Crop Progress ISSN: 1948-3007
Released July 9, 2012, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA).
Cotton Squaring – Selected States [These 15 States planted 99% of the 2011 cotton acreage] Week ending State
July 8, 2011
July 1, 2012
(percent)
2007-2011 Average
July 8, 2012
(percent)
(percent)
(percent)
Alabama ............................................. Arizona ............................................... Arkansas ............................................ California ............................................ Georgia .............................................. Kansas ............................................... Louisiana ............................................ Mississippi .......................................... Missouri .............................................. North Carolina .................................... Oklahoma ........................................... South Carolina .................................... Tennessee .......................................... Texas ................................................. Virginia ...............................................
36 74 91 59 59 53 96 84 69 86 13 65 63 47 79
71 81 98 65 62 44 81 87 72 59 23 42 58 33 55
87 85 99 70 85 67 91 94 79 65 40 62 76 61 65
59 74 93 72 65 55 92 88 73 87 41 56 77 55 63
15 States ............................................
56
49
70
64
Cotton Setting Bolls – Selected States [These 15 States planted 99% of the 2011 cotton acreage] Week ending State
July 8, 2011
July 1, 2012
July 8, 2012
(percent)
(percent)
(percent)
2007-2011 Average (percent)
Alabama ............................................. Arizona ............................................... Arkansas ............................................ California ............................................ Georgia .............................................. Kansas ............................................... Louisiana ............................................ Mississippi .......................................... Missouri .............................................. North Carolina .................................... Oklahoma ........................................... South Carolina .................................... Tennessee .......................................... Texas ................................................. Virginia ...............................................
10 31 25 26 25 71 20 7 30 30 8 15 1
8 25 47 20 18 2 35 28 10 2 1 1 3 11 5
25 35 70 30 45 10 53 41 12 5 6 10 17 15 7
16 35 31 26 20 53 32 18 20 3 11 10 16 9
15 States ............................................
18
14
23
19
- Represents zero.
Cotton Condition – Selected States: Week Ending July 8, 2012 [National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2011 planted acreage] State
Very poor
Poor
(percent)
Fair
(percent)
Good
(percent)
Excellent
(percent)
(percent)
Alabama ................................ Arizona .................................. Arkansas ................................ California ............................... Georgia .................................. Kansas ................................... Louisiana ............................... Mississippi ............................. Missouri ................................. North Carolina ........................ Oklahoma .............................. South Carolina ....................... Tennessee ............................. Texas ..................................... Virginia ...................................
7 1 5 2 1 12 2 1 7 5 -
17 7 9 4 8 3 5 30 12 10 5 15 19 1
61 20 27 5 38 48 31 24 41 37 53 36 35 41 17
14 43 39 45 45 38 54 53 15 46 33 54 38 31 82
1 29 20 50 13 4 12 17 2 5 2 4 5 4 -
15 States ...............................
4
14
38
36
8
Previous week ....................... Previous year .........................
4 23
14 19
35 30
39 24
8 4
- Represents zero.
Corn Silking – Selected States [These 18 States planted 92% of the 2011 corn acreage] Week ending State
July 8, 2011
July 1, 2012
July 8, 2012
(percent)
(percent)
(percent)
2007-2011 Average (percent)
Colorado ............................................ Illinois ................................................. Indiana ............................................... Iowa ................................................... Kansas ............................................... Kentucky ............................................ Michigan ............................................ Minnesota .......................................... Missouri ............................................. Nebraska ........................................... North Carolina .................................... North Dakota ...................................... Ohio ................................................... Pennsylvania ..................................... South Dakota ..................................... Tennessee ......................................... Texas ................................................. Wisconsin ..........................................
3 22 3 1 27 24 36 6 93 1 1 6 63 69 -
5 46 30 16 45 48 1 5 56 25 85 3 7 9 4 86 67 1
9 77 60 48 61 66 8 41 75 50 94 14 41 37 24 93 79 11
6 33 19 7 38 41 6 8 42 14 88 3 12 12 75 66 2
18 States ...........................................
11
25
50
19
- Represents zero.
