RR HLN Hispanic State Survey Toplines
RESURGENT REPUBLIC/HISPANIC LEADERSHIP NETWORK SURVEY OF HISPANIC 2012 VOTERS IN FL, CO, NM, AND NV NOVEMBER 28 – DECEMBER 7, 2012 Hello, this is _____ with North Star Opinion Research, a national public opinion research company. We're talking with people in your area today about some issues facing the country. We are not trying to sell anything, your answers are completely confidential, and we would really appreciate your cooperation (DO NOT PAUSE). FOR CELL PHONE SAMPLE: CELL 1. Have I reached you on a cell phone? YES ........................................................................................... 1 GO TO Q. CELL 2 NO ............................................................................................. 2 GO TO Q. A CELL 2. Are you in a place right now where you can safely take the survey? YES ........................................................................................... 1 GO TO Q. A NO ............................................................................................. 2 SCHED. CALLBACK REFUSE TO TAKE SURVEY................................................. 3 THANK AND CLOSE A. Would you prefer to continue the survey in English or in Spanish? FL ENGLISH............................................................................... 80% SPANISH ............................................................................... 20%
CO 89% 11%
NM 93% 7%
NV 90% 10%
B. Are you registered to vote in the county in which you live? YES ........................................................................................... 1 GO TO Q. D NO ............................................................................................. 2 GO TO Q. C C. Is there anyone else in your household who is registered to vote in your county? IF YES, ASK: May I speak with that person, please? YES ........................................................................................... 1 GO TO INTRO NO ............................................................................................. 2 THANK AND CLOSE D. Do you consider yourself to be of Hispanic or Latino origin or descent, such as Mexican, Mexican-American, Puerto Rican, Cuban, Central or South American, or some other Latin American background? FL YES/MEXICAN/MEXICAN-AMERICAN/CHICANO....... 15% YES/PUERTO RICAN .......................................................... 19% YES/CUBAN ......................................................................... 33% YES/CENTRAL AMERICAN ............................................... 8% YES/SOUTH AMERICAN ................................................... 16% YES/OTHER (SPECIFY) ....................................................... 7% YES/DOMINICAN (VOLUNTEERED)................................ 3%
CO 69% 2% 1% 3% 5% 21% 0%
NM 67% 2% 0% 1% 3% 27% 0%
NV 68% 5% 3% 9% 3% 11% 1%
Results are based on 400 weighted cases per state, MoE = ±4.90 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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E. Some people have a chance to vote, while others just can’t get to the polls. How about you? Did you get a chance to vote in the presidential election? IF YES, ASK: Did you vote in person on Election Day, or before election day by absentee ballot or early voting? FL VOTED ON ELECTION DAY ............................................. 48% VOTED EARLY BY ABSENTEE BALLOT ....................... 20% VOTED IN EARLY VOTING .............................................. 32%
CO 24% 40% 36%
NM 47% 10% 43%
NV 31% 7% 62%
1. Keeping in mind that this survey is completely confidential, in the election for President, did you vote for (ROTATE: Mitt Romney, the Republican, or Barack Obama, the Democrat)? FL ROMNEY .............................................................................. 39% OBAMA................................................................................. 60% ANOTHER CANDIDATE (VOL.) ........................................ 0% DID NOT VOTE FOR PRES/REFUSED .............................. 1%
CO 23% 75% 1% 1%
NM 29% 65% 2% 4%
NV 25% 70% 2% 3%
2. When did you make up your mind for whom to vote for President: before the national conventions, between the national conventions and the start of debates, during the period in October when the debates were held, after the debates but prior to the last week before the election, during the last week before the election, or on the day of the election? FL BEFORE NATIONAL CONVENTIONS ............................. 66% BETWEEN CONVENTIONS AND DEBATES ................... 5% DURING DEBATE PERIOD ................................................. 9% AFTER DEBATES/BEFORE LAST WEEK ........................ 12% DURING THE LAST WEEK................................................. 2% ON DAY OF ELECTION....................................................... 3% DON'T KNOW ....................................................................... 4%
CO 70% 5% 7% 9% 3% 3% 4%
NM 61% 9% 12% 9% 4% 5% 2%
NV 62% 7% 9% 11% 3% 6% 2%
3. Which comes closer to your likely vote for President in 2016: (ROTATE FRONT TO BACK, BACK TO FRONT: I am likely to vote for a Democrat; I will consider both parties, and may vote for the Republican if I like the candidate and their policies; I am likely to vote for a Republican)? FL LIKELY DEMOCRAT.......................................................... 36% CONSIDER BOTH................................................................ 29% LIKELY REPUBLICAN ....................................................... 23% DON'T KNOW/REFUSED.................................................... 12%
CO 48% 25% 16% 12%
NM 36% 32% 21% 13%
NV 41% 28% 17% 14%
4. In the race for the U.S. House of Representatives in your district, did you vote for (ROTATE: the Republican candidate, or the Democratic candidate)? FL REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE .............................................. 38% DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATE ............................................. 54% ANOTHER CANDIDATE (VOL) ......................................... 2% DON'T KNOW/REFUSED..................................................... 7%
CO 22% 72% 2% 4%
NM 31% 63% 1% 6%
NV 27% 67% 2% 5%
Results are based on 400 weighted cases per state, MoE = ±4.90 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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5.
Was this your first time voting in a U.S. election? FL YES ......................................................................................... 9% NO .......................................................................................... 91% DON'T KNOW/REFUSED..................................................... 0%
6.
CO 8% 93% 0%
NM 7% 93% 1%
NV 15% 85% 0%
Would you say that America is headed in the right direction, or have things gotten off on the wrong track? FL RIGHT DIRECTION ............................................................. 49% WRONG TRACK .................................................................. 39% DON'T KNOW ...................................................................... 12%
CO 63% 30% 7%
NM 55% 35% 10%
NV 60% 34% 6%
7. Over the last four years, do you think the situation for Hispanics and Latinos in the United States is (ROTATE: better, about the same, or worse)? FL BETTER................................................................................. 35% ABOUT THE SAME ............................................................. 37% WORSE.................................................................................. 22% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ............................................... 7% 8.
NM 37% 39% 18% 7%
NV 36% 40% 20% 4%
NM 61% 34% 5%
NV 60% 35% 6%
Which of the following statements comes closer to your view: (ROTATE) a.
Government should do more to solve problems and help meet the needs of people.
b.
Government is doing too many things better left to individuals and businesses. FL GOVT SHOULD DO MORE ................................................ 50% GOVT DOING TOO MANY THINGS................................. 40% DON'T KNOW ...................................................................... 10%
9.
CO 37% 41% 15% 7%
CO 60% 30% 10%
Which of the following statements comes closer to your view: (ROTATE)
a. Government policies should promote fairness by narrowing the gap between rich and poor, making the rich pay a higher share, and reducing income inequality. b. Government policies should promote opportunity by fostering job growth, encouraging entrepreneurs, and allowing hardworking people to keep more of what they earn. FL PROMOTE FAIRNESS......................................................... 43% PROMOTE OPPORTUNITY................................................ 53% DON'T KNOW ....................................................................... 4%
CO 52% 42% 6%
NM 47% 48% 5%
NV 45% 48% 8%
Results are based on 400 weighted cases per state, MoE = ±4.90 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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Now I would like to read you a list of names and have you tell me, for each one, whether you've heard of that person or group and, if so, whether you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them. If you haven't heard of the person or group, just say so (RANDOMIZE): IF FAVORABLE/UNFAVORABLE: Would that be very (FAVORABLE/UNFAVORABLE) or just somewhat (FAVORABLE/UNFAVORABLE)?
