RR Aug '12 Toplines
RESURGENT REPUBLIC NATIONAL SURVEY OF LIKELY VOTERS FUNDAMENTALS OF THE 2012 ELECTION AUGUST 16-22, 2012 Hello, this is _____ with North Star Opinion Research, a national public opinion research company. We're talking with people in your area today about some issues facing the country. We are not trying to sell anything, your answers are completely confidential, and we would really appreciate your cooperation (DO NOT PAUSE). FOR CELL PHONE SAMPLE: CELL 1. Have I reached you on a cell phone? YES ................................................................................................... GO TO QUESTION CELL 2 NO .................................................................................................... THANK AND TERMINATE CELL 2. Are you in a place right now where you can safely take the survey? YES ............................................................................................................. GO TO QUESTION A NO .........................................................................................................SCHEDULE CALLBACK NOT WILLING TO TAKE SURVEY ............................................ THANK AND TERMINATE DON’T KNOW/REFUSED ............................................... SCHEDULE CALLBACK OR TERM A. Are you registered to vote in the county in which you live? YES ............................................................................................................. GO TO QUESTION C NO ............................................................................................................... GO TO QUESTION B B. Is there anyone else in your household who is registered to vote in your county? YES ........................................................... May I speak with that person please? GO TO INTRO NO ...............................................................................................................THANK AND CLOSE C. How likely would you say you are to vote in the elections for President and Congress this certain, very likely, somewhat likely, or not too likely? ALL REP IND ABSOLUTELY CERTAIN ............................................ 74% 76% 70% VERY LIKELY .............................................................. 21% 20% 21% SOMEWHAT LIKELY .................................................... 5% 4% 9%
year: absolutely DEM 77% 20% 3%
BAT 76% 19% 5%
DEM 65% 27% 8%
BAT 40% 54% 6%
Political Environment and Role of Government 1.
Would you say that America today is or is not moving forward? ALL IS MOVING FORWARD............................................... 39% IS NOT MOVING FORWARD ..................................... 54% DON'T KNOW ................................................................. 7%
REP 9% 86% 5%
IND 35% 58% 7%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. IND results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. DEM results are based on 378 respondents, MoE = ±5.04 percent. BAT results are based on 462 respondents in 12 battleground states – CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI – MoE = ±4.56 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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2. Which of the following types of issues are most likely to affect your vote for President and Congress this year (ROTATE: economic issues like jobs and unemployment; fiscal issues like taxes, spending, deficits, and debt; social issues like abortion and gay marriage; or national security issues like terrorism and Afghanistan)? ALL ECONOMIC ISSUES ..................................................... 53% FISCAL ISSUES............................................................. 23% SOCIAL ISSUES ............................................................ 12% NATIONAL SECURITY ISSUES ................................... 5% NONE/OTHER/DON'T KNOW....................................... 6%
REP 49% 31% 12% 4% 4%
IND 56% 23% 10% 6% 5%
DEM 56% 17% 14% 6% 7%
BAT 53% 20% 13% 6% 8%
I would like to read several aspects of life in America today. Compared to January 2009 when President Obama took office, would you say each one is better than it was, worse than it was, or about the same as it was then (RANDOMIZE): BETTER
WORSE
ABOUT THE SAME
DON'T KNOW
3.
America's economy
ALL REP IND DEM BAT
26% 3% 21% 49% 29%
51% 88% 56% 19% 48%
21% 9% 21% 31% 22%
1% 0% 2% 1% 1%
4.
The federal government's financial situation
ALL REP IND DEM BAT
14% 1% 8% 30% 16%
57% 90% 65% 26% 53%
26% 8% 24% 41% 26%
3% 1% 3% 4% 4%
5.
Your own financial situation
ALL REP IND DEM BAT
25% 12% 23% 38% 28%
30% 45% 34% 15% 28%
44% 42% 42% 45% 43%
1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
6.
The federal government's ability to solve problems
ALL REP IND DEM BAT
16%
54%
28%
2%
2% 8% 33% 17%
84% 59% 27% 52%
13% 31% 37% 29%
1% 2% 4% 2%
7.
America's standing in the world
ALL REP IND DEM BAT
26% 3% 21% 50% 28%
44% 77% 50% 14% 41%
28% 20% 27% 34% 28%
2% 0% 2% 3% 4%
8.
America's safety from terrorists
ALL REP IND DEM BAT
39% 10% 35% 67% 41%
20% 45% 16% 5% 23%
38% 43% 44% 26% 35%
3% 2% 4% 2% 2%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. IND results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. DEM results are based on 378 respondents, MoE = ±5.04 percent. BAT results are based on 462 respondents in 12 battleground states – CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI – MoE = ±4.56 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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9.
Would you say that our country currently is or is not in a recession? ALL IS IN RECESSION ......................................................... 68% IS NOT IN RECESSION ................................................ 26% DON'T KNOW ................................................................. 6%
REP 85% 11% 4%
IND 69% 26% 5%
DEM 54% 40% 7%
BAT 67% 27% 6%
10. Which of the following statements about fairness comes closer to your view: (ROTATE) a.
Fairness is making sure the wealthy pay their fair share by increasing their taxes, eliminating loopholes, and giving up special deductions.
b.
Fairness is making sure everyone pays their fair share, and no one gets bailouts, preferential treatment, or special favors from political cronies. ALL MAKE WEALTHY PAY FAIR SHARE ....................... 34% EVERYONE PAYS FAIR SHARE................................ 58% DON'T KNOW ................................................................. 8%
REP 24% 67% 9%
IND 32% 58% 9%
DEM 46% 49% 5%
BAT 36% 56% 9%
11. Which of the following statements about the role of government comes closer to your view: (ROTATE) a.
Government policies should promote fairness by narrowing the gap between rich and poor, making the rich pay their fair share, and reducing income inequality.
b.
Government policies should promote opportunity by fostering job growth, encouraging entrepreneurs, and allowing hardworking people to keep more of what they earn. ALL PROMOTE FAIRNESS ................................................... 36% PROMOTE OPPORTUNITY........................................... 58% DON'T KNOW ................................................................... 6%
REP 17% 77% 6%
IND 34% 61% 5%
DEM 52% 40% 7%
BAT 36% 58% 6%
12. On a scale of one to ten, with one being "not at all enthusiastic" and ten being "extremely enthusiastic," how enthusiastic are you about voting in the Presidential election this November? ALL ONE .................................................................................. 5% TWO.................................................................................. 1% THREE.............................................................................. 3% FOUR ................................................................................ 2% FIVE.................................................................................. 7% SIX .................................................................................... 5% SEVEN.............................................................................. 7% EIGHT............................................................................. 12% NINE ................................................................................. 5% TEN ................................................................................. 51% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ......................................... 1%
REP 3% 1% 2% 2% 4% 5% 6% 14% 5% 59% 1%
IND 10% 3% 4% 2% 13% 6% 8% 11% 5% 36% 1%
DEM 3% 1% 2% 2% 4% 4% 7% 12% 6% 58% 1%
BAT 4% 1% 3% 3% 7% 3% 5% 11% 5% 58% 1%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. IND results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. DEM results are based on 378 respondents, MoE = ±5.04 percent. BAT results are based on 462 respondents in 12 battleground states – CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI – MoE = ±4.56 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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Name IDs I would like to read you a list of names of people and groups and have you tell me, for each one, whether you've heard of that person or group and, if so, whether you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them. If you haven't heard of the person or group, just say so (RANDOMIZE): IF FAVORABLE/UNFAVORABLE: Would that be very (FAVORABLE/UNFAVORABLE) or just somewhat (FAVORABLE/UNFAVORABLE)? VERY FAV
13. Joe Biden
ALL 20% REP 2% IND 9% DEM 45% BAT 22% ALL REP IND DEM BAT
14. Barack Obama
ALL REP IND DEM BAT
ALL REP IND DEM BAT ALL REP IND DEM BAT
SMWHT UNFAV
VERY UNFAV
NO OPINION
NEVER HEARD OF
22% 7% 24% 32% 21%
17% 21% 25% 7% 16%
30% 59% 31% 6% 29%
7% 7% 8% 6% 7%
4% 3% 3% 4% 5%
36% 75% 36% 4% 34%
3% 1% 6% 1% 3%
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
34% 4% 28% 63% 35%
6% 3% 8% 4% 4%
1% 0% 0% 2% 1%
42% 9% 33% 77% 43% 33% 2% 18% 71% 36%
ALL REP IND DEM BAT 15. Mitt Romney
SMWHT FAV
47% 80% 56% 13% 45% 15% 5% 21% 20% 14%
13% 17% 19% 4% 13%
48% 7% 39% 91% 50% 20% 49% 13% 2% 22%
49% 92% 55% 8% 47% 24% 39% 32% 7% 23%
16% 5% 18% 22% 15%
44% 88% 45% 9% 45%
50% 9% 46% 85% 50%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. IND results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. DEM results are based on 378 respondents, MoE = ±5.04 percent. BAT results are based on 462 respondents in 12 battleground states – CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI – MoE = ±4.56 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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16. Paul Ryan
ALL REP IND DEM BAT
VERY FAV
SMWHT FAV