2
Crop Progress (July 2012) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Corn Condition – Selected States: Week Ending July 8, 2012 [National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2011 planted acreage] State
Very poor
Poor
(percent)
Fair
(percent)
Good
(percent)
Excellent
(percent)
(percent)
Colorado ................................ Illinois .................................... Indiana .................................. Iowa ....................................... Kansas .................................. Kentucky ................................ Michigan ................................ Minnesota .............................. Missouri ................................. Nebraska ............................... North Carolina ....................... North Dakota ......................... Ohio ....................................... Pennsylvania ......................... South Dakota ......................... Tennessee ............................. Texas .................................... Wisconsin ..............................
16 23 27 5 15 34 13 1 28 7 2 1 12 3 3 29 4 12
22 25 34 13 28 38 28 4 32 13 16 4 24 9 10 32 8 19
31 33 27 36 38 23 26 18 28 33 35 21 36 33 27 27 29 26
28 17 11 40 18 5 29 62 11 40 37 64 25 42 51 11 47 36
3 2 1 6 1 4 15 1 7 10 10 3 13 9 1 12 7
18 States ...............................
12
18
30
34
6
Previous week ....................... Previous year .........................
7 3
15 6
30 22
40 52
8 17
- Represents zero.
Soybeans Blooming – Selected States [These 18 States planted 95% of the 2011 soybean acreage] Week ending State
July 8, 2011
July 1, 2012
(percent)
2007-2011 Average
July 8, 2012
(percent)
(percent)
(percent)
Arkansas ............................................ Illinois ................................................. Indiana ............................................... Iowa .................................................... Kansas ............................................... Kentucky ............................................. Louisiana ............................................ Michigan ............................................. Minnesota ........................................... Mississippi .......................................... Missouri .............................................. Nebraska ............................................ North Carolina .................................... North Dakota ...................................... Ohio .................................................... South Dakota ...................................... Tennessee .......................................... Wisconsin ...........................................
30 14 12 29 13 14 72 12 71 9 16 16 12 3 17 23 10
60 25 28 26 16 25 58 16 26 79 11 25 5 19 21 29 29 3
70 42 44 52 31 37 76 26 57 90 30 37 11 43 36 45 43 16
34 24 20 34 17 20 73 20 21 81 11 23 8 19 22 21 30 13
18 States ............................................
17
26
44
25
- Represents zero.
Crop Progress (July 2012) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
3
Soybean Condition – Selected States: Week Ending July 8, 2012 [National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2011 planted acreage] State
Very poor
Poor
(percent)
Fair
(percent)
Good
(percent)
Excellent
(percent)
(percent)
Arkansas ................................ Illinois ..................................... Indiana ................................... Iowa ....................................... Kansas ................................... Kentucky ................................ Louisiana ............................... Michigan ................................ Minnesota .............................. Mississippi ............................. Missouri ................................. Nebraska ............................... North Carolina ........................ North Dakota .......................... Ohio ....................................... South Dakota ......................... Tennessee ............................. Wisconsin ..............................
4 17 21 4 8 23 1 11 1 2 23 5 1 11 2 15 11
16 25 30 11 25 39 9 29 6 8 31 14 9 5 25 10 24 20
32 38 35 37 42 30 35 26 21 19 33 40 35 23 37 29 35 28
40 18 13 42 24 8 46 29 64 46 12 38 49 60 24 51 24 36
8 2 1 6 1 9 5 8 25 1 3 7 11 3 8 2 5
18 States ...............................
9
18
33
35
5
Previous week ....................... Previous year .........................
7 2
15 6
33 26
39 52
6 14
- Represents zero.
Sorghum Headed – Selected States [These 11 States planted 98% of the 2011 sorghum acreage] Week ending State
July 8, 2011
July 1, 2012
(percent)
2007-2011 Average
July 8, 2012
(percent)
(percent)
(percent)
Arkansas ................................... Colorado ................................... Illinois ........................................ Kansas ...................................... Louisiana .................................. Missouri .................................... Nebraska .................................. New Mexico .............................. Oklahoma ................................. South Dakota ............................ Texas ........................................