10. Barack Obama
FL CO NM NV
VERY FAV
SMWHT FAV
SMWHT UNFAV
VERY UNFAV
NO OPINION
NEVER HEARD OF
49% 59% 53% 56%
15% 19% 19% 16%
7% 4% 4% 6%
27% 16% 22% 20%
3% 2% 3% 2%
0% 0% 0% 0%
37% 51% 42% 45%
4% 4% 7% 7%
1% 1% 2% 1%
4% 5% 20% 3%
13% 10% 6% 10%
61% 57% 7% 55%
26% 12% 8% 14%
9% 10% 11% 11%
5% 41% 40% 30%
FL CO NM NV 11. Mitt Romney
FL CO NM NV
64% 78% 72% 72% 22% 15% 16% 19%
FL CO NM NV 12. Susana Martinez
22% 11% 18% 13%
FL 7% CO 10% NM 27% NV 14%
FL CO NM NV FL CO NM NV
14% 18% 16% 17%
44% 26% 34% 32%
FL CO NM NV 13. Marco Rubio
34% 20% 26% 26%
51% 69% 58% 62% 11% 13% 26% 15%
4% 5% 15% 4%
18% 23% 53% 29% 30% 13% 16% 18%
8% 10% 35% 7% 19% 15% 16% 15%
11% 11% 10% 12%
49% 28% 32% 33%
37% 23% 18% 26%
Results are based on 400 weighted cases per state, MoE = ±4.90 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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VERY FAV
14. Brian Sandoval
FL 4% CO 5% NM 3% NV 21% FL CO NM NV
15. The Democratic Party
FL CO NM NV
FL CO NM NV FL CO NM NV
SMWHT UNFAV
VERY UNFAV
NO OPINION
NEVER HEARD OF
6% 7% 11% 26%
4% 4% 4% 15%
4% 4% 0% 12%
13% 8% 8% 9%
70% 71% 75% 18%
21% 15% 17% 17%
8% 5% 6% 7%
1% 0% 2% 0%
29% 43% 31% 34%
8% 9% 10% 9%
2% 2% 3% 1%
10% 12% 14% 47% 34% 47% 36% 40%
FL CO NM NV 16. The Republican Party
SMWHT FAV
8% 8% 4% 27% 26% 25% 30% 29%
9% 8% 9% 7%
60% 72% 66% 69% 21% 13% 14% 12%
30% 23% 26% 24% 23% 17% 21% 21%
18% 18% 22% 24%
44% 30% 35% 33%
47% 61% 53% 58%
17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? IF APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE, ASK: Would that be strongly (approve/disapprove), or just somewhat (approve/disapprove)? FL STRONGLY APPROVE ....................................................... 40% SOMEWHAT APPROVE ..................................................... 22% SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE ................................................ 9% STRONGLY DISAPPROVE................................................. 27% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ............................................... 3%
CO 53% 23% 5% 18% 2%
NM 46% 23% 5% 22% 4%
NV 48% 22% 6% 21% 4%
APPROVE ............................................................................. 62% DISAPPROVE ....................................................................... 36% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ............................................... 3%
76% 23% 2%
69% 27% 4%
70% 27% 4%
Results are based on 400 weighted cases per state, MoE = ±4.90 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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18. Do you think that President Barack Obama has or has not delivered on the promises he has made to Hispanic voters during his presidential campaigns? FL HAS DELIVERED ................................................................ 45% HAS NOT DELIVERED ....................................................... 48% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ............................................... 7%
CO 53% 37% 11%
NM 54% 36% 11%
NV 47% 42% 11%
How important were each of the following issues in deciding which candidates to support for President and Congress. Please use a scale where 1 is not important at all, and 5 is extremely important. (RANDOMIZE) NOT IMPORTANT AT ALL
EXTREMELY IMPORTANT
DON'T KNOW
19. Economy and jobs
FL CO NM NV
3% 2% 3% 4%
1% 3% 3% 2%
5% 8% 8% 7%
11% 16% 14% 16%
78% 71% 71% 71%
1% 2% 1% 1%
20. Education
FL CO NM NV
3% 4% 3% 4%
3% 4% 3% 3%
9% 9% 12% 11%
15% 16% 18% 14%
70% 66% 64% 67%
2% 1% 1% 1%
21. Federal deficits and debt
FL CO NM NV
6% 4% 6% 4%
4% 4% 3% 5%
13% 16% 19% 18%
15% 20% 17% 14%
59% 52% 52% 56%
3% 4% 4% 3%
22. Health care
FL CO NM NV
6% 8% 6% 6%
4% 3% 4% 2%
11% 9% 11% 11%
13% 15% 16% 15%
66% 63% 63% 65%
1% 3% 1% 0%
23. Immigration
FL CO NM NV
8% 7% 9% 8%
8% 9% 10% 7%
24% 25% 26% 20%
19% 16% 16% 18%
40% 42% 37% 47%
2% 2% 2% 1%
24. Taxes
FL CO NM NV
5% 4% 6% 7%
3% 3% 5% 3%
20% 22% 17% 18%
17% 22% 23% 20%
54% 47% 48% 50%
2% 3% 2% 2%
Results are based on 400 weighted cases per state, MoE = ±4.90 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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Would you please tell me if you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose each of the following policy options: (RANDOMIZE) STRONG SUPPORT
25. Taking aggressive steps to seek out and deport as many undocumented immigrants as possible.
FL CO NM NV
SMWHT SUPPORT
SMWHT OPPOSE
STRONG OPPOSE
DON'T KNOW
20% 19% 23% 16%
17% 18% 20% 21%
34% 38% 30% 33%
7% 6% 6% 9%
6% 8% 9% 10%
4% 4% 3% 3%
9% 9% 11% 8%
4% 3% 2% 2%
7% 6% 9% 6%
1% 2% 2% 2%
5% 5% 8% 6%
2% 1% 3% 3%
23% 20% 21% 22%
FL CO NM NV
43% 39% 44% 38%
51% 56% 50% 54%
26. Setting up a guest worker program FL 59% where people would come to America CO 50% legally for a limited time to work in NM 47% areas like agriculture, after which they NV 53% would be required to return to their home countries. These workers would FL 87% be allowed to return for the work CO 81% season each year. NM 80% NV 79%
28% 31% 33% 26%
27. Allowing undocumented immigrants who have been here for years to earn legal status if they pay a fine, have a job, and learn English.
24% 26% 32% 25%
FL CO NM NV
59% 57% 49% 59%
FL CO NM NV 28. Allowing children of undocumented immigrants who have been here for years to earn legal status if they graduate from college.
FL CO NM NV
FL CO NM NV FL CO NM NV
11% 15% 17% 18% 5% 6% 6% 5%
83% 83% 81% 84% 70% 67% 56% 69%
FL CO NM NV 29. Allowing children of undocumented immigrants who have been here for years to earn legal status if they serve four years in the U.S. military.
5% 7% 8% 8%
14% 15% 17% 13% 19% 20% 28% 19%
4% 5% 5% 5%
89% 87% 84% 88% 72% 68% 59% 68%
11% 11% 14% 11% 19% 22% 24% 18%
91% 90% 83% 86%
3% 4% 6% 5% 8% 9% 14% 11%
Results are based on 400 weighted cases per state, MoE = ±4.90 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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STRONG SUPPORT
30. Allowing children of undocumented FL 58% immigrants who have been here for CO 55% years to get in-state tuition at public NM 38% colleges and universities in their home NV 57% states. FL CO NM NV 31. Allowing the children of undocumented immigrants who were not born in the U.S. to apply for legal status for their parents.
FL CO NM NV
FL CO NM NV
FL CO NM NV FL CO NM NV
STRONG OPPOSE
DON'T KNOW
18% 23% 32% 20%
7% 8% 11% 6%
14% 12% 15% 15%
3% 3% 3% 3%
12% 11% 17% 11%
3% 4% 2% 5%
5% 10% 6% 9%
3% 3% 3% 4%
5% 3% 7% 6%
2% 2% 2% 2%
76% 78% 70% 77%
21% 20% 26% 21% 27% 28% 35% 24%
12% 9% 13% 11%
74% 76% 69% 74% 67% 56% 63% 61%
FL CO NM NV 33. Allowing undocumented immigrants who have been working and paying taxes in the United States, and can pass a background check, to get a temporary work visa to stay in the country for two years. This work visa could be renewed if the worker stays employed and follows the law.
SMWHT OPPOSE
47% 48% 34% 50%
FL CO NM NV 32. Increasing our border security along the Mexican border, to ensure that people who enter the United States do so legally, and to ensure the safety of U.S. residents.
