Ward Profiles: Cathall
Summary •
Cathall ward has a resident (4.7% of the borough total).
•
It is ethnically more diverse than the borough average with 64% of BAME (Black Asian and Minority Ethnic) residents compared to 55% in Waltham Forest.
•
Cathall has 4,600 households with one in three households having dependent children.
•
It has the fifth lowest number of employee jobs (1,200) in the borough (2.3% of the borough total).
•
In June 2011, 585 people in Cathall were claiming Jobseekers Allowance. This is 12% of resident labour force, higher than the borough average at 8.9%.
•
44% of children in the ward are considered to live in poverty. 36% of the pupils are eligible for free school meal.
•
The health profile for Cathall is worse than the borough average with higher mortality rates by all main causes and lower life expectancy for both males and females.
•
In terms of crime, Cathall has a lower number of notifiable offences per 1,000 resident (186) compared to the borough average (213).
population
of
11,656
2
Population •
According to the 2011 Mayhew Harper population count, Cathall ward has a population of 11,656 making it the 15th largest ward in Waltham Forest by population.
•
The latest GLA population projections for 2011 show that Cathall has a much larger percentage of its population in the 18-36 age band and a smaller percentage of its population in all age groups beyond 40 when compared to the borough average. Cathall population (2011) vs Borough average Source: 2011 GLA population projections based on SHLAA
350 300
Persons
250 200 150 100 50 0 0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
Single year of age
LBWF average
3
Cathall
70
75
80
85 90+
Ethnicity •
Cathall has a higher proportion of BAME (Black, Asian and Minority Ethnic) residents (64%) than the borough average (55%) and a lower proportion of White British and Irish (23% vs. 34%).
•
The three largest ethnic minorities African (14%), Pakistani (10.6%) and Other White background (9.5%).
•
Data from the DWP shows that in 2009/10 Cathall had 925 new arrivals from overseas (9.2% of the borough’s total) applying for National Insurance number. The top three countries of origin were Bangladesh, Lithuania and Poland. Cathall - Top 5 countries of new arrivals 2009/2010
Percentage of White British & Irish vs BAME Cathall and Borough Source: 2011 Mayhew Harper population count 70%
Source: DWP, National Insurance registrations to adult overseas nationals entering the UK 2009/2010 Note: Where countries tie more or less than 5 may feature
64% Bangladesh
55%
60% 50%
Lithuania
40% 30%
105
34%
90
Poland
85
23%
20%
14%
India
65
Romania
65
11%
10% 0% White British & Irish
Cathall
BAME
0
Not identifiable
Borough average
4
25
50
75
100
125
150
Family types •
Cathall has a total of 4,600 households, 4.7% of all households in the borough.
•
Single adult households are the most common in Cathall accounting for 33% of households (compared to the borough average of 29%), followed by family households with dependent children (22%).
•
In total, about a third of households in Cathall (33%) have dependent children. This includes 500 single parent households (11% of all households in the ward).
Cathall Household type
Count
Family households with dependent children
Borough average
Percent
Count
Percent
1,000
22%
22,500
23%
Single adult households with dependent children
500
11%
9,200
9%
Older cohabiting households
300
7%
8,200
8%
Older person living alone
300
7%
8,100
8%
Three generational households
100
2%
2,000
2%
Cohabiting adult households, no children
900
20%
18,900
19%
1,500
33%
28,400
29%
100
2%
1,400
1%
4,600
100%
98,600
100%
Single adult households, no children Other households Total
Source: 2011 Mayhew Harper population count
5
Jobs in the area •
Cathall has the 5th lowest number of employee jobs (1,200) of the 20 wards in Waltham Forest. This is 2.3% of all the jobs in the borough (53,000), excluding voluntary workers, self-employed and working owners.
•
Just above half of the jobs are full-time (54%) and the rest (46%) are part-time. This is one of the lowest shares of full-time jobs in Waltham Forest (same in High Street). The borough average share between the full-time and part-time jobs is 67% and 33%.
•
Cathall has significantly higher than average share of jobs in public administration, education and health (62%) and the lowest number of jobs in the borough in banking, finance and insurance sector (5% of all jobs in Cathall).
Employee jobs in the area by the main sectors Source: Business Register and Employment Survey 2009 70%
62%
60% 50% 40%
34%
30%
24%
19%
17%
20%
7%
5%
10%
1%
10%
6%
2%
6%
3% 4%
0% Public administration, education and health
Distribution, hotels and restaurants
Banking, finance and insurance
Manufacturing Other services
Cathall
Waltham Forest
6
Transport and communication
Construction
Worklessness
12% 10% 8% 6%
Both male (14.2%) and female claimant count rate (9.5%) in Cathall are higher than the borough averages.
