A Time to Remember

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A Time to Remember 

The Most Significant Industry Changes    Over the Last 20 Years 1. Production facilities 2. Genetics 3. Nutrition 4. Industry structure 5. Export markets 6. Regulation 7. Disease challenges 8. Consumer mind‐set 9. Activist groups 10. New Technology

Breed to wean facilities • Breeding • Gestation • Farrowing • Unit size • Pig flow 

Wean to Finish •Feeder design • Crate design • Flooring • Ventilation • Manure handling • Supplemental heat • Controls and data reporting

Integrating Design and Technology •Sort barns • Large pen design • Double wide • Quad barns • Bio‐Security and pig flow  • Remote control and recording of: •Ventilation, water, feed,  temperature, pig activity 

The Most Significant Industry Changes    Over the Last 20 Years 1. Production facilities 2. Genetics 3. Nutrition 4. Industry structure 5. Export markets 6. Regulation 7. Disease challenges 8. Consumer mind‐set 9. Activist groups 10. New Technology

Genetic Changes • Sow Productivity • Longevity • Piglet growth rate in lactation • Growth Rates • Feed conversion • Carcass composition • Lean gain and conversion • Uniformity • Pork Quality • Heat tolerance/seasonal consistency • Target end weights

The Most Significant Industry Changes    Over the Last 20 Years 1. Production facilities 2. Genetics 3. Nutrition 4. Industry structure 5. Export markets 6. Regulation 7. Disease challenges 8. Consumer mind‐set 9. Activist groups 10. New Technology

Delivering Nutrition • Ingredient options • Nutrient requirements • Barrows, gilts, boars • Lean growth rates • Seasonal variation • Manure composition considerations • Micro nutrients • Feed additives • Feed budgets • Nursery • Finishing • Sows • Manufacturing • Delivery of feed • Performance targets  • Profitability targets

The Most Significant Industry Changes    Over the Last 20 Years 1. Production facilities 2. Genetics 3. Nutrition 4. Industry structure 5. Export markets 6. Regulation 7. Disease challenges 8. Consumer mind‐set 9. Activist groups 10. New Technology

Table 1. Top 30 US Pork Production Companies Rank NAME OF OPERATION 1

Smithfield Foods

922,251

2 3 4 5 6 7

Seaboard Foods Christensen Farms Iowa Select Farms The Pipestone System The Maschhoffs Prestage Farms

213,600 162,500 152,500 132,000 130,000 125,000

Est Market  Mkt  Cummulative  Packers Pigs Share Mkt Share 18,445,020 17.6% Smithfield, Farmland,  17.6% John Morrell 4,272,000 4.1% 21.6% Seaboard 3,250,000 3.1% 24.7% Triumph, JBS Swift 3,050,000 2.9% 27.6% JBS Swift 2,640,000 2.5% 30.1% JBS Swift, Tyson 2,600,000 2.5% 32.6% Cargill, Hormel , , 2,500,000 2.4% 35.0% John Morrell, JBS Swift

8

Cargill

116,000

2,320,000

2.2%

9 10 11 12

Carthage System AMVC Management Hanor Maxwell Foods  (Goldsboro) Hormel Foods (M2P2) PST Progressive Swine  Technologies Tyson Foods New Fashion Pork Country View Family  Farms Nebraska Pork Partners

85,000 82,000 80,000 69,000

1,700,000 1,640,000 1,600,000 1,380,000

1.6% 1.6% 1.5% 1.3%

54,000 53,200

1,080,000 1,064,000

1.0% 1.0%

52,000 48,000 46,500

1,040,000 960,000 930,000

1.0% 0.9% 0.9%

13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30

Wakefield  Holden Farms Texas Farms TriOak Foods Schwartz Farms M2P2 Swine Graphics Hog Slat (TDM) Garland Farm Supply Eichelberger Farms JC (Carolina) Howard Hitch Pork Total

SOWS 

44,500

890,000

810,000 40,500 40,000 800,000 40,000 800,000 35,000 700,000 30,000 600,000 27,400 548,000 482,000 24,100 23,000 460,000 23,000 460,000 23,000 460,000 22,000 440,000 15,000 300,000 2,951,051 59,021,020

States

IA, MO, AK, OK, MN IL, IA, IN, MO IA, MN, SD, NE IL, WI, OK, TX, NC

43.2% 44.3%

Cargill Cargill, Triumph Hormel, Tyson Triumph, Seaboard Smithfield, Indiana  Packers Hormel

