Cann Hall - London - Waltham Forest

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Ward Profiles: William Morris

Summary •

William Morris ward has a resident population of 12,564 (5.1% of the borough total).



It is ethnically more diverse than the borough average with 59% of BAME residents compared to 55% in Waltham Forest.



William Morris has 5,100 households with about a third of all households having dependent children.



William Morris ward has a total number of 2,200 employee jobs. This is 4.2% of all the jobs in the borough (53,000).



In June 2011, 480 people in William Morris were claiming Jobseekers Allowance. This is 8.9% of resident labour force, equal to the borough average.



39% of children in the ward are considered to live in poverty. 25% of the pupils are eligible for free school meals.



The health profile for William Morris is similar to the borough average with slightly lower mortality rates for All Cancer and All Circulatory Disease and lower life expectancy for females and slightly higher for males.



In terms of crime, William Morris has a lower number of notifiable offences per 1,000 resident (201) compared to the borough average (213).

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Population •

According to the 2011 Mayhew Harper population count, William Morris ward has a population of 12,564 making it the 10th largest ward in Waltham Forest by population.



The latest GLA population projections for 2011 show that William Morris has a larger amount of its population in the 23-40 age band when compared to the borough average. William Morris population (2011) vs Borough average Source: 2011 GLA population projections based on SHLAA

350 300

Persons

250 200 150 100 50 0 0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

Single year of age

LBWF average

3

William Morris

75

80

85 90+

Ethnicity •

William Morris has a higher proportion of BAME (Black, Asian and Minority Ethnic) residents (59%) than the borough average (55%) and a lower proportion of White British and Irish (29% vs. 34%).



The three largest ethnicities are Pakistani (11.2%), Other White background (10.9%) and African (8%).



Data from the DWP shows that in 2009/10 William Morris had 635 new arrivals from overseas (6.3% of the borough’s total) applying for National Insurance number. The top three countries of origin were Pakistan, Poland and Lithuania. William Morris - Top 5 countries of new arrivals 2009/2010

Percentage of White British & Irish vs BAME William Morris and Borough Source: 2011 Mayhew Harper population count

Source: DWP, National Insurance registrations to adult overseas nationals entering the UK 2009/2010 Note: Where countries tie more or less than 5 may feature

70% 59%

60%

Pakistan

55%

50%

Poland

40% 30%

65

29%

34%

60

Lithuania

20%

13%

55

Philippines

45

Romania

45

11%

10% 0% White British & Irish

William Morris

BAME

0

Not identifiable

Borough average

4

25

50

75

100

125

150

Family types •

William Morris has a total of 5,100 households, 5.2% of all households in the borough.



Single adult households are the most common in William Morris accounting for 31% of households (compared to the borough average of 29%), followed by family households with dependent children (24%).



In total, over a third of all households in William Morris (34%) have dependent children. This includes 500 single parent households (10% of all households in the ward.

William Morris Household type

Count

Family households with dependent children

Percent

Borough average Count

Percent

1,200

24%

22,500

23%

Single adult households with dependent children

500

10%

9,200

9%

Older cohabiting households

300

6%

8,200

8%

Older person living alone

300

6%

8,100

8%

Three generational households

100

2%

2,000

2%

Cohabiting adult households, no children

1,000

20%

18,900

19%

Single adult households, no children

1,600

31%

28,400

29%

100

2%

1,400

1%

5,100

100%

98,600

100%

Other households Total

Source: 2011 Mayhew Harper population count

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Jobs in the area •

William Morris ward has a total number of 2,200 employee jobs. This is 4.2% of all the jobs in the borough (53,000).



About three in four jobs (74%) are full-time and the rest (26%) are part-time. This is more full-time and less part-time jobs than the borough average (67% and 33%).



William Morris ward has higher than average share of jobs in banking, finance and insurance sector (32%) and also in manufacturing (16%). It has the third highest number of jobs in both banking, finance and insurance and manufacturing sectors.

Employee jobs in the area by the main sectors Source: Business Register and Employment Survey 2009 40% 35%

32%

34%

32%

30% 24%

25%

19%

20%

16%

14%

15% 10%

7%

6% 3%

5%

6% 1%

2%

4%

0% Public administration, education and health

Distribution, hotels and restaurants

Banking, finance and insurance

Manufacturing Other services

William Morris

Waltham Forest

6

Transport and communication

Construction

Worklessness

8%

7.4%

6.7%

7.3% 5.0%

6%

Both male (10.0%) and female claimant count rate (7.4%) in William Morris are very similar to the borough averages.