51 6 1 1 92 2 17 1 70
73 11 2 85 8 1 12 1 62
86 5 15 4 93 17 1 3 21 4 63
55 10 8 1 89 7 1 8 2 65
11 States ..................................
25
23
26
23
- Represents zero.
4
Crop Progress (July 2012) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Sorghum Coloring – Selected States [These 11 States planted 98% of the 2011 sorghum acreage] Week ending State
2007-2011 Average
July 8, 2011
July 1, 2012
July 8, 2012
(percent)
(percent)
(percent)
(percent)
Arkansas .................................. Colorado ................................... Illinois ....................................... Kansas ..................................... Louisiana .................................. Missouri .................................... Nebraska .................................. New Mexico .............................. Oklahoma ................................. South Dakota ............................ Texas .......................................
5 20 64
5 21 55
19 1 46 1 56
2 1 22 55
11 States ..................................
19
17
18
17
- Represents zero.
Sorghum Condition – Selected States: Week Ending July 8, 2012 [National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2011 planted acreage] State
Very poor
Poor
Fair
Good
Excellent
(percent)
(percent)
(percent)
(percent)
(percent)
Arkansas ............................... Colorado ................................ Illinois .................................... Kansas .................................. Louisiana ............................... Missouri ................................. Nebraska ............................... New Mexico ........................... Oklahoma .............................. South Dakota ......................... Texas ....................................
6 6 37 11 13 4 29 2 7
16 23 29 26 1 30 18 31 19 12 12
33 35 31 46 46 41 45 39 45 47 29
38 34 3 16 48 15 32 1 34 39 43
7 2 1 5 1 1 2 9
11 States ...............................
9
20
39
28
4
Previous week ....................... Previous year .........................
7 13
17 20
42 34
30 30
4 3
- Represents zero.
Peanuts Pegging – Selected States [These 8 States planted 98% of the 2011 peanut acreage] Week ending State
July 8, 2011
July 1, 2012
July 8, 2012
(percent)
(percent)
(percent)
2007-2011 Average (percent)
Alabama ............................................. Florida ................................................ Georgia .............................................. North Carolina .................................... Oklahoma ........................................... South Carolina .................................... Texas ................................................. Virginia ...............................................
16 45 41 61 36 49 20 29
56 45 34 37 22 35 8 29
60 49 62 47 39 55 32 40
25 47 39 59 54 53 33 39
8 States ..............................................
38
37
55
40
Crop Progress (July 2012) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
5
Peanut Condition – Selected States: Week Ending July 8, 2012 [National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2011 planted acreage] State
Very poor
Poor
(percent)
Fair
(percent)
Good
(percent)
Excellent
(percent)
(percent)
Alabama ................................ Florida .................................... Georgia .................................. North Carolina ........................ Oklahoma .............................. South Carolina ....................... Texas ..................................... Virginia ...................................
1 -
1 1 2 3 1 4 2 1
46 11 27 44 17 39 52 39
53 80 55 48 74 53 46 60
8 16 4 8 4 -
8 States .................................
-
2
32
57
9
Previous week ....................... Previous year .........................
6
2 19
30 42
59 29
9 4
- Represents zero.
Rice Headed – Selected States [These 6 States planted 100% of the 2011 rice acreage] Week ending State
2007-2011 Average
July 8, 2011
July 1, 2012
July 8, 2012
(percent)
(percent)
(percent)
(percent)
Arkansas ................................... California .................................. Louisiana .................................. Mississippi ................................ Missouri .................................... Texas ........................................
6 57 13 46
14 67 20 31
21 70 43 4 47
5 48 13 2 48
6 States ....................................
16
20
26
14
- Represents zero.