SMWHT UNFAV
VERY UNFAV
NO OPINION
NEVER HEARD OF
23% 53% 19% 3% 25%
16% 22% 21% 6% 13%
12% 4% 11% 21% 12%
23% 2% 17% 46% 26%
13% 10% 16% 11% 12%
13% 10% 16% 12% 12%
32% 5% 24% 61% 35%
10% 6% 16% 6% 8%
1% 0% 2% 2% 1%
28% 56% 31% 4% 28%
9% 6% 15% 5% 9%
2% 1% 2% 1% 1%
ALL REP IND DEM BAT 17. Republicans in Congress
39% 75% 40% 9% 38%
ALL 11% REP 27% IND 6% DEM 2% BAT 12% ALL REP IND DEM BAT
18. Democrats in Congress
25% 50% 27% 4% 24%
21% 12% 24% 25% 21%
36% 77% 33% 6% 36%
ALL 17% REP 1% IND 5% DEM 40% BAT 18% ALL REP IND DEM BAT
35% 6% 28% 67% 38%
53% 17% 48% 86% 56% 25% 6% 23% 41% 25%
20% 29% 24% 9% 19%
42% 7% 28% 81% 43%
48% 85% 55% 13% 47%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. IND results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. DEM results are based on 378 respondents, MoE = ±5.04 percent. BAT results are based on 462 respondents in 12 battleground states – CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI – MoE = ±4.56 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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President Obama's Image and the 2012 Election 19. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? IF APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE, ASK: Would that be strongly (approve/disapprove), or just somewhat (approve/disapprove)? ALL STRONGLY APPROVE ................................................ 29% SOMEWHAT APPROVE .............................................. 20% SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE ........................................ 11% STRONGLY DISAPPROVE.......................................... 38% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ......................................... 3%
REP 3% 5% 13% 77% 3%
IND 15% 26% 16% 41% 3%
DEM 62% 27% 5% 5% 2%
BAT 29% 22% 8% 38% 3%
APPROVE ...................................................................... 49% DISAPPROVE ................................................................ 49% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ......................................... 3%
8% 90% 3%
41% 57% 3%
89% 10% 2%
51% 46% 3%
20. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy? IF APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE, ASK: Would that be strongly (approve/disapprove), or just somewhat (approve/disapprove)? ALL STRONGLY APPROVE ................................................ 24% SOMEWHAT APPROVE .............................................. 22% SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE .......................................... 9% STRONGLY DISAPPROVE.......................................... 42% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ......................................... 2%
REP 3% 4% 10% 82% 1%
IND 11% 26% 13% 47% 4%
DEM 53% 34% 6% 5% 3%
BAT 26% 23% 8% 40% 2%
APPROVE ...................................................................... 46% DISAPPROVE ................................................................ 51% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ......................................... 2%
7% 92% 1%
37% 60% 4%
87% 11% 3%
49% 48% 2%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. IND results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. DEM results are based on 378 respondents, MoE = ±5.04 percent. BAT results are based on 462 respondents in 12 battleground states – CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI – MoE = ±4.56 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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21. If the election for President were being held today and the candidates for President and Vice President are (ROTATE: Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, the Republicans, and Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats), for which candidates would you vote? ALL DEF ROMNEY/RYAN.......... 38% PROB ROMNEY/RYAN......... 6% LEAN ROMNEY/RYAN......... 1% DEF OBAMA/BIDEN........... 39% PROB OBAMA/BIDEN........... 6% IF REFUSED OR UNDECIDED, ASK: LEAN OBAMA/BIDEN .......... 1% Which way do you lean as of today, toward ANOTHER CAND (VOL)........ 1% (ROTATE: Romney-Ryan or Obama-Biden)? UNDECIDED........................ 7% REFUSED............................. 1%
REP 86% 6% 1% 3% 2% 0% 0% 3% 0%
IND 34% 8% 3% 26% 9% 2% 1% 15% 2%
DEM 3% 3% 0% 81% 8% 1% 0% 3% 1%
BAT 37% 7% 1% 41% 6% 1% 0% 6% 1%
ROMNEY/RYAN ............ 45% OBAMA/BIDEN.............. 46% ANOTHER CAND ............ 1% UNDECIDED..................... 7% REFUSED .......................... 1%
93% 5% 0% 3% 0%
45% 37% 1% 15% 2%
6% 90% 0% 3% 1%
45% 48% 0% 6% 1%
IF ROMNEY/RYAN OR OBAMA/BIDEN, ASK: Would that be definitely (RomneyRyan/Obama-Biden), or just probably (Romney-Ryan/Obama-Biden)?
22. Do you think Barack Obama deserves reelection as President, or do you think it is time to give someone else a chance? ALL DESERVES REELECTION........................................... 44% TIME FOR SOMEONE ELSE ....................................... 51% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ......................................... 5%
REP 3% 95% 2%
IND 35% 57% 8%
DEM 86% 10% 3%
BAT 48% 47% 5%
23. Overall, do you think Barack Obama is (ROTATE FRONT TO BACK, BACK TO FRONT: very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, or very conservative) in his political beliefs? ALL VERY LIBERAL ............................................................ 39% SOMEWHAT LIBERAL................................................ 23% MODERATE .................................................................. 18% SOMEWHAT CONSERVATIVE .................................... 8% VERY CONSERVATIVE ................................................ 4% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ......................................... 8%
REP 73% 12% 5% 2% 4% 5%
IND 41% 23% 17% 10% 2% 8%
DEM 12% 32% 31% 10% 7% 8%
BAT 40% 27% 18% 5% 3% 8%
24. Overall, do you think Mitt Romney is (ROTATE FRONT TO BACK, BACK TO FRONT: very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, or very conservative) in his political beliefs? ALL VERY LIBERAL .............................................................. 4% SOMEWHAT LIBERAL.................................................. 5% MODERATE .................................................................. 15% SOMEWHAT CONSERVATIVE .................................. 38% VERY CONSERVATIVE .............................................. 26% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ....................................... 12%
REP 1% 4% 19% 54% 18% 4%
IND 4% 5% 19% 38% 20% 13%
DEM 6% 5% 9% 26% 38% 16%
BAT 4% 3% 13% 38% 29% 12%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. IND results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. DEM results are based on 378 respondents, MoE = ±5.04 percent. BAT results are based on 462 respondents in 12 battleground states – CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI – MoE = ±4.56 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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25. If the 2012 election for U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the (ROTATE: Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate)? ALL REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE ....................................... 40% DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATE ...................................... 44% DEPENDS ON THE CANDIDATES (VOL.).................. 6% DON’T KNOW/REFUSED ............................................ 10%
REP 87% 3% 5% 5%
IND 38% 31% 11% 21%
DEM 3% 91% 3% 3%
BAT 41% 46% 4% 9%
Health Care Reform 26. Overall, do you support or oppose the health care reform law that passed in 2010? (IF SUPPORT/OPPOSE, (SUPPORT/OPPOSE)?
ASK:
Would
that
be
strongly
(SUPPORT/OPPOSE)
or
just
somewhat
ALL STRONGLY SUPPORT................................................. 27% SOMEWHAT SUPPORT ............................................... 16% SOMEWHAT OPPOSE.................................................. 10% STRONGLY OPPOSE ................................................... 37% DON'T KNOW ............................................................... 10%
REP 3% 5% 13% 72% 7%
IND 14% 20% 13% 41% 13%
DEM 57% 22% 6% 5% 10%
BAT 28% 15% 10% 36% 11%
SUPPORT ....................................................................... 43% OPPOSE.......................................................................... 47% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ....................................... 10%
8% 85% 7%
34% 54% 13%
79% 11% 10%
43% 46% 11%
27. Since the health care reform law was passed in 2010, have your health care costs gone up, gone down, or stayed about the same? ALL GONE UP ....................................................................... 39% GONE DOWN .................................................................. 5% STAYED THE SAME .................................................... 51% DON'T KNOW ................................................................. 5%
REP 58% 3% 35% 4%
IND 45% 2% 47% 6%
DEM 18% 10% 66% 5%
BAT 36% 8% 51% 5%
28. Do you think the health care reform law will help the economy, hurt the economy, or have no effect on the economy? ALL HELP............................................................................... 25% HURT.............................................................................. 45% NO EFFECT ................................................................... 19% DON'T KNOW ............................................................... 10%
REP 5% 82% 7% 5%
IND 18% 49% 21% 12%
DEM 49% 12% 28% 11%
BAT 27% 43% 19% 11%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. IND results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. DEM results are based on 378 respondents, MoE = ±5.04 percent. BAT results are based on 462 respondents in 12 battleground states – CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI – MoE = ±4.56 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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I would like to read you a pair of statements about Medicare reform and have you tell me which one you agree with more. IF ANSWERED, ASK: Do you strongly agree with that statement or somewhat agree with that statement? STRONG AGREE STM A
Reforming Medicare SPLIT SAMPLE 29a. Congressman A says we should not balance the budget on the backs of our seniors. We need to cut back federal spending, but Medicare should be off limits. Republican plans to privatize Medicare are a Trojan Horse that will end Medicare as we know it.