SMWHT SUPPORT
24% 20% 30% 22% 19% 25% 22% 18%
7% 7% 7% 8%
86% 81% 85% 79% 70% 70% 62% 68%
12% 17% 13% 17% 20% 23% 27% 22%
3% 3% 2% 3%
90% 93% 89% 90%
8% 6% 9% 9%
34. If you agreed with a candidate on most issues, but disagreed with them on immigration policy, would you still vote for that candidate, or not? FL YES, WOULD VOTE FOR................................................... 59% NO, WOULD NOT VOTE FOR ........................................... 29% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION .............................................. 12%
CO 53% 33% 14%
NM 58% 29% 13%
NV 54% 34% 12%
Results are based on 400 weighted cases per state, MoE = ±4.90 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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35. Who do you blame most for the government’s failure to pass immigration reform legislation over the last few years: (ROTATE: President Obama, Democrats in Congress, or Republicans in Congress)? FL PRESIDENT OBAMA .......................................................... 15% DEMOCRATS IN CONGRESS ............................................ 13% REPUBLICANS IN CONGRESS ......................................... 48% ALL EQUALLY (VOL.) ....................................................... 16% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ............................................... 9%
CO 15% 9% 57% 9% 11%
NM 11% 15% 48% 13% 14%
NV 16% 11% 52% 13% 9%
36. Which of the following statements comes closer to your view (ROTATE): a. The best way to improve the economy and increase job opportunities for Hispanics is to increase government investment in job training, education, and infrastructure. b. The best way to improve the economy and increase job opportunities for Hispanics is to limit government spending, lower taxes, and reduce excessive regulations that hurt small businesses. FL INCREASE INVESTMENTS ............................................... 52% LIMIT SPENDING/TAXES/REGULATIONS..................... 42% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ............................................... 6%
CO 52% 38% 10%
NM 55% 39% 7%
NV 53% 40% 6%
37. Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: Small businesses are struggling from taxes that are too high and regulations that are too burdensome? FL AGREE .................................................................................. 51% DISAGREE ............................................................................ 41% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ............................................... 8%
CO 60% 31% 9%
NM 62% 29% 9%
NV 61% 31% 8%
ROTATE QUESTIONS 38 AND 39 38. Which of the following two statements on private school choice comes closer to your view (ROTATE): a. At a time of shrinking state budgets, spending tax dollars on private schools instead of public schools hurts the education of all students. b. Improving education is a top responsibility for our states, and giving parents more control helps disabled and low-income students find the school that is right for them. FL HURTS EDUCATION .......................................................... 38% HELPS STUDENTS .............................................................. 58% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ............................................... 5%
CO 34% 57% 10%
NM 33% 60% 7%
NV 33% 60% 8%
Results are based on 400 weighted cases per state, MoE = ±4.90 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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39. Which of the following two statements on teacher merit pay comes closer to your view (ROTATE): a. Tying teacher pay to student achievement is unfair, because teachers don’t have control over the quality of their students and whether they have a good learning environment at home. b. Tying teacher pay to student achievement is fair, because teachers who help their students more should be rewarded and the program gives extra incentives to teachers in low-performing schools. FL MERIT PAY UNFAIR .......................................................... 42% MERIT PAY FAIR ................................................................ 50% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ............................................... 8%
CO 42% 48% 10%
NM 40% 52% 8%
NV 38% 54% 8%
CO 38% 53% 9%
NM 48% 40% 12%
NV 38% 51% 12%
40. Do you consider yourself to be (ROTATE: pro-life or pro-choice) on abortion? FL PRO-LIFE .............................................................................. 39% PRO-CHOICE........................................................................ 49% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION .............................................. 12%
41. Which of the following comes closest to your view (ROTATE TOP-TO-BOTTOM, BOTTOM-TO-TOP): a)
I support gay marriage.
b) I support civil unions for homosexual couples, but not gay marriage. c)
I do not support any legal recognition of homosexual relationships. FL GAY MARRIAGE................................................................. 38% CIVIL UNIONS ..................................................................... 26% NO LEGAL RECOGNITION ............................................... 30% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ............................................... 6%
CO 44% 19% 29% 8%
NM 33% 24% 33% 11%
NV 41% 20% 31% 8%
ROTATE QUESTIONS 42 AND 43 42. Regardless of how you typically vote, do you think that the Democratic Party respects the values and concerns of the Hispanic community? FL YES ........................................................................................ 67% NO .......................................................................................... 28% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ............................................... 5%
CO 76% 20% 5%
NM 72% 23% 5%
NV 73% 23% 4%
43. Regardless of how you typically vote, do you think that the Republican Party respects the values and concerns of the Hispanic community? FL YES ........................................................................................ 44% NO .......................................................................................... 51% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ............................................... 6%
CO 30% 63% 8%
NM 40% 54% 6%
NV 35% 59% 6%
Results are based on 400 weighted cases per state, MoE = ±4.90 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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Now I would like to read you a list of phrases. For each one, would you please tell me if that phrase better describes (ROTATE: the Republican Party or the Democratic Party). (RANDOMIZE) REP PARTY
DEM PARTY
BOTH (VOL.)
NEITHER (VOL.)
DON'T KNOW
44. Cares about helping the middle class.
FL CO NM NV
28% 19% 21% 20%
61% 72% 69% 71%
5% 5% 4% 3%
3% 2% 4% 3%
2% 4% 3% 3%
45. Cares primarily about helping rich people.
FL CO NM NV
63% 66% 67% 65%
19% 21% 19% 23%
6% 3% 3% 4%
7% 3% 6% 3%
6% 8% 6% 6%
46. Understands the needs and concerns of Hispanic voters.
FL CO NM NV
19% 12% 14% 12%
62% 74% 69% 73%
8% 5% 5% 5%
7% 5% 7% 5%
5% 4% 5% 5%
47. Works to protect women’s rights.
FL CO NM NV
18% 14% 19% 16%
63% 72% 68% 72%
13% 7% 6% 6%
3% 3% 1% 3%
4% 5% 6% 4%
48. Has the right plans at the state level to improve education for all children.
FL CO NM NV
24% 18% 24% 23%
56% 69% 56% 65%
10% 3% 8% 4%
4% 3% 6% 4%
6% 7% 8% 5%
49. Is anti-immigrant.
FL CO NM NV
54% 53% 55% 56%
20% 29% 23% 25%
5% 3% 1% 3%
13% 5% 10% 8%
9% 10% 11% 9%
50. Makes an effort to win Hispanic voters.
FL CO NM NV
16% 12% 11% 11%
68% 77% 77% 79%
12% 5% 6% 5%
2% 1% 2% 2%
3% 5% 4% 3%
51. Views the Hispanic community as a group, rather than as individuals.
FL CO NM NV
33% 35% 32% 33%
50% 50% 51% 54%
7% 5% 6% 4%
2% 2% 2% 2%
9% 9% 10% 7%
52. Has ideas that will reduce the federal deficit.
FL CO NM NV
39% 30% 33% 38%
42% 55% 52% 48%
7% 6% 6% 5%
5% 3% 3% 3%
8% 7% 8% 6%
53. Has ideas that will improve the economy.
FL CO NM NV
37% 24% 32% 29%
48% 63% 53% 59%
9% 7% 8% 6%
4% 3% 3% 3%
3% 3% 5% 3%
Results are based on 400 weighted cases per state, MoE = ±4.90 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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REP PARTY
DEM PARTY
BOTH (VOL.)
NEITHER (VOL.)
DON'T KNOW
54. Shares my values on social issues like gay marriage and abortion.
FL CO NM NV
23% 21% 24% 15%
65% 68% 60% 70%
2% 2% 2% 4%
3% 3% 4% 3%
8% 6% 10% 8%
55. Supports legal immigration.
FL CO NM NV
24% 19% 18% 18%
58% 71% 65% 69%
12% 4% 7% 6%
4% 2% 4% 3%
2% 5% 7% 5%
56. Has ideas that will help small businesses grow.
FL CO NM NV
38% 27% 34% 35%
50% 63% 56% 56%
5% 4% 4% 4%
3% 2% 2% 2%
4% 5% 5% 4%
ROTATE QUESTIONS 57 AND 58 57. Were you personally contacted by the Obama campaign through a telephone call, email, text message, or some other means? IF YES, ASK: How many times were you contacted by the Obama campaign: once, two to four times, or five times or more? FL NO, NO CONTACT .............................................................. 32% YES/ONCE ............................................................................. 9% YES/TWO TO FOUR TIMES ............................................... 23% YES/FIVE TIMES OR MORE .............................................. 32% DON'T KNOW ....................................................................... 4%
CO 20% 7% 23% 47% 4%
NM 35% 11% 24% 25% 5%
NV 19% 8% 20% 50% 4%
58. Were you personally contacted by the Romney campaign through a telephone call, email, text message, or some other means? IF YES, ASK: How many times were you contacted by the Romney campaign: once, two to four times, or five times or more? FL NO, NO CONTACT .............................................................. 39% YES/ONCE ............................................................................. 9% YES/TWO TO FOUR TIMES ............................................... 19% YES/FIVE TIMES OR MORE .............................................. 30% DON'T KNOW ....................................................................... 3%
CO 39% 7% 22% 31% 2%
NM 52% 10% 15% 19% 5%
NV 37% 4% 22% 33% 5%
Results are based on 400 weighted cases per state, MoE = ±4.90 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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59. What are your main sources of information about politics and government? (READ AND ALLOW UP TO THREE RESPONSES) FL NEWSPAPERS...................................................................... 38% INTERNET NEWS SITES .................................................... 41% INTERNET POLITICAL BLOGS ........................................ 14% SOCIAL MEDIA LIKE TWITTER OR FACEBOOK .......... 9% RADIO NEWS....................................................................... 20% TALK RADIO PROGRAMS ................................................. 9% BROADCAST TELEVISION NEWS................................... 32% CABLE TELEVISION .......................................................... 49% LETTERS AND BROCHURES IN THE MAIL.................... 7% OTHER (VOLUNTEERED) .................................................. 2% DON’T KNOW (DO NOT READ) ........................................ 2% REFUSED (DO NOT READ) ................................................ 0%
CO 38% 31% 8% 7% 19% 14% 35% 45% 10% 2% 1% 1%
NM 43% 30% 8% 9% 19% 12% 40% 42% 9% 2% 2% 0%
NV 33% 33% 10% 14% 21% 11% 30% 44% 11% 4% 0% 1%
Note: Totals exceed 100% because multiple responses were accepted. Now I have a few questions just for statistical purposes. 60. In politics today, do you normally think of yourself as (ROTATE: a Republican, an independent, or a Democrat)? IF "REP" OR "DEM", ASK: Would you consider yourself a strong or a not-so-strong Republican/Democrat? IF "IND," ASK: Do you think of yourself as closer to the (ROTATE: Republican or Democratic Party)?
