Project Title (Project Number) AWS
Synergies Between Energy, Water Use and GHG Mitigation in Texas
Paul Faeth Institute for Public Research CNA Washington Energy Policy Conference April 9th, 2013
Demand and CC could threaten water sustainability
SOURCE: Roy, et al., 2010.
2
3
Generation options for the Texas Power Sector
4
Environmental attributes of some generation options
SOURCES: Macknick et al., 2011. NETL on-line tool.
5
Scenarios tested 1. 2. 3. 4. 5.
Baseline from ERCOT, extended to 2040 Water consumption limited to calculated 2010 amount High efficiency, 0.67% annual drop in demand High wind cost, i.e. no drop from 2010 cost Carbon cap, 40% decline by 2040
6
Scenarios tested 1. 2. 3. 4. 5.
Baseline from ERCOT, extended to 2040 Water consumption limited to 2010 amount calculated High efficiency, 0.67% annual drop in demand High wind cost, i.e. no drop from 2010 cost Carbon cap, 40% decline by 2040
DISCLAIMER: The results shown here are subject to change.
7
Baseline fuel mix
(GWh)
600,000
500,000
400,000
Coal 300,000
Gas Nuke Wind
200,000
100,000
-
*Preliminary results, subject to change
8
High efficiency
(GWh)
Avoided demand
*Preliminary results, subject to change
9
CO2 cap
(GWh)
*Preliminary results, subject to change
10
Gas Generation %
(73% demand growth)
*Preliminary results, subject to change
11
Wind Generation % ~100MW of capacity
*Preliminary results, subject to change
12
Coal Generation %
*Preliminary results, subject to change
13
Water withdrawals
*Preliminary results, subject to change
(ac-ft/yr)
14
Water consumption
*Preliminary results, subject to change
(ac-ft/yr)
15
SO2 emissions
(million lbs)
120
100
80
BASELINE HiWindCost
60
WaterLimit HiEfficiency CO2CAP 40
20
0
*Preliminary results, subject to change
16
CO2 emissions
*Preliminary results, subject to change
(million tons)
17
Total system costs
*Preliminary results, subject to change
($billion)
18
Fixed costs
($billion)
~ 1/3 less capacity needed
*Preliminary results, subject to change
19
Variable costs
*Preliminary results, subject to change
($billion)
20
Contact: Paul Faeth Director of the Energy, Water & Climate Division Institute for Public Research CNA Office: 703-824-2286 Email: [email protected]
21
Paul Faeth Institute for Public Research CNA Washington Energy Policy Conference April 9th, 2013
Demand and CC could threaten water sustainability
SOURCE: Roy, et al., 2010.
2
3
Generation options for the Texas Power Sector
4
Environmental attributes of some generation options
SOURCES: Macknick et al., 2011. NETL on-line tool.
5
Scenarios tested 1. 2. 3. 4. 5.
Baseline from ERCOT, extended to 2040 Water consumption limited to calculated 2010 amount High efficiency, 0.67% annual drop in demand High wind cost, i.e. no drop from 2010 cost Carbon cap, 40% decline by 2040
6
Scenarios tested 1. 2. 3. 4. 5.
Baseline from ERCOT, extended to 2040 Water consumption limited to 2010 amount calculated High efficiency, 0.67% annual drop in demand High wind cost, i.e. no drop from 2010 cost Carbon cap, 40% decline by 2040
DISCLAIMER: The results shown here are subject to change.
7
Baseline fuel mix
(GWh)
600,000
500,000
400,000
Coal 300,000
Gas Nuke Wind
200,000
100,000
-
*Preliminary results, subject to change
8
High efficiency
(GWh)
Avoided demand
*Preliminary results, subject to change
9
CO2 cap
(GWh)
*Preliminary results, subject to change
10
Gas Generation %
(73% demand growth)
*Preliminary results, subject to change
11
Wind Generation % ~100MW of capacity
*Preliminary results, subject to change
12
Coal Generation %
*Preliminary results, subject to change
13
Water withdrawals
*Preliminary results, subject to change
(ac-ft/yr)
14
Water consumption
*Preliminary results, subject to change
(ac-ft/yr)
15
SO2 emissions
(million lbs)
120
100
80
BASELINE HiWindCost
60
WaterLimit HiEfficiency CO2CAP 40
20
0
*Preliminary results, subject to change
16
CO2 emissions
*Preliminary results, subject to change
(million tons)
17
Total system costs
*Preliminary results, subject to change
($billion)
18
Fixed costs
($billion)
~ 1/3 less capacity needed
*Preliminary results, subject to change
19
Variable costs
*Preliminary results, subject to change
($billion)
20
Contact: Paul Faeth Director of the Energy, Water & Climate Division Institute for Public Research CNA Office: 703-824-2286 Email: [email protected]
21