ALL REP IND DEM BAT
Congressman B says Medicare will go broke if we do nothing because of all ALL the retiring baby boomers. By giving REP people age 55 and under the choice of IND joining traditional Medicare or using DEM Medicare dollars to buy a private health BAT insurance plan, we can preserve and protect this important program for current recipients and future generations. 29b. Congressman A says we should not balance the budget on the backs of our seniors. We need to cut back federal spending, but Medicare should be off limits. Republican plans to privatize Medicare are a Trojan Horse that will end Medicare as we know it.
ALL REP IND DEM BAT
Congressman B says President Obama acknowledged three years ago that Medicare would go bankrupt if no changes were made. But since then he cut 700 billion dollars out of Medicare to fund his new health care law. Obama has made it more difficult to preserve and protect Medicare for current recipients and future generations.
ALL REP IND DEM BAT
22% 10% 13% 41% 20%
SMWHT NOT SURE/ SMWHT AGREE DON'T KNOW AGREE STM A (VOL) STM B
18% 14% 21% 21% 19%
14% 12% 14% 13% 15%
CONG A 40% 24% 34% 62% 39%
19% 11% 15% 29% 18%
22% 15% 22% 30% 25%
CONG A 41% 26% 37% 59% 43%
30% 42% 37% 16% 27%
STRONG AGREE STM B
15% 23% 16% 9% 19%
CONG B 45% 65% 53% 25% 46%
19% 13% 23% 18% 18%
19% 22% 23% 13% 16%
21% 39% 16% 10% 23%
CONG B 40% 61% 39% 23% 39%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. IND results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. DEM results are based on 378 respondents, MoE = ±5.04 percent. BAT results are based on 462 respondents in 12 battleground states – CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI – MoE = ±4.56 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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Jobs and the Economy 30. Since President Obama took office, do you think government regulations have increased, decreased, or stayed about the same? ALL INCREASED .................................................................. 49% DECREASED ................................................................... 7% STAYED THE SAME .................................................... 38% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ......................................... 6%
REP 71% 6% 19% 4%
IND 51% 6% 35% 8%
DEM 30% 8% 57% 5%
BAT 50% 7% 37% 6%
31. Which possibility concerns you more: (ROTATE: that the federal government has too few regulations to hold private businesses accountable, or that the federal government has too many regulations that make it harder to create jobs)? ALL TOO FEW ....................................................................... 33% TOO MANY ................................................................... 57% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ....................................... 10%
REP 13% 86% 2%
IND 26% 60% 14%
DEM 57% 30% 13%
BAT 36% 52% 12%
I would like to read you a pair of statements about economic policy and have you tell me which one you agree with more. IF ANSWERED, ASK: Do you strongly agree with that statement or somewhat agree with that statement? STRONG AGREE STM A
Obama's Economic Plan 32. Congressman A says that President Obama's economic plan is working and we need to stay the course. Unemployment is going down, more jobs are being created, we've taken steps to reduce the deficit, and economic conditions are improving for most of the country.
ALL REP IND DEM BAT
Congressman B says that President Obama's economic plan is not working and we need to try something else. Unemployment remains at record levels, job creation is poor, federal spending is out of control, and much of the country is still in recession.
ALL REP IND DEM BAT
25% 3% 15% 51% 27%
SMWHT NOT SURE/ SMWHT AGREE DON'T KNOW AGREE STM A (VOL) STM B
16% 2% 16% 28% 15%
CONG A 41% 5% 31% 79% 42%
4% 2% 5% 4% 5%
11% 12% 15% 6% 10%
STRONG AGREE STM B
45% 82% 50% 11% 43%
CONG B 56% 94% 65% 17% 53%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. IND results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. DEM results are based on 378 respondents, MoE = ±5.04 percent. BAT results are based on 462 respondents in 12 battleground states – CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI – MoE = ±4.56 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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Government Taxes and Spending 33. Which do you think is a higher priority for the federal government right now (ROTATE: spending more to help the economy recover, or spending less to reduce the budget deficit)? ALL SPENDING MORE TO HELP ECONOMY.................. 36% SPENDING LESS TO REDUCE DEFICIT ................... 57% DON'T KNOW ................................................................. 7%
REP 18% 78% 3%
IND 27% 63% 10%
DEM 58% 34% 8%
BAT 40% 53% 7%
34. As you may know, federal law requires most individuals who receive welfare assistance from the federal government to work, search for work, or seek additional job training. Do you support or oppose that law? (IF SUPPORT/OPPOSE, (SUPPORT/OPPOSE)?
ASK:
Would
that
be
strongly
(SUPPORT/OPPOSE)
or
just
somewhat
ALL STRONGLY SUPPORT................................................. 55% SOMEWHAT SUPPORT ............................................... 24% SOMEWHAT OPPOSE.................................................... 6% STRONGLY OPPOSE ..................................................... 8% DON'T KNOW ................................................................. 6%
REP 56% 21% 7% 11% 5%
IND 53% 27% 4% 8% 7%
DEM 56% 25% 8% 5% 6%
BAT 62% 19% 6% 6% 7%
SUPPORT ....................................................................... 79% OPPOSE.......................................................................... 14% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ......................................... 6%
77% 18% 5%
80% 12% 7%
81% 13% 6%
81% 12% 7%
35. If the federal government raises taxes, do you think the new revenue will go primarily to (ROTATE: more spending or reducing the deficit)? ALL MORE SPENDING ........................................................ 62% REDUCING DEFICIT.................................................... 28% DON'T KNOW ............................................................... 10%
REP 83% 13% 4%
IND 69% 23% 8%
DEM 41% 45% 14%
BAT 59% 30% 11%
36. If the federal government raises taxes, do you think it will effect (ROTATE: just the wealthy, or the wealthy and the middle class)? ALL JUST WEALTHY........................................................... 18% WEALTHY AND MIDDLE CLASS ............................. 72% DON'T KNOW ............................................................... 10%
REP 11% 83% 6%
IND 12% 79% 9%
DEM 28% 59% 12%
BAT 18% 73% 9%
37. Some people have proposed cutting the corporate income tax rate from 35 to 25 percent, and eliminating business tax deductions and credits to offset the cost. Do you think that is a good idea or a bad idea? ALL GOOD IDEA................................................................... 40% BAD IDEA...................................................................... 40% DON'T KNOW ............................................................... 19%
REP 47% 33% 20%
IND 46% 37% 17%
DEM 32% 49% 18%
BAT 41% 40% 19%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. IND results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. DEM results are based on 378 respondents, MoE = ±5.04 percent. BAT results are based on 462 respondents in 12 battleground states – CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI – MoE = ±4.56 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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38. What do you think is the maximum percentage that the federal government should take in taxes from any family that makes more than $250,000 per year (ROTATE FRONT TO BACK; BACK TO FRONT: ten percent, twenty percent, thirty percent, forty percent, fifty percent, sixty percent, or seventy percent or more)? ALL TEN................................................................................... 13% TWENTY.......................................................................... 22% THIRTY............................................................................ 31% FORTY ............................................................................. 12% FIFTY ................................................................................. 4% SIXTY................................................................................. 2% SEVENTY OR MORE ....................................................... 3% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ......................................... 14%
REP 17% 29% 27% 10% 3% 2% 1% 11%
IND 12% 23% 32% 10% 3% 2% 3% 16%
DEM 10% 16% 33% 15% 6% 1% 4% 15%
BAT 14% 21% 32% 12% 4% 1% 3% 14%
I would like to read you a pair of statements about tax policy and have you tell me which one you agree with more. IF ANSWERED, ASK: Do you strongly agree with that statement or somewhat agree with that statement? STRONG AGREE STM A
Tax Increases on the Wealthy 39. Congressman A says we need to raise taxes on the wealthy. We must have more tax revenue if we are ever going to reduce the deficit and make the wealthy pay their fair share.
