Motor Vehicle Production Inquiry
Motor Vehicle Production Inquiry Business Monitor PM34.10 July 2007
Please Note:
The motor vehicle production inquiry has ceased in accordance with the ONS Statistical Work Programme 2007/08 published in March. This is the last publication from this survey. Please see background notes for more detail.
ã Crown Copyright 2007 Published with the permission of the Controller of Her Majesty’s Stationery Office (HMSO). ISSN 1463-2535 Applications for reproduction should be submitted to HMSO under HMSO's Class Licence: www.clickanduse.hmso.gov.uk Alternatively applications can be made in writing to: HMSO Licensing Division St Clement's House 2–16 Colegate Norwich NR3 1BQ Contact points For enquiries about this publication, contact Denise Blackmore Tel: 01633 812394 E-mail: [email protected] For general enquires, contact the National Statistics Customer Enquiry Centre on 0845 601 3034 (minicom: 01633 812399) E-mail: [email protected] Fax: 01633 652747 Letters: Zone DG/18, 1 Drummond Gate, London SW1V 2QQ You can also find National Statistics on the Internet – go to www.statistics.gov.uk About the Office for National Statistics The Office for National Statistics (ONS) is the government Agency responsible for compiling, analysing and disseminating many of the United Kingdom's economic, social and demo-graphic statistics, including the retail prices index, trade figures and labour market data, as well as the periodic census of the population and health statistics. The Director of ONS is also the National Statistician and the Registrar General for England and Wales, and the agency administers the statutory registration of births, marriages and deaths there.
A National Statistics publication National Statistics are produced to high professional standards set out in the National Statistics Code of Practice. They undergo regular quality assurance reviews to ensure that they meet customer needs. They are produced free from any political interference.
23 August 2007 Coverage United Kingdom Theme Commerce, Energy and Industry
The motor vehicle production inquiry will cease in accordance with the ONS Statistical Work Programme 2007/08 published in March. This is the last release of summary data from this survey. The associated Business Monitor will be published on 31 August.
Motor vehicle production July 2007 In the three months to July 2007, total car production, seasonally adjusted, increased by 5.4 per cent compared with the previous three months. Production for the home market decreased by 5.9 per cent while production allocated for the export market increased by 9.0 per cent. Compared with the same three months a year ago, total car production, seasonally adjusted, increased by 3.2 per cent. Production allocated for the home market decreased by 3.7 per cent and production for the export market increased by 5.3 per cent.
T otal car produ ction season ally adjusted
2000=100
100 95 90 85 80 75 J
S
N
J
2006
M
M
J
2007
Total commercial vehicle production, seasonally adjusted, for the three months ending July 2007 increased by 2.2 per cent compared with the previous three months and rose by 9.9 per cent compared with the same period a year ago. Index numbers
Issued by National Statistics 1 Drummond Gate London SW1V 2QQ Telephone Press Office Public Enquiries
Total car production
Home car production
Export car production
Commercial vehicle production
Feb
82.9
53.3
99.0
117.8
Mar
87.0
65.6
98.7
121.7
Apr
90.5
59.7
107.2
118.3
May
88.5
53.4
107.6
119.1
Jun
91.2
54.9
110.9
132.2
Jul
94.8
59.7
113.9
114.4
previous three months
5.4
-5.9
9.0
2.2
same three months a year ago
3.2
-3.7
5.3
9.9
Seasonally adjusted: 2000=100 2007 020 7533 5725 0845 601 3034
Statistician Denise Blackmore 01633 812394 E-mail [email protected] Internet www.statistics.gov.uk
Percentage changes: Latest three months on-
First Release: Motor vehicle production July 2007
(ons)
page 2
Number of vehicles produced Total car production
Home car production
Export car production
Commercial vehicle production
Total car production not seasonally adjusted
Thousands
Thousands: not seasonally adjusted
165 155
2007
145
Feb
115.6
30.7
85.0
17.5
Mar
138.0
37.9
100.2
20.3
Apr
120.4
25.9
94.5
16.5
115
May
127.4
25.1
102.3
16.9
105
Jun
137.5
28.7
108.8
19.1
95
Jul
129.7
31.5
98.2
14.0
85
135 125
75 65 J
S
2006
Percentage changes: Latest three months onsame three months a year ago
1.3
-3.4
2.7
5.4
Compared with the same period a year ago, total car production not seasonally adjusted for the three months to July 2007 increased by 1.3 per cent. Production allocated for the home market decreased by 3.4 per cent and export production increased by 2.7 per cent. Total commercial vehicle production, not seasonally adjusted, for the three months to July 2007 increased by 5.4 per cent compared with the same period a year ago. Production allocated for the home market increased by 20.9 per cent while export production decreased by 2.6 per cent. Revisions (Table R1) For this release Table R1 highlights revisions to estimates previously published in last month’s First Release. The revisions shown in Table R1 of this release are due to seasonal factors, which are re-estimated every month.
