Pattaya Branch
108/34-36 Mahajakkrapad Road,
4 Floor, Forum Plaza Bldg.,
382/6-8 Moo 9, T. NongPrue,
T.Namuang, A.Muang,
870/52 Sukhumvit Road, T. Bangplasoy,
A. Banglamung, Cholburi 20260
Chachoengsao 24000
A. Muang, Cholburi 20000
Telephone: (038) 362-420-9
Telephone: (038) 813-088
Telephone: (038) 287-635
Fax. (038) 362-430
Fax. (038) 813-099
Fax. (038) 287-637
Khon Kaen Branch
5th Floor, Charoen Thani Princess Hotel,
Hat Yai Branch
Sriworajak Building Branch
200/301 Juldis Hatyai Plaza Floor 3,
1st – 2nd Floor, Sriworajak Building, 222
260 Srichan Road, T. Naimuang,
Niphat-Uthit 3 Rd,
Luang Road, Pomprab,
A. Muang, Khon Kaen 40000
Hatyai Songkhla 90110
Bankgok 10100
Telephone: (043) 389-171-193
Telephone: (074) 355-530-3
Telephone: (02) 689-3100
Fax. (043) 389-209
Fax: (074) 355-534
Fax. (02) 689-3199
Central World Branch
Chiang Mai Branch
Phuket Branch
999/9 The Offices at Central World,
422/49 Changklan Road, Changklan
22/61-63, Luang Por Wat Chalong Road,
16th Fl., Rama 1 Rd, Pathumwan,
Subdistrict, Amphoe Meuang,
Talat Yai, Mueang Phuket,
Bangkok 10330
Chiang Mai 50100
Phuket 83000
Telephone: (66-2) 673-5000,
Telephone: (053) 270-072
Tel. (076) 222-811,(076) 222-683
(66-2) 264-5888 Fax. (66-2) 264-5899
Fax: (053) 272-618
Fax. (076) 222-861
Pak Chong Branch
Cyber Branch @ North Nana
173 175, Mittapap Road,
Krung Thai Bank PCL, 2 Floor, North Nana Branch 35 Sukhumvit Rd.,Klong Toey Nua Subdistrict , Wattana District, Bangkok 10110 Telephone: 083-490-2871
Nong Sarai, Pak Chong, Nakhon Ratchasima 30130 Tel. (044) 279-511 Fax. (044) 279-574
Nakhon Ratchasima Branch
Bangkhae Branch
6th Floor The Mall Group Building Bangkhae 275 Moo 1 Petchkasem Road, North Bangkhae, Bangkhae, Bangkok 10160 Tel. (66-2) 454-9979 Fax. (66-2) 454-9970
624/9 Changphuek Road, . Naimaung, A.Maung, Nakhon Ratchasima 30000 Telephone: (044) 247222 Fax: (044) 247171 Information herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its completeness and accuracy are not guaranteed. All opinions expressed constitute our views on that date and are not intended as an offer or solicitation to sell or buy any securities. Investors should exercise care when making a decision to invest in securities. No one may modify or distribute any part of this report unless written permission is first received from Seamico Securities Plc. If any modifications are made, quotes or references taken from the report and the report date must be clearly mentioned and must not cause misunderstanding or damage to the company.