ALL REP IND DEM BAT
Congressman B says we will never tax our way out of the deficit. The way to reduce the deficit is to restrain government spending and reform our tax code to generate more economic growth.
ALL REP IND DEM BAT
27% 7% 19% 51% 28%
SMWHT NOT SURE/ SMWHT AGREE DON'T KNOW AGREE STM A (VOL) STM B
10% 3% 10% 15% 11%
CONG A 37% 10% 29% 66% 39%
6% 2% 9% 6% 5%
16% 16% 19% 15% 16%
STRONG AGREE STM B
41% 73% 43% 13% 39%
CONG B 57% 89% 62% 28% 55%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. IND results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. DEM results are based on 378 respondents, MoE = ±5.04 percent. BAT results are based on 462 respondents in 12 battleground states – CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI – MoE = ±4.56 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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Energy I would like to read you a pair of statements about energy policy and have you tell me which one you agree with more. IF ANSWERED, ASK: Do you strongly agree with that statement or somewhat agree with that statement? STRONG AGREE STM A
Obama's Energy Plan 40. Congressman A says President Obama's energy policies have been good for the country. He has increased domestic oil production, while steering the country toward greater reliance on renewable sources of energy like solar and wind to reduce our dependence on foreign oil. Congressman B says President Obama's energy policies have been bad for the country. They have caused gasoline prices to double since he became President, he blocked the Keystone pipeline, and he supported new regulations that make it more difficult and expensive to produce domestic energy like oil, natural gas, and clean coal.
ALL REP IND DEM BAT
ALL REP IND DEM BAT
SMWHT NOT SURE/ SMWHT AGREE DON'T KNOW AGREE STM A (VOL) STM B
28% 4% 19% 56% 29%
18% 4% 21% 26% 18%
7% 4% 12% 5% 8%
CONG A 46% 8% 40% 82% 47%
12% 19% 14% 6% 10%
STRONG AGREE STM B
35% 69% 35% 7% 35%
CONG B 47% 88% 49% 13% 45%
Demographics Now I have a few questions just for statistical purposes. 41. In politics today, do you normally think of yourself as (ROTATE: a Republican, an independent, or a Democrat)? IF "REP" OR "DEM", ASK: Would you consider yourself a strong or a not-so-strong Republican/Democrat? IF "IND," ASK: Do you think of yourself as closer to the (ROTATE: Republican or Democratic Party)?
ALL STRONG REP ..................... 25% NOT-SO-STRONG REP ....... 5% IND LEAN REP .................... 9% IND/NO PREF ..................... 14% IND LEAN DEM................... 7% NOT-SO-STRONG DEM...... 6% STRONG DEM.................... 31% REFUSED.............................. 4%
BAT 27% 5% 7% 12% 8% 6% 33% 2%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. IND results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. DEM results are based on 378 respondents, MoE = ±5.04 percent. BAT results are based on 462 respondents in 12 battleground states – CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI – MoE = ±4.56 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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42. When thinking about politics today, do you normally consider yourself to be (ROTATE: very conservative, somewhat conservative, moderate, somewhat liberal, or very liberal)? ALL VERY CONSERVATIVE .............................................. 19% SOMEWHAT CONSERVATIVE .................................. 26% MODERATE .................................................................. 25% SOMEWHAT LIBERAL................................................ 17% VERY LIBERAL .............................................................. 9% NO OPINION ................................................................... 4%
REP 42% 40% 12% 3% 2% 2%
IND 10% 31% 38% 11% 5% 5%
DEM 10% 13% 24% 33% 18% 4%
BAT 18% 24% 27% 18% 10% 4%
REP 1% 17% 27% 42% 13% 1%
IND 2% 10% 30% 38% 19% 3%
DEM 1% 21% 21% 29% 25% 3%
BAT 1% 14% 25% 37% 20% 2%
REP 73% 13% 6% 6% 2%
IND 62% 22% 8% 5% 3%
DEM 56% 23% 10% 7% 4%
BAT 64% 21% 7% 6% 3%
REP 18% 30% 28% 22% 2%
IND 21% 33% 21% 20% 4%
DEM 34% 32% 18% 12% 5%
BAT 21% 34% 26% 14% 5%
REP 4% 9% 22% 24% 23% 18%
IND 7% 9% 25% 24% 22% 13%
DEM 3% 7% 17% 19% 35% 19%
BAT 4% 10% 20% 23% 26% 18%
43. Would you please stop me when I read the last level of education you completed? ALL LESS THAN HIGH SCHOOL ......................................... 1% HIGH SCHOOL GRAD ................................................. 16% SOME COLLEGE .......................................................... 26% COLLEGE GRAD .......................................................... 35% GRADUATE OR PROFESSIONAL SCHOOL............. 20% REFUSED (DO NOT READ) .......................................... 2% 44. Are you married, single, divorced, or widowed? ALL MARRIED ...................................................................... 63% SINGLE .......................................................................... 20% DIVORCED ...................................................................... 9% WIDOWED....................................................................... 6% REFUSED (DO NOT READ) .......................................... 3%
45. Would you say the area where you live is urban, suburban, small town, or rural? ALL URBAN........................................................................... 25% SUBURBAN ................................................................... 31% SMALL TOWN .............................................................. 22% RURAL ........................................................................... 18% REFUSED (DO NOT READ) .......................................... 4% 46. Would you please stop me when I read the correct category for your age? ALL 18 TO 24 ........................................................................... 5% 25 TO 29 ........................................................................... 8% 30 TO 39 ......................................................................... 21% 40 TO 49 ......................................................................... 22% 50 TO 64 ......................................................................... 27% 65 OR OLDER................................................................ 17%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. IND results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. DEM results are based on 378 respondents, MoE = ±5.04 percent. BAT results are based on 462 respondents in 12 battleground states – CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI – MoE = ±4.56 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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47. Would you please stop me when I read the correct category for your total household income? ALL $25,000 OR LESS........................................................... 13% $25,000 TO $50,000 ....................................................... 17% $50,000 TO $75,000 ....................................................... 18% $75,000 TO $100,000 ..................................................... 17% $100,000 TO $150,000 ................................................... 14% $150,000 TO $250,000 ..................................................... 4% $250,000 OR MORE......................................................... 3% REFUSED ....................................................................... 13%
REP 9% 19% 14% 18% 16% 6% 4% 14%
IND 14% 15% 23% 13% 13% 4% 4% 14%
DEM 16% 18% 18% 19% 12% 4% 2% 10%
BAT 13% 18% 18% 18% 12% 7% 3% 12%
48. Is your religious background Protestant, Catholic, Jewish or something else? (IF SOMETHING ELSE OR UNCLEAR RESPONSE ASK: Is that a Christian religion or not?) ALL PROTESTANT ............................................................... 27% CATHOLIC .................................................................... 27% OTHER CHRISTIAN ..................................................... 18% JEWISH ............................................................................ 2% OTHER NON-CHRISTIAN ........................................... 11% AGNOSTIC/ATHEIST..................................................... 1% NONE................................................................................ 7% DON'T KNOW (DNR) ..................................................... 2% REFUSED (DNR)............................................................. 5%
REP 39% 24% 20% 2% 6% 0% 5% 0% 3%
IND 25% 26% 16% 2% 14% 1% 8% 1% 7%
DEM 20% 29% 19% 3% 13% 1% 7% 3% 4%
BAT 28% 26% 18% 3% 9% 1% 8% 2% 6%
REP 42% 53% 5% 1%
IND 23% 71% 6% 1%
DEM 30% 68% 2% 1%
BAT 31% 65% 4% 1%
49. Would you call yourself an evangelical Christian or not? ALL YES ................................................................................. 32% NO ................................................................................... 63% DON'T KNOW (DNR) ..................................................... 4% REFUSED (DNR)............................................................. 0% Note: Results are based on 574 respondents. 50. Are you from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background? IF NO, ASK: What would you say is your main race: white, African American, Asian, or something else? ALL YES/HISPANIC................................................................ 9% NO/WHITE ..................................................................... 74% NO/BLACK/AFRICAN AMERICAN ........................... 13% NO/ASIAN........................................................................ 1% NO/OTHER ...................................................................... 3% REFUSED ......................................................................... 0%
REP 5% 91% 2% 1% 1% 0%
IND 9% 80% 5% 1% 5% 0%
DEM 13% 57% 28% 1% 2% 0%
BAT 6% 75% 15% 1% 3% 0%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. IND results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. DEM results are based on 378 respondents, MoE = ±5.04 percent. BAT results are based on 462 respondents in 12 battleground states – CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI – MoE = ±4.56 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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51. Gender (from observation): ALL MALE ............................................................................. 46% FEMALE......................................................................... 54%
REP 44% 56%
IND 55% 45%
DEM 39% 61%
BAT 46% 54%
52. Finally, in what state do you live? That's all the questions I have. Thank you very much for sharing your opinions with us.