N
J
M
M
J
2007
First Release: Motor vehicle production July 2007
BACKGROUND NOTES
page 3
(ons)
1. The figures shown represent the output of United Kingdom based manufacturers classified to Class 34.10 (motor vehicles) of the Standard Industrial Classification (2003). They are derived from the motor vehicle production inquiry (MVPI). 2. Percentages are calculated using unrounded values. 3. Figures for production in this First Release are provided in both unadjusted and seasonally adjusted forms. Seasonal adjustment aids interpretation by removing annually recurring fluctuations, for example, due to holidays or other regular seasonal patterns. 4. These figures include vehicles produced in the form of kits for assembly. The value of the kit must be 50 per cent or more of the value of a corresponding complete vehicle. Changes to the Release 5. The motor vehicle production inquiry will cease in accordance with the ONS Statistical Work Programme 2007/08 published in March. This is the last release of summary data from this survey. The associated Business Monitor will be published on 31 August. The monthly production inquiry (MPI) has been expanded to maintain key information on the motor vehicle industry for the Index of Production. Non-seasonally adjusted and seasonally adjusted indices are available within the Index of Production time series for SIC 34100 http://www.statistics.gov.uk/statbase/tsdtables1.asp?vlnk=diop 6. A Press Release on motor vehicle production is also issued by the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders Limited (SMMT). Data on the production of passenger cars and commercial vehicles in the UK will continue to be made readily available each month, courtesy of the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders Limited (SMMT). SMMT's Automotive Data Services and Motor Vehicle Registration Information System are major sources of data on the motor industry. SMMT supplies a range of reports and publications relating to the automotive industry. For further details, please contact [email protected] or telephone +44 (0) 20 7235 7000
First Release: Motor vehicle production July 2007
page 4
(ons)
Status of figures and planned future revisions 7. Figures for the latest two months are regularly revised in the light of revisions to seasonal adjustment factors which are re-estimated every month. Revisions 8. Revisions to estimation provide one indication of the reliability of key indicators. The table below shows summary information on the size and direction of the revisions which have been made to the data covering three and four year periods. A statistical test has been applied to the average revision to find out if it is statistically significantly different from zero. An asterisk (*) shows that the test is significant. `
Value in latest period
Revisions between first publication and estimates twelve months later
Average
Average over the last 5
over the
years
last 5 years
without regard to sign (average absolute revision)
Total passenger cars (seasonally adjusted index)
5.4
-0.09
1.16
2.2
-0.15
3.28
1.3
-0.06
0.24
5.4
-0.46
0.65
3 months on previous 3 months Total commercial vehicles (seasonally adjusted index) 3 months on previous 3 months Total passenger cars (unadjusted volume) 3 months on same 3 months a year ago Total commercial vehicles (unadjusted volume) 3 months on same 3 months a year ago
The table covers estimates of Motor Vehicle production first published from March 2000 to June 2006 for not seasonally adjusted values and from June 2001 to June 2006 for seasonally adjusted indices. This is due to the temporary withdrawal of seasonal adjustment following the change to biannual updating of vehicle registration identifiers in 1999. Spreadsheets giving revisions triangles (real time database) of estimates from March 2000 to date and from June 2001 to date and the calculations behind the averages in the table are available on the National Statistics website at http://www.statistics.gov.uk/statbase/Product.asp?vlnk=627
First Release: Motor vehicle production July 2007
page 5
(ons)
9. Users can download time series, cross sectional data and metadata from across the Government Statistical Service (GSS) using the site search and index functions from the homepage. Many datasets can be downloaded in whole or in part, and directory information for all GSS statistical resources can be consulted including censuses, surveys, periodicals and enquiry services. Information is posted as PDF electronic documents or in XLS and CSV formats compatible with most spreadsheet packages. The time series data facility on the web-site provides access to around 40,000 time series, of primarily macro-economic data, drawn from the main tables in a range of our major economic and labour market publications. Complete runs of the series in this release are available to download free of charge at http://www.statistics.gov.uk/timeseries. Alternatively, for low-cost tailored data call Online Services on 020 7533 5675 or email [email protected]. 10. Details of the policy governing the release of new data are available from the Press Office. Also available is a list of the names of those given pre-publication access to the contents of this release. 11. National Statistics are produced to high professional standards set out in the National Statistics Code of Practice. They undergo regular quality assurance reviews to ensure that they meet customer needs. They are produced free from any political interference. © Crown Copyright 2007
1
CAR AND COMMERCIAL VEHICLE PRODUCTION1 Number Total Production 2 Total 2007 Jul
Export 2007 Jul
Total to 2007 Jul
Export to 2007 Jul
– 61 021 52 489 16 178
– 47 046 38 221 12 964
– 393 959 365 808 133 128