Rice Condition – Selected States: Week Ending July 8, 2012 [National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2011 planted acres] State
Very poor
Poor
Fair
Good
Excellent
(percent)
(percent)
(percent)
(percent)
(percent)
Arkansas ................................ California ............................... Louisiana ............................... Mississippi ............................. Missouri ................................. Texas .....................................
3 1 4
10 1 7 5 5
30 10 27 14 23 12
46 20 59 54 52 58
11 70 13 24 20 21
6 States .................................
2
6
23
43
26
Previous week ....................... Previous year .........................
1 4
4 6
23 29
47 41
25 20
- Represents zero.
6
Crop Progress (July 2012) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Winter Wheat Harvested – Selected States [These 18 States harvested 88% of the 2011 winter wheat acreage] Week ending State
2007-2011 Average
July 8, 2011
July 1, 2012
July 8, 2012
(percent)
(percent)
(percent)
(percent)
Arkansas ............................................ California ............................................ Colorado ............................................. Idaho .................................................. Illinois ................................................. Indiana ............................................... Kansas ............................................... Michigan ............................................. Missouri .............................................. Montana ............................................. Nebraska ............................................ North Carolina .................................... Ohio .................................................... Oklahoma ........................................... Oregon ............................................... South Dakota ...................................... Texas ................................................. Washington ........................................
100 77 31 83 68 90 3 94 8 100 57 100 99 -
100 80 87 96 91 99 20 99 69 99 65 100 11 98 -
100 95 97 99 99 100 66 100 93 100 87 100 41 99 -
100 89 30 81 71 86 9 87 19 99 54 91 2 3 90 1
18 States ............................................
58
69
75
56
- Represents zero.
Spring Wheat Headed – Selected States [These 6 States planted 98% of the 2011 spring wheat acreage] Week ending State
July 8, 2011
July 1, 2012
(percent)
2007-2011 Average
July 8, 2012
(percent)
(percent)
(percent)
Idaho .................................................. Minnesota ........................................... Montana ............................................. North Dakota ...................................... South Dakota ...................................... Washington ........................................
43 59 19 69 63
59 98 35 82 100 47
83 100 61 96 100 75
53 71 38 48 86 84
6 States ..............................................
24
73
88
55
- Represents zero.
Spring Wheat Condition – Selected States: Week Ending July 8, 2012 [National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2011 planted acreage] State
Very poor
Poor
(percent)
Fair
(percent)
Good
(percent)
Excellent
(percent)
(percent)
Idaho ........................................ Minnesota ................................. Montana ................................... North Dakota ............................ South Dakota ............................ Washington ..............................
1 3 3 2 -
2 6 10 4 15 3
37 30 36 22 25 23
52 51 41 60 47 70
8 10 10 14 11 4
6 States ....................................
1
6
27
54
12
Previous week .......................... Previous year ............................
1 1
4 3
24 23
59 60
12 13
- Represents zero.
Crop Progress (July 2012) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
7
Oats Harvested – Selected States [These 9 States harvested 65% of the 2011 oat acreage] Week ending State
2007-2011 Average
July 8, 2011
July 1, 2012
July 8, 2012
(percent)
(percent)
(percent)
(percent)
Iowa .......................................... Minnesota ................................. Nebraska .................................. North Dakota ............................. Ohio .......................................... Pennsylvania ............................ South Dakota ............................ Texas ........................................ Wisconsin .................................
3 94 -
20 3 60 5 4 97 2
45 6 85 1 9 9 20 98 13
2 6 2 96 -
9 States ....................................
10
15
24
10
- Represents zero.
Oat Condition – Selected States: Week Ending July 8, 2012 [National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2011 planted acreage] State
Very poor
Poor
Fair
Good
Excellent
(percent)
(percent)
(percent)
(percent)
(percent)
Iowa .......................................... Minnesota ................................. Nebraska .................................. North Dakota ............................. Ohio .......................................... Pennsylvania ............................ South Dakota ............................ Texas ........................................ Wisconsin .................................
4 1 1 3 11 4 3
16 5 13 2 6 2 7 7 8
36 22 42 22 36 20 28 28 24
40 63 44 68 47 58 47 35 57
4 9 8 8 20 7 26 8
9 States ....................................
3
7
27
48
15
Previous week .......................... Previous year ............................