FL STRONG REP ............................ 20% NOT-SO-STRONG REP ............. 6% IND LEAN REP ......................... 11% IND/NO PREF ............................. 7% IND LEAN DEM........................ 14% NOT-SO-STRONG DEM............ 7% STRONG DEM........................... 33% REFUSED.................................... 4%
CO 13% 3% 5% 5% 14% 12% 46% 3%
NM 14% 8% 6% 5% 11% 15% 40% 3%
NV 11% 4% 7% 6% 14% 11% 42% 5%
61. When thinking about politics today, do you normally consider yourself to be (ROTATE: very conservative, somewhat conservative, moderate, somewhat liberal, or very liberal)? FL VERY CONSERVATIVE ..................................................... 19% SOMEWHAT CONSERVATIVE ......................................... 25% MODERATE ......................................................................... 24% SOMEWHAT LIBERAL....................................................... 18% VERY LIBERAL ................................................................... 10% NO OPINION ......................................................................... 4%
CO 19% 19% 22% 20% 14% 7%
NM 21% 26% 23% 16% 9% 6%
NV 15% 25% 22% 21% 12% 5%
Results are based on 400 weighted cases per state, MoE = ±4.90 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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62. Would you please stop me when I read the last level of education you completed? FL LESS THAN HIGH SCHOOL ............................................... 5% HIGH SCHOOL GRADUATE.............................................. 16% SOME COLLEGE ................................................................. 21% COLLEGE GRADUATE ...................................................... 37% GRADUATE OR PROFESSIONAL SCHOOL.................... 18% REFUSED (DO NOT READ) ................................................ 3%
CO 8% 22% 28% 25% 13% 5%
NM 8% 19% 30% 22% 19% 2%
NV 8% 24% 30% 20% 14% 4%
63. Are you or is anyone in your immediate family a member of a labor union? IF YES, ASK: Is it a government employee or private sector union? FL YES/GOVERNMENT EMPLOYEE UNION........................ 9% YES/PRIVATE SECTOR UNION ......................................... 6% NO .......................................................................................... 82% DON'T KNOW ....................................................................... 3%
CO 12% 10% 75% 4%
NM 9% 8% 79% 4%
NV 8% 21% 66% 5%
CO 7% 6% 7% 8% 11% 9% 10% 11% 9% 24% 0%
NM 6% 7% 8% 6% 9% 13% 10% 13% 10% 18% 1%
NV 11% 5% 6% 8% 8% 8% 10% 10% 11% 22% 1%
64. Would you please stop me when I read the correct category for your age? FL 18 TO 24 ................................................................................. 5% 25 TO 29 ................................................................................. 4% 30 TO 34 ................................................................................. 7% 35 TO 39 ................................................................................. 6% 40 TO 44 ................................................................................ 10% 45 TO 49 ................................................................................ 13% 50 TO 54 ................................................................................ 14% 55 TO 59 ................................................................................. 9% 60 TO 64 ................................................................................. 8% 65 OR OLDER....................................................................... 25% REFUSED (DO NOT READ) ................................................ 0%
65. Would you please stop me when I read the correct category for your total household income? FL $25,000 OR LESS.................................................................. 15% $25,000 TO $50,000 .............................................................. 21% $50,000 TO $75,000 .............................................................. 19% $75,000 TO $100,000 ............................................................ 14% $100,000 TO $150,000 .......................................................... 11% $150,000 TO $250,000 ........................................................... 4% $250,000 OR MORE............................................................... 4% REFUSED (DNR).................................................................. 13%
CO 17% 21% 22% 16% 8% 4% 2% 11%
NM 19% 22% 21% 12% 11% 4% 2% 10%
NV 13% 27% 23% 9% 10% 4% 1% 13%
Results are based on 400 weighted cases per state, MoE = ±4.90 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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66. Is your religious background Protestant, Catholic, Jewish or something else? (IF SOMETHING ELSE OR UNCLEAR RESPONSE ASK: Is that a Christian religion or not?) FL PROTESTANT ....................................................................... 9% CATHOLIC ........................................................................... 63% OTHER CHRISTIAN ............................................................ 10% JEWISH .................................................................................. 1% OTHER NON-CHRISTIAN ................................................... 3% AGNOSTIC/ATHEIST........................................................... 1% NONE...................................................................................... 7% DON'T KNOW (DNR) ........................................................... 0% REFUSED (DNR)................................................................... 5%
CO 9% 58% 14% 0% 5% 1% 6% 1% 8%
NM 6% 70% 11% 0% 3% 1% 6% 0% 3%
NV 6% 60% 13% 1% 7% 1% 7% 1% 5%
CO 23% 72% 4% 1%
NM 29% 66% 5% 0%
NV 26% 69% 5% 1%
CO 22% 55% 10% 7% 6%
NM 19% 61% 12% 5% 3%
NV 25% 57% 10% 4% 3%
CO 33% 62% 6%
NM 33% 65% 3%
NV 29% 68% 4%
67. Would you call yourself an evangelical Christian or not? FL YES ........................................................................................ 27% NO .......................................................................................... 71% DON'T KNOW (DNR) ........................................................... 2% REFUSED (DNR)................................................................... 0% Note: Results based on Christian respondents. 68. Are you single, married, divorced, or widowed? FL SINGLE ................................................................................. 17% MARRIED ............................................................................. 57% DIVORCED ........................................................................... 14% WIDOWED............................................................................. 7% REFUSED (DNR)................................................................... 6% 69. Do you have any children under the age of 18 living with you? FL YES ........................................................................................ 29% NO .......................................................................................... 67% REFUSED (DNR)................................................................... 5%
70. In your home, do you speak only English, mostly English, mostly Spanish, or only Spanish? FL ONLY ENGLISH .................................................................. 12% MOSTLY ENGLISH ............................................................. 43% MOSTLY SPANISH.............................................................. 26% ONLY SPANISH .................................................................... 9% DON’T KNOW/REFUSED ................................................... 11%
CO 35% 43% 10% 2% 9%
NM 27% 55% 10% 2% 8%
NV 29% 40% 18% 4% 8%
Results are based on 400 weighted cases per state, MoE = ±4.90 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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71. How often do you watch Spanish-language television or listen to Spanish-language radio: (ROTATE FRONT TO BACK, BACK TO FRONT) every day, a few times a week, a few times a month, or almost never? FL EVERY DAY......................................................................... 38% FEW TIMES A WEEK.......................................................... 19% FEW TIMES A MONTH....................................................... 10% ALMOST NEVER ................................................................. 28% DON’T KNOW/REFUSED .................................................... 6%
CO 21% 13% 16% 45% 6%
NM 19% 21% 15% 42% 3%
NV 27% 20% 14% 35% 4%
CO 79% 16% 5%
NM 89% 9% 2%
NV 67% 29% 4%
CO 83% 15% 2%
NM 90% 9% 1%
NV 61% 38% 1%
72. Were you born in the United States? FL YES ........................................................................................ 38% NO .......................................................................................... 56% REFUSED ............................................................................... 6% 73. Were your parents born in the United States? FL YES ........................................................................................ 44% NO .......................................................................................... 55% REFUSED ............................................................................... 1%
