Municipal Approaches Jon Reiner

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Municipal Approaches Jon Reiner Director of Planning and Community Development North Kingstown

Building Blocks for Natural Hazards and Climate Change Tools for Assessment & Planning Jonathan Reiner, AICP, Director Of Planning, Town of North Kingstown, RI

Simulation of 3’ SLR

Land Use 2025 State Land Use Policy Plan Urban Services Boundary

Why is this important? •Storm intensity and storm damage •Flooding •Drought •Sea level rise •Impacts on the built and natural environments

•How can we plan for something that is not really

happening ?  •Natural Hazards Reviewed and assessed via Hazard Mitigation Plans •Comprehensive Plan Element on Climate Change

The Time is Now to Act: to Adapt & Mitigate

Sea Level Rise is Accelerating HEIGHT NOW

Newport, RI Adapted from: http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/ sltrends_station.shtml?stnid=8452660%20Newport,%20RI

Boothroyd 2011

Wickford Marketplace – Spring High Tide = mean tide levels plus 1’ SLR

10 Sept 2010

Teresa Crean

How do you start to Adapt? If you had maps and information identifying vulnerable assets, what would you do with it?

Mapping Sea Level Rise Project Overview: Planning for Change Locate problem areas - Identify - Evaluate exposure - Communicate

Develop usable tools for town/state planners

Providence, RI 1938

Identifying Rhode Island’s Assets Vulnerable to Sea Level Rise Two Scales  Statewide  North Kingstown

Multi-Institutional Working Group RI Sea Grant RI Statewide Planning Program RI Coastal Resources Mgmt Council RI Emergency Management Agency URI Environmental Data Center The Nature Conservancy State Geologist Town of North Kingstown

Engage in a Participatory Process input, review, validate & disseminate Working Group Meetings  Regularly throughout process Statewide Meetings  September 2010  June 2011 North Kingstown Municipal Board Meetings  October 2010, Planning Commission  February 2011, Technical Advisory Committee  October 2011 Planning Commission  November 2011 Conservation Commission  February 2012 Land Conservancy of North Kingstown

Sea level Rise Scenarios  MHHW plus 1’ SLR  MHHW plus 1’ SLR and 3’ storm surge  MHHW plus 3’ SLR

 MHHW plus 5’ SLR  Hurricane 1938 Surge Height Sea Level Change RI State Coastal Policy Vermeer

1’ SLR

3’ SLR

5’ SLR study

1-3’ rise by 2100 20 - 40 yr

60 - 90+ yr

80 to 90+ yr

20 - 60 yr

60 -110+ yr

90 -110+ yr

& Rahmstorf, 2009

USACE

1165-2-211, 2009 •Dates are based on a 1990 baseline studies

A Patchwork of LiDAR Compile Existing Data 12 Different datasets – 1997 thru 2009 – Different formats, scales, quality – Largely inaccessible and unusable – Included all available bathymetry

Processing 1.1 billion points….. Provided ground Capitalizeaontest existing data forDevelop processing/utilizing methodologies – Convert all data to points new data from NE – Remove overlap – Input to ArcGIS terrain for Lidar Project flown in processing 2011(USGS)

Mapping Real Property Exposure Use of information?

* Requires parcel and tax data

• Outreach to Residents

• Enhanced building codes •Incentives for elevating structures

•Changes in Zoning

Mapping Transportation at Risk Use of information? • Advisory/close roads during extreme events • Evacuation Routes & Hazard Mitigation Plans •Prioritize retrofits •Capital Improvement Program •Transportation Improvement Program

Assessing Vulnerability From the Built Environment to the Natural Environment

Sapowet Marsh Tiverton, Photo by Rob Hancock,

Wickford Harbor

Focus Area 1: Wickford Village

Mapping Marsh Migration Sea Level Affecting Marshes Model (SLAMM)  Simulates the dominant processes involved in

wetland conversions and shoreline modification during long-term sea level rise  Applied and improved since 1985  Used throughout the country

http://www.warrenpinnacle.com/prof/SLAMM/

The SLAMM Model  Model Process  Specify time period and projected rate of SLR  Inundation  Calculated based on slope and elevation

 Erosion  Based on fetch and proximity to open ocean  Overwash  Beach migration and sediment transport based on storm interval

 Saturation  Movement of fresh and coastal wetlands in response to rising water table  Accretion  Vertical rise of marsh due to buildup of organic and inorganic matter  On the ground rate can vary from site to site and through time

What can we do??? Develop alternatives for “hard” shoreline protection structures

Protect undeveloped areas for future salt marsh

Enhance coastal buffers; increase setbacks

Next Steps Statewide

 Confirm/refine SLR assessment methodology and map

products  Assess vulnerability of transportation (roads, bridges, rails, evacuation, etc) and other sectors (i.e. wastewater)  Assess implications to coastal wetlands to SLR and impediments (i.e., shoreline structures)  Develop strategies (policy, outreach, action) in communities and state  Utilize LiDAR for other analysis, such as increased flooding in riverine areas Enhance Science, Partnerships, Leadership, and Resources

Next Steps Statewide  Revise state SLR policy to include standards for building

and buffer zones  Analysis of information for state Climate Commission  Evaluation of state road infrastructure  Education of state policy/general assembly/community leaders and planners  Identify other communities who are interested  Implement actions (living shorelines, buffers, zoning/building  WWW access – Sea Grant and Waves of Change

Next Steps Local Applications  Open space acquisitions – ID and prioritize lands for

protection, salt marsh creation  Regulatory impacts – zoning ordinance and comprehensive plan amendments  Hazard Mitigation Plan – incorporate and implement actions  Comprehensive Plan- incorporate strategies for adaptation for future land use decisions  Educate Locally - distribute information to elected officials, homeowners, and business owners

Next Steps Local Applications  Incorporate into town GIS and IMS - more accessible

information  CRS impacts – achieve lower rating  Transportation – ID roads and infrastructure inundated  CIP – Plan for future spending  TIP – incorporate into future application  Building Code - work with RIBA and CRMC to modify code in coastal zone

Tides are Rising

Wickford, 9/10/10 T. Crean

http://seagrant.gso.uri.edu/coast/a_hazard_theme.html

Thank You Jonathan Reiner, AICP [email protected] 401-268-1570 http://seagrant.gso.uri.edu/coast/a_hazard_theme.html