10.2%
9.5% 7.3%
6.7%
5.0%
4% 2% 0%
Cathall has higher than average claimant rate for young people aged 16-24 (22.6%). The borough average for young people is 19.1%. Young claimants (150) make up about a quarter (26%) of all claimants in Cathall ward.
Males
Females
Cathall
Waltham Forest
London
JSA claimant rate (%), June 2007 - June 2011 Source: ONS via Nomis
64% of the Cathall claimants have been claiming the JSA for less than six months. 13.7% have claimed JSA for over a year. This is lower than the borough average (15.7%).
10.0 8.0 6.0
JSA claimant rate has been increasing during the recession in Cathall leaving an even bigger gap between the ward and borough average.
4.0 2.0
Cathall
7
Waltham Forest
London
Jun-11
Mar-11
Dec-10
Sep-10
Jun-10
Mar-10
Dec-09
Sep-09
Jun-09
Dec-08
Mar-09
Recession
0.0 Sep-08
•
14.2%
Jun-08
•
16% 14%
JSA claimant count rate in Cathall (12% of resident labour force) is above the borough average (8.9%).
Mar-08
•
Source: ONS and GLA estimates, June 2011
Dec-07
•
Jobseekers Allowance claimant rate by gender (% )
Sep-07
•
585 people in Cathall ward were claiming Jobseekers Allowance (JSA) in June 2011.
Jun-07
•
Deprivation •
2010 Indices of Multiple Deprivation data from the DCLG shows that Waltham Forest has declined from 26th to 15th position among the most deprived local authorities in England between 2007 and 2010.
•
Four out of seven neighbourhoods in Cathall are among the 20% of most deprived in England (see the map).
•
The total number of people claiming DWP benefits in Cathall is 1,655 (as at November 2010). This is 21.5% of the working-age resident population (aged 15-64), second highest in the borough). The borough average is 17.6%.
•
Campaign to End Child Poverty reports that 44% of children in Cathall ward are living in poverty (third highest in the borough after Leyton and Higham Hill). The borough average is 35%.
•
According to 2011 School Census, Cathall has 607 pupils eligible for free school meal. This is 36% of the pupils residing in the ward and attending a school in Waltham Forest (highest in the borough). The borough average is 25%.
Note: For Child Poverty Ward Profiles please contact
[email protected], tel. 020 8496 4729
8
Health •
Cathall has a worse health profile than Waltham Forest, London and England.
•
Mortality numbers for All Cancers, Coronary Heart Disease and All Circulatory diseases are all higher than the averages for Waltham Forest, London and England.
•
Life expectancy at birth is lower at 79.2 for women and at 73.4 for men than across the borough as a whole (80.8 and 75.8 respectively).
2004-2008 Indirectly standardised m ortality ratio by cause Persons, All age Source: London Health Observatory, January 2011 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0
97 98 100
All Cancer Mortality Cathall
90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0
151
139
133
2003-2007 Life expectancy at birth Source: London Health Ob servatory, August 2009
107
98 100
Circulatory Mortality LBWF
London
109
96 100
CHD Mortality
73.4 75.8 77.1 77.3
Males
England
Cathall
Note: The standardised mortality ratio is defined as the ratio of the observed number of deaths in the ward to the number expected if the ward had the same age-specific rates as England. An SMR of over 100 indicates there are more deaths than expected.
9
79.2 80.8 81.7 81.5
Females LBWF
London
England
Crime •
The total number of notifiable offences in Cathall in the 24 months to March 2011 was 2,169. The average per ward in Waltham Forest was 2,678.
•
Cathall ward has fewer than average number of offences across most main types of offences with the exception of ‘Drugs’ and ‘Other notifiable offences’. See the Figure.
•
Total Notifiable Offences (rolling 24 months to March 2011) Cathall and Borough average Source: Metropolitan Police website 612
Theft & Handling
524 554
Violence against the person 286
Burglary
Using population data from the 2011 Mayhew Harper count we can establish that in the 24 months to March 2011 there were 186 offences per 1,000 residents in Cathall. This compares to an average of 213 offences per 1,000 residents in the borough.
Cathall
224 188
Drugs
Borough average per ward
118 166
Robbery
114 146
Fraud & forgery
•
346
223 269
Criminal Damage
The most common offences were for Theft & Handling (28%) followed by Violence against the person (24%).
949
45 32
Other Notifiable offences
23 28
Sexual offences 0
200
400
600
800
1000
Note: Data on the graph does not take into account ward populations so should be viewed as a record of the number of offences rather than an indicator of the likelihood of being a victim of crime.
10