– 300 536 275 994 107 343
129 688
98 231
892 895
683 873
997
802
8 125
6 844
99 11 384
36 7 287
750 104 584
459 64 169
– 327 22 238 126 269
– 42 16 205 74 104
– 2 220 212 1 556 813 1 862
– 513 174 1 286 502 797
3-axle rigids
135
6
1 149
96
4-axle rigids
126
6
737
127
2 3 16 123
1 – – 9
16 30 44 1 048
6 7 2 169
–
–
757
133
83 35
– 13
603 159
3 49
13 985
8 601
123 908
75 203
Passenger cars (including station wagons, estate cars and taxi-cabs): 1,000 cc and under Over 1,000, not over 1,600 cc Over 1,600, not over 2,500 cc Over 2,500 cc Total Passenger cars Light commercial vehicles Mini buses Light 4x4 vehicles Other light vans Trucks: 2-axle rigids, gross vehicle weight: 6 tonnes and under Over 6 tonnes, not over 7.5 tonnes Over 7.5 tonnes, not over 10 tonnes Over 10 tonnes, not over 13 tonnes Over 13 tonnes, not over 16.26 tonnes Over 16.26 tonnes
Motive units for articulated vehicles: Gross train weight: 29 tonnes and under Over 29 tonnes, not over 38 tonnes Over 38 tonnes, not over 42 tonnes Over 42 tonnes of which three or more axled units included above Buses (other than mini buses): Single deck Double deck Total Commercial Vehicles 1 Provisional 2 Does not include vehicles assembled from imported kits - Nil
Source: National Statistics
2
PASSENGER CARS1 Number Total Production
Production for Export
Total
1,000 cc and under
Over 1,000 cc not over 1,600 cc
Over 1,600 cc not over 2,500 cc
Over 2,500 cc
Total
1,000 cc and under
Over 1,000 cc not over 1,600 cc
Over 1,600 cc not over 2,500 cc
Over 2,500 cc
JCYM 1 629 744 1 657 558 1 646 750 1 595 697 1 442 085
GKAB 79 545 23 985 15 471 6 111 –
GKAD 711 553 750 840 796 174 854 687 792 187
GKAF 720 067 740 486 690 759 546 744 446 143
GKAH 118 579 142 247 144 346 188 155 203 755
JCYL 1 047 284 1 143 759 1 179 756 1 184 503 1 106 093
GKAC 35 866 12 380 10 316 4 925 –
GKAE 442 975 503 950 560 505 625 929 622 205
GKAG 470 285 509 050 492 564 405 204 324 880
GKAI 98 158 118 379 116 371 148 445 159 008
2004 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
83 239 155 312 135 105 149 280 109 657
477 1 581 964 1 136 701
40 674 76 898 64 566 71 066 51 934
34 720 62 311 59 261 63 214 45 700
7 368 14 522 10 314 13 864 11 322
56 664 107 597 107 162 114 409 82 814
423 584 422 995 655
26 706 50 308 50 138 52 512 39 858
23 829 44 544 48 206 50 425 34 675
5 706 12 161 8 396 10 477 7 626
2005 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
136 033 143 470 153 293 139 787 131 958 144 252
1 405 1 354 1 826 1 526 – –
65 910 69 441 74 562 71 644 72 784 81 426
54 851 57 645 60 187 53 101 43 677 46 221
13 867 15 030 16 718 13 516 15 497 16 605
89 180 98 325 109 911 105 056 99 146 111 691
1 109 1 009 1 419 1 388 – –
40 340 45 892 53 793 52 853 54 936 62 003
36 997 39 832 41 732 39 873 32 245 35 888
10 734 11 592 12 967 10 942 11 965 13 800
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
130 220 97 076 149 880 124 783 149 662 95 283
– – – – – –
80 378 54 333 82 866 66 379 82 428 52 536
38 932 29 804 46 431 42 397 43 406 30 092
10 910 12 939 20 583 16 007 23 828 12 655
93 833 71 760 108 914 99 424 119 387 77 876
– – – – – –
56 239 40 218 59 618 51 316 64 942 43 779
29 325 22 074 32 786 34 742 34 971 24 739
8 269 9 468 16 510 13 366 19 474 9 358
2006 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
119 122 131 193 158 988 118 572 132 316 139 326
– – – – – –
62 453 74 048 88 834 65 103 74 864 78 055
40 296 38 871 46 000 37 156 39 886 42 280
16 373 18 274 24 154 16 313 17 566 18 991
86 467 95 211 119 722 95 173 105 440 106 823
– – – – – –
45 143 53 830 67 774 52 814 60 704 61 508
28 836 27 236 32 449 28 855 30 835 30 749
12 488 14 145 19 499 13 504 13 901 14 566
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
117 829 72 959 122 312 116 143 128 563 84 762
– – – – – –
66 528 35 223 67 981 66 536 68 181 44 381
37 241 23 067 37 354 35 526 38 726 29 740
14 060 14 669 16 977 14 081 21 656 10 641
88 910 52 106 92 287 95 772 102 265 65 917
– – – – – –
51 223 25 963 53 839 56 995 56 623 35 789
26 995 15 333 25 365 27 157 28 557 22 513
10 692 10 810 13 083 11 620 17 085 7 615
2007 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
124 197 115 649 138 009 120 440 127 383 137 529
– – – – – –
58 476 50 765 60 556 51 685 52 566 58 890
44 747 45 021 57 299 52 171 55 754 58 327
20 974 19 863 20 154 16 584 19 063 20 312
94 884 84 961 100 153 94 547 102 281 108 816
– – – – – –
45 690 35 745 43 991 39 791 42 253 46 020
32 511 34 582 39 465 41 062 44 341 45 812
16 683 14 634 16 697 13 694 15 687 16 984
129 688
–
61 021
52 489
16 178
98 231
–
47 046
38 221
12 964
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Jul
Percentage change, average of latest 3 months on: i. previous 3 months
5.5
..
5.8
7.8
–1.9
10.6
..
13.2
11.5
1.4
ii. same 3 months a year ago
1.3
..
–21.4
39.5
9.8
2.7
..
–22.0
44.9
16.5
1 Provisional - Nil † Indicates the earliest period in the series that has been revised (if absent there are no revisions this month)
Source: National Statistics
3
COMMERCIAL VEHICLES1 Number
Total
Total Production
Production for Export
Gross Vehicle Weight Trucks
Gross Vehicle Weight Trucks
Light Commer cial Vehicles
Under 7.5 tonnes
JCYG 191 267 188 871 209 293 206 753 207 704
GKDH 168 311 166 359 178 887 171 866 175 713
GKDJ 4 600 4 151 4 977 5 533 4 418
2004 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
10 207 21 722 18 646 20 102 14 857
8 023 18 776 15 813 17 254 12 544
543 506 445 573 340
569 831 737 748 711
2005 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
17 740 18 012 19 625 18 913 17 547 18 251
14 996 15 208 16 595 15 852 14 596 15 274
442 399 571 420 464 455
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
14 247 10 802 19 659 18 419 19 980 13 558
11 816 8 382 16 331 15 119 16 526 11 171
