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H1 2012

Moscow Office market report

Highlights • Occupier demand for quality offices in Moscow remains robust. The take-up of Class A and B space totaled around 450,000 sq m in H1 2012, a modest 3% increase compared with H1 2012. • New supply of Class A and B offices amounted to around 217,000 sq m in H1, 34% less than H1 2011. • It is expected that development completion levels will remain subdued over the rest of the year. Combined with robust tenant demand, this could support moderate rental growth during the next six months. • Vacancy rates have come under downward pressure due to the limited new supply. The class A vacancy rate fell from 12.5% to 11.9% over H1 2012, and the class B vacancy rate fell from 17.2% to 14.2%. • Average rents remained stable during H1 2012 for both Class A and B offices, at US$830 per sq m p.a. and US$480 per sq m p.a., respectively.

H1 2012

Moscow Office market report

Moscow City (Moscow International Business Center) 19 19 16a

18

17

ysky proezd

1 14

13 8a 8b

10

1st Krasnogvarde

16b

12 11

Complete

18

9

Kras nopr esnens kaya

7

4

20

Under construction

15 Expocenter

6

3

21

Partially complete

2

Under design Suspended

naberezhnaya

The Mo scow River

0 Table 1

Moscow City developments Site

Office component (sq m)

Status

Completion date

-

Expocenter

85,000

-

Complete

2009

Tower 2000

30,700

26,599

Complete

2002

1

Parking

170,101

-

Under construction

2015

2

Public Square and Moscow City Museum

19,000

-

Under construction

2015

3

Evolution Tower (ex. City Palace Tower)

169,000

80,000

Under construction

2015

4

Imperia Tower

287,724

70,110

Complete

2011

6

Central Core Parking & Metro Terminal (Underground)

278,000

-

Partially complete

2015

AFI Mall (ex. Mall of Russia)

179,930

-

Complete

2011

50,190

10,000

Under construction

2012

8a

Multifunctional Recreation Complex – Novotel and CityPoint office complex

9

Capital City Complex

288,680

72,315

Complete

2009

10

Naberezhnaya Tower

254,000

150,000

Complete

2007

11

Transport Terminal

228,000

122,000

Under construction

2015

12

Eurasia Tower

203,104

82,817

Suspended

n/a

13

Federation Tower

423,000

181,800

Partially complete

2007/2012

14

Mercury Tower

158,528

86,000

Under construction

2012

15

Multifunctional Complex

315,000

130,000

Under design

2015

16a

Multifunctional Complex

249,600

122,500

Under construction

2014

16b

Parking

180,000

-

Under construction

2014

Russia Tower

250,000

130,000

Under design

n/a

19

Northern Tower

136,580

78,000

Complete

2008

20

Multifunctional Business-Expo Complex

180,000

70,936

Under design

2014

21

Yuri Dolgoruky

n/a

n/a

Under design

n/a

17-18

2

Total size (sq m)

0

7-8b

2

Development

www.KnightFrank.es

www.knightfrank.com

Moscow Novator (26,500 sq m)

Dezhnev Plaza (11,000 sq m)

M-10 Fourth Trans port Rin

M-8

g

Country Park III (19,120 sq m)

14 H oe Dmitrovsk

River City (9,700 sq m)

10

in Third Transport R

SkyLight (61,250 sq m)

bo slo vo No

16

8.1

8

w

er

Park Pobedy (92,000 sq m)

7.3

7.2

Novy Arbat Str

Usadba Vsevolzhskih (720 sq m)

kaya St r

(47,485 sq m)

LightHouse (22,520 sq m)

Rosso Riva (11,700 sq m)

Vo 9 Districts lgoBusiness 1. Central gra Key projects commissioned 2. GR South dsky Av 6.1 en 6 ue 6.2 in kH1 for 2012 y 2012 and planned 3. GR West 9.3 4. GR North completed under construction 5. GR East Golden Ring 6. TTR South Class A

Le ni ns

m ol

os o

2

Knight Frank is

project consultant Key projects commissioned 9.1 in H1 2012 and planned for 2012 BC at Zhukovskogo St 13 completed under sq m) (7,250 construction 1. Central Business Districts M-7 Arma 2. GR South Class A (4,700 sq m) 5 3. GR West ClassghB 4. GR North way Entuziastov Hi 5. GR East 9.2 17 NizIIIhego Knight Frank is Aquamarine 6. TTR South rodproject s consultant

(42,150 sq m)

6.1 Leninsky 6.2 Tulsky

Class B

Key projects commissioned in H1 2012 and planned for 2012 completedM-3 under construction

Class A Class B

Key projects commissioned Key projects, 2012

K2 (phase I) (18,100 sq m)

