Sweet Spot

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The SPE Foundation through member donations and a contribution from Offshore Europe The Society is grateful to those companies that allow their professionals to serve as lecturers Additional support provided by AIME

Society of Petroleum Engineers Distinguished Lecturer Program www.spe.org/dl

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Outline • Illustration of the Prize

• Present trend in Unconventional Reservoir Modeling and it’s

impact on production • Challenges the industry face to enhance recovery factor while reducing cost per unit of hydrocarbon recovered • Where should the future engineers focus? – What technologies are there and what are needed in the near future to optimally place wells for the enhanced recovery – What technologies are there and what the industry needs in the near future to decide the optimum placement of the hydraulic fracture stages

• Illustrative field examples and the recommended way forward

3 Copyright 2012 Baker Hughes Incorporated. All rights reserved.

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Unconventional Gas Resource: A Global Phenomenon

5,767

1,278

2,015

9,162

6,669

1,050

5,560

795

8,197

1,220

2,556

Over 44,300 TCF Gas in place resources Source: Baker Hughes, EIA, SPE 68755, Kawata & Fujita from Rogner

Pie size to scale

© 2012 Baker Hughes Incorporated. All Rights Reserved.

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Unconventional Oil Resources 2-3 Trillion Barrels

Russia Bazhenov Shale WSB 1,600 BBO

Europe 100 BBO Canada Cardium Bakken 24 BBO, Niobrara 3 BBO

Utica, Eagle Ford, Barnett, 15 BBO

China

Permian, Mississippian 9 BBO

MENA

Argentina Neuquén Basin 23 BBO

Australia

South Africa

4

Unconventional Development – Learning Curve Barnett Shale Development Horizontal

Vertical

Directional

Maximum gas 6 mo. production (MCF)

400,000

350,000

300,000

250,000

200,000

Multistage Completions 150,000

100,000

50,000

0 Jan-81 Jan-83 Jan-85 Jan-87 Jan-89 Jan-91 Jan-93 Jan-95 Jan-97 Jan-99 Jan-01 Jan-03 Jan-05 Jan-07 Jan-09 Jan-11 Jan-13

Date

Technology Evolution and Production Selected Unconventional Gas Basins, Onshore U.S.

Horizontal Gas Well Average

Horizontal Gas Stages Per Well and Average Lateral Length. 25

4000 5,000

3500

4,000

3,500 15

3,000 2,500

10

2,000 1,500

5

Avg Lateral Length (ft)

Stages Per Well

20

Gas per Well, MCFPD

4,500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000

1,000 500

0

0

2007

2008

2009

2010

500

0

2011

0

10

20

30

Months Average Per Well Average Lateral length Source: BHI, HPDI, IHS, Company data

Stages Per Well

2006 2009 Source: HPDI

2007 2010

2008 2011

A Closer Look at the “Shale Revolution” 70% of unconventional wells in the U.S.

do not reach their production targets*

60% of all fracture stages are ineffective** operators say they do not know 73% of enough about the subsurface* Efficiency and Effectiveness are key

*Source: Welling & Company, 2012 **Source: Hart’s E&P, 2012

The Inter-Play Between Drilling / Completion / Stimulation From Discrete Components To An Integrated Solution Maximize ROI Maximize Reservoir Contact Improve Stage Placement and Stimulation

Improve Well Placement

Customer Value

Evaluate

Basin Study :  Existing Data Data Acquisition Integration:  Cores  Logs  Seismic  PVT Interpretation and Simulation:  Resources in Place  Sweet Spot Identification  Static Model (Petrophysical, Geomechanical, Geological  Dynamic Model  Production Profile  Field Development (Well Placement / spacing / frac design) Economics:  CAPEX/OPEX  Payout/ROI

Maximize Initial Production

Drill

Well Placement:  FE  Geomechanics  Reservoir Navigation  Directional Drilling Wellbore Stability:  Pore Pressure Prediction  Drilling Fluid System BHA Integration:  RSS (v Mud Motors)  Drilling Fluid System  Bits

Maximize Ultimate Recovery Improve Production Performance

Complete

Lateral Characterization:  Advanced Mud Logging (Acquire/Develop)  High Res Imaging (Wireline/LWD)

Engineered Fracture Design:  FE  Microseismic Modeling  Monitoring  Fluid/Proppant/Ad ditives  Pressure Pumping Proper Completion System Selection:  Multistage Completion Systems / Components *  Pressure Pumping

Seamless Service Alignment 10

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Produce

Prevention:  Longterm Chemical Inhibitors Production Monitoring and Analysis:  PLT Log Remediation:  Production Chemical Program  Coiled Tubing Clean Out/Treatment Water Management

Rejuvenate

Re-Fracturing:

Benefits  Accountability  Consistency  Reliability  Predictability  Product Performance  Increased Production

Unconventional Workflow: How is it Different?

8 11

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Shale Reservoir Analysis • Conventional reservoir modeling & analyses not effective for shale • Shale reservoirs require new

Black Shale 3.5% TOC (avg) 0.83% Ro (avg)

approaches to Analysis & Forecast • An integrated “shale engineering” approach is required to plan wells, stimulate & forecast long-term production for economic evaluations 12 © 12 2011 Baker Hughes Incorporated. All Rights Reserved.

What is a “Sweet Spot”? • The “Sweet Spot” is where the

maximum power is generated with the least amount of effort and vibration . • The Sweet Spot is important in these

sports because we don’t all have perfect swings. • What does this have to do with

unconventional resources?

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© 2012 Baker Hughes Incorporated. All Rights Reserved.

Sweet Spot

Unconventional Resources Sweet Spot Characteristics A “Sweet Spot” or “Core” represents the concurrence of several favorable parameters such as: TOC Kerogen Type Fluid Thermal Maturity Depositional Environment (Litho-facies)

Geochemical

Depth Thickness Lithology/Mineralogy Porosity Pressure (Continued Producibility) 14

© 2012 Baker Hughes Incorporated. All Rights Reserved.

Geomechanical

Anisotropy Stress Regime Fractures Faulting Brittleness (Fracturability) Sweet Spot

Geological

Sweet Spots are not Contiguous

Can we Identify Optimal Areas For Reservoir Stimulation Before Drilling and Frac’ing?

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Attribute Analysis + Lithofacies = Sweet Spot Identification Actual Amplitude Formation Top

RMS Amplitude Formation Top

8000

16000

-20000

2000

Location of LPLD events are correlative with amplitude anomalies

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TOC (Total Organic Content) Vs. Acoustic Impedance Lower Acoustic Impedance = Higher TOC and Natural Fractures

Source: AAPG Explorer. Dec 2009

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Shale Resource Seismic Characterization

Courtesy of CGG and BHI Alliance 18

Multi-Attribute Prediction of TOC (WPCTOC) HIGH

Courtesy of CGG and BHI Alliance

LOW

Locating Areas of High TOC in Seismic Volume

Volumetric View of TOC with well penetrations

Fault

Multiple uneconomic wells Several TOC rich areas yet to be exploited

High Probability

Courtesy of CGG and BHI Alliance 20

Vertical Pilot Well: The start

TOC, Vitrinite Reflectance Ro, Thermal Maturity, Porosity, K, P, Natural fractures, faults, karsts, hazards 21

© 2010 Baker Hughes Incorporated. All Rights Reserved.

Moving from Pilot wells to development wells Reservoir Navigation Services - RNS (Azimuthal Resistivity & Gamma Images) Armstrong Co., Pennsylvania – Marcellus Case History

Target for Lateral High TOC = only 15ft Thick

Well Trajectory Planned • Seismic • Shale Analysis • Offset Well Data

Follow the high TOC path © 2010 Baker Hughes Incorporated. All Rights Reserved.

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Monitored LWD GR • Up and Down • To determine if well approaching formation top or bottom / correct

© 2010 Baker Hughes Incorporated. All Rights Reserved.

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Evaluating the Resource and Production Potential Resistivity / Density /Neutron • 20 Formation Lithology

• Geochemistry • Lithology • Mineralogy • Total organic carbon

Spectroscopy

• Lithology • Mineralogy • Th/U for Carbon classification

Microseismic

Image correlation with lithology and facies

Imaging

Fracture detection

Large Diameter Coring

Core analyses

Deep Reading Shear Acoustic

• Geomechanical properties from Wellbore and away from wellbore

Nuclear Magnetic Resonance

• Porosity • Independent measure of total organic carbon

Logging and Core analyses can identify: Fomation with producible source rock hydrocarbon o Optimum formations to drill horizontal laterals o Optimall placement of frac stages o Potential barriers for frac containment Mineralogy key component integrated with Geomechanics o

o 23

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Mineralogy Varies in Shale Reservoirs

17 24

© 2011 Baker Hughes Incorporated. All Rights Reserved.

Shale Reservoirs are Anything but Homogeneous

millimeters

150 ft

2 inches

18 © 25 2011 Baker Hughes Incorporated. All Rights Reserved.

Wellbore Imaging: Fractures, Faults & Geohazards WBM

OBM

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High-definition LWD Imaging to Optimize Completions Avoiding fault zone: don’t frac into water below target horizon

Targeting natural fracture swarms maximizes impact of the frac energy

Avoiding fracture swarms from adjacent wells frac job

Targeting natural fracture swarms maximizes impact of the frac energy

Eliminate nonproductive stages

X

X

Case Histories Show Production Increases up to 20 % 27

Deep Shear Wave Imaging (up to 70m away) • Methodology – Filtering direct waves – Reflected wave stacking – Reflector strike inversion – Fullwave data migration • Benefits – Illuminate natural fractures up to 70 m away. – Identify mechanical strata – Placing laterals

28 ©

Imaging fractures that intersect the well

Imaging fractures that do not intersect the well

The Next 5-10 Years ~100,000 Wells, 1-2 Million Hydrofracs Horn River Basin/ Cordova Embayment >700 Tcf Montney Deep Basin >250 Tcf

Colorado Group >300 Tcf Bakken 3.65 Billion Bbl

Antrim 35-160 Tcf

Green River 1.3-2 Trillion Bbl

Utica Shale

New Albany 86-160 Tcf

Gammon

Horton Bluff Formation

Michigan Basin Lewis/Mancos 97 Tcf

Niobrara/Mowry Cane Creek

Monterey

Marcellus 225-520 Tcf Woodford Palo Duro

OIL SHALE PLAY GAS SHALE PLAY

Fayetteville 20 Tcf Floyd/ Conasauga

Avalon

0 Eagle Ford 25-100+ Tcfe

Barnett 24-252 Tcf

Haynesville (Shreveport/Louisiana) 29-39 Tcf

How Do We Optimize Resource Development? 29

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600 MILES

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Outside North America?: The Next 5-10 Years? Wells, ? Hydraulic fracs Eastern Hm UK Poland Russia Turkey Saudi Arabia Kuwait India China Indonesia Australia

Western Hm Argentina Mexico, Colombia Brazil

How Do We Optimize Resource Development? 30

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Production from Nano-Darcy Rocks? oShale Resource has typically permeability in the nano-Darcy

range oGas / hydrocarbon may move in order of few feet in a year!! oWhat mechanism is there then to produce hydrocarbon from such low permeability rocks? oCreation of a stimulated reservoir volume that has both longitudinal and shear fractures Longitudinal bi-wing fracture

Shear fracture envelope © 201031Baker Hughes Incorporated. All Rights Reserved.

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From Natural Shale to the Artificial Reservoir

Logs and core

In situ stress determination

Microseismic Re-processing Natural Fracture Permeability Analysis

Benefits • Enhancing reservoir understanding • Exploiting modern technology

Confidential

25

Shale Model Description NATURAL – Dual Permeability – Fracture – Anisotropy

INDUCED MAJOR Proppant placement

Natural fractures

Matrix

NATURAL

– Non-Darcy flow – Gas Desorption 33

Stimulated Rock Volume (SRV)

INDUCED MINOR

Confidential

26

Shale Engineering Predictive Model Matched production history and production logging  Frac stage contribution match  Proppant placement match  Well History match

Pressure Drop, psi

Narrow Uncertainty

Confidential

27

= DWR NPVNPV – CF = DWR (10^6$) – CF(10^6$)

NPV Vs. Transverse Fractures

Number Transverse Fractures Number of of Transverse Fractures

32

Ball Activated Sleeve Open / Close Completion System

Ball with Frac Sleeve Open

Varying Ball Sizes

Frac Sleeve in Closed Position Lighter than AL / Stronger than Steel

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Extend and orientation of fractures created

This type of information allows engineers to optimize the fracturing staging and to optimize the placement of additional wells.

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Relating stage contributions to production: Impact on Field Development Plan

Events

9

8

-

0.98

6

7

5

4

3

2

1

Natural fractures

B-values

9

8

-

7

1.01

6

-

5

1.92 2.27 1.92

4

3

Rates measured by PLT 5 months later 38

© 2012 Baker Hughes Incorporated. All Rights Reserved.

2

-

1

30 25 20 15 10 5 0

Fracture Mechanics Based Model

σh = σH, NF 100 EW (90o)

σh = σH, NF 100 NS (45o)

σh = σH, NF 100 NS (0o)

Concluding Remarks •

Shale resource is not contiguous and no two Shale basins are the same – Sweet spot identification is going to be critical (seismic attribute + Lithofacies) for well placement – Different shales will require different set of attributes and the associated lithofacies

• Geometric placement of hydraulic fracture stages needs to be replaced by shale productivity based parameters – Capitalize on the presence of natural fractures at the well bore as well as away from the wellbore – Avoid faults and geohazards © 201040Baker Hughes Incorporated. All Rights Reserved.

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Shale Technology: A Look Ahead • Nanotechnology: An Enabler for Multiple Oil & Gas Applications XMACsm

Production Enhancement

Reservoir Assessment

Formation Evaluation

Completion

Drilling

35 © 41 2011 Baker Hughes Incorporated. All Rights Reserved.

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