Water Resources Information, Storage, Analysis, & Retrieval System

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Jordan Lake Elevation in 4, 8, 16, and 24 Weeks 09_02_2007_cond_DP_Init_WQ_Int_WS 218

Elevation (feet)

216

214

212

Initial Conditions WQ remaining=53.6% WS remaining=96.8% Elevation =212.52 ft Stage 1 Lillington Target=500cfs Stage 2 Lillington Target=375 cfs

210

208

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Probability of Being Below a Certain Elevation (%)

4 weeks

8 weeks

16 weeks

24 weeks

Jordan Lake Model – 09-02-2007 Forecast

Jordan Lake WQ Storage in 4, 8, 16, and 24 Weeks 09_02_2007_cond_DP_Init_WQ_Int_WS 110 100

WQ Storage (Percent of Full)

90 80 70 60 50 40

Initial Conditions WQ remaining=53.6% WS remaining=96.8% Elevation =212.52 ft Stage 1 Lillington Target=500 cfs Stage 2 Lillington Target=375 cfs

30 20 10 0 0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Probability of Being Below a Certain WQ Storage(%)

4 weeks

8 weeks

16 weeks

24 weeks

Jordan Lake Model – 8-24-2007 Forecast

100

OASIS Jordan Lake Elevation October 1 Forecast 217 216

J. Lake EL (ft)

215 214 213 212 211 July_1 Forecast

Aug_1 Forecast

Sept_2 Forecast

210 0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Probability of Being Below a Certain Lake Elevation

90

100

OASIS Jordan Lake WQ Pool October 1 2007 Forecast

110 100 90 80

WQ Pool %

70 60 50 40

Jul_1

30

Aug_1

Sept_2

20 10 0 0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Probability of Being Below a Certain WQ Pool Percentage

80

90

100

OASIS Jordan Lake Elevation January 1 2008 Forecast 217 216

J. Lake EL ( ft)

215 214 213 212 211 210 Jul_1 Forecast

209

Aug_1 Forecast

Sept_2 Forecast

208 0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Probability of Being Below a Certain Lake Elevation

90

100

OASIS Jordan Lake WQ Pool January 1 2008 Forecast

100 90 80

WQ Pool %

70 60 50 40 30

Jul_1

Aug_1

Sept_2

20 10 0 0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Probability of Being Below a Certain WQ Pool Percentage

80

90

100