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. IND results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. DEM results are based on 378 respondents, MoE = ±5.04 percent. BAT results are based on 462 respondents in 12 battleground states – CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI – MoE = ±4.56 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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year: absolutely DEM 77% 20% 3%
BAT 76% 19% 5%
DEM 65% 27% 8%
BAT 40% 54% 6%
Political Environment and Role of Government 1.
Would you say that America today is or is not moving forward? ALL IS MOVING FORWARD............................................... 39% IS NOT MOVING FORWARD ..................................... 54% DON'T KNOW ................................................................. 7%
REP 9% 86% 5%
IND 35% 58% 7%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. IND results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. DEM results are based on 378 respondents, MoE = ±5.04 percent. BAT results are based on 462 respondents in 12 battleground states – CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI – MoE = ±4.56 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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2. Which of the following types of issues are most likely to affect your vote for President and Congress this year (ROTATE: economic issues like jobs and unemployment; fiscal issues like taxes, spending, deficits, and debt; social issues like abortion and gay marriage; or national security issues like terrorism and Afghanistan)? ALL ECONOMIC ISSUES ..................................................... 53% FISCAL ISSUES............................................................. 23% SOCIAL ISSUES ............................................................ 12% NATIONAL SECURITY ISSUES ................................... 5% NONE/OTHER/DON'T KNOW....................................... 6%
REP 49% 31% 12% 4% 4%
IND 56% 23% 10% 6% 5%
DEM 56% 17% 14% 6% 7%
BAT 53% 20% 13% 6% 8%
I would like to read several aspects of life in America today. Compared to January 2009 when President Obama took office, would you say each one is better than it was, worse than it was, or about the same as it was then (RANDOMIZE): BETTER
WORSE
ABOUT THE SAME
DON'T KNOW
3.
America's economy
ALL REP IND DEM BAT
26% 3% 21% 49% 29%
51% 88% 56% 19% 48%
21% 9% 21% 31% 22%
1% 0% 2% 1% 1%
4.
The federal government's financial situation
ALL REP IND DEM BAT
14% 1% 8% 30% 16%
57% 90% 65% 26% 53%
26% 8% 24% 41% 26%
3% 1% 3% 4% 4%
5.
Your own financial situation
ALL REP IND DEM BAT
25% 12% 23% 38% 28%
30% 45% 34% 15% 28%
44% 42% 42% 45% 43%
1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
6.
The federal government's ability to solve problems
ALL REP IND DEM BAT
16%
54%
28%
2%
2% 8% 33% 17%
84% 59% 27% 52%
13% 31% 37% 29%
1% 2% 4% 2%
7.
America's standing in the world
ALL REP IND DEM BAT
26% 3% 21% 50% 28%
44% 77% 50% 14% 41%
28% 20% 27% 34% 28%
2% 0% 2% 3% 4%
8.
America's safety from terrorists
ALL REP IND DEM BAT
39% 10% 35% 67% 41%
20% 45% 16% 5% 23%
38% 43% 44% 26% 35%
3% 2% 4% 2% 2%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. IND results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. DEM results are based on 378 respondents, MoE = ±5.04 percent. BAT results are based on 462 respondents in 12 battleground states – CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI – MoE = ±4.56 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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9.
Would you say that our country currently is or is not in a recession? ALL IS IN RECESSION ......................................................... 68% IS NOT IN RECESSION ................................................ 26% DON'T KNOW ................................................................. 6%
REP 85% 11% 4%
IND 69% 26% 5%
DEM 54% 40% 7%
BAT 67% 27% 6%
10. Which of the following statements about fairness comes closer to your view: (ROTATE) a.
Fairness is making sure the wealthy pay their fair share by increasing their taxes, eliminating loopholes, and giving up special deductions.
b.
Fairness is making sure everyone pays their fair share, and no one gets bailouts, preferential treatment, or special favors from political cronies. ALL MAKE WEALTHY PAY FAIR SHARE ....................... 34% EVERYONE PAYS FAIR SHARE................................ 58% DON'T KNOW ................................................................. 8%
REP 24% 67% 9%
IND 32% 58% 9%
DEM 46% 49% 5%
BAT 36% 56% 9%
11. Which of the following statements about the role of government comes closer to your view: (ROTATE) a.
Government policies should promote fairness by narrowing the gap between rich and poor, making the rich pay their fair share, and reducing income inequality.
b.
Government policies should promote opportunity by fostering job growth, encouraging entrepreneurs, and allowing hardworking people to keep more of what they earn. ALL PROMOTE FAIRNESS ................................................... 36% PROMOTE OPPORTUNITY........................................... 58% DON'T KNOW ................................................................... 6%
REP 17% 77% 6%
IND 34% 61% 5%
DEM 52% 40% 7%
BAT 36% 58% 6%
12. On a scale of one to ten, with one being "not at all enthusiastic" and ten being "extremely enthusiastic," how enthusiastic are you about voting in the Presidential election this November? ALL ONE .................................................................................. 5% TWO.................................................................................. 1% THREE.............................................................................. 3% FOUR ................................................................................ 2% FIVE.................................................................................. 7% SIX .................................................................................... 5% SEVEN.............................................................................. 7% EIGHT............................................................................. 12% NINE ................................................................................. 5% TEN ................................................................................. 51% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ......................................... 1%
REP 3% 1% 2% 2% 4% 5% 6% 14% 5% 59% 1%
IND 10% 3% 4% 2% 13% 6% 8% 11% 5% 36% 1%
DEM 3% 1% 2% 2% 4% 4% 7% 12% 6% 58% 1%
BAT 4% 1% 3% 3% 7% 3% 5% 11% 5% 58% 1%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. IND results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. DEM results are based on 378 respondents, MoE = ±5.04 percent. BAT results are based on 462 respondents in 12 battleground states – CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI – MoE = ±4.56 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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Name IDs I would like to read you a list of names of people and groups and have you tell me, for each one, whether you've heard of that person or group and, if so, whether you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them. If you haven't heard of the person or group, just say so (RANDOMIZE): IF FAVORABLE/UNFAVORABLE: Would that be very (FAVORABLE/UNFAVORABLE) or just somewhat (FAVORABLE/UNFAVORABLE)? VERY FAV
13. Joe Biden
ALL 20% REP 2% IND 9% DEM 45% BAT 22% ALL REP IND DEM BAT
14. Barack Obama
ALL REP IND DEM BAT
ALL REP IND DEM BAT ALL REP IND DEM BAT
SMWHT UNFAV
VERY UNFAV
NO OPINION
NEVER HEARD OF
22% 7% 24% 32% 21%
17% 21% 25% 7% 16%
30% 59% 31% 6% 29%
7% 7% 8% 6% 7%
4% 3% 3% 4% 5%
36% 75% 36% 4% 34%
3% 1% 6% 1% 3%
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
34% 4% 28% 63% 35%
6% 3% 8% 4% 4%
1% 0% 0% 2% 1%
42% 9% 33% 77% 43% 33% 2% 18% 71% 36%
ALL REP IND DEM BAT 15. Mitt Romney
SMWHT FAV
47% 80% 56% 13% 45% 15% 5% 21% 20% 14%
13% 17% 19% 4% 13%
48% 7% 39% 91% 50% 20% 49% 13% 2% 22%
49% 92% 55% 8% 47% 24% 39% 32% 7% 23%
16% 5% 18% 22% 15%
44% 88% 45% 9% 45%
50% 9% 46% 85% 50%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. IND results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. DEM results are based on 378 respondents, MoE = ±5.04 percent. BAT results are based on 462 respondents in 12 battleground states – CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI – MoE = ±4.56 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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16. Paul Ryan
ALL REP IND DEM BAT
VERY FAV
SMWHT FAV
SMWHT UNFAV
VERY UNFAV
NO OPINION
NEVER HEARD OF
23% 53% 19% 3% 25%
16% 22% 21% 6% 13%
12% 4% 11% 21% 12%
23% 2% 17% 46% 26%
13% 10% 16% 11% 12%
13% 10% 16% 12% 12%
32% 5% 24% 61% 35%
10% 6% 16% 6% 8%
1% 0% 2% 2% 1%
28% 56% 31% 4% 28%
9% 6% 15% 5% 9%
2% 1% 2% 1% 1%
ALL REP IND DEM BAT 17. Republicans in Congress
39% 75% 40% 9% 38%
ALL 11% REP 27% IND 6% DEM 2% BAT 12% ALL REP IND DEM BAT
18. Democrats in Congress
25% 50% 27% 4% 24%
21% 12% 24% 25% 21%
36% 77% 33% 6% 36%
ALL 17% REP 1% IND 5% DEM 40% BAT 18% ALL REP IND DEM BAT
35% 6% 28% 67% 38%
53% 17% 48% 86% 56% 25% 6% 23% 41% 25%
20% 29% 24% 9% 19%
42% 7% 28% 81% 43%
