Municipal Approaches Jon Reiner Director of Planning and Community Development North Kingstown
Building Blocks for Natural Hazards and Climate Change Tools for Assessment & Planning Jonathan Reiner, AICP, Director Of Planning, Town of North Kingstown, RI
Simulation of 3’ SLR
Land Use 2025 State Land Use Policy Plan Urban Services Boundary
Why is this important? •Storm intensity and storm damage •Flooding •Drought •Sea level rise •Impacts on the built and natural environments
•How can we plan for something that is not really
happening ? •Natural Hazards Reviewed and assessed via Hazard Mitigation Plans •Comprehensive Plan Element on Climate Change
The Time is Now to Act: to Adapt & Mitigate
Sea Level Rise is Accelerating HEIGHT NOW
Newport, RI Adapted from: http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/ sltrends_station.shtml?stnid=8452660%20Newport,%20RI
Boothroyd 2011
Wickford Marketplace – Spring High Tide = mean tide levels plus 1’ SLR
10 Sept 2010
Teresa Crean
How do you start to Adapt? If you had maps and information identifying vulnerable assets, what would you do with it?
Mapping Sea Level Rise Project Overview: Planning for Change Locate problem areas - Identify - Evaluate exposure - Communicate
Develop usable tools for town/state planners
Providence, RI 1938
Identifying Rhode Island’s Assets Vulnerable to Sea Level Rise Two Scales Statewide North Kingstown
Multi-Institutional Working Group RI Sea Grant RI Statewide Planning Program RI Coastal Resources Mgmt Council RI Emergency Management Agency URI Environmental Data Center The Nature Conservancy State Geologist Town of North Kingstown
Engage in a Participatory Process input, review, validate & disseminate Working Group Meetings Regularly throughout process Statewide Meetings September 2010 June 2011 North Kingstown Municipal Board Meetings October 2010, Planning Commission February 2011, Technical Advisory Committee October 2011 Planning Commission November 2011 Conservation Commission February 2012 Land Conservancy of North Kingstown
Sea level Rise Scenarios MHHW plus 1’ SLR MHHW plus 1’ SLR and 3’ storm surge MHHW plus 3’ SLR
MHHW plus 5’ SLR Hurricane 1938 Surge Height Sea Level Change RI State Coastal Policy Vermeer
1’ SLR
3’ SLR
5’ SLR study
1-3’ rise by 2100 20 - 40 yr
60 - 90+ yr
80 to 90+ yr
20 - 60 yr
60 -110+ yr
90 -110+ yr
& Rahmstorf, 2009
USACE
1165-2-211, 2009 •Dates are based on a 1990 baseline studies
A Patchwork of LiDAR Compile Existing Data 12 Different datasets – 1997 thru 2009 – Different formats, scales, quality – Largely inaccessible and unusable – Included all available bathymetry
Processing 1.1 billion points….. Provided ground Capitalizeaontest existing data forDevelop processing/utilizing methodologies – Convert all data to points new data from NE – Remove overlap – Input to ArcGIS terrain for Lidar Project flown in processing 2011(USGS)
Mapping Real Property Exposure Use of information?
* Requires parcel and tax data
• Outreach to Residents
• Enhanced building codes •Incentives for elevating structures
•Changes in Zoning
Mapping Transportation at Risk Use of information? • Advisory/close roads during extreme events • Evacuation Routes & Hazard Mitigation Plans •Prioritize retrofits •Capital Improvement Program •Transportation Improvement Program
Assessing Vulnerability From the Built Environment to the Natural Environment
Sapowet Marsh Tiverton, Photo by Rob Hancock,
Wickford Harbor
Focus Area 1: Wickford Village
Mapping Marsh Migration Sea Level Affecting Marshes Model (SLAMM) Simulates the dominant processes involved in
wetland conversions and shoreline modification during long-term sea level rise Applied and improved since 1985 Used throughout the country
http://www.warrenpinnacle.com/prof/SLAMM/
The SLAMM Model Model Process Specify time period and projected rate of SLR Inundation Calculated based on slope and elevation
Erosion Based on fetch and proximity to open ocean Overwash Beach migration and sediment transport based on storm interval
Saturation Movement of fresh and coastal wetlands in response to rising water table Accretion Vertical rise of marsh due to buildup of organic and inorganic matter On the ground rate can vary from site to site and through time
What can we do??? Develop alternatives for “hard” shoreline protection structures
Protect undeveloped areas for future salt marsh
Enhance coastal buffers; increase setbacks
Next Steps Statewide
Confirm/refine SLR assessment methodology and map
products Assess vulnerability of transportation (roads, bridges, rails, evacuation, etc) and other sectors (i.e. wastewater) Assess implications to coastal wetlands to SLR and impediments (i.e., shoreline structures) Develop strategies (policy, outreach, action) in communities and state Utilize LiDAR for other analysis, such as increased flooding in riverine areas Enhance Science, Partnerships, Leadership, and Resources
Next Steps Statewide Revise state SLR policy to include standards for building
and buffer zones Analysis of information for state Climate Commission Evaluation of state road infrastructure Education of state policy/general assembly/community leaders and planners Identify other communities who are interested Implement actions (living shorelines, buffers, zoning/building WWW access – Sea Grant and Waves of Change
Next Steps Local Applications Open space acquisitions – ID and prioritize lands for
protection, salt marsh creation Regulatory impacts – zoning ordinance and comprehensive plan amendments Hazard Mitigation Plan – incorporate and implement actions Comprehensive Plan- incorporate strategies for adaptation for future land use decisions Educate Locally - distribute information to elected officials, homeowners, and business owners
Next Steps Local Applications Incorporate into town GIS and IMS - more accessible
information CRS impacts – achieve lower rating Transportation – ID roads and infrastructure inundated CIP – Plan for future spending TIP – incorporate into future application Building Code - work with RIBA and CRMC to modify code in coastal zone
Tides are Rising
Wickford, 9/10/10 T. Crean
http://seagrant.gso.uri.edu/coast/a_hazard_theme.html
Thank You Jonathan Reiner, AICP
[email protected] 401-268-1570 http://seagrant.gso.uri.edu/coast/a_hazard_theme.html