Human Population Growth

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Human Population Growth Status of Our Species

Factors that Affect Human Population Size Birth RATE-(Natality) Number of individuals born per unit time Death RATE-(Mortality) Number of individuals that die per unit time Population Change =(Births + Immigration)-(Deaths +Emigration)

Population Change Doubling Times Rule of 70 Fertility Replacement Fertility Total Fertility Rate (TFR)

Factors Affecting Birth Rates Children in Labor Force Cost of Raising and Educating Children Generation Distance Availability of Pension Systems Urbanization Education and Employment of Women Infant Mortality Rate Average Age of Marriage Availability of Birth Control

Births per thousand population

US Birth Rates 32 30 28 26 24 22 20 18 16 14 0 1910

End of World War II Demographic transition 1920

Depression 1930

1940

Baby boom 1950

1960 Year

Baby bust 1970

Echo baby boom 1980

1990

2000

2010

Factors Affecting Death Rates Life Expectancy Infant Mortality Rates Sanitation Availability

Male

Female

Rapid Growth Guatemala Nigeria Saudi Arabia Ages 0-14

Slow Growth United States Australia Canada Ages 15-44

Zero Growth Spain Austria Greece

Negative Growth Germany Bulgaria Sweden

Ages 45-85+

Population Age Structure

Influencing Population Size Migration Environmental Refugees Reducing Births Family Planning Empowering Women Economic Rewards and Penalities

Demographic Transition Graph Fig. 10-20 p. 189

Stage 2 Transindustrial

Stage 3 Industrial

Stage 4 Postindustrial High

80 70

Relative population size

Birth rate and death rate (number per 1,000 per year)

Stage 1 Preindustrial

60 50

Birth rate

40 30

Death rate

20 10 0

Total population Low Increasing Growth Very high Decreasing Low Zero growth rate growth rate growth rate growth rate growth rate growth rate

Time

Low Negative growth rate

Case Study: India Poor Planning Bureaucratic Inefficiency Low Status of Women Extreme Poverty Lack of Support

Case Study: China Economic Incentives Free Medical Care Preferential Treatment of Willing Participants Local Administration VERY Intrusive and Coersive

Your Mission Senator I. Gettit, has hired you and your team as a consultants to formulate a bill instituting a population policy here in the United States as an example to other growing countries. Your job is to write a bill that will effectively reduce the human population that does not include any violence or discrimination. You will present your bill to class on Friday.