CA-48 CA-48 VOTER REGISTRATION OPPORTUNITIES

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CA-48

CA-48 VOTER REGISTRATION OPPORTUNITIES DEMOGRAPHIC ANALYSIS

Group

Total

Voting Age Pop % of Population Registered Voters % of Voters Unreg Citizens Projected Support

489,154 100% 406,170 100% 82,984 41.5%

African Hispanic / American Latino 6,036 61,000 1.2% 12.5% 3,066 42,100 0.8% 10.4% 2,970 18,900 70.6% 64.6%

REGISTRATION OPPORTUNITY DENSITY Asian Millennial American 89,289 169,135 18.3% 34.6% 57,209 106,415 14.1% 26.2% 32,080 62,720 44.2% 50.1%

VOTER REGISTRATION TRENDS Group

Total Reg #

OVERALL Current 406,170 2014 375,284 2012 453,834 MILLENNIAL (18-35) Current 106,415 2014 83,976 2012 111,992 AFRICAN AMERICAN Current 3,066 2014 2,642 2012 3,426 HISPANIC / LATINO Current 42,100 2014 39,733 2012 48,599

% Dem

% Rep

% Ind

Reg Advantage

New Reg Turnout

29.8% 28.2% 28.4%

41.2% 44.0% 44.0%

28.9% 27.7% 27.7%

R+11.4% R+15.8% R+15.6%

0.0% 41.3% 76.2%

32.5% 27.4% 27.5%

26.7% 31.0% 32.2%

40.8% 41.6% 40.3%

D+5.8% R+3.5% R+4.8%

0.0% 20.0% 15.3%

50.1% 56.8% 57.0%

19.4% 21.1% 20.5%

30.4% 22.1% 22.5%

D+30.7% D+35.7% D+36.5%

0.0% 35.7% 74.3%

47.4% 43.4% 42.9%

21.6% 27.5% 28.6%

31.0% 29.1% 28.5%

D+25.8% D+15.8% D+14.3%

0.0% 30.4% 70.0%

CHANGES IN PARTISANSHIP 250,000 150,000 50,000

Dem %

2012

Rep %

2014

Ind %

Current