3 14
6 7
26 19
50 50
15 10
- Represents zero.
Barley Headed – Selected States [These 5 States planted 71% of the 2011 barley acreage] Week ending State
July 8, 2011
July 1, 2012
(percent)
2007-2011 Average
July 8, 2012
(percent)
(percent)
(percent)
Idaho .................................................. Minnesota .......................................... Montana ............................................. North Dakota ...................................... Washington ........................................
42 51 16 65
61 98 49 80 49
83 100 74 92 75
55 70 43 52 83
5 States .............................................
25
61
82
52
- Represents zero.
8
Crop Progress (July 2012) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Barley Condition – Selected States: Week Ending July 8, 2012 [National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2011 planted acreage] State
Very poor
Poor
(percent)
Fair
(percent)
Good
(percent)
Excellent
(percent)
(percent)
Idaho ........................................ Minnesota ................................. Montana ................................... North Dakota ............................ Washington ..............................
4 1 9 -
4 3 14 3 1
36 26 36 20 20
39 62 32 63 77
17 8 9 14 2
5 States ....................................
5
7
31
45
12
Previous week .......................... Previous year ............................
2 -
5 3
32 21
51 61
10 15
- Represents zero.
Crop Progress (July 2012) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
9
Pasture and Range Condition – Selected States: Week Ending July 8, 2012 [National pasture and range conditions for selected States are weighted based on pasture acreage and/or livestock inventories] State
Very poor
Poor
(percent)
Fair
(percent)
Good
(percent)
Excellent
(percent)
(percent)
Alabama ................................ Arizona .................................. Arkansas ................................ California ............................... Colorado ................................ Connecticut ............................ Delaware ............................... Florida .................................... Georgia .................................. Idaho ...................................... Illinois ..................................... Indiana ................................... Iowa ....................................... Kansas ................................... Kentucky ................................ Louisiana ............................... Maine ..................................... Maryland ................................ Massachusetts ....................... Michigan ................................ Minnesota .............................. Mississippi ............................. Missouri ................................. Montana ................................. Nebraska ............................... Nevada .................................. New Hampshire ..................... New Jersey ............................ New Mexico ........................... New York ............................... North Carolina ........................ North Dakota .......................... Ohio ....................................... Oklahoma .............................. Oregon ................................... Pennsylvania ......................... Rhode Island .......................... South Carolina ....................... South Dakota ......................... Tennessee ............................. Texas ..................................... Utah ....................................... Vermont ................................. Virginia ................................... Washington ............................ West Virginia .......................... Wisconsin .............................. Wyoming ................................
9 44 58 15 42 18 1 12 43 47 16 35 39 5 11 20 3 12 48 22 26 32 2 45 11 4 2 19 10 12 4 10 41 17 16 9 11 24 33
28 28 27 60 34 39 1 23 32 34 33 36 37 20 24 27 12 21 39 30 33 42 2 35 44 25 20 16 33 26 8 28 18 23 34 29 37 11 25 5 26 24 33
43 22 12 20 22 35 21 16 42 45 20 17 37 24 20 43 11 28 32 34 24 45 12 33 28 18 5 30 10 36 44 37 32 47 26 30 35 44 34 20 37 27 11 43 26 47 25 27
19 5 3 5 2 65 22 67 21 43 4 2 13 5 4 27 46 34 68 17 54 20 1 12 13 6 61 35 1 27 31 41 15 16 54 24 65 34 30 5 16 19 61 21 35 15 25 7
1 1 15 2 12 1 1 5 43 3 2 7 2 3 2 30 1 1 4 1 1 12 6 3 1 1 17 2 34 1 2 -
48 States ...............................
21
29
29
18
3
Previous week ....................... Previous year .........................
17 15
26 14
32 22
22 37
3 12
- Represents zero.