48% 85% 55% 13% 47%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. IND results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. DEM results are based on 378 respondents, MoE = ±5.04 percent. BAT results are based on 462 respondents in 12 battleground states – CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI – MoE = ±4.56 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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President Obama's Image and the 2012 Election 19. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? IF APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE, ASK: Would that be strongly (approve/disapprove), or just somewhat (approve/disapprove)? ALL STRONGLY APPROVE ................................................ 29% SOMEWHAT APPROVE .............................................. 20% SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE ........................................ 11% STRONGLY DISAPPROVE.......................................... 38% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ......................................... 3%
REP 3% 5% 13% 77% 3%
IND 15% 26% 16% 41% 3%
DEM 62% 27% 5% 5% 2%
BAT 29% 22% 8% 38% 3%
APPROVE ...................................................................... 49% DISAPPROVE ................................................................ 49% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ......................................... 3%
8% 90% 3%
41% 57% 3%
89% 10% 2%
51% 46% 3%
20. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy? IF APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE, ASK: Would that be strongly (approve/disapprove), or just somewhat (approve/disapprove)? ALL STRONGLY APPROVE ................................................ 24% SOMEWHAT APPROVE .............................................. 22% SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE .......................................... 9% STRONGLY DISAPPROVE.......................................... 42% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ......................................... 2%
REP 3% 4% 10% 82% 1%
IND 11% 26% 13% 47% 4%
DEM 53% 34% 6% 5% 3%
BAT 26% 23% 8% 40% 2%
APPROVE ...................................................................... 46% DISAPPROVE ................................................................ 51% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ......................................... 2%
7% 92% 1%
37% 60% 4%
87% 11% 3%
49% 48% 2%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. IND results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. DEM results are based on 378 respondents, MoE = ±5.04 percent. BAT results are based on 462 respondents in 12 battleground states – CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI – MoE = ±4.56 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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21. If the election for President were being held today and the candidates for President and Vice President are (ROTATE: Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, the Republicans, and Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats), for which candidates would you vote? ALL DEF ROMNEY/RYAN.......... 38% PROB ROMNEY/RYAN......... 6% LEAN ROMNEY/RYAN......... 1% DEF OBAMA/BIDEN........... 39% PROB OBAMA/BIDEN........... 6% IF REFUSED OR UNDECIDED, ASK: LEAN OBAMA/BIDEN .......... 1% Which way do you lean as of today, toward ANOTHER CAND (VOL)........ 1% (ROTATE: Romney-Ryan or Obama-Biden)? UNDECIDED........................ 7% REFUSED............................. 1%
REP 86% 6% 1% 3% 2% 0% 0% 3% 0%
IND 34% 8% 3% 26% 9% 2% 1% 15% 2%
DEM 3% 3% 0% 81% 8% 1% 0% 3% 1%
BAT 37% 7% 1% 41% 6% 1% 0% 6% 1%
ROMNEY/RYAN ............ 45% OBAMA/BIDEN.............. 46% ANOTHER CAND ............ 1% UNDECIDED..................... 7% REFUSED .......................... 1%
93% 5% 0% 3% 0%
45% 37% 1% 15% 2%
6% 90% 0% 3% 1%
45% 48% 0% 6% 1%
IF ROMNEY/RYAN OR OBAMA/BIDEN, ASK: Would that be definitely (RomneyRyan/Obama-Biden), or just probably (Romney-Ryan/Obama-Biden)?
22. Do you think Barack Obama deserves reelection as President, or do you think it is time to give someone else a chance? ALL DESERVES REELECTION........................................... 44% TIME FOR SOMEONE ELSE ....................................... 51% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ......................................... 5%
REP 3% 95% 2%
IND 35% 57% 8%
DEM 86% 10% 3%
BAT 48% 47% 5%
23. Overall, do you think Barack Obama is (ROTATE FRONT TO BACK, BACK TO FRONT: very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, or very conservative) in his political beliefs? ALL VERY LIBERAL ............................................................ 39% SOMEWHAT LIBERAL................................................ 23% MODERATE .................................................................. 18% SOMEWHAT CONSERVATIVE .................................... 8% VERY CONSERVATIVE ................................................ 4% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ......................................... 8%
REP 73% 12% 5% 2% 4% 5%
IND 41% 23% 17% 10% 2% 8%
DEM 12% 32% 31% 10% 7% 8%
BAT 40% 27% 18% 5% 3% 8%
24. Overall, do you think Mitt Romney is (ROTATE FRONT TO BACK, BACK TO FRONT: very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, or very conservative) in his political beliefs? ALL VERY LIBERAL .............................................................. 4% SOMEWHAT LIBERAL.................................................. 5% MODERATE .................................................................. 15% SOMEWHAT CONSERVATIVE .................................. 38% VERY CONSERVATIVE .............................................. 26% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ....................................... 12%
REP 1% 4% 19% 54% 18% 4%
IND 4% 5% 19% 38% 20% 13%
DEM 6% 5% 9% 26% 38% 16%
BAT 4% 3% 13% 38% 29% 12%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. IND results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. DEM results are based on 378 respondents, MoE = ±5.04 percent. BAT results are based on 462 respondents in 12 battleground states – CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI – MoE = ±4.56 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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25. If the 2012 election for U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the (ROTATE: Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate)? ALL REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE ....................................... 40% DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATE ...................................... 44% DEPENDS ON THE CANDIDATES (VOL.).................. 6% DON’T KNOW/REFUSED ............................................ 10%
REP 87% 3% 5% 5%
IND 38% 31% 11% 21%
DEM 3% 91% 3% 3%
BAT 41% 46% 4% 9%
Health Care Reform 26. Overall, do you support or oppose the health care reform law that passed in 2010? (IF SUPPORT/OPPOSE, (SUPPORT/OPPOSE)?
ASK:
Would
that
be
strongly
(SUPPORT/OPPOSE)
or
just
somewhat
ALL STRONGLY SUPPORT................................................. 27% SOMEWHAT SUPPORT ............................................... 16% SOMEWHAT OPPOSE.................................................. 10% STRONGLY OPPOSE ................................................... 37% DON'T KNOW ............................................................... 10%
REP 3% 5% 13% 72% 7%
IND 14% 20% 13% 41% 13%
DEM 57% 22% 6% 5% 10%
BAT 28% 15% 10% 36% 11%
SUPPORT ....................................................................... 43% OPPOSE.......................................................................... 47% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ....................................... 10%
8% 85% 7%
34% 54% 13%
79% 11% 10%
43% 46% 11%
27. Since the health care reform law was passed in 2010, have your health care costs gone up, gone down, or stayed about the same? ALL GONE UP ....................................................................... 39% GONE DOWN .................................................................. 5% STAYED THE SAME .................................................... 51% DON'T KNOW ................................................................. 5%
REP 58% 3% 35% 4%
IND 45% 2% 47% 6%
DEM 18% 10% 66% 5%
BAT 36% 8% 51% 5%
28. Do you think the health care reform law will help the economy, hurt the economy, or have no effect on the economy? ALL HELP............................................................................... 25% HURT.............................................................................. 45% NO EFFECT ................................................................... 19% DON'T KNOW ............................................................... 10%
REP 5% 82% 7% 5%
IND 18% 49% 21% 12%
DEM 49% 12% 28% 11%
BAT 27% 43% 19% 11%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. IND results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. DEM results are based on 378 respondents, MoE = ±5.04 percent. BAT results are based on 462 respondents in 12 battleground states – CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI – MoE = ±4.56 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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I would like to read you a pair of statements about Medicare reform and have you tell me which one you agree with more. IF ANSWERED, ASK: Do you strongly agree with that statement or somewhat agree with that statement? STRONG AGREE STM A
Reforming Medicare SPLIT SAMPLE 29a. Congressman A says we should not balance the budget on the backs of our seniors. We need to cut back federal spending, but Medicare should be off limits. Republican plans to privatize Medicare are a Trojan Horse that will end Medicare as we know it.
