More federal spending: New deal or raw deal?

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THE ECONOMY

More federal spending: New deal or raw deal? History has a lesson for those who want to pump up government spending to “stimulate” the economy and create jobs: During the Great Depression, President Franklin D. Roosevelt’s New Deal programs never drove unemployment lower than 20 percent. The jobless rate actually climbed during the second phase. The onset of World War II, not government spending, prompted America’s economic recovery.

Unemployment Rate for Non-Farm Workers, 1926-1947 FDR’s first New Deal

40%

Supreme Court declares much of New Deal unconstitutional New Deal, Part 2, begins

35%

World War II begins

30%

U.S. creates “war economy”

25% 20% 15%

Stock market crash

10%

U.S. enters WWII

5.5% — Normal unemployment rate, 1970–2008

WWII ends

5% 0

’26 ’27 ’28 ’29 ’30 ’31 ’32 ’33 ’34 ’35 ’36 ’37 ’38 ’39 ’40 ’41 ’42 ’43 ’44 ’45 ’46 ’47

For updates on federal spending plans, visit heritage.org and click on Rapid Response. Sources: Department of Commerce, Census Bureau, Global Insight

The Heritage Foundation