4% 2% 0%

The claimant rate for young people aged 16-24 in William Morris (19.1%) is in line with the borough average (19.1%). Young claimants (95) make up about fifth (20%) of all claimants in William Morris ward.

Males

Females

William Morris

Waltham Forest

London

JSA claimant rate (%), June 2007 - June 2011 Source: ONS via Nomis

58% of the William Morris claimants have been claiming the JSA for less than six months. 20% have claimed JSA for over a year (this is the highest proportion of long-term claimants in the borough).

10.0 8.0 6.0 4.0

JSA claimant rate has been increasing during the recession in William Morris following broadly similar trend to the borough average.

2.0

William Morris

7

Waltham Forest

Jun-11

Mar-11

Dec-10

Sep-10

Jun-10

Mar-10

Dec-09

Sep-09

Jun-09

Dec-08

Mar-09

Recession

0.0 Sep-08



10.0% 10.2%

10%

Jun-08



12%

JSA claimant count rate in William Morris (8.9% of resident labour force) is equal to the borough average.

Mar-08



Source: ONS and GLA estimates, June 2011

Dec-07



Jobseekers Allowance claimant rate by gender (% )

Sep-07



480 people in William Morris ward were claiming Jobseekers Allowance (JSA) in June 2011.

Jun-07



London

Deprivation •

2010 Indices of Multiple Deprivation data from the DCLG shows that Waltham Forest has declined from 26th to 15th position among the most deprived local authorities in England between 2007 and 2010.



Five out of seven neighbourhoods in William Morris are among the 20% of most deprived in England including one which is among the 10% most deprived (see the map).



The total number of people claiming DWP benefits in William Morris ward is 1,435 (as at November 2010). This is 18.2% of the working-age resident population (aged 1564) in the ward, higher than the borough average of 17.6%.



Campaign to End Child Poverty reports that 39% of children in William Morris ward are living in poverty, higher than the borough average of 35%.



According to 2011 School Census, William Morris has 493 pupils eligible for free school meal. This is 25% of the pupils residing in the ward and attending a school in Waltham Forest, same as the borough average.

Note: For Child Poverty Ward Profiles please contact [email protected], tel. 020 8496 4729

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Health •

William Morris has a similar health profile to Waltham Forest though worse than London and England.



Mortality numbers for All Cancers and All Circulatory diseases are lower than the averages for Waltham Forest.



Life expectancy at birth is lower at 79.3 for women and slightly higher at 76 for men than across the borough as a whole (80.8 and 75.8 respectively).

2004-2008 Indirectly standardised m ortality ratio by cause Persons, All age Source: London Health Observatory, January 2011 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0

111 109

97 98 100

104 107 98 100

All Cancer Mortality

Circulatory Mortality

96

William Morris

LBWF

London

2003-2007 Life expectancy at birth Source: London Health Ob servatory, August 2009 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0

96 100

CHD Mortality England

76.0 75.8 77.1 77.3

79.3 80.8 81.7 81.5

Males

Females

William Morris

Note: The standardised mortality ratio is defined as the ratio of the observed number of deaths in the ward to the number expected if the ward had the same age-specific rates as England. An SMR of over 100 indicates there are more deaths than expected.

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LBWF

London

England

Crime •







The total number of notifiable offences in William Morris in the 24 months to March 2011 was 2,066. The average per ward in Waltham Forest was 2,217.

Total Notifiable Offences (rolling 24 months to March 2011) William Morris and Borough average Source: Metropolitan Police website 617

Theft & Handling

William Morris ward has fewer than average number of offences across most main types of offences with the exception of ‘Robbery’, ‘Fraud & forgery’ and ‘Sexual offences’. See the Figure.

Using population data from the 2011 Mayhew Harper count we can establish that in the 24 months to March 2011 there were 201 offences per 1,000 residents in William Morris. This compares to an average of 213 offences per 1,000 residents in the borough.

513 554

Violence against the pers on

The most common offences were for Theft & Handling (28%) followed by Violence against the person (23%).

9 49

Burglary

267

Criminal Damage

233 269

Drugs

173 188

Robbery

195 166

346

William Morris Borough average per ward

14 9 146

Fraud & forgery 43 32

Other Notifiable offences

27 28

Sexual offences 0

200

400

600

800

1000

Note: Data on the graph does not take into account ward populations so should be viewed as a record of the number of offences rather than an indicator of the likelihood of being a victim of crime.

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