2006 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
18 160 18 214 21 319 16 289 15 095 17 044
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2007 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Jul
Motive Units
Buses, coaches and minibuses
Total
Light Commer cial Vehicles
Under 7.5 tonnes
GKDL GKCV 7 357 1 795 7 779 2 095 8 537 2 558 9 756 2 755 11 447 2 230
GKDN 9 204 8 487 14 334 16 843 13 896
JCYF 114 234 102 917 128 107 130 273 136 219
GKDI 104 902 94 887 113 076 112 647 118 632
GKDK 1 157 806 659 763 844
261 267 319 323 186
811 1 342 1 332 1 204 1 076
5 668 13 338 12 154 12 273 9 701
4 883 11 888 10 617 10 983 8 435
39 44 63 50 59
226 398 335 297 292
19 10 12 14 12
501 998 1 127 929 903
814 927 833 929 775 795
190 206 231 260 247 279
1 298 1 272 1 395 1 452 1 465 1 448
10 683 10 733 12 564 11 408 10 735 9 998
9 303 9 388 11 056 9 862 9 221 8 522
57 52 56 74 39 41
315 329 366 418 354 334
17 34 17 24 13 10
991 930 1 069 1 030 1 108 1 091
379 412 538 581 533 339
563 585 898 895 1 001 741
249 272 280 214 192 135
1 240 1 151 1 612 1 610 1 728 1 172
8 493 6 816 12 362 12 373 13 807 10 301
7 225 5 643 10 765 10 701 12 051 8 910
67 36 75 95 101 70
280 295 433 403 418 313
17 8 5 15 12 18
904 834 1 084 1 159 1 225 990
15 456 15 521 18 323 13 443 12 751 14 129
570 472 464 457 404 362
987 1 033 1 146 875 978 1 096
169 142 207 167 169 175
978 1 046 1 179 1 347 793 1 282
11 805 12 136 13 782 11 803 10 308 10 617
10 645 10 843 12 270 10 091 9 102 8 923
72 62 99 98 43 52
346 411 489 368 465 527
22 13 20 24 10 15
720 807 904 1 222 688 1 100
15 318 8 748 21 431 19 869 21 258 14 959
13 287 6 804 18 614 16 526 17 953 12 906
227 391 477 207 249 138
840 944 950 871 967 760
98 183 301 308 220 91
866 426 1 089 1 957 1 869 1 064
10 425 4 363 12 737 13 557 14 873 9 813
9 283 3 454 11 564 11 308 12 665 8 484
33 107 67 69 87 55
436 521 457 515 560 428
8 8 4 14 28 13
665 273 645 1 651 1 533 833
19 594 17 491 20 290 16 523 16 927 19 098
16 611 14 841 17 273 14 405 14 664 16 057
343 320 264 275 288 403
931 802 1 020 907 870 883
165 193 199 126 114 197
1 544 1 335 1 534 810 991 1 558
11 419 10 037 12 346 10 864 10 541 11 395
9 575 8 449 10 476 9 802 9 290 9 713
65 111 85 66 85 59
384 365 532 419 462 409
47 31 41 17 21 17
1 348 1 081 1 212 560 683 1 197
13 985
11 483
327
916
144
1 115
8 601
7 323
42
411
10
815
Over 7.5 tonnes
Motive Units
Buses, coaches and minibuses
GKDM GKCW 3 474 70 3 494 130 3 626 164 4 258 190 5 523 179
GKDO 4 631 3 709 10 582 12 415 11 041
Over 7.5 tonnes
Percentage change, average of latest 3 months on i. previous 3 months ii. same 3 months a year ago
–7.9
–9.3
18.5
–2.2
–12.2
–0.4
–8.2
–8.4
–29.0
–2.6
–46.1
–5.5
5.4
5.1
2.5
–8.4
2.9
24.6
–2.6
–3.6
45.3
–10.2
45.5
9.9
1 Provisional †
Indicates the earliest period in the series that has been revised (if absent there are no revisions this month)
Source: National Statistics
4
CAR AND COMMERCIAL VEHICLE PRODUCTION SEASONALLY ADJUSTED1 Thousands PASSENGER CARS
COMMERCIAL VEHICLES
TOTAL
For Home Market
For Export
TOTAL
For Home Market
For Export
1 629.7 1 657.6 1 646.8 1 595.7 1 442.5
582.5 513.8 467.0 411.2 335.5
1 047.3 1 143.8 1 179.8 1 184.5 1 107.0
191.3 188.9 209.3 206.8 207.5
77.0 86.0 81.2 76.5 71.6
114.2 102.9 128.1 130.3 135.9
2004 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
131.7 135.5 135.6 139.3 135.2
36.6 37.7 33.4 39.8 39.3
95.0 97.8 102.2 99.5 95.9
18.2 18.6 18.0 17.2 17.0
8.0 6.8 6.7 6.8 6.5
10.2 11.7 11.3 10.3 10.5
2005 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
140.4 136.8 137.1 137.9 128.8 124.6
42.4 37.4 34.9 41.3 34.8 27.9
98.1 99.4 102.2 96.6 94.0 96.7
17.1 17.1 17.9 18.6 18.1 15.7
6.2 6.4 6.0 8.9 7.5 6.8
10.9 10.6 12.0 9.7 10.6 8.9
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
131.1 142.8 132.7 126.8 131.2 125.5
34.6 32.4 34.5 31.2 31.4 28.3
96.6 110.4 98.2 95.6 99.7 97.2
17.3 17.9 17.3 16.7 17.1 16.0
6.7 6.6 6.1 6.1 5.1 4.3
10.6 11.3 11.2 10.6 12.0 11.8
2006 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
120.1 125.0 127.9 127.8 123.2 123.8
28.5 29.3 31.1 28.0 26.9 28.8
91.6 95.7 96.8 99.9 96.3 95.0
17.3 17.2 17.6 17.5 14.9 16.3
5.4 5.4 6.5 5.2 5.3 5.7
11.9 11.8 11.1 12.3 9.7 10.6
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
121.1 112.4 114.0 118.3 113.6 115.2
27.7 26.7 26.1 25.6 26.6 30.1
93.4 85.7 87.9 92.7 87.0 85.1
17.7 14.9 19.5 18.2 17.7 18.6
5.9 6.6 7.3 6.2 5.3 6.8
11.8 8.3 12.2 12.0 12.4 11.9
116.7 113.4 119.0 123.8 121.0† 124.8
24.5 25.7 31.6 28.8 25.7† 26.5
92.2 87.7 87.4 95.0 95.3† 98.3
17.8 16.9 17.5 17.0 17.1† 19.0
6.8 6.7 6.8 6.7 6.8 7.1†
11.0 10.2 10.7 10.3 10.3† 11.9
129.7
28.8
100.9
16.4
6.4
10.0
i. previous 3 months
5.4
–5.9
9.0
2.2
0.5
3.3
ii. same 3 months a year ago
3.2
–3.7
5.3
9.9
23.0
2.9
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
2007 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Percentage change, average of latest 3 months on:
1 Provisional
† Indicates the earliest period in the series that has been revised (if absent there are no revisions this month)
Source: National Statistics
July 2007 Car Production Totals (129,688) Distribution by Engine Capacity
Over 2500cc 12%
1000-1600cc 48%
1600-2500cc 40%
1000-1600cc 1600-2500cc Over 2500cc
July 2007 Car Production Export (98,231) Distribution by Engine Capacity
Over 2500cc 13%
1000-1600cc 48%
1600-2500cc 39%
1000-1600cc 1600-2500cc Over 2500cc
July 2007 Car Production Home (31,457) Distribution by Engine Capacity
Over 2500cc 10%
1000-1600cc 44%
1600-2500cc 46%
1000-1600cc 1600-2500cc Over 2500cc
Please Note:
The motor vehicle production inquiry has ceased in accordance with the ONS Statistical Work Programme 2007/08 published in March. This is the last publication from this survey. Please see background notes for more detail.
