Hurricane Sandy in Marinexplore.org

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Hurricane Sandy in Marinexplore.org By  Detelina  Ivanova   [email protected]  

Hurricane  Sandy  caused  about  $50  billion  damages  and  at  least  285  fatali6es   se7ng  up  a  record  of  one  the  most  catastrophic  hurricanes  in  the  U.S  history.   The  forecast  failed  to  predict  its  extra-­‐tropical  landfall  showing  rather  a  path   toward  the  open  sea.  Data  collec6ons  such  as  Marinexplore.org  can  help  to   improve  the  model  forecasts  (by  assimila6ng  them  in  the  forecas6ng  model   in   real   6me)   and   to   understand   beGer   the   processes   behind   this   hard   to   predict  storm  behavior  and  eventually  improve  the  model  physics.  

Sudden   changes   in   the   storm   tracks   can   be   triggered   by   changes   in   the   underlying  surface  (ocean-­‐land  contrast,  warm-­‐cold  ocean  contrast).  The  goal   of   this   project   is   by   using   the   available   data   sets   in   Marinexplore.org   to   evaluate  the  ocean  pre-­‐condi6oning  and  changes  in  response  to  the  passage   of  Hurricane  Sandy.       Subsets   of   daily   gridded   data   during   the   Sandy   period-­‐   10/24-­‐10/29/2012   were   extracted   from   the   blended   products   NOAA/NCDC   0.25°   sea   surface   winds  and  G1SST  1km  sea  surface  temperature.  Below  are  shown  snapshots   of   sea   surface   winds   vectors   and   speed   (color   field)   and   the   spa6al   sea   surface   temperature   anomaly.   The   black   line   represents   the   storm   track   of   Hurricane  Sandy  from  its  genesis  on  10/22/12  in  the  Caribbean  Sea  south  of   Jamaica,  trough  its  stage  of  a  major  hurricane  (category  3)  when  over  eastern   Cuba   (10/25/12,   pos.4)   to   its   extra-­‐tropical   landfall   near   Brigan6ne,   New   Jersey  on  10/29/12.  The  black  sun-­‐like  symbol  shows  the  current  day  storm   posi6on.    

In-­‐situ   data   from   ships,   buoys   and   floats   available   in   the   area   during   that   period   were   extracted   to   provide   insights   into   the   changes   in  the  upper  ocean  structure  in  response  to  the   passing   storm.   Here   are   shown   the   ver6cal   sec6ons  of  the  upper  200m  temperature  layer   along   the   storm   track   in   three   of   the   storm   period  dates.  On  October  23  the  storm  is  in  the   beginning   of   his   trail   (posi6on   2)   and   the   ver6cal   temperature   structure   in   the   later   loca6ons   is   s6ll   in   pre-­‐storm   condi6ons.     The   later   is   characterized   by   the   convergence   of   warm   upper   layers   of   equatorial   waters   and   cold  deeper  layers  of  extra-­‐tropical  waters.  The   second   temperature   sec6on   from   October   27   demonstrates   the   ocean   response   to   the   passing  storm  revealing  intense  warming  at  all   levels  down  to  200m.  Just  2  days  a_er  (boGom   panel)   a   strong   cold   waters   upwelling   occurs   behind  the  storm  center  (which  is  at  that  6me   in  posi6on  8).  

Similar   conclusions   can   be   reached   by   analyzing   the   ver6cal   temperature   profiles  at  par6cular  loca6ons  at  different  dates.     Further  Analysis  of  the  salinity,  ocean  currents,  as  well  as,  precipita6on  and  air   temperature   will   give   us   beGer   understanding   of   the   air-­‐sea   interac6on   processes  affec6ng  the  storm  evolu6on.  

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