ALL REP IND DEM BAT
Congressman B says Medicare will go broke if we do nothing because of all ALL the retiring baby boomers. By giving REP people age 55 and under the choice of IND joining traditional Medicare or using DEM Medicare dollars to buy a private health BAT insurance plan, we can preserve and protect this important program for current recipients and future generations. 29b. Congressman A says we should not balance the budget on the backs of our seniors. We need to cut back federal spending, but Medicare should be off limits. Republican plans to privatize Medicare are a Trojan Horse that will end Medicare as we know it.
ALL REP IND DEM BAT
Congressman B says President Obama acknowledged three years ago that Medicare would go bankrupt if no changes were made. But since then he cut 700 billion dollars out of Medicare to fund his new health care law. Obama has made it more difficult to preserve and protect Medicare for current recipients and future generations.
ALL REP IND DEM BAT
22% 10% 13% 41% 20%
SMWHT NOT SURE/ SMWHT AGREE DON'T KNOW AGREE STM A (VOL) STM B
18% 14% 21% 21% 19%
14% 12% 14% 13% 15%
CONG A 40% 24% 34% 62% 39%
19% 11% 15% 29% 18%
22% 15% 22% 30% 25%
CONG A 41% 26% 37% 59% 43%
30% 42% 37% 16% 27%
STRONG AGREE STM B
15% 23% 16% 9% 19%
CONG B 45% 65% 53% 25% 46%
19% 13% 23% 18% 18%
19% 22% 23% 13% 16%
21% 39% 16% 10% 23%
CONG B 40% 61% 39% 23% 39%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. IND results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. DEM results are based on 378 respondents, MoE = ±5.04 percent. BAT results are based on 462 respondents in 12 battleground states – CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI – MoE = ±4.56 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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Jobs and the Economy 30. Since President Obama took office, do you think government regulations have increased, decreased, or stayed about the same? ALL INCREASED .................................................................. 49% DECREASED ................................................................... 7% STAYED THE SAME .................................................... 38% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ......................................... 6%
REP 71% 6% 19% 4%
IND 51% 6% 35% 8%
DEM 30% 8% 57% 5%
BAT 50% 7% 37% 6%
31. Which possibility concerns you more: (ROTATE: that the federal government has too few regulations to hold private businesses accountable, or that the federal government has too many regulations that make it harder to create jobs)? ALL TOO FEW ....................................................................... 33% TOO MANY ................................................................... 57% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ....................................... 10%
REP 13% 86% 2%
IND 26% 60% 14%
DEM 57% 30% 13%
BAT 36% 52% 12%
I would like to read you a pair of statements about economic policy and have you tell me which one you agree with more. IF ANSWERED, ASK: Do you strongly agree with that statement or somewhat agree with that statement? STRONG AGREE STM A
Obama's Economic Plan 32. Congressman A says that President Obama's economic plan is working and we need to stay the course. Unemployment is going down, more jobs are being created, we've taken steps to reduce the deficit, and economic conditions are improving for most of the country.
ALL REP IND DEM BAT
Congressman B says that President Obama's economic plan is not working and we need to try something else. Unemployment remains at record levels, job creation is poor, federal spending is out of control, and much of the country is still in recession.
ALL REP IND DEM BAT
25% 3% 15% 51% 27%
SMWHT NOT SURE/ SMWHT AGREE DON'T KNOW AGREE STM A (VOL) STM B
16% 2% 16% 28% 15%
CONG A 41% 5% 31% 79% 42%
4% 2% 5% 4% 5%
11% 12% 15% 6% 10%
STRONG AGREE STM B
45% 82% 50% 11% 43%
CONG B 56% 94% 65% 17% 53%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. IND results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. DEM results are based on 378 respondents, MoE = ±5.04 percent. BAT results are based on 462 respondents in 12 battleground states – CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI – MoE = ±4.56 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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Government Taxes and Spending 33. Which do you think is a higher priority for the federal government right now (ROTATE: spending more to help the economy recover, or spending less to reduce the budget deficit)? ALL SPENDING MORE TO HELP ECONOMY.................. 36% SPENDING LESS TO REDUCE DEFICIT ................... 57% DON'T KNOW ................................................................. 7%
REP 18% 78% 3%
IND 27% 63% 10%
DEM 58% 34% 8%
BAT 40% 53% 7%
34. As you may know, federal law requires most individuals who receive welfare assistance from the federal government to work, search for work, or seek additional job training. Do you support or oppose that law? (IF SUPPORT/OPPOSE, (SUPPORT/OPPOSE)?
ASK:
Would
that
be
strongly
(SUPPORT/OPPOSE)
or
just
somewhat
ALL STRONGLY SUPPORT................................................. 55% SOMEWHAT SUPPORT ............................................... 24% SOMEWHAT OPPOSE.................................................... 6% STRONGLY OPPOSE ..................................................... 8% DON'T KNOW ................................................................. 6%
REP 56% 21% 7% 11% 5%
IND 53% 27% 4% 8% 7%
DEM 56% 25% 8% 5% 6%
BAT 62% 19% 6% 6% 7%
SUPPORT ....................................................................... 79% OPPOSE.......................................................................... 14% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ......................................... 6%
77% 18% 5%
80% 12% 7%
81% 13% 6%
81% 12% 7%
35. If the federal government raises taxes, do you think the new revenue will go primarily to (ROTATE: more spending or reducing the deficit)? ALL MORE SPENDING ........................................................ 62% REDUCING DEFICIT.................................................... 28% DON'T KNOW ............................................................... 10%
REP 83% 13% 4%
IND 69% 23% 8%
DEM 41% 45% 14%
BAT 59% 30% 11%
36. If the federal government raises taxes, do you think it will effect (ROTATE: just the wealthy, or the wealthy and the middle class)? ALL JUST WEALTHY........................................................... 18% WEALTHY AND MIDDLE CLASS ............................. 72% DON'T KNOW ............................................................... 10%
REP 11% 83% 6%
IND 12% 79% 9%
DEM 28% 59% 12%
BAT 18% 73% 9%
37. Some people have proposed cutting the corporate income tax rate from 35 to 25 percent, and eliminating business tax deductions and credits to offset the cost. Do you think that is a good idea or a bad idea? ALL GOOD IDEA................................................................... 40% BAD IDEA...................................................................... 40% DON'T KNOW ............................................................... 19%
REP 47% 33% 20%
IND 46% 37% 17%
DEM 32% 49% 18%
BAT 41% 40% 19%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. IND results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. DEM results are based on 378 respondents, MoE = ±5.04 percent. BAT results are based on 462 respondents in 12 battleground states – CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI – MoE = ±4.56 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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38. What do you think is the maximum percentage that the federal government should take in taxes from any family that makes more than $250,000 per year (ROTATE FRONT TO BACK; BACK TO FRONT: ten percent, twenty percent, thirty percent, forty percent, fifty percent, sixty percent, or seventy percent or more)? ALL TEN................................................................................... 13% TWENTY.......................................................................... 22% THIRTY............................................................................ 31% FORTY ............................................................................. 12% FIFTY ................................................................................. 4% SIXTY................................................................................. 2% SEVENTY OR MORE ....................................................... 3% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ......................................... 14%
REP 17% 29% 27% 10% 3% 2% 1% 11%
IND 12% 23% 32% 10% 3% 2% 3% 16%
DEM 10% 16% 33% 15% 6% 1% 4% 15%
BAT 14% 21% 32% 12% 4% 1% 3% 14%
I would like to read you a pair of statements about tax policy and have you tell me which one you agree with more. IF ANSWERED, ASK: Do you strongly agree with that statement or somewhat agree with that statement? STRONG AGREE STM A
Tax Increases on the Wealthy 39. Congressman A says we need to raise taxes on the wealthy. We must have more tax revenue if we are ever going to reduce the deficit and make the wealthy pay their fair share.
ALL REP IND DEM BAT
Congressman B says we will never tax our way out of the deficit. The way to reduce the deficit is to restrain government spending and reform our tax code to generate more economic growth.