Note: Results based on respondents who were born in the United States. 74. Keeping in mind that your answer is anonymous and confidential, do you personally know anyone who is an undocumented immigrant? FL YES ........................................................................................ 34% NO .......................................................................................... 58% DON'T KNOW/REFUSED..................................................... 7%
CO 44% 47% 9%
NM 43% 52% 5%
NV 43% 50% 7%
CO 50% 50%
NM 52% 48%
NV 56% 44%
75. Gender (from observation): FL MALE .................................................................................... 50% FEMALE................................................................................ 50%
That's all the questions I have. Thank you very much for sharing your opinions with us. 76. STATE:
_________________________________________________
77. COUNTY:
_________________________________________________
Results are based on 400 weighted cases per state, MoE = ±4.90 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
North Star Opinion Research Page 16
CO 89% 11%
NM 93% 7%
NV 90% 10%
B. Are you registered to vote in the county in which you live? YES ........................................................................................... 1 GO TO Q. D NO ............................................................................................. 2 GO TO Q. C C. Is there anyone else in your household who is registered to vote in your county? IF YES, ASK: May I speak with that person, please? YES ........................................................................................... 1 GO TO INTRO NO ............................................................................................. 2 THANK AND CLOSE D. Do you consider yourself to be of Hispanic or Latino origin or descent, such as Mexican, Mexican-American, Puerto Rican, Cuban, Central or South American, or some other Latin American background? FL YES/MEXICAN/MEXICAN-AMERICAN/CHICANO....... 15% YES/PUERTO RICAN .......................................................... 19% YES/CUBAN ......................................................................... 33% YES/CENTRAL AMERICAN ............................................... 8% YES/SOUTH AMERICAN ................................................... 16% YES/OTHER (SPECIFY) ....................................................... 7% YES/DOMINICAN (VOLUNTEERED)................................ 3%
CO 69% 2% 1% 3% 5% 21% 0%
NM 67% 2% 0% 1% 3% 27% 0%
NV 68% 5% 3% 9% 3% 11% 1%
Results are based on 400 weighted cases per state, MoE = ±4.90 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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E. Some people have a chance to vote, while others just can’t get to the polls. How about you? Did you get a chance to vote in the presidential election? IF YES, ASK: Did you vote in person on Election Day, or before election day by absentee ballot or early voting? FL VOTED ON ELECTION DAY ............................................. 48% VOTED EARLY BY ABSENTEE BALLOT ....................... 20% VOTED IN EARLY VOTING .............................................. 32%
CO 24% 40% 36%
NM 47% 10% 43%
NV 31% 7% 62%
1. Keeping in mind that this survey is completely confidential, in the election for President, did you vote for (ROTATE: Mitt Romney, the Republican, or Barack Obama, the Democrat)? FL ROMNEY .............................................................................. 39% OBAMA................................................................................. 60% ANOTHER CANDIDATE (VOL.) ........................................ 0% DID NOT VOTE FOR PRES/REFUSED .............................. 1%
CO 23% 75% 1% 1%
NM 29% 65% 2% 4%
NV 25% 70% 2% 3%
2. When did you make up your mind for whom to vote for President: before the national conventions, between the national conventions and the start of debates, during the period in October when the debates were held, after the debates but prior to the last week before the election, during the last week before the election, or on the day of the election? FL BEFORE NATIONAL CONVENTIONS ............................. 66% BETWEEN CONVENTIONS AND DEBATES ................... 5% DURING DEBATE PERIOD ................................................. 9% AFTER DEBATES/BEFORE LAST WEEK ........................ 12% DURING THE LAST WEEK................................................. 2% ON DAY OF ELECTION....................................................... 3% DON'T KNOW ....................................................................... 4%
CO 70% 5% 7% 9% 3% 3% 4%
NM 61% 9% 12% 9% 4% 5% 2%
NV 62% 7% 9% 11% 3% 6% 2%
3. Which comes closer to your likely vote for President in 2016: (ROTATE FRONT TO BACK, BACK TO FRONT: I am likely to vote for a Democrat; I will consider both parties, and may vote for the Republican if I like the candidate and their policies; I am likely to vote for a Republican)? FL LIKELY DEMOCRAT.......................................................... 36% CONSIDER BOTH................................................................ 29% LIKELY REPUBLICAN ....................................................... 23% DON'T KNOW/REFUSED.................................................... 12%
CO 48% 25% 16% 12%
NM 36% 32% 21% 13%
NV 41% 28% 17% 14%
4. In the race for the U.S. House of Representatives in your district, did you vote for (ROTATE: the Republican candidate, or the Democratic candidate)? FL REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE .............................................. 38% DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATE ............................................. 54% ANOTHER CANDIDATE (VOL) ......................................... 2% DON'T KNOW/REFUSED..................................................... 7%
CO 22% 72% 2% 4%
NM 31% 63% 1% 6%
NV 27% 67% 2% 5%
Results are based on 400 weighted cases per state, MoE = ±4.90 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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5.
Was this your first time voting in a U.S. election? FL YES ......................................................................................... 9% NO .......................................................................................... 91% DON'T KNOW/REFUSED..................................................... 0%
6.
CO 8% 93% 0%
NM 7% 93% 1%
NV 15% 85% 0%
Would you say that America is headed in the right direction, or have things gotten off on the wrong track? FL RIGHT DIRECTION ............................................................. 49% WRONG TRACK .................................................................. 39% DON'T KNOW ...................................................................... 12%
CO 63% 30% 7%
NM 55% 35% 10%
NV 60% 34% 6%
7. Over the last four years, do you think the situation for Hispanics and Latinos in the United States is (ROTATE: better, about the same, or worse)? FL BETTER................................................................................. 35% ABOUT THE SAME ............................................................. 37% WORSE.................................................................................. 22% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ............................................... 7% 8.
NM 37% 39% 18% 7%
NV 36% 40% 20% 4%
NM 61% 34% 5%
NV 60% 35% 6%
Which of the following statements comes closer to your view: (ROTATE) a.
Government should do more to solve problems and help meet the needs of people.
b.
Government is doing too many things better left to individuals and businesses. FL GOVT SHOULD DO MORE ................................................ 50% GOVT DOING TOO MANY THINGS................................. 40% DON'T KNOW ...................................................................... 10%
9.
CO 37% 41% 15% 7%
CO 60% 30% 10%
Which of the following statements comes closer to your view: (ROTATE)
a. Government policies should promote fairness by narrowing the gap between rich and poor, making the rich pay a higher share, and reducing income inequality. b. Government policies should promote opportunity by fostering job growth, encouraging entrepreneurs, and allowing hardworking people to keep more of what they earn. FL PROMOTE FAIRNESS......................................................... 43% PROMOTE OPPORTUNITY................................................ 53% DON'T KNOW ....................................................................... 4%
CO 52% 42% 6%
NM 47% 48% 5%
NV 45% 48% 8%
Results are based on 400 weighted cases per state, MoE = ±4.90 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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Now I would like to read you a list of names and have you tell me, for each one, whether you've heard of that person or group and, if so, whether you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them. If you haven't heard of the person or group, just say so (RANDOMIZE): IF FAVORABLE/UNFAVORABLE: Would that be very (FAVORABLE/UNFAVORABLE) or just somewhat (FAVORABLE/UNFAVORABLE)?