45.3% 46.3% 47.2%

Tyson Tyson Triumph

NE, IA AK, OK, MO, IN MN, SD, IA

48.1%

Hatfield

PA, OH, IN

48.9% 49.7% 50.4% 51.2% 51.9% 52.4% 53.0% 53.4% 53.9% 54.3% 54.7% 55.2% 55.4%

Smithfield (Farmland) JBS Swift Tyson Tyson Cargill JBS Swift Hormel Tyson Indiana Packers Smithfield Triumph Smithfield Seaboard

NE, IA MN MN TX, IA IA, IL MN IA, CO, OK, NC IA NC, IN NC, SC, KS, IA IA NC OK

37.2% 38.8% 40.4% 41.9%

NC, VA, IA, MO, OK,  TX, CO, UT OK, TX, KS, CO MN, SD, NE, IA IA, MN IL, IA, IN, MO NC, MS, IA

NC, IN AZ, IA, MN

0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 55.4%

Table 3: Top 10 US Pork Packers and  Processors 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

NAME OF  OPERATION Smithfield Foods

Plants

Mkt Share

9

Annual  Harvest 30,942,000

Tyson Foods JBS Swift Cargill Meat  Solutions Hormel Seaboard  Triumph Foods Indiana Packers Hatfield Quality  Meats

6 3 2

18,798,000 11,960,000 9,360,000

18% 11% 9%

3 1 1 1 1

9,568,000 4,100,000 4,100,000 3,900,000 2,600,000

9% 4% 4% 4% 2%

Routh Packing Total 

1

900,000

1%

28

96,228,000

92%

29%

The Most Significant Industry Changes    Over the Last 20 Years 1. Production facilities 2. Genetics 3. Nutrition 4. Industry structure 5. Export markets 6. Regulation 7. Disease challenges 8. Consumer mind‐set 9. Activist groups 10. New Technology

The Most Significant Industry Changes    Over the Last 20 Years 1. Production facilities 2. Genetics 3. Nutrition 4. Industry structure 5. Export markets 6. Regulation 7. Disease challenges 8. Consumer mind‐set 9. Activist groups 10. New Technology

Pork Industry Regulation • • • • • • •

Waste handling Air quality Worker safety Animal welfare Antibiotic use Free trade ID – COOL

The Most Significant Industry Changes    Over the Last 20 Years 1. Production facilities 2. Genetics 3. Nutrition 4. Industry structure 5. Export markets 6. Regulation 7. Disease challenges 8. Consumer mind‐set 9. Activist groups 10. New Technology

Nursery Disease Challenges ‐20 years ago ‐ Today

NAHMS ‐ USDA

NAHMS ‐ USDA

Wean to Finish Disease Challenges ‐20 years ago ‐ Today 

NAHMS ‐ USDA

NAHMS ‐ USDA

Common Practices

NAHMS ‐ USDA

The Most Significant Industry Changes    Over the Last 20 Years 1. Production facilities 2. Genetics 3. Nutrition 4. Industry structure 5. Export markets 6. Regulation 7. Disease challenges 8. Consumer mind‐set 9. Activist groups 10. New Technology

Consumer Demand

Consumer Spending

In terms of in store profitability, pork segments are key

Profit per pound advantage vs.  average meatcase item 154%

103% 71%

63% 47% 29%

25% 13%

Pork Value Added

Pork Tenderloins

Chicken Value Added

Beef Value Added

26 Source: National Pork Board Retail Composite Database 2005

Beef Steaks

Bonless Pork Chops

Ground Beef

Boneless Chicken Breasts

Consumer Spending

Bacon accounts for nearly  half of all pork items on menus Distribution of menued pork items at same operators

Pepperon i Breakfast Sausage 8.2%

Sausage  7%

Ribs 2.3 %

12.9%

Pork Chops, Loins, Tenders 4.1% Bacon 46.2%

28 Source: MenuMine 2005

Ham (Sliced, Unsliced) 19.2%

The Most Significant Industry Changes    Over the Last 20 Years 1. Production facilities 2. Genetics 3. Nutrition 4. Industry structure 5. Export markets 6. Regulation 7. Disease challenges 8. Consumer mind‐set 9. Activist groups 10. New Technology

The Most Significant Industry Changes    Over the Last 20 Years 1. Production facilities 2. Genetics 3. Nutrition 4. Industry structure 5. Export markets 6. Regulation 7. Disease challenges 8. Consumer mind‐set 9. Activist groups 10. New Technology

New Technology 20 Years Ago A time to remember • 1990 ‐ ??? – Plasma for nursery diets – Synthetic amino acids – Vaccines? – Medication? – Split sex feeding  – Genetics – Production Systems ‐ SEW

What Technology is Needed? • Top needs…….. • Biggest gaps……. • Biggest opportunities…….

• Records and data systems

• Health challenges • Nutrition • Genetics • New targets

Thank you!