Massachusetts Global Warming Solutions Act (GWSA) and The Clean Energy and Climate Plan for 2020 An Overview Environmental Business Council May 1, 2013 Steven Clarke, EEA Assistant Secretary for Energy Aisling O’Shea, EEA Global Warming Solutions Manager GWSA Overview Clean Energy and Climate Plan Implementation Strategies Inventory
Agenda Climate Change Overview GWSA Overview Implementation Objectives for 2020 Plan
Clean Energy and Climate Plan Strategies Subcommittees Measuring progress
Q&A
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Climate Change – U.S.
The U.S. Climate Extremes Index indicated that 2012 was the second most extreme year on record for the nation, second only to 1998. 1
The average U.S. precipitation total for 2012 was 26.57 inches, 2.57 inches below average, and the 15th driest year on record for the nation.1
Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack declared disaster zone designations for counties in 12 states due to damage and losses caused by drought and excessive heat. 2
Surge in food prices. 2
As the climate warms, the potential for transmission of diseases such as malaria, Dengue fever, West Nile virus and Lyme disease increases.3
In 2012, 48 states reported West Nil Virus infections in humans, birds, or moqquitos.
A total of 5387 cases of West Nile Virus in people, included 243 deaths, was reported in 2012 3
2012 was the highest number of West Nile virus cases reported since 2003.
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1. http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/news/ncdc-announces-warmest-year-record-contiguous-us 2 http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/08/09/the-texas-drought-seen-firsthand-from-the-eyes-of-ranchers.html 3. http://www.cdc.gov/ncidod/dvbid/westnile/index.htm
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Climate Change
The amount of precipitation on extremely wet or snowy days in winter is likely to increase.
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Nemo Blizzard (2013) dumped more than 2 feet of snow on parts of the Northeast, left thousands without power, closed highways, and forced the cancellation of 4,700 flights 2
The frequency of extremely hot days in summer would also increase. 1
Hurricane Sandy (2012) killed more than 100 people, left tens of thousands homeless, and cut power to over 8 million homes 3
1. http://www.neaq.org/conservation_and_research/climate_change/climate_change_in_new_england.php 2. http://www.weather.com/news/weather-winter/winter-storm-nemo-20130206 3. http://www.businessinsider.com/photos-jersey-shore-hurricane-sandy-2012-10
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Climate Change
In Boston, the sea level has risen by 11 inches over the last 100 years (both because of climate change and land subsidence) and could rise another 2 to 6 feet by 2100 1
The cost of sand replenishment to protect the coast of Massachusetts from a 20-inch sea level rise by 2100 is estimated at $490 million to $2.6 billion.
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1. http://www.neaq.org/conservation_and_research/climate_change/climate_change_in_new_england.php 2. http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2012/11/24/opinion/sunday/what-could-disappear.html?_r=1&
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Climate Change - Northeast Warmer annual temperatures - up 2°F since 1970. Last decade was the hottest on record. January-August 2012 set a new record for high temperatures. More frequent extreme summer heat Warmer winters - up 5.2°F since 1970. Decreasing winter snowpack & earlier snowmelt. New England has lost 9 snow days each decade since 1965 Sea surface temperatures – up by 2.3°F between 19702002
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Climate Change - Northeast Sea level rise – 22 cms between 1921-2006. Rate of SLR in NE is 2-4 times faster than the global average Earlier flowering plants
Many nesting birds disappearing – 24% breeding bird species have smaller distributions since 1979 Earlier nesting for 28 migrating bird species on the east coast
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Predicted Northeast Climate Change Impacts CURRENT (19611990)
PREDICTED RANGE by 2100
Annual Temperature (o C)
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10 to 13
Annual Precipitation (inches)
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43 to 46
Sea Level Rise (inches)
3.1
11 to 79
Streamflow-spring peak flow (days from January 1)
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74 to 75
Short Droughts (#/30 yr)
13
16 to 23
Snow Days/Month (days)
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3 to 1
184
213 to 227
PARAMETER
Length of growing season (days)
Global Warming Solutions Act GWSA Legislation enacted in 2008, requires: EEA and MassDEP to collaborate with other agencies to reduce GHG emissions to the limits established in M.G.L. Ch. 21N Reductions of GHG emissions by 10-25% below 1990 Baseline Levels by 2020 and 80% reduction by 2050 Establishment of a GHG emissions registry and reporting system, and publication of an Inventory with comprehensive estimates of GHG emissions in the Commonwealth.