10. Barack Obama
FL CO NM NV
VERY FAV
SMWHT FAV
SMWHT UNFAV
VERY UNFAV
NO OPINION
NEVER HEARD OF
49% 59% 53% 56%
15% 19% 19% 16%
7% 4% 4% 6%
27% 16% 22% 20%
3% 2% 3% 2%
0% 0% 0% 0%
37% 51% 42% 45%
4% 4% 7% 7%
1% 1% 2% 1%
4% 5% 20% 3%
13% 10% 6% 10%
61% 57% 7% 55%
26% 12% 8% 14%
9% 10% 11% 11%
5% 41% 40% 30%
FL CO NM NV 11. Mitt Romney
FL CO NM NV
64% 78% 72% 72% 22% 15% 16% 19%
FL CO NM NV 12. Susana Martinez
22% 11% 18% 13%
FL 7% CO 10% NM 27% NV 14%
FL CO NM NV FL CO NM NV
14% 18% 16% 17%
44% 26% 34% 32%
FL CO NM NV 13. Marco Rubio
34% 20% 26% 26%
51% 69% 58% 62% 11% 13% 26% 15%
4% 5% 15% 4%
18% 23% 53% 29% 30% 13% 16% 18%
8% 10% 35% 7% 19% 15% 16% 15%
11% 11% 10% 12%
49% 28% 32% 33%
37% 23% 18% 26%
Results are based on 400 weighted cases per state, MoE = ±4.90 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
North Star Opinion Research Page 4
VERY FAV
14. Brian Sandoval
FL 4% CO 5% NM 3% NV 21% FL CO NM NV
15. The Democratic Party
FL CO NM NV
FL CO NM NV FL CO NM NV
SMWHT UNFAV
VERY UNFAV
NO OPINION
NEVER HEARD OF
6% 7% 11% 26%
4% 4% 4% 15%
4% 4% 0% 12%
13% 8% 8% 9%
70% 71% 75% 18%
21% 15% 17% 17%
8% 5% 6% 7%
1% 0% 2% 0%
29% 43% 31% 34%
8% 9% 10% 9%
2% 2% 3% 1%
10% 12% 14% 47% 34% 47% 36% 40%
FL CO NM NV 16. The Republican Party
SMWHT FAV
8% 8% 4% 27% 26% 25% 30% 29%
9% 8% 9% 7%
60% 72% 66% 69% 21% 13% 14% 12%
30% 23% 26% 24% 23% 17% 21% 21%
18% 18% 22% 24%
44% 30% 35% 33%
47% 61% 53% 58%
17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? IF APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE, ASK: Would that be strongly (approve/disapprove), or just somewhat (approve/disapprove)? FL STRONGLY APPROVE ....................................................... 40% SOMEWHAT APPROVE ..................................................... 22% SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE ................................................ 9% STRONGLY DISAPPROVE................................................. 27% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ............................................... 3%
CO 53% 23% 5% 18% 2%
NM 46% 23% 5% 22% 4%
NV 48% 22% 6% 21% 4%
APPROVE ............................................................................. 62% DISAPPROVE ....................................................................... 36% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ............................................... 3%
76% 23% 2%
69% 27% 4%
70% 27% 4%
Results are based on 400 weighted cases per state, MoE = ±4.90 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
North Star Opinion Research Page 5
18. Do you think that President Barack Obama has or has not delivered on the promises he has made to Hispanic voters during his presidential campaigns? FL HAS DELIVERED ................................................................ 45% HAS NOT DELIVERED ....................................................... 48% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ............................................... 7%
CO 53% 37% 11%
NM 54% 36% 11%
NV 47% 42% 11%
How important were each of the following issues in deciding which candidates to support for President and Congress. Please use a scale where 1 is not important at all, and 5 is extremely important. (RANDOMIZE) NOT IMPORTANT AT ALL
EXTREMELY IMPORTANT
DON'T KNOW
19. Economy and jobs
FL CO NM NV
3% 2% 3% 4%
1% 3% 3% 2%
5% 8% 8% 7%
11% 16% 14% 16%
78% 71% 71% 71%
1% 2% 1% 1%
20. Education
FL CO NM NV
3% 4% 3% 4%
3% 4% 3% 3%
9% 9% 12% 11%
15% 16% 18% 14%
70% 66% 64% 67%
2% 1% 1% 1%
21. Federal deficits and debt
FL CO NM NV
6% 4% 6% 4%
4% 4% 3% 5%
13% 16% 19% 18%
15% 20% 17% 14%
59% 52% 52% 56%
3% 4% 4% 3%
22. Health care
FL CO NM NV
6% 8% 6% 6%
4% 3% 4% 2%
11% 9% 11% 11%
13% 15% 16% 15%
66% 63% 63% 65%
1% 3% 1% 0%
23. Immigration
FL CO NM NV
8% 7% 9% 8%
8% 9% 10% 7%
24% 25% 26% 20%
19% 16% 16% 18%
40% 42% 37% 47%
2% 2% 2% 1%
24. Taxes
FL CO NM NV
5% 4% 6% 7%
3% 3% 5% 3%
20% 22% 17% 18%
17% 22% 23% 20%
54% 47% 48% 50%
2% 3% 2% 2%
Results are based on 400 weighted cases per state, MoE = ±4.90 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
North Star Opinion Research Page 6
Would you please tell me if you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose each of the following policy options: (RANDOMIZE) STRONG SUPPORT
25. Taking aggressive steps to seek out and deport as many undocumented immigrants as possible.
FL CO NM NV
SMWHT SUPPORT
SMWHT OPPOSE
STRONG OPPOSE
DON'T KNOW
20% 19% 23% 16%
17% 18% 20% 21%
34% 38% 30% 33%
7% 6% 6% 9%
6% 8% 9% 10%
4% 4% 3% 3%
9% 9% 11% 8%
4% 3% 2% 2%
7% 6% 9% 6%
1% 2% 2% 2%
5% 5% 8% 6%
2% 1% 3% 3%
23% 20% 21% 22%
FL CO NM NV
43% 39% 44% 38%
51% 56% 50% 54%
26. Setting up a guest worker program FL 59% where people would come to America CO 50% legally for a limited time to work in NM 47% areas like agriculture, after which they NV 53% would be required to return to their home countries. These workers would FL 87% be allowed to return for the work CO 81% season each year. NM 80% NV 79%
28% 31% 33% 26%
27. Allowing undocumented immigrants who have been here for years to earn legal status if they pay a fine, have a job, and learn English.
24% 26% 32% 25%
FL CO NM NV
59% 57% 49% 59%
FL CO NM NV 28. Allowing children of undocumented immigrants who have been here for years to earn legal status if they graduate from college.
FL CO NM NV
FL CO NM NV FL CO NM NV
11% 15% 17% 18% 5% 6% 6% 5%
83% 83% 81% 84% 70% 67% 56% 69%
FL CO NM NV 29. Allowing children of undocumented immigrants who have been here for years to earn legal status if they serve four years in the U.S. military.
5% 7% 8% 8%
14% 15% 17% 13% 19% 20% 28% 19%
4% 5% 5% 5%
89% 87% 84% 88% 72% 68% 59% 68%
11% 11% 14% 11% 19% 22% 24% 18%
91% 90% 83% 86%
3% 4% 6% 5% 8% 9% 14% 11%
Results are based on 400 weighted cases per state, MoE = ±4.90 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
North Star Opinion Research Page 7
STRONG SUPPORT
30. Allowing children of undocumented FL 58% immigrants who have been here for CO 55% years to get in-state tuition at public NM 38% colleges and universities in their home NV 57% states. FL CO NM NV 31. Allowing the children of undocumented immigrants who were not born in the U.S. to apply for legal status for their parents.
FL CO NM NV
FL CO NM NV
FL CO NM NV FL CO NM NV
STRONG OPPOSE
DON'T KNOW
18% 23% 32% 20%
7% 8% 11% 6%
14% 12% 15% 15%
3% 3% 3% 3%
12% 11% 17% 11%
3% 4% 2% 5%
5% 10% 6% 9%
3% 3% 3% 4%
5% 3% 7% 6%
2% 2% 2% 2%
76% 78% 70% 77%
21% 20% 26% 21% 27% 28% 35% 24%
12% 9% 13% 11%
74% 76% 69% 74% 67% 56% 63% 61%
FL CO NM NV 33. Allowing undocumented immigrants who have been working and paying taxes in the United States, and can pass a background check, to get a temporary work visa to stay in the country for two years. This work visa could be renewed if the worker stays employed and follows the law.
SMWHT OPPOSE
47% 48% 34% 50%
FL CO NM NV 32. Increasing our border security along the Mexican border, to ensure that people who enter the United States do so legally, and to ensure the safety of U.S. residents.