ã Crown Copyright 2007 Published with the permission of the Controller of Her Majesty’s Stationery Office (HMSO). ISSN 1463-2535 Applications for reproduction should be submitted to HMSO under HMSO's Class Licence: www.clickanduse.hmso.gov.uk Alternatively applications can be made in writing to: HMSO Licensing Division St Clement's House 2–16 Colegate Norwich NR3 1BQ Contact points For enquiries about this publication, contact Denise Blackmore Tel: 01633 812394 E-mail: [email protected] For general enquires, contact the National Statistics Customer Enquiry Centre on 0845 601 3034 (minicom: 01633 812399) E-mail: [email protected] Fax: 01633 652747 Letters: Zone DG/18, 1 Drummond Gate, London SW1V 2QQ You can also find National Statistics on the Internet – go to www.statistics.gov.uk About the Office for National Statistics The Office for National Statistics (ONS) is the government Agency responsible for compiling, analysing and disseminating many of the United Kingdom's economic, social and demo-graphic statistics, including the retail prices index, trade figures and labour market data, as well as the periodic census of the population and health statistics. The Director of ONS is also the National Statistician and the Registrar General for England and Wales, and the agency administers the statutory registration of births, marriages and deaths there.
A National Statistics publication National Statistics are produced to high professional standards set out in the National Statistics Code of Practice. They undergo regular quality assurance reviews to ensure that they meet customer needs. They are produced free from any political interference.
23 August 2007 Coverage United Kingdom Theme Commerce, Energy and Industry
The motor vehicle production inquiry will cease in accordance with the ONS Statistical Work Programme 2007/08 published in March. This is the last release of summary data from this survey. The associated Business Monitor will be published on 31 August.
Motor vehicle production July 2007 In the three months to July 2007, total car production, seasonally adjusted, increased by 5.4 per cent compared with the previous three months. Production for the home market decreased by 5.9 per cent while production allocated for the export market increased by 9.0 per cent. Compared with the same three months a year ago, total car production, seasonally adjusted, increased by 3.2 per cent. Production allocated for the home market decreased by 3.7 per cent and production for the export market increased by 5.3 per cent.
T otal car produ ction season ally adjusted
2000=100
100 95 90 85 80 75 J
S
N
J
2006
M
M
J
2007
Total commercial vehicle production, seasonally adjusted, for the three months ending July 2007 increased by 2.2 per cent compared with the previous three months and rose by 9.9 per cent compared with the same period a year ago. Index numbers
Issued by National Statistics 1 Drummond Gate London SW1V 2QQ Telephone Press Office Public Enquiries
Total car production
Home car production
Export car production
Commercial vehicle production
Feb
82.9
53.3
99.0
117.8
Mar
87.0
65.6
98.7
121.7
Apr
90.5
59.7
107.2
118.3
May
88.5
53.4
107.6
119.1
Jun
91.2
54.9
110.9
132.2
Jul
94.8
59.7
113.9
114.4
previous three months
5.4
-5.9
9.0
2.2
same three months a year ago
3.2
-3.7
5.3
9.9
Seasonally adjusted: 2000=100 2007 020 7533 5725 0845 601 3034
Statistician Denise Blackmore 01633 812394 E-mail [email protected] Internet www.statistics.gov.uk
Percentage changes: Latest three months on-
First Release: Motor vehicle production July 2007
(ons)
page 2
Number of vehicles produced Total car production
Home car production
Export car production
Commercial vehicle production
Total car production not seasonally adjusted
Thousands
Thousands: not seasonally adjusted
165 155
2007
145
Feb
115.6
30.7
85.0
17.5
Mar
138.0
37.9
100.2
20.3
Apr
120.4
25.9
94.5
16.5
115
May
127.4
25.1
102.3
16.9
105
Jun
137.5
28.7
108.8
19.1
95
Jul
129.7
31.5
98.2
14.0
85
135 125
75 65 J
S
2006
Percentage changes: Latest three months onsame three months a year ago
1.3
-3.4
2.7
5.4
Compared with the same period a year ago, total car production not seasonally adjusted for the three months to July 2007 increased by 1.3 per cent. Production allocated for the home market decreased by 3.4 per cent and export production increased by 2.7 per cent. Total commercial vehicle production, not seasonally adjusted, for the three months to July 2007 increased by 5.4 per cent compared with the same period a year ago. Production allocated for the home market increased by 20.9 per cent while export production decreased by 2.6 per cent. Revisions (Table R1) For this release Table R1 highlights revisions to estimates previously published in last month’s First Release. The revisions shown in Table R1 of this release are due to seasonal factors, which are re-estimated every month.