10
Crop Progress (July 2012) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Crop Progress and Condition Tables Expected Next Week Barley: Headed, Condition Corn: Silking, Dough, Condition Cotton: Squaring, Setting Bolls, Condition Oats: Harvested, Condition Pasture and Range: Condition Peanuts: Pegging, Condition Rice: Headed, Condition Sorghum: Headed, Coloring, Condition Soybeans: Blooming, Setting Pods, Condition Spring Wheat: Headed, Condition Winter Wheat: Harvested
Statistical Methodology Survey Procedures: Crop progress and condition estimates are based on survey data collected each week from early April through the end of November. The non-probability crop progress and condition surveys include input from approximately 4,000 respondents whose occupations provide them opportunities to make visual observations and frequently bring them in contact with farmers in their counties. Based on standard definitions, these respondents subjectively estimate the progress of crops through various stages of development, as well as the progress of producer activities. They also provide subjective evaluations of crop conditions. Most respondents complete their questionnaires on Friday or early Monday morning and submit them to the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) Field Offices in their States by mail, telephone, fax, e-mail, or through a secured internet website. A small number of reports are completed on Thursday, Saturday, and Sunday. Regardless of when questionnaires are completed, respondents are asked to report for the entire week ending on Sunday. For reports submitted prior to the Sunday reference date, a degree of uncertainty is introduced by projections for weekend changes in progress and condition. By the end of the 2011 season, over 90 percent of the data were being submitted through the internet website. As a result, the majority of all data are submitted on Monday morning, significantly reducing projection uncertainty. Respondents are sent written reporting instructions at the beginning of each season and are contacted periodically to ensure proper reporting. Terms and definitions of crop stages and condition categories used as reporting guidelines are available on the NASS website at www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/National_Crop_Progress. Estimating Procedures: Reported data are reviewed for reasonableness and consistency by comparing with data reported the previous week and data reported in surrounding counties for the current week. Each State Field Office summarizes the reported data to district and State levels, weighting each county’s reported data by NASS county acreage estimates. Summarized indications are compared with previous week estimates, and progress items are compared with earlier stages of development and historical averages to ensure reasonableness. Weather events and respondent comments are also taken into consideration. State estimates are submitted to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB) along with supporting comments, where they are compared with surrounding States and compiled into a National level summary by weighting each State by its acreage estimates. Revision Policy: Progress and condition estimates in the Crop Progress report are released after 4:00 pm ET on the first business day of the week. These estimates are subject to revision the following week.
Crop Progress (July 2012) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
11
Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity statisticians in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to
[email protected] Lance Honig, Chief, Crops Branch ....................................................................................................... (202) 720-2127 Jacqueline Moore, Head, Field Crops Section ...................................................................................... (202) 720-2127 Suzanne Avilla – Peanuts, Rice........................................................................................................ (202) 720-7688 Bryan Durham – Oats, Rye, Wheat .................................................................................................. (202) 720-8068 Steve Maliszewski – Cotton, Cotton Ginnings, Sorghum ................................................................ (202) 720-5944 Anthony Prillaman – Corn, Flaxseed, Proso Millet ......................................................................... (202) 720-9526 Julie Schmidt – Crop Weather, Barley, Hay .................................................................................... (202) 720-7621 Travis Thorson – Soybeans, Sunflower, Other Oilseeds .................................................................. (202) 720-7369
Access to NASS Reports For your convenience, you may access NASS reports and products the following ways: All reports are available electronically, at no cost, on the NASS web site: http://www.nass.usda.gov Both national and state specific reports are available via a free e-mail subscription. To set-up this free subscription, visit http://www.nass.usda.gov and in the “Follow NASS” box under “Receive reports by Email,” click on “National” or “State” to select the reports you would like to receive. Printed reports may be purchased from the National Technical Information Service (NTIS) by calling toll-free (800) 999-6779, or (703) 605-6220 if calling from outside the United States or Canada. Accepted methods of payment are Visa, MasterCard, check, or money order. For more information on NASS surveys and reports, call the NASS Agricultural Statistics Hotline at (800) 727-9540, 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail:
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