2015 1214 PlanalyticsFlashWeatherEU

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LAST WEEK: 6 December 2015 – 12 December 2015 Precipitation vs. LY

Temperature vs. LY

Colder

Drier

Mean Temperature (°C)

Precipitation (mm)

Period of Record: Dec 6 2015 to Dec 12 2015

Period of Record: Dec 6 2015 to Dec 12 2015

City

• Warmth expands. High pressure continued across southwestern and central Europe leading to warmer than normal and LY temperatures expanding across most of the continent. Cooler temperatures held on from the Balkans to Turkey.

Wetter

Warmer

2015 2014 Change Normal

City

• More settled. The high pressure pushed the storm track further north. Heavy rain still hit parts of Britain but rain across the mainland was much lighter. Strong winds continued from Britain and northwest France to Scandinavia.

2015 2014 Change Normal

Es - El Puerto De Santa Maria 14.7

10.8

3.9

12.3

Ie - Dublin

56

18

38

17

Uk - Crawley, EN

9.6

5.8

3.9

4.5

Uk - Manchester, EN

33

18

16

15

Uk - Manchester, EN

7.8

4.0

3.9

4.2

Uk - Birmingham, EN

28

14

14

12

De - Hamburg

7.4

3.8

3.6

3.1

Es - El Puerto De Santa Maria

23

10

13

16

Uk - Birmingham, EN

8.7

5.1

3.6

4.1

Es - Barcelona

2

0

2

11

Tr - Istanbul

9.7

11.3

-1.6

9.4

Tr - Ankara

0

23

-23

13

Gr - Athens

11.3

13.7

-2.4

12.3

Fr - Paris

9

35

-26

12

Ba - Sarajevo

-0.7

3.1

-3.7

2.6

Rs - Belgrade

1

27

-26

9

Tr - Adana

11.2

15.3

-4.1

12.0

Tr - Adana

0

35

-35

12

Tr - Ankara

1.5

7.2

-5.7

2.9

Gr - Athens

0

109

-109

16

THIS WEEK: 13 December 2015 – 19 December 2015 Wetter

Precipitation vs. LY

Colder

Precipitation vs. Normal

Temperature vs. Normal

Temperature vs. LY

Warmer

Drier

Last Week Actuals

• Strongest weather driven demand in south east Europe.

Weather Impact by Product Category Greece Ireland Hungary Denmark Portugal

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This Week Outlook • Still very mild. Upper level high pressure will be anchored over the continent helping to keep much warmer than normal temperatures in place. Much of the east will come in cooler than LY as the middle of December 2014 saw a very strong warming trend. • Mainly light rain . Several fronts will bring light rain to the Atlantic coast with some heavier rain across the north. Snow will fall from the Scottish Highlands over to Scandinavia. • Another challenging week for weather-driven sales of winter products. The LY comps are especially challenging in western Europe.

Weather Impact by Product Category Croatia Italy Finland Great Britain Turkey

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Jumpers Umbrellas Retail Traffic Coffee Duvets

Coats Retail Traffic Soup Winterwear Bottled Water

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THIS WEEKEND: 19 December 2015 – 20 December 2015 Saturday

Sunday Wetter

Wetter

Drier

Precipitation vs. Normal

Temperature vs. Normal

Colder

Precipitation vs. LY

Warmer

Temperature vs. LY

Precipitation vs. LY

Drier

Precipitation vs. Normal

Colder

Temperature vs. Normal

Temperature vs. LY

Warmer

This Weekend Outlook • Staying quite warm. Temperatures will remain warmer than normal across the continent. Some areas will be cooler than last year which experienced a warm outburst. Low pressure will cause more rain across the north while a trailing front causes showers down to the Iberian Peninsula.

NEXT WEEK: 20 December 2015 – 26 December 2015 Wetter

Precipitation vs. LY

Colder

Precipitation vs. Normal

Temperature vs. Normal

Temperature vs. LY

Warmer

Drier

Next Week Outlook • Warm through Christmas. Abnormally warm weather will continue across the great majority of Europe. As last year’s warm up was very short-lived, Christmas week 2015 will be much warmer than the run-up to last Christmas. • Rain spreads south. Frontal systems will push further south allowing rain to expand into central areas of the continent.

Weather Impact by Product Category Sweden France Romania Spain Germany

© 2015 Planalytics, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Proprietary and Confidential.

Rainwear Soft Drinks Retail Traffic Boots Tea

p p p q q

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