N
J
M
M
J
2007
First Release: Motor vehicle production July 2007
BACKGROUND NOTES
page 3
(ons)
1. The figures shown represent the output of United Kingdom based manufacturers classified to Class 34.10 (motor vehicles) of the Standard Industrial Classification (2003). They are derived from the motor vehicle production inquiry (MVPI). 2. Percentages are calculated using unrounded values. 3. Figures for production in this First Release are provided in both unadjusted and seasonally adjusted forms. Seasonal adjustment aids interpretation by removing annually recurring fluctuations, for example, due to holidays or other regular seasonal patterns. 4. These figures include vehicles produced in the form of kits for assembly. The value of the kit must be 50 per cent or more of the value of a corresponding complete vehicle. Changes to the Release 5. The motor vehicle production inquiry will cease in accordance with the ONS Statistical Work Programme 2007/08 published in March. This is the last release of summary data from this survey. The associated Business Monitor will be published on 31 August. The monthly production inquiry (MPI) has been expanded to maintain key information on the motor vehicle industry for the Index of Production. Non-seasonally adjusted and seasonally adjusted indices are available within the Index of Production time series for SIC 34100 http://www.statistics.gov.uk/statbase/tsdtables1.asp?vlnk=diop 6. A Press Release on motor vehicle production is also issued by the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders Limited (SMMT). Data on the production of passenger cars and commercial vehicles in the UK will continue to be made readily available each month, courtesy of the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders Limited (SMMT). SMMT's Automotive Data Services and Motor Vehicle Registration Information System are major sources of data on the motor industry. SMMT supplies a range of reports and publications relating to the automotive industry. For further details, please contact [email protected] or telephone +44 (0) 20 7235 7000
First Release: Motor vehicle production July 2007
page 4
(ons)
Status of figures and planned future revisions 7. Figures for the latest two months are regularly revised in the light of revisions to seasonal adjustment factors which are re-estimated every month. Revisions 8. Revisions to estimation provide one indication of the reliability of key indicators. The table below shows summary information on the size and direction of the revisions which have been made to the data covering three and four year periods. A statistical test has been applied to the average revision to find out if it is statistically significantly different from zero. An asterisk (*) shows that the test is significant. `
Value in latest period
Revisions between first publication and estimates twelve months later
Average
Average over the last 5
over the
years
last 5 years
without regard to sign (average absolute revision)
Total passenger cars (seasonally adjusted index)
5.4
-0.09
1.16
2.2
-0.15
3.28
1.3
-0.06
0.24
5.4
-0.46
0.65
3 months on previous 3 months Total commercial vehicles (seasonally adjusted index) 3 months on previous 3 months Total passenger cars (unadjusted volume) 3 months on same 3 months a year ago Total commercial vehicles (unadjusted volume) 3 months on same 3 months a year ago
The table covers estimates of Motor Vehicle production first published from March 2000 to June 2006 for not seasonally adjusted values and from June 2001 to June 2006 for seasonally adjusted indices. This is due to the temporary withdrawal of seasonal adjustment following the change to biannual updating of vehicle registration identifiers in 1999. Spreadsheets giving revisions triangles (real time database) of estimates from March 2000 to date and from June 2001 to date and the calculations behind the averages in the table are available on the National Statistics website at http://www.statistics.gov.uk/statbase/Product.asp?vlnk=627
First Release: Motor vehicle production July 2007
page 5
(ons)
9. Users can download time series, cross sectional data and metadata from across the Government Statistical Service (GSS) using the site search and index functions from the homepage. Many datasets can be downloaded in whole or in part, and directory information for all GSS statistical resources can be consulted including censuses, surveys, periodicals and enquiry services. Information is posted as PDF electronic documents or in XLS and CSV formats compatible with most spreadsheet packages. The time series data facility on the web-site provides access to around 40,000 time series, of primarily macro-economic data, drawn from the main tables in a range of our major economic and labour market publications. Complete runs of the series in this release are available to download free of charge at http://www.statistics.gov.uk/timeseries. Alternatively, for low-cost tailored data call Online Services on 020 7533 5675 or email [email protected]. 10. Details of the policy governing the release of new data are available from the Press Office. Also available is a list of the names of those given pre-publication access to the contents of this release. 11. National Statistics are produced to high professional standards set out in the National Statistics Code of Practice. They undergo regular quality assurance reviews to ensure that they meet customer needs. They are produced free from any political interference. © Crown Copyright 2007
1
CAR AND COMMERCIAL VEHICLE PRODUCTION1 Number Total Production 2 Total 2007 Jul
Export 2007 Jul
Total to 2007 Jul
Export to 2007 Jul