Clean Energy and Climate Plan Implementation Strategies Inventory 9
Global Warming Solutions Act EEA set goal to reduce emissions by 25% below 1990 baseline by 2020. Issued the “Clean Energy and Climate Plan for 2020” (the 2020 Plan), released in Dec 2010; implementation underway. 5-year evaluation report in Jan 2014 5-year Update of the 2020 Plan in Dec 2015 Other requirements Convene advisory committees Prepare Adaptation Report (released September 2011 http://www.malegislature.gov/Laws/SessionLaws/Acts/2008/Ch apter298
Clean Energy and Climate Plan Implementation Strategies Inventory 10
Implementation Objectives Workplans for the 28 strategies in the 2020 Plan Communicating our success Measuring GHG reductions and evaluating strategy implementation Update plans based on success of implementing strategies Integration with other priorities of the Administration
Clean Energy and Climate Plan Implementation Strategies Inventory 11
Implementation Advisory Committee (IAC) Established to advise Secretary on 2020 Plan implementation
Composed of leaders in business, environmental advocacy, industry, and academia. Co-Chaired by Undersecretary for Energy and Undersecretary for Environment Meets three times annually
June 2012 September 2012 January 2013 June 2013
GWSA Overview Clean Energy and Climate Plan
Strategies Inventory 12
Clean Energy and Climate Plan Provides rationale for GHG emission reduction in Massachusetts (economic, health, security, environmental) Outlines 28 policies/strategies to reduce emissions from the four primary emissions sectors, & includes 3 cross-cutting strategies (e.g. MEPA). EEA/EOHED/MassDOT collaboration GWSA Subcommittees are working on implementation GWSA Overview
Implementation Strategies Inventory 13
Massachusetts GHG emissions by Sector (Million Metric Tons of Carbon Dioxide Equivalents, MMTCO2e)
Projected impact of 2020 strategies Source Massachusetts Greenhouse Gas Inventory http://www.mass.gov/dep/air/climate/ghginv9012.xls
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Massachusetts GHG emissions 11 % CO2e emission drop 1990-2009 influenced by many factors including: economy and natural gas prices; weather patterns affecting heating and cooling loads; and state investments in energy efficiency measures.
Data source: Massachusetts Greenhouse Gas Inventory
http://www.mass.gov/dep/air/climate/ghginv9012.xls
GWSA Overview Clean Energy and Climate Plan Implementation Strategies
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Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI) February 2013 - nine states agreed to lower the regional carbon dioxide emissions cap from the current level of 165 million to 91 million tons per year. An independent analysis concluded that the first three years of the RGGI program (from 2009 through 2011) resulted in: $1.6 billion in net present economic value added to the region, and $400 million to Massachusetts; Electricity consumers overall – households, businesses, government users, and others – enjoying a net lifetime gain of nearly $1.1 billion, as their overall electric bills drop over time; A lowering by more than $765 million in the total dollars that Massachusetts and the RGGI states send outside the region in the form of payments for fuel. 16
Proposed RGGI Changes If adopted across the region, Massachusetts estimates an additional $350 million in allowance auction revenue will be collected for 2012-2020. As per the GCA, this will be invested primarily to help Massachusetts businesses and residences become more energy efficient. MassDEP and DOER are currently finalizing draft regulations for public comment and public hearing anticipated to be held this summer.
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Electric Vehicles (EV) EEA recently launched the Massachusetts Electric Vehicle Incentive Program (MassEVIP); Funding to municipalities to help purchase electric or plug-in hybrid passenger vehicles and to communities for installation of dual electric charging stations; $ 2.5 million incentive program will help reduce GHG emissions, improve air quality and reduce reliance on foreign oil.
