VA-02
VA-02 VOTER REGISTRATION OPPORTUNITIES DEMOGRAPHIC ANALYSIS
Group
Total
Voting Age Pop % of Population Registered Voters % of Voters Unreg Citizens Projected Support
522,177 100% 439,558 100% 82,619 43.7%
African Hispanic / American Latino 102,181 25,015 19.6% 4.8% 72,050 17,021 16.4% 3.9% 30,131 7,994 80.2% 52.4%
REGISTRATION OPPORTUNITY DENSITY Asian Millennial American 28,496 203,982 5.5% 39.1% 9,232 127,645 2.1% 29% 19,264 76,337 48.8% 50%
VOTER REGISTRATION TRENDS Group
Total Reg #
OVERALL Current 439,558 2014 459,059 2012 484,614 MILLENNIAL (18-35) Current 127,645 2014 128,013 2012 145,730 AFRICAN AMERICAN Current 72,050 2014 98,561 2012 103,000 HISPANIC / LATINO Current 17,021 2014 21,476 2012 22,833
% Dem
% Rep
% Ind
Reg Advantage
New Reg Turnout
36.5% 41.1% 38.0%
37.1% 35.3% 32.3%
26.4% 23.6% 29.7%
R+0.6% D+5.9% D+5.6%
65.3% 24.3% 71.7%
34.1% 44.5% 41.6%
23.5% 26.0% 23.7%
42.4% 29.5% 34.7%
D+10.6% D+18.5% D+17.8%
59.6% 16.0% 30.5%
81.0% 86.1% 78.1%
3.6% 4.8% 4.6%
15.4% 9.0% 17.3%
D+77.4% D+81.3% D+73.5%
59.7% 17.5% 73.2%
52.1% 62.0% 55.7%
13.9% 15.8% 14.9%
34.0% 22.2% 29.4%
D+38.2% D+46.2% D+40.9%
63.9% 13.7% 64.8%
CHANGES IN PARTISANSHIP 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000
Dem %
2012
Rep %
2014
Ind %
Current