– 61 021 52 489 16 178
– 47 046 38 221 12 964
– 393 959 365 808 133 128
– 300 536 275 994 107 343
129 688
98 231
892 895
683 873
997
802
8 125
6 844
99 11 384
36 7 287
750 104 584
459 64 169
– 327 22 238 126 269
– 42 16 205 74 104
– 2 220 212 1 556 813 1 862
– 513 174 1 286 502 797
3-axle rigids
135
6
1 149
96
4-axle rigids
126
6
737
127
2 3 16 123
1 – – 9
16 30 44 1 048
6 7 2 169
–
–
757
133
83 35
– 13
603 159
3 49
13 985
8 601
123 908
75 203
Passenger cars (including station wagons, estate cars and taxi-cabs): 1,000 cc and under Over 1,000, not over 1,600 cc Over 1,600, not over 2,500 cc Over 2,500 cc Total Passenger cars Light commercial vehicles Mini buses Light 4x4 vehicles Other light vans Trucks: 2-axle rigids, gross vehicle weight: 6 tonnes and under Over 6 tonnes, not over 7.5 tonnes Over 7.5 tonnes, not over 10 tonnes Over 10 tonnes, not over 13 tonnes Over 13 tonnes, not over 16.26 tonnes Over 16.26 tonnes
Motive units for articulated vehicles: Gross train weight: 29 tonnes and under Over 29 tonnes, not over 38 tonnes Over 38 tonnes, not over 42 tonnes Over 42 tonnes of which three or more axled units included above Buses (other than mini buses): Single deck Double deck Total Commercial Vehicles 1 Provisional 2 Does not include vehicles assembled from imported kits - Nil
Source: National Statistics
2
PASSENGER CARS1 Number Total Production
Production for Export
Total
1,000 cc and under
Over 1,000 cc not over 1,600 cc
Over 1,600 cc not over 2,500 cc
Over 2,500 cc
Total
1,000 cc and under
Over 1,000 cc not over 1,600 cc
Over 1,600 cc not over 2,500 cc
Over 2,500 cc
JCYM 1 629 744 1 657 558 1 646 750 1 595 697 1 442 085
GKAB 79 545 23 985 15 471 6 111 –
GKAD 711 553 750 840 796 174 854 687 792 187
GKAF 720 067 740 486 690 759 546 744 446 143
GKAH 118 579 142 247 144 346 188 155 203 755
JCYL 1 047 284 1 143 759 1 179 756 1 184 503 1 106 093
GKAC 35 866 12 380 10 316 4 925 –
GKAE 442 975 503 950 560 505 625 929 622 205
GKAG 470 285 509 050 492 564 405 204 324 880
GKAI 98 158 118 379 116 371 148 445 159 008
2004 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
83 239 155 312 135 105 149 280 109 657
477 1 581 964 1 136 701
40 674 76 898 64 566 71 066 51 934
34 720 62 311 59 261 63 214 45 700
7 368 14 522 10 314 13 864 11 322
56 664 107 597 107 162 114 409 82 814
423 584 422 995 655
26 706 50 308 50 138 52 512 39 858
23 829 44 544 48 206 50 425 34 675
5 706 12 161 8 396 10 477 7 626
2005 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
136 033 143 470 153 293 139 787 131 958 144 252
1 405 1 354 1 826 1 526 – –
65 910 69 441 74 562 71 644 72 784 81 426
54 851 57 645 60 187 53 101 43 677 46 221
13 867 15 030 16 718 13 516 15 497 16 605
89 180 98 325 109 911 105 056 99 146 111 691
1 109 1 009 1 419 1 388 – –
40 340 45 892 53 793 52 853 54 936 62 003
36 997 39 832 41 732 39 873 32 245 35 888
10 734 11 592 12 967 10 942 11 965 13 800
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
130 220 97 076 149 880 124 783 149 662 95 283
– – – – – –
80 378 54 333 82 866 66 379 82 428 52 536
38 932 29 804 46 431 42 397 43 406 30 092
10 910 12 939 20 583 16 007 23 828 12 655
93 833 71 760 108 914 99 424 119 387 77 876
– – – – – –
56 239 40 218 59 618 51 316 64 942 43 779
29 325 22 074 32 786 34 742 34 971 24 739
8 269 9 468 16 510 13 366 19 474 9 358
2006 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
119 122 131 193 158 988 118 572 132 316 139 326
– – – – – –
62 453 74 048 88 834 65 103 74 864 78 055
40 296 38 871 46 000 37 156 39 886 42 280
16 373 18 274 24 154 16 313 17 566 18 991
86 467 95 211 119 722 95 173 105 440 106 823
– – – – – –
45 143 53 830 67 774 52 814 60 704 61 508
28 836 27 236 32 449 28 855 30 835 30 749
12 488 14 145 19 499 13 504 13 901 14 566
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
117 829 72 959 122 312 116 143 128 563 84 762
– – – – – –
66 528 35 223 67 981 66 536 68 181 44 381
37 241 23 067 37 354 35 526 38 726 29 740
14 060 14 669 16 977 14 081 21 656 10 641
88 910 52 106 92 287 95 772 102 265 65 917
– – – – – –
51 223 25 963 53 839 56 995 56 623 35 789
26 995 15 333 25 365 27 157 28 557 22 513
10 692 10 810 13 083 11 620 17 085 7 615
2007 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
124 197 115 649 138 009 120 440 127 383 137 529
– – – – – –
58 476 50 765 60 556 51 685 52 566 58 890
44 747 45 021 57 299 52 171 55 754 58 327
20 974 19 863 20 154 16 584 19 063 20 312
94 884 84 961 100 153 94 547 102 281 108 816
– – – – – –
45 690 35 745 43 991 39 791 42 253 46 020
32 511 34 582 39 465 41 062 44 341 45 812
16 683 14 634 16 697 13 694 15 687 16 984
129 688
–
61 021
52 489
16 178
98 231
–
47 046
38 221
12 964
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Jul
Percentage change, average of latest 3 months on: i. previous 3 months
5.5
..
5.8
7.8
–1.9
10.6
..
13.2
11.5
1.4
ii. same 3 months a year ago
1.3
..
–21.4
39.5
9.8
2.7
..
–22.0
44.9
16.5
1 Provisional - Nil † Indicates the earliest period in the series that has been revised (if absent there are no revisions this month)
Source: National Statistics
3
COMMERCIAL VEHICLES1 Number
Total
Total Production
Production for Export
Gross Vehicle Weight Trucks
Gross Vehicle Weight Trucks
Light Commer cial Vehicles
Under 7.5 tonnes
JCYG 191 267 188 871 209 293 206 753 207 704
GKDH 168 311 166 359 178 887 171 866 175 713
GKDJ 4 600 4 151 4 977 5 533 4 418
2004 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
10 207 21 722 18 646 20 102 14 857
8 023 18 776 15 813 17 254 12 544
543 506 445 573 340
569 831 737 748 711
2005 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
17 740 18 012 19 625 18 913 17 547 18 251
14 996 15 208 16 595 15 852 14 596 15 274