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GWSA Implementation Subcommittees
Buildings, Energy Efficiency and Demand-Side Management (Tina Halfpenny, Department of Energy Resources (DOER))
Energy Generation and Distribution (Bram Claeys, DOER)
Transportation, Smart Growth and Land Use (Catherine Cagle, Massachusetts Department of Transportation (MassDOT)) (Kurt Gaertner, Co-Chair, EEA)
Non-Energy Emissions (Sharon Weber, MassDEP)
Adaptation (Kathy Baskin, EOEEA)
GWSA Overview Clean Energy and Climate Plan
Strategies Inventory 19
Buildings
Energy Efficiency and Demand-Side Management
2020 Plan projects 9.8% GHG emissions reduction The subcommittee is implementing the following key strategies to meet its GHG emission reduction targets:
All Cost-Effective Energy Efficiency Advanced Building Energy Codes Building Energy Rating and Labeling Developing a Mature Market for Solar Thermal Water and Space Heating Expand Energy Efficiency to Oil in
Commercial and Industrial buildings Federal Appliance and Product Standards Green Communities Designation and Grant Program Leading by Example Tree Retention and Planting to Reduce Heating and Cooling Loads
GWSA Overview Clean Energy and Climate Plan Implementation
Inventory 20
Buildings
Energy Efficiency and Demand-Side Management
Supplemental Strategy Ideas: Energy Efficiency- Multifamily/ Rental Housing: Improve the energy efficiency of rental housing through various strategies Energy Efficiency- Commercial Real Estate: Complement the utilities’ strategic planning to serve commercial real estate through numerous strategies
GWSA Overview Clean Energy and Climate Plan Implementation
Inventory 21
Energy
Generation and Distribution
2020 Plan projects 7.7% GHG emissions reduction The subcommittee is implementing the following key strategies to meet its GHG emission reduction targets:
Clean Energy Imports Clean Energy Performance Standard Expanded Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS) and Alternative Portfolio Standard (APS) More Stringent EPA Power Plant Rules
Offshore Wind Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI) Renewable Heating and Cooling
GWSA Overview Clean Energy and Climate Plan Implementation
Inventory 22
Energy
Generation and Distribution
Supplemental Strategy Ideas: Renewable Thermal Incentive: Sets a hard target for a full portfolio of renewable thermal technologies. Incorporates renewable thermal into the APS. Modernize the Grid: Transform the power grid to accommodate high penetration of variable generation, storage, and electric vehicles; manage peaks and reduce line losses. GWSA Overview Clean Energy and Climate Plan Implementation
Inventory 23
Transportation
Smart Growth and Land Use
2020 Plan projects 7.6% GHG emissions reduction The subcommittee is implementing the following key strategies to meet its GHG emission reduction targets:
Federal and California Vehicle Efficiency and GHG Standards Federal Emissions and Fuel Efficiency Standards for Medium- and Heavy-Duty Vehicles Federal Renewable Fuel Standard
(RFS) and Regional Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) GreenDOT/Modeshift Pay As You Drive Auto Insurance (PAYD) Smart Growth Policy Package
GWSA Overview Clean Energy and Climate Plan Implementation
Inventory 24
Transportation
Smart Growth and Land Use
Supplemental Strategy Ideas: Clean/Electric Vehicle Incentives: Increase use of zero emission and alternative fuel vehicles by enhancing activities and potential incentives
Increase Vehicle Efficiency through Tire Inflation: Require tire check and inflation every time a vehicle is serviced Planning Ahead for Growth: Advance policies that support housing and economic development goals consistent with the MA Sustainable Development Principles GWSA Overview Clean Energy and Climate Plan Implementation
Inventory 25
Non-Energy Emissions
2020 Plan projects 2.0% GHG emissions reduction The subcommittee is implementing the following key programs to meet its GHG emission reduction targets:
Reducing Emissions from Plastics Combustion Reducing Sulfur Hexafluoride (SF6) Emissions from Gas-
Insulated Switchgear Stationary Equipment Refrigerant Management
GWSA Overview Clean Energy and Climate Plan Implementation
Inventory 26
Non-Energy Emissions
Supplemental Strategy Ideas: Reduce Emissions from the Natural Gas Distribution Network
Reduce Fluorinated Gas Emissions from the Semiconductor Industry
GWSA Overview Clean Energy and Climate Plan Implementation
Inventory 27
Barr Grant The Barr Foundation awarded EEA with a $230,000 grant in September 2012 to develop a Clean Energy and Climate Plan Performance Management System (CCPMS) to Monitor and evaluate the success of the Commonwealth’s GHG emissions reductions strategies; Communicate with the public; and Serve as a regional and national model that other states can adopt to analyze their efforts to reduce GHG emissions Collaborated with Environmental League of Mass(ELM/GWSP) on design and content for a preliminary dashboard on Earth Day 2013 http://www.mass.gov/eea/air-water-climatechange/climate-change/massachusetts-global-warmingsolutions-act/global-warming-solutions-act-dashboard.html The CCPMS is scheduled for completion in October 2013 28
Inventory vs. 2020 Strategy metrics GHG Inventory is the “gold standard” to determine whether the 2020 statewide emissions limit is met.
Partial annual draft spreadsheet shortly after June each year, when virtually 99% of data available Full annual draft spreadsheet in Jan/Feb of each year, when 100% of data available Full 3–year final spreadsheet and document to comply with GWSA http://www.mass.gov/dep/air/climate/gwsa_docs.htm#inventory GWSA Overview Clean Energy and Climate Plan Implementation Strategies
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Milestones 2012 GWSA Annual Report – April 2013 GWSA/ELM Joint Dashboard – April 2013 CCPMS - September 2013 GWSA 5 Year Report - January 2014 5-year Update of 2020 Plan – December 2015
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Questions/Comments? For more information on GWSA & the GHG Dashboard http://www.mass.gov/eea/gwsa
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