ALL REP IND DEM BAT
27% 7% 19% 51% 28%
SMWHT NOT SURE/ SMWHT AGREE DON'T KNOW AGREE STM A (VOL) STM B
10% 3% 10% 15% 11%
CONG A 37% 10% 29% 66% 39%
6% 2% 9% 6% 5%
16% 16% 19% 15% 16%
STRONG AGREE STM B
41% 73% 43% 13% 39%
CONG B 57% 89% 62% 28% 55%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. IND results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. DEM results are based on 378 respondents, MoE = ±5.04 percent. BAT results are based on 462 respondents in 12 battleground states – CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI – MoE = ±4.56 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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Energy I would like to read you a pair of statements about energy policy and have you tell me which one you agree with more. IF ANSWERED, ASK: Do you strongly agree with that statement or somewhat agree with that statement? STRONG AGREE STM A
Obama's Energy Plan 40. Congressman A says President Obama's energy policies have been good for the country. He has increased domestic oil production, while steering the country toward greater reliance on renewable sources of energy like solar and wind to reduce our dependence on foreign oil. Congressman B says President Obama's energy policies have been bad for the country. They have caused gasoline prices to double since he became President, he blocked the Keystone pipeline, and he supported new regulations that make it more difficult and expensive to produce domestic energy like oil, natural gas, and clean coal.
ALL REP IND DEM BAT
ALL REP IND DEM BAT
SMWHT NOT SURE/ SMWHT AGREE DON'T KNOW AGREE STM A (VOL) STM B
28% 4% 19% 56% 29%
18% 4% 21% 26% 18%
7% 4% 12% 5% 8%
CONG A 46% 8% 40% 82% 47%
12% 19% 14% 6% 10%
STRONG AGREE STM B
35% 69% 35% 7% 35%
CONG B 47% 88% 49% 13% 45%
Demographics Now I have a few questions just for statistical purposes. 41. In politics today, do you normally think of yourself as (ROTATE: a Republican, an independent, or a Democrat)? IF "REP" OR "DEM", ASK: Would you consider yourself a strong or a not-so-strong Republican/Democrat? IF "IND," ASK: Do you think of yourself as closer to the (ROTATE: Republican or Democratic Party)?
ALL STRONG REP ..................... 25% NOT-SO-STRONG REP ....... 5% IND LEAN REP .................... 9% IND/NO PREF ..................... 14% IND LEAN DEM................... 7% NOT-SO-STRONG DEM...... 6% STRONG DEM.................... 31% REFUSED.............................. 4%
BAT 27% 5% 7% 12% 8% 6% 33% 2%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. IND results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. DEM results are based on 378 respondents, MoE = ±5.04 percent. BAT results are based on 462 respondents in 12 battleground states – CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI – MoE = ±4.56 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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42. When thinking about politics today, do you normally consider yourself to be (ROTATE: very conservative, somewhat conservative, moderate, somewhat liberal, or very liberal)? ALL VERY CONSERVATIVE .............................................. 19% SOMEWHAT CONSERVATIVE .................................. 26% MODERATE .................................................................. 25% SOMEWHAT LIBERAL................................................ 17% VERY LIBERAL .............................................................. 9% NO OPINION ................................................................... 4%
REP 42% 40% 12% 3% 2% 2%
IND 10% 31% 38% 11% 5% 5%
DEM 10% 13% 24% 33% 18% 4%
BAT 18% 24% 27% 18% 10% 4%
REP 1% 17% 27% 42% 13% 1%
IND 2% 10% 30% 38% 19% 3%
DEM 1% 21% 21% 29% 25% 3%
BAT 1% 14% 25% 37% 20% 2%
REP 73% 13% 6% 6% 2%
IND 62% 22% 8% 5% 3%
DEM 56% 23% 10% 7% 4%
BAT 64% 21% 7% 6% 3%
REP 18% 30% 28% 22% 2%
IND 21% 33% 21% 20% 4%
DEM 34% 32% 18% 12% 5%
BAT 21% 34% 26% 14% 5%
REP 4% 9% 22% 24% 23% 18%
IND 7% 9% 25% 24% 22% 13%
DEM 3% 7% 17% 19% 35% 19%
BAT 4% 10% 20% 23% 26% 18%
43. Would you please stop me when I read the last level of education you completed? ALL LESS THAN HIGH SCHOOL ......................................... 1% HIGH SCHOOL GRAD ................................................. 16% SOME COLLEGE .......................................................... 26% COLLEGE GRAD .......................................................... 35% GRADUATE OR PROFESSIONAL SCHOOL............. 20% REFUSED (DO NOT READ) .......................................... 2% 44. Are you married, single, divorced, or widowed? ALL MARRIED ...................................................................... 63% SINGLE .......................................................................... 20% DIVORCED ...................................................................... 9% WIDOWED....................................................................... 6% REFUSED (DO NOT READ) .......................................... 3%
45. Would you say the area where you live is urban, suburban, small town, or rural? ALL URBAN........................................................................... 25% SUBURBAN ................................................................... 31% SMALL TOWN .............................................................. 22% RURAL ........................................................................... 18% REFUSED (DO NOT READ) .......................................... 4% 46. Would you please stop me when I read the correct category for your age? ALL 18 TO 24 ........................................................................... 5% 25 TO 29 ........................................................................... 8% 30 TO 39 ......................................................................... 21% 40 TO 49 ......................................................................... 22% 50 TO 64 ......................................................................... 27% 65 OR OLDER................................................................ 17%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. IND results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. DEM results are based on 378 respondents, MoE = ±5.04 percent. BAT results are based on 462 respondents in 12 battleground states – CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI – MoE = ±4.56 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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47. Would you please stop me when I read the correct category for your total household income? ALL $25,000 OR LESS........................................................... 13% $25,000 TO $50,000 ....................................................... 17% $50,000 TO $75,000 ....................................................... 18% $75,000 TO $100,000 ..................................................... 17% $100,000 TO $150,000 ................................................... 14% $150,000 TO $250,000 ..................................................... 4% $250,000 OR MORE......................................................... 3% REFUSED ....................................................................... 13%
REP 9% 19% 14% 18% 16% 6% 4% 14%
IND 14% 15% 23% 13% 13% 4% 4% 14%
DEM 16% 18% 18% 19% 12% 4% 2% 10%
BAT 13% 18% 18% 18% 12% 7% 3% 12%
48. Is your religious background Protestant, Catholic, Jewish or something else? (IF SOMETHING ELSE OR UNCLEAR RESPONSE ASK: Is that a Christian religion or not?) ALL PROTESTANT ............................................................... 27% CATHOLIC .................................................................... 27% OTHER CHRISTIAN ..................................................... 18% JEWISH ............................................................................ 2% OTHER NON-CHRISTIAN ........................................... 11% AGNOSTIC/ATHEIST..................................................... 1% NONE................................................................................ 7% DON'T KNOW (DNR) ..................................................... 2% REFUSED (DNR)............................................................. 5%
REP 39% 24% 20% 2% 6% 0% 5% 0% 3%
IND 25% 26% 16% 2% 14% 1% 8% 1% 7%
DEM 20% 29% 19% 3% 13% 1% 7% 3% 4%
BAT 28% 26% 18% 3% 9% 1% 8% 2% 6%
REP 42% 53% 5% 1%
IND 23% 71% 6% 1%
DEM 30% 68% 2% 1%
BAT 31% 65% 4% 1%
49. Would you call yourself an evangelical Christian or not? ALL YES ................................................................................. 32% NO ................................................................................... 63% DON'T KNOW (DNR) ..................................................... 4% REFUSED (DNR)............................................................. 0% Note: Results are based on 574 respondents. 50. Are you from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background? IF NO, ASK: What would you say is your main race: white, African American, Asian, or something else? ALL YES/HISPANIC................................................................ 9% NO/WHITE ..................................................................... 74% NO/BLACK/AFRICAN AMERICAN ........................... 13% NO/ASIAN........................................................................ 1% NO/OTHER ...................................................................... 3% REFUSED ......................................................................... 0%
REP 5% 91% 2% 1% 1% 0%
IND 9% 80% 5% 1% 5% 0%
DEM 13% 57% 28% 1% 2% 0%
BAT 6% 75% 15% 1% 3% 0%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. IND results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. DEM results are based on 378 respondents, MoE = ±5.04 percent. BAT results are based on 462 respondents in 12 battleground states – CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI – MoE = ±4.56 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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51. Gender (from observation): ALL MALE ............................................................................. 46% FEMALE......................................................................... 54%
REP 44% 56%
IND 55% 45%
DEM 39% 61%
BAT 46% 54%
52. Finally, in what state do you live? That's all the questions I have. Thank you very much for sharing your opinions with us.
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. IND results are based on 294 respondents, MoE = ±5.72 percent. DEM results are based on 378 respondents, MoE = ±5.04 percent. BAT results are based on 462 respondents in 12 battleground states – CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI – MoE = ±4.56 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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