442 399 571 420 464 455
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
14 247 10 802 19 659 18 419 19 980 13 558
11 816 8 382 16 331 15 119 16 526 11 171
2006 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
18 160 18 214 21 319 16 289 15 095 17 044
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2007 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Jul
Motive Units
Buses, coaches and minibuses
Total
Light Commer cial Vehicles
Under 7.5 tonnes
GKDL GKCV 7 357 1 795 7 779 2 095 8 537 2 558 9 756 2 755 11 447 2 230
GKDN 9 204 8 487 14 334 16 843 13 896
JCYF 114 234 102 917 128 107 130 273 136 219
GKDI 104 902 94 887 113 076 112 647 118 632
GKDK 1 157 806 659 763 844
261 267 319 323 186
811 1 342 1 332 1 204 1 076
5 668 13 338 12 154 12 273 9 701
4 883 11 888 10 617 10 983 8 435
39 44 63 50 59
226 398 335 297 292
19 10 12 14 12
501 998 1 127 929 903
814 927 833 929 775 795
190 206 231 260 247 279
1 298 1 272 1 395 1 452 1 465 1 448
10 683 10 733 12 564 11 408 10 735 9 998
9 303 9 388 11 056 9 862 9 221 8 522
57 52 56 74 39 41
315 329 366 418 354 334
17 34 17 24 13 10
991 930 1 069 1 030 1 108 1 091
379 412 538 581 533 339
563 585 898 895 1 001 741
249 272 280 214 192 135
1 240 1 151 1 612 1 610 1 728 1 172
8 493 6 816 12 362 12 373 13 807 10 301
7 225 5 643 10 765 10 701 12 051 8 910
67 36 75 95 101 70
280 295 433 403 418 313
17 8 5 15 12 18
904 834 1 084 1 159 1 225 990
15 456 15 521 18 323 13 443 12 751 14 129
570 472 464 457 404 362
987 1 033 1 146 875 978 1 096
169 142 207 167 169 175
978 1 046 1 179 1 347 793 1 282
11 805 12 136 13 782 11 803 10 308 10 617
10 645 10 843 12 270 10 091 9 102 8 923
72 62 99 98 43 52
346 411 489 368 465 527
22 13 20 24 10 15
720 807 904 1 222 688 1 100
15 318 8 748 21 431 19 869 21 258 14 959
13 287 6 804 18 614 16 526 17 953 12 906
227 391 477 207 249 138
840 944 950 871 967 760
98 183 301 308 220 91
866 426 1 089 1 957 1 869 1 064
10 425 4 363 12 737 13 557 14 873 9 813
9 283 3 454 11 564 11 308 12 665 8 484
33 107 67 69 87 55
436 521 457 515 560 428
8 8 4 14 28 13
665 273 645 1 651 1 533 833
19 594 17 491 20 290 16 523 16 927 19 098
16 611 14 841 17 273 14 405 14 664 16 057
343 320 264 275 288 403
931 802 1 020 907 870 883
165 193 199 126 114 197
1 544 1 335 1 534 810 991 1 558
11 419 10 037 12 346 10 864 10 541 11 395
9 575 8 449 10 476 9 802 9 290 9 713
65 111 85 66 85 59
384 365 532 419 462 409
47 31 41 17 21 17
1 348 1 081 1 212 560 683 1 197
13 985
11 483
327
916
144
1 115
8 601
7 323
42
411
10
815
Over 7.5 tonnes
Motive Units
Buses, coaches and minibuses
GKDM GKCW 3 474 70 3 494 130 3 626 164 4 258 190 5 523 179
GKDO 4 631 3 709 10 582 12 415 11 041
Over 7.5 tonnes
Percentage change, average of latest 3 months on i. previous 3 months ii. same 3 months a year ago
–7.9
–9.3
18.5
–2.2
–12.2
–0.4
–8.2
–8.4
–29.0
–2.6
–46.1
–5.5
5.4
5.1
2.5
–8.4
2.9
24.6
–2.6
–3.6
45.3
–10.2
45.5
9.9
1 Provisional †
Indicates the earliest period in the series that has been revised (if absent there are no revisions this month)
Source: National Statistics
4
CAR AND COMMERCIAL VEHICLE PRODUCTION SEASONALLY ADJUSTED1 Thousands PASSENGER CARS
COMMERCIAL VEHICLES
TOTAL
For Home Market
For Export
TOTAL
For Home Market
For Export
1 629.7 1 657.6 1 646.8 1 595.7 1 442.5
582.5 513.8 467.0 411.2 335.5
1 047.3 1 143.8 1 179.8 1 184.5 1 107.0
191.3 188.9 209.3 206.8 207.5
77.0 86.0 81.2 76.5 71.6
114.2 102.9 128.1 130.3 135.9
2004 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
131.7 135.5 135.6 139.3 135.2
36.6 37.7 33.4 39.8 39.3
95.0 97.8 102.2 99.5 95.9
18.2 18.6 18.0 17.2 17.0
8.0 6.8 6.7 6.8 6.5
10.2 11.7 11.3 10.3 10.5
2005 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
140.4 136.8 137.1 137.9 128.8 124.6
42.4 37.4 34.9 41.3 34.8 27.9
98.1 99.4 102.2 96.6 94.0 96.7
17.1 17.1 17.9 18.6 18.1 15.7
6.2 6.4 6.0 8.9 7.5 6.8
10.9 10.6 12.0 9.7 10.6 8.9
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
131.1 142.8 132.7 126.8 131.2 125.5
34.6 32.4 34.5 31.2 31.4 28.3
96.6 110.4 98.2 95.6 99.7 97.2
17.3 17.9 17.3 16.7 17.1 16.0
6.7 6.6 6.1 6.1 5.1 4.3
10.6 11.3 11.2 10.6 12.0 11.8
2006 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
120.1 125.0 127.9 127.8 123.2 123.8
28.5 29.3 31.1 28.0 26.9 28.8
91.6 95.7 96.8 99.9 96.3 95.0
17.3 17.2 17.6 17.5 14.9 16.3
5.4 5.4 6.5 5.2 5.3 5.7
11.9 11.8 11.1 12.3 9.7 10.6
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
121.1 112.4 114.0 118.3 113.6 115.2
27.7 26.7 26.1 25.6 26.6 30.1
93.4 85.7 87.9 92.7 87.0 85.1
17.7 14.9 19.5 18.2 17.7 18.6
5.9 6.6 7.3 6.2 5.3 6.8
11.8 8.3 12.2 12.0 12.4 11.9
116.7 113.4 119.0 123.8 121.0† 124.8
24.5 25.7 31.6 28.8 25.7† 26.5
92.2 87.7 87.4 95.0 95.3† 98.3
17.8 16.9 17.5 17.0 17.1† 19.0
6.8 6.7 6.8 6.7 6.8 7.1†
11.0 10.2 10.7 10.3 10.3† 11.9
129.7
28.8
100.9
16.4
6.4
10.0
i. previous 3 months
5.4
–5.9
9.0
2.2
0.5
3.3
ii. same 3 months a year ago
3.2
–3.7
5.3
9.9
23.0
2.9
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
2007 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Percentage change, average of latest 3 months on:
1 Provisional
† Indicates the earliest period in the series that has been revised (if absent there are no revisions this month)
Source: National Statistics
July 2007 Car Production Totals (129,688) Distribution by Engine Capacity
Over 2500cc 12%
1000-1600cc 48%
1600-2500cc 40%
1000-1600cc 1600-2500cc Over 2500cc
July 2007 Car Production Export (98,231) Distribution by Engine Capacity
Over 2500cc 13%
1000-1600cc 48%
1600-2500cc 39%
1000-1600cc 1600-2500cc Over 2500cc
July 2007 Car Production Home (31,457) Distribution by Engine Capacity
Over 2500cc 10%
1000-1600cc 44%
1600-2500cc 46%
1000-1600cc 1600-2500cc Over 2500cc