Knight Frank is project consultant

in H1 2012 and planned for 2012

completed

under construction

Class A Class B Knight Frank is project consultant

1. Central Business Districts 2. GR South 3. GR West 4. GR North 5. 3 GR East 6. TTR South 6.1 Leninsky

1. Central Business Districts 2. GR South 3. GR West 4. GR North 5. GR East 6. TTR South 6.1 Leninsky 6.2 Tulsky

7. TTR West 7.1 Presnensky 7.2 City 7.3 Kievsky 7.4 Khamovniki

8. TTR North 8.1 Tverskoy-Novoslobodsky 8.2 Prospekt Mira

6.1 Leninsky 6.2 Tulsky

7. TTR West

Str

Ko m

49, bld. 2, Pyatnitskaya St (2,050 sq m)

Morozov (phase II) nue(13,000 sq m) ve

Class B

a nay Myt

sk yA

7.4

Dom na Mosfilmovskoy (17,470 sq m) Vorobyevskiy (14,400 sq m)

1

3

M-1

Premium: West (18,800 sq m)

4

7.1

City Point (10,000 sq m)

Grand Setun Plaza (58,220 sq m)

Dom na Mayakovke (1,245 sq m)

7

Riv

Av en ue

co

Garden Ring

11 Frank is Knight project consultant

7. TTR West

6.1 Leninsky 6.2 Tulsky

7. TTR West 7.1 Presnensky 7.2 City 7.3 Kievsky 7.4 Khamovniki

8. TTR North 8.1 Tverskoy-Novoslobodsky 8.2 Prospekt Mira 9.1 Basmanny 9.2 Tagansky 9.3 Volgogradsky

10. FTR North 11. FTR South 12. FTR West 13. FTR East

er

iv 7.1 Presnensky wR sco Mo he City T7.2 7.3 Kievsky 7.4 Khamovniki

M-2

1. Central Business Districts 15 Imagine City 2. GR South (5,300 sq m) 3. GR West Solutions BP (bld 2,3) 4. GR(39,520 North sq m) 5. GR East 6. TTR South

9. TTR East

under construction

Class A

Olympic Hall (11,000 sq m)

Atmosphere (20,700 sq m)

St r

Str

os

8.2

ya

eM

tr ya S ska

g

a dsk

Tv ers ka ya

12

Th

completed

ue

ak ov

yA ven

Key projects commissioned in H1 2012 and planned for 2012

Ru s

ng rad sk

Mira Aven

Len i

ue

way igh

M-9

8. TTR North

M-4

8.1 Tverskoy-Novoslobodsky 8.2 Prospekt Mira

9. TTR East 9.1 Basmanny 9.2 Tagansky 9.3 Volgogradsky

10. FTR North 11. FTR South 12. FTR West 13. FTR East 14. MKAD North 15. MKAD South 16. MKAD West 17. MKAD East

GR = Garden Ring TTR = Third Transport Ring FTR = Fourth Transport Ring

Borders of subdistricts

M-5

7.1 Presnensky 7.2 City 7.3 Kievsky 7.4 Khamovniki

8. TTR North 8.1 Tverskoy-Novoslobodsky 8.2 Prospekt Mira

9. TTR East 9.1 Basmanny 9.2 Tagansky 9.3 Volgogradsky

10. FTR North 11. FTR South 12. FTR West 13. FTR East 14. MKAD North 15. MKAD South 16. MKAD West 17. MKAD East

GR = Garden Ring TTR = Third Transport Ring FTR = Fourth Transport Ring

Borders of subdistricts

■ KF Dark Blue ■ KF Dark Blue S1 ■ KF Dark Blue S2 ■ KF Dark Blue S3

Table 2

Moscow submarket data Transport Ring

Transport ring Transport average rent ring vacancy (US$ per sq rate m pa)

Direction

Sub Max prime Average district rent (US$ class A rent per sq m (US$ per sq pa) m pa)

Average class B rent (US$ per sq m pa)

Stock (sq m)

Vacancy rate

Boulevard Ring

(BR)

1,089

6.05%

1

Centre

CBD

1,500

1,269

777

665,582

6.05%

Garden Ring

(GR)

814

7.00%

2

South

GRS

1,200

848

762

900,474

6.79%

3

West

GRW

1,200

1,153

840

539,300

2.26%

4

North

GRN

1,200

965

760

734,887

4.91%

5

East

GRE

915

767

628

254,771

26.31% 18.45%

Third Transport Ring

(TTR)

Fourth Transport Ring (FTR)