SMWHT SUPPORT
24% 20% 30% 22% 19% 25% 22% 18%
7% 7% 7% 8%
86% 81% 85% 79% 70% 70% 62% 68%
12% 17% 13% 17% 20% 23% 27% 22%
3% 3% 2% 3%
90% 93% 89% 90%
8% 6% 9% 9%
34. If you agreed with a candidate on most issues, but disagreed with them on immigration policy, would you still vote for that candidate, or not? FL YES, WOULD VOTE FOR................................................... 59% NO, WOULD NOT VOTE FOR ........................................... 29% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION .............................................. 12%
CO 53% 33% 14%
NM 58% 29% 13%
NV 54% 34% 12%
Results are based on 400 weighted cases per state, MoE = ±4.90 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
North Star Opinion Research Page 8
35. Who do you blame most for the government’s failure to pass immigration reform legislation over the last few years: (ROTATE: President Obama, Democrats in Congress, or Republicans in Congress)? FL PRESIDENT OBAMA .......................................................... 15% DEMOCRATS IN CONGRESS ............................................ 13% REPUBLICANS IN CONGRESS ......................................... 48% ALL EQUALLY (VOL.) ....................................................... 16% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ............................................... 9%
CO 15% 9% 57% 9% 11%
NM 11% 15% 48% 13% 14%
NV 16% 11% 52% 13% 9%
36. Which of the following statements comes closer to your view (ROTATE): a. The best way to improve the economy and increase job opportunities for Hispanics is to increase government investment in job training, education, and infrastructure. b. The best way to improve the economy and increase job opportunities for Hispanics is to limit government spending, lower taxes, and reduce excessive regulations that hurt small businesses. FL INCREASE INVESTMENTS ............................................... 52% LIMIT SPENDING/TAXES/REGULATIONS..................... 42% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ............................................... 6%
CO 52% 38% 10%
NM 55% 39% 7%
NV 53% 40% 6%
37. Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: Small businesses are struggling from taxes that are too high and regulations that are too burdensome? FL AGREE .................................................................................. 51% DISAGREE ............................................................................ 41% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ............................................... 8%
CO 60% 31% 9%
NM 62% 29% 9%
NV 61% 31% 8%
ROTATE QUESTIONS 38 AND 39 38. Which of the following two statements on private school choice comes closer to your view (ROTATE): a. At a time of shrinking state budgets, spending tax dollars on private schools instead of public schools hurts the education of all students. b. Improving education is a top responsibility for our states, and giving parents more control helps disabled and low-income students find the school that is right for them. FL HURTS EDUCATION .......................................................... 38% HELPS STUDENTS .............................................................. 58% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ............................................... 5%
CO 34% 57% 10%
NM 33% 60% 7%
NV 33% 60% 8%
Results are based on 400 weighted cases per state, MoE = ±4.90 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
North Star Opinion Research Page 9
39. Which of the following two statements on teacher merit pay comes closer to your view (ROTATE): a. Tying teacher pay to student achievement is unfair, because teachers don’t have control over the quality of their students and whether they have a good learning environment at home. b. Tying teacher pay to student achievement is fair, because teachers who help their students more should be rewarded and the program gives extra incentives to teachers in low-performing schools. FL MERIT PAY UNFAIR .......................................................... 42% MERIT PAY FAIR ................................................................ 50% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ............................................... 8%
CO 42% 48% 10%
NM 40% 52% 8%
NV 38% 54% 8%
CO 38% 53% 9%
NM 48% 40% 12%
NV 38% 51% 12%
40. Do you consider yourself to be (ROTATE: pro-life or pro-choice) on abortion? FL PRO-LIFE .............................................................................. 39% PRO-CHOICE........................................................................ 49% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION .............................................. 12%
41. Which of the following comes closest to your view (ROTATE TOP-TO-BOTTOM, BOTTOM-TO-TOP): a)
I support gay marriage.
b) I support civil unions for homosexual couples, but not gay marriage. c)
I do not support any legal recognition of homosexual relationships. FL GAY MARRIAGE................................................................. 38% CIVIL UNIONS ..................................................................... 26% NO LEGAL RECOGNITION ............................................... 30% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ............................................... 6%
CO 44% 19% 29% 8%
NM 33% 24% 33% 11%
NV 41% 20% 31% 8%
ROTATE QUESTIONS 42 AND 43 42. Regardless of how you typically vote, do you think that the Democratic Party respects the values and concerns of the Hispanic community? FL YES ........................................................................................ 67% NO .......................................................................................... 28% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ............................................... 5%
CO 76% 20% 5%
NM 72% 23% 5%
NV 73% 23% 4%
43. Regardless of how you typically vote, do you think that the Republican Party respects the values and concerns of the Hispanic community? FL YES ........................................................................................ 44% NO .......................................................................................... 51% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ............................................... 6%
CO 30% 63% 8%
NM 40% 54% 6%
NV 35% 59% 6%
Results are based on 400 weighted cases per state, MoE = ±4.90 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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Now I would like to read you a list of phrases. For each one, would you please tell me if that phrase better describes (ROTATE: the Republican Party or the Democratic Party). (RANDOMIZE) REP PARTY
DEM PARTY
BOTH (VOL.)
NEITHER (VOL.)
DON'T KNOW
44. Cares about helping the middle class.
FL CO NM NV
28% 19% 21% 20%
61% 72% 69% 71%
5% 5% 4% 3%
3% 2% 4% 3%
2% 4% 3% 3%
45. Cares primarily about helping rich people.
FL CO NM NV
63% 66% 67% 65%
19% 21% 19% 23%
6% 3% 3% 4%
7% 3% 6% 3%
6% 8% 6% 6%
46. Understands the needs and concerns of Hispanic voters.
FL CO NM NV
19% 12% 14% 12%
62% 74% 69% 73%
8% 5% 5% 5%
7% 5% 7% 5%
5% 4% 5% 5%
47. Works to protect women’s rights.
FL CO NM NV
18% 14% 19% 16%
63% 72% 68% 72%
13% 7% 6% 6%
3% 3% 1% 3%
4% 5% 6% 4%
48. Has the right plans at the state level to improve education for all children.
FL CO NM NV
24% 18% 24% 23%
56% 69% 56% 65%
10% 3% 8% 4%
4% 3% 6% 4%
6% 7% 8% 5%
49. Is anti-immigrant.
FL CO NM NV
54% 53% 55% 56%
20% 29% 23% 25%
5% 3% 1% 3%
13% 5% 10% 8%
9% 10% 11% 9%
50. Makes an effort to win Hispanic voters.
FL CO NM NV
16% 12% 11% 11%
68% 77% 77% 79%
12% 5% 6% 5%
2% 1% 2% 2%
3% 5% 4% 3%
51. Views the Hispanic community as a group, rather than as individuals.
FL CO NM NV
33% 35% 32% 33%
50% 50% 51% 54%
7% 5% 6% 4%
2% 2% 2% 2%
9% 9% 10% 7%
52. Has ideas that will reduce the federal deficit.
FL CO NM NV
39% 30% 33% 38%
42% 55% 52% 48%
7% 6% 6% 5%
5% 3% 3% 3%
8% 7% 8% 6%
53. Has ideas that will improve the economy.
FL CO NM NV
37% 24% 32% 29%
48% 63% 53% 59%
9% 7% 8% 6%
4% 3% 3% 3%
3% 3% 5% 3%
Results are based on 400 weighted cases per state, MoE = ±4.90 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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REP PARTY
DEM PARTY
BOTH (VOL.)
NEITHER (VOL.)
DON'T KNOW
54. Shares my values on social issues like gay marriage and abortion.
FL CO NM NV
23% 21% 24% 15%
65% 68% 60% 70%
2% 2% 2% 4%
3% 3% 4% 3%
8% 6% 10% 8%
55. Supports legal immigration.
FL CO NM NV
24% 19% 18% 18%
58% 71% 65% 69%
12% 4% 7% 6%
4% 2% 4% 3%
2% 5% 7% 5%
56. Has ideas that will help small businesses grow.
FL CO NM NV
38% 27% 34% 35%
50% 63% 56% 56%
5% 4% 4% 4%
3% 2% 2% 2%
4% 5% 5% 4%
ROTATE QUESTIONS 57 AND 58 57. Were you personally contacted by the Obama campaign through a telephone call, email, text message, or some other means? IF YES, ASK: How many times were you contacted by the Obama campaign: once, two to four times, or five times or more? FL NO, NO CONTACT .............................................................. 32% YES/ONCE ............................................................................. 9% YES/TWO TO FOUR TIMES ............................................... 23% YES/FIVE TIMES OR MORE .............................................. 32% DON'T KNOW ....................................................................... 4%
CO 20% 7% 23% 47% 4%
NM 35% 11% 24% 25% 5%
NV 19% 8% 20% 50% 4%
58. Were you personally contacted by the Romney campaign through a telephone call, email, text message, or some other means? IF YES, ASK: How many times were you contacted by the Romney campaign: once, two to four times, or five times or more? FL NO, NO CONTACT .............................................................. 39% YES/ONCE ............................................................................. 9% YES/TWO TO FOUR TIMES ............................................... 19% YES/FIVE TIMES OR MORE .............................................. 30% DON'T KNOW ....................................................................... 3%
CO 39% 7% 22% 31% 2%
NM 52% 10% 15% 19% 5%
NV 37% 4% 22% 33% 5%
Results are based on 400 weighted cases per state, MoE = ±4.90 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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59. What are your main sources of information about politics and government? (READ AND ALLOW UP TO THREE RESPONSES) FL NEWSPAPERS...................................................................... 38% INTERNET NEWS SITES .................................................... 41% INTERNET POLITICAL BLOGS ........................................ 14% SOCIAL MEDIA LIKE TWITTER OR FACEBOOK .......... 9% RADIO NEWS....................................................................... 20% TALK RADIO PROGRAMS ................................................. 9% BROADCAST TELEVISION NEWS................................... 32% CABLE TELEVISION .......................................................... 49% LETTERS AND BROCHURES IN THE MAIL.................... 7% OTHER (VOLUNTEERED) .................................................. 2% DON’T KNOW (DO NOT READ) ........................................ 2% REFUSED (DO NOT READ) ................................................ 0%
CO 38% 31% 8% 7% 19% 14% 35% 45% 10% 2% 1% 1%
NM 43% 30% 8% 9% 19% 12% 40% 42% 9% 2% 2% 0%
NV 33% 33% 10% 14% 21% 11% 30% 44% 11% 4% 0% 1%
Note: Totals exceed 100% because multiple responses were accepted. Now I have a few questions just for statistical purposes. 60. In politics today, do you normally think of yourself as (ROTATE: a Republican, an independent, or a Democrat)? IF "REP" OR "DEM", ASK: Would you consider yourself a strong or a not-so-strong Republican/Democrat? IF "IND," ASK: Do you think of yourself as closer to the (ROTATE: Republican or Democratic Party)?
