Presentation Meeting 3 Bisters
Climate change policy – achieving environmental goals by economic means Valdis Bisters Director Climate Policy and Technology Department
Climate change policy Climate change policy is on political agenda now and put forward challenge for: Scientists (to understand the problem and seek for solutions) Politicians (formulate of long, clear and binding post 2012 regime) Business (invest into low carbon technologies, mitigate fossil risks) Society (accept and create demand for services and change life styles) Climate change is not only environment but also economic prerogative (low carbon path and avoided costs)
EU Goal
CEP
-20% against 1990 -14% comparing to 2005 EU ETS
Non-ETS
-21% comp 2005
-10% comp 2005
27 member states: from -20% to +20%
EUA allocation 3rd ETS trading phases (LV energy operator: example) Aktuālās emisijas
Emisijas kvotas 2005.-7.gadā
Emisijas kvotas 2008.-12.gadā
Emisiju apjoms 1997.gadā
Emisiju apjoms 2005.-2006.gadā
80000 70000 60000
benchmarks
50000 40000
80%
30000 20000 10000 2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
1999
1998
1997
1996
1995
30%
1994
0
1993
Emisijas/Emisijas kvotas
90000
2020
Gads
Phase I
Phase II
Phase III
Non-ETS sector emission projections t.t.CO2 ekv 12000 10843
10000
biogāzes ražošana, izmantošana biodegviela
9289
8000
energoefektivitāte ēkās 2 energoefektivitāte ēkās 1
6000
pārējie
4000
transports enerģētika, rūpniecība
2000
kopā ar pasākumiem
0 17% pieaugums pret 2005. gadu
-2000
2005.g.
2010.g.
2015.g.
2020.g.
GHG Emissions in Latvia, 2010
Carbon Intensity of Economy CO2/Iedzīvotāju / CO2/Pop, 2005 (tCO2/capita) CO2/KPEP / CO2/TPES, 2005 (tCO2/toe) CO2/IKP / CO2/GDP, 2005 (kgCO2/2000$) 100.0
10.0
EU-27
EU-27
1.0 EU-27
SE FR DK GB IE AT IT FI DE BE NL OECD LU ES GR PT Latvija CY SI MT LT HU PL SK CZ RO EE BG
0.1 Source: IEA
Power production structure in Latvia