MKAD

612

519

386

6.31%

10.73%

14.47%

6.1

South

LEN

870



539

161,200

6.2

South

TUL

822

600

428

694,201

3.39%

7.1

West

CITY

1,190

920



476,942

11.20%

7.2

West

KHAM

900

900

554

254,526

7.40%

7.3

West

KIEV

615

615

400

224,400

2.11%

7.4

West

PRES

644



611

268,453

1.73%

8.1

North

PRM

8.2

North

TV-NOV

885

800

790

349,750

8.50%

1,000

950

643

639,371

9.1

East

5.23%

BASM

640



482

411,897

9.2

5.53%

East

TAG

635



635

273,000

1.38%

9.3

East

VOLG

560



360

187,274

11.12%

10

North

FTRN

720

676

462

714,151

7.71%

11

South

FTRS

1,000



450

917,328

9.52%

12

West

FTRW

900

750

692

447,386

10.94%

13

East

FTRE

550



443

420,084

18.28%

14

North

MKADN

309



220

473,221

12.83%

15

South

MKADS

700



479

669,293

5.17%

16

West

MKADW

780



413

1,073,045

21.18%

17

East

MKADE

453



343

201,800

830

480

Total Source: Knight Frank Table 3

Key occupier transactions, H1 2012 Company

Acquired space (sq m) Address

Property

Lease Merlion*

16,599

MKAD, 66th KM

Myakinino

Novartis*

15,934

72, Leningradskiy Ave

Alcon

Eurasian Economic Commission*

6,849

12 bld. 1, Yakovoapostolskiy Lane

Yakovoapostolskiy

BDO Unikon Business Solutions

6,322

8, Preobrazhenskaya Sq

Preo 8

FIA

5,922

2, Yakimanskaya Emb

Golutvinskiy Dvor

Pegas Touristic

4,200

14, Smolnaya St

Smolniy

Roche Diagnostics

3,853

2, Letnikovskaya St

Vivaldi Plaza

VTB 24*

3,590

8, Preobrazhenskaya Sq

Preo 8

OMZ

3,173

20, Ovchinikovskaya Emb

Central City Tower (phase II)

Tinkoff Credit Systems*

3,126

39, Leningradskoe Hwy

Olympia Park

24,945

18 bld. 2, Andropova Ave

Nagatino i-Land

23,036

18 bld. 3, Andropova Ave

Nagatino i-Land

Purchase (owner occupation) Raiffeisen Bank* Alfa Bank Source: Knight Frank

4

*Knight Frank acted as a consultant on the deal

13.67% 13.70%

H1 2012

Moscow Office market report

Figure 1

Figure 2

Average rents

Take-up vs new supply

US$ per sq m per annum

000s sq m Class A



1,600 1,400

Class B

1,800 1,600

1,200

1,400

1,000

1,200

800

1,000

600

800 600

400

400

200

2011

H1 2012

2010

2009

2007

2008

2006

2005

0

2004

200

Vorobiovsky

Figure 3

Figure 4

Vacancy rates

Figure 5

Average rents by submarket

Distribution of leasable office stock

%

US$ per sq m per annum

000s sq m

1,200

4,500 4,000

1,000

3,500 3,000

800

2,500

600

Lighthouse

1,000

FTR

MKAD

* Excluding Moscow-City

MoscowCity

TTR*

GR

BR

500 0

* Excluding Moscow-City

Figure 6

Figure 7

Vacancy rates by submarket**

Prime office yields

10

10

5

8

0

6

* Excluding Moscow-City ** Based on Class A and Class B properties

MKAD

12

FTR

15

MoscowCity

20

TTR*

% 14

GR

%

BR

H2 2011 H1 2012

0

0

H2 2010 H1 2011

200

H1 2006 H2 2006 H1 2007 H2 2007 H1 2008 H2 2008 H1 2009 H2 2009 H1 2010

5

5

1,500

400

FTR

10

2,000

MoscowCity

15

TTR*

20

GR

Class B

BR

25

Class A

H1 2006 H2 2006 H1 2007 H2 2007 H1 2008 H2 2008 H1 2009 H2 2009 H1 2010 H2 2010 H1 2011 H2 2011 H1 2012



MKAD

H1 2006 H2 2006 H1 2007 H2 2007 H1 2008 H2 2008 H1 2009 H2 2009 H1 2010 H2 2010 H1 2011 H2 2011 H1 2012

0

New Take-up supply



2,000

Source for all graphs: Knight Frank

RESEARCH

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Moscow Kyrill Starodoubtsev Director – Office Head +7 (495) 981 0000 [email protected]

London Chris Bell Managing Director, Europe +44 (0) 207 629 8171 [email protected]

Maria Kotova Executive Director +7 (495) 981 0000 [email protected]

Darren Yates Partner, International Research +44 (0) 207 629 8171 [email protected]

Olga Yasko Regional Director – Analytics and Research +7 (495) 981 0000 [email protected]

Matthew Colbourne Senior Analyst, International Research +44 (0) 207 629 8171 [email protected] Carly Tompsett Analyst, International Research +44 (0) 207 629 8171 [email protected]

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