FL STRONG REP ............................ 20% NOT-SO-STRONG REP ............. 6% IND LEAN REP ......................... 11% IND/NO PREF ............................. 7% IND LEAN DEM........................ 14% NOT-SO-STRONG DEM............ 7% STRONG DEM........................... 33% REFUSED.................................... 4%
CO 13% 3% 5% 5% 14% 12% 46% 3%
NM 14% 8% 6% 5% 11% 15% 40% 3%
NV 11% 4% 7% 6% 14% 11% 42% 5%
61. When thinking about politics today, do you normally consider yourself to be (ROTATE: very conservative, somewhat conservative, moderate, somewhat liberal, or very liberal)? FL VERY CONSERVATIVE ..................................................... 19% SOMEWHAT CONSERVATIVE ......................................... 25% MODERATE ......................................................................... 24% SOMEWHAT LIBERAL....................................................... 18% VERY LIBERAL ................................................................... 10% NO OPINION ......................................................................... 4%
CO 19% 19% 22% 20% 14% 7%
NM 21% 26% 23% 16% 9% 6%
NV 15% 25% 22% 21% 12% 5%
Results are based on 400 weighted cases per state, MoE = ±4.90 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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62. Would you please stop me when I read the last level of education you completed? FL LESS THAN HIGH SCHOOL ............................................... 5% HIGH SCHOOL GRADUATE.............................................. 16% SOME COLLEGE ................................................................. 21% COLLEGE GRADUATE ...................................................... 37% GRADUATE OR PROFESSIONAL SCHOOL.................... 18% REFUSED (DO NOT READ) ................................................ 3%
CO 8% 22% 28% 25% 13% 5%
NM 8% 19% 30% 22% 19% 2%
NV 8% 24% 30% 20% 14% 4%
63. Are you or is anyone in your immediate family a member of a labor union? IF YES, ASK: Is it a government employee or private sector union? FL YES/GOVERNMENT EMPLOYEE UNION........................ 9% YES/PRIVATE SECTOR UNION ......................................... 6% NO .......................................................................................... 82% DON'T KNOW ....................................................................... 3%
CO 12% 10% 75% 4%
NM 9% 8% 79% 4%
NV 8% 21% 66% 5%
CO 7% 6% 7% 8% 11% 9% 10% 11% 9% 24% 0%
NM 6% 7% 8% 6% 9% 13% 10% 13% 10% 18% 1%
NV 11% 5% 6% 8% 8% 8% 10% 10% 11% 22% 1%
64. Would you please stop me when I read the correct category for your age? FL 18 TO 24 ................................................................................. 5% 25 TO 29 ................................................................................. 4% 30 TO 34 ................................................................................. 7% 35 TO 39 ................................................................................. 6% 40 TO 44 ................................................................................ 10% 45 TO 49 ................................................................................ 13% 50 TO 54 ................................................................................ 14% 55 TO 59 ................................................................................. 9% 60 TO 64 ................................................................................. 8% 65 OR OLDER....................................................................... 25% REFUSED (DO NOT READ) ................................................ 0%
65. Would you please stop me when I read the correct category for your total household income? FL $25,000 OR LESS.................................................................. 15% $25,000 TO $50,000 .............................................................. 21% $50,000 TO $75,000 .............................................................. 19% $75,000 TO $100,000 ............................................................ 14% $100,000 TO $150,000 .......................................................... 11% $150,000 TO $250,000 ........................................................... 4% $250,000 OR MORE............................................................... 4% REFUSED (DNR).................................................................. 13%
CO 17% 21% 22% 16% 8% 4% 2% 11%
NM 19% 22% 21% 12% 11% 4% 2% 10%
NV 13% 27% 23% 9% 10% 4% 1% 13%
Results are based on 400 weighted cases per state, MoE = ±4.90 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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66. Is your religious background Protestant, Catholic, Jewish or something else? (IF SOMETHING ELSE OR UNCLEAR RESPONSE ASK: Is that a Christian religion or not?) FL PROTESTANT ....................................................................... 9% CATHOLIC ........................................................................... 63% OTHER CHRISTIAN ............................................................ 10% JEWISH .................................................................................. 1% OTHER NON-CHRISTIAN ................................................... 3% AGNOSTIC/ATHEIST........................................................... 1% NONE...................................................................................... 7% DON'T KNOW (DNR) ........................................................... 0% REFUSED (DNR)................................................................... 5%
CO 9% 58% 14% 0% 5% 1% 6% 1% 8%
NM 6% 70% 11% 0% 3% 1% 6% 0% 3%
NV 6% 60% 13% 1% 7% 1% 7% 1% 5%
CO 23% 72% 4% 1%
NM 29% 66% 5% 0%
NV 26% 69% 5% 1%
CO 22% 55% 10% 7% 6%
NM 19% 61% 12% 5% 3%
NV 25% 57% 10% 4% 3%
CO 33% 62% 6%
NM 33% 65% 3%
NV 29% 68% 4%
67. Would you call yourself an evangelical Christian or not? FL YES ........................................................................................ 27% NO .......................................................................................... 71% DON'T KNOW (DNR) ........................................................... 2% REFUSED (DNR)................................................................... 0% Note: Results based on Christian respondents. 68. Are you single, married, divorced, or widowed? FL SINGLE ................................................................................. 17% MARRIED ............................................................................. 57% DIVORCED ........................................................................... 14% WIDOWED............................................................................. 7% REFUSED (DNR)................................................................... 6% 69. Do you have any children under the age of 18 living with you? FL YES ........................................................................................ 29% NO .......................................................................................... 67% REFUSED (DNR)................................................................... 5%
70. In your home, do you speak only English, mostly English, mostly Spanish, or only Spanish? FL ONLY ENGLISH .................................................................. 12% MOSTLY ENGLISH ............................................................. 43% MOSTLY SPANISH.............................................................. 26% ONLY SPANISH .................................................................... 9% DON’T KNOW/REFUSED ................................................... 11%
CO 35% 43% 10% 2% 9%
NM 27% 55% 10% 2% 8%
NV 29% 40% 18% 4% 8%
Results are based on 400 weighted cases per state, MoE = ±4.90 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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71. How often do you watch Spanish-language television or listen to Spanish-language radio: (ROTATE FRONT TO BACK, BACK TO FRONT) every day, a few times a week, a few times a month, or almost never? FL EVERY DAY......................................................................... 38% FEW TIMES A WEEK.......................................................... 19% FEW TIMES A MONTH....................................................... 10% ALMOST NEVER ................................................................. 28% DON’T KNOW/REFUSED .................................................... 6%
CO 21% 13% 16% 45% 6%
NM 19% 21% 15% 42% 3%
NV 27% 20% 14% 35% 4%
CO 79% 16% 5%
NM 89% 9% 2%
NV 67% 29% 4%
CO 83% 15% 2%
NM 90% 9% 1%
NV 61% 38% 1%
72. Were you born in the United States? FL YES ........................................................................................ 38% NO .......................................................................................... 56% REFUSED ............................................................................... 6% 73. Were your parents born in the United States? FL YES ........................................................................................ 44% NO .......................................................................................... 55% REFUSED ............................................................................... 1%
Note: Results based on respondents who were born in the United States. 74. Keeping in mind that your answer is anonymous and confidential, do you personally know anyone who is an undocumented immigrant? FL YES ........................................................................................ 34% NO .......................................................................................... 58% DON'T KNOW/REFUSED..................................................... 7%
CO 44% 47% 9%
NM 43% 52% 5%
NV 43% 50% 7%
CO 50% 50%
NM 52% 48%
NV 56% 44%
75. Gender (from observation): FL MALE .................................................................................... 50% FEMALE................................................................................ 50%
That's all the questions I have. Thank you very much for sharing your opinions with us. 76. STATE:
_________________________________________________
77. COUNTY:
_________________________________________________
Results are based on 400 weighted cases per state, MoE = ±4.90 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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