Water Resources Information, Storage, Analysis, & Retrieval System ...
Jordan Lake Elevation in 4, 8, 16, and 24 Weeks 09_07_2007_cond_DP_Init_WQ_int_WS_Ver2 218
Elevation (feet)
216
214
212
Initial Conditions WQ remaining = 49.8% WS remaining = 95.9% Elevation = 212.18 ft Stage 1 Lillington Target = 500cfs Stage 2 Lillington Target= 375 cfs
210
208
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Probability of Being Below a Certain Elevation (%)
4 weeks
8 weeks
16 weeks
24 weeks
Jordan Lake Model – 09-07-2007 Forecast
Jordan Lake WQ Storage in 4, 8, 16, and 24 Weeks 09_07_2007_cond_DP_Init_WQ_int_WS_Ver2 110 100
WQ Storage (Percent of Full)
90 80 70 60 50 40
Initial Conditions WQ remaining = 49.8% WS remaining = 95.9% Elevation = 212.18 ft Stage 1 Lillington Target = 500cfs Stage 2 Lillington Target= 375 cfs
30 20 10 0 0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Probability of Being Below a Certain WQ Storage(%)
4 weeks
8 weeks
16 weeks
24 weeks
Jordan Lake Model – 09-07-2007 Forecast
OASIS Jordan Lake Elevation October 1 Forecast 217 216
J. Lake EL (ft)
215 214 213 212 211 July_1 Forecast
Aug_1 Forecast
Sept_7 Forecast
210 0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Probability of Being Below a Certain Lake Elevation
90
100
OASIS Jordan Lake WQ Pool October 1 2007 Forecast
110 100 90 80
WQ Pool %
70 60 50 40 30 20
Jul_1
Aug_1
Sept_7
10 0 0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Probability of Being Below a Certain WQ Pool Percentage
80
90
100
OASIS Jordan Lake Elevation January 1 2008 Forecast 217 216
J. Lake EL ( ft)
215 214 213 212 211 210 Jul_1 Forecast
209
Aug_1 Forecast
Sept_7 Forecast
208 0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Probability of Being Below a Certain Lake Elevation
90
100
OASIS Jordan Lake WQ Pool January 1 2008 Forecast
100 90 80
WQ Pool %
70 60 50 40 30
Jul_1
Aug_1
Sept_7
20 10 0 0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Probability of Being Below a Certain WQ Pool Percentage
80
90
100
Probability (%) of being at or below Date
JL Elev 211ft
60% WQ
40% WQ
15-Sep
1.3
93.5
1.3
1-Oct
31.2
83.1
48.1
15-Oct
36.4
74.0
45.5
1-Nov
39.0
66.2
46.8
15-Nov
29.9
53.2
37.7
1-Dec
26.0
40.2
28.6
15-Dec
14.3
32.5
23.4
1-Jan
5.2
18.2
7.8
Elevation (feet)
216
214
212
Initial Conditions WQ remaining = 49.8% WS remaining = 95.9% Elevation = 212.18 ft Stage 1 Lillington Target = 500cfs Stage 2 Lillington Target= 375 cfs
210
208
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Probability of Being Below a Certain Elevation (%)
4 weeks
8 weeks
16 weeks
24 weeks
Jordan Lake Model – 09-07-2007 Forecast
Jordan Lake WQ Storage in 4, 8, 16, and 24 Weeks 09_07_2007_cond_DP_Init_WQ_int_WS_Ver2 110 100
WQ Storage (Percent of Full)
90 80 70 60 50 40
Initial Conditions WQ remaining = 49.8% WS remaining = 95.9% Elevation = 212.18 ft Stage 1 Lillington Target = 500cfs Stage 2 Lillington Target= 375 cfs
30 20 10 0 0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Probability of Being Below a Certain WQ Storage(%)
4 weeks
8 weeks
16 weeks
24 weeks
Jordan Lake Model – 09-07-2007 Forecast
OASIS Jordan Lake Elevation October 1 Forecast 217 216
J. Lake EL (ft)
215 214 213 212 211 July_1 Forecast
Aug_1 Forecast
Sept_7 Forecast
210 0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Probability of Being Below a Certain Lake Elevation
90
100
OASIS Jordan Lake WQ Pool October 1 2007 Forecast
110 100 90 80
WQ Pool %
70 60 50 40 30 20
Jul_1
Aug_1
Sept_7
10 0 0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Probability of Being Below a Certain WQ Pool Percentage
80
90
100
OASIS Jordan Lake Elevation January 1 2008 Forecast 217 216
J. Lake EL ( ft)
215 214 213 212 211 210 Jul_1 Forecast
209
Aug_1 Forecast
Sept_7 Forecast
208 0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Probability of Being Below a Certain Lake Elevation
90
100
OASIS Jordan Lake WQ Pool January 1 2008 Forecast
100 90 80
WQ Pool %
70 60 50 40 30
Jul_1
Aug_1
Sept_7
20 10 0 0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Probability of Being Below a Certain WQ Pool Percentage
80
90
100
Probability (%) of being at or below Date
JL Elev 211ft
60% WQ
40% WQ
15-Sep
1.3
93.5
1.3
1-Oct
31.2
83.1
48.1
15-Oct
36.4
74.0
45.5
1-Nov
39.0
66.2
46.8
15-Nov
29.9
53.2
37.7
1-Dec
26.0
40.2
28.6
15-Dec
14.3
32.5
23.4
1-Jan
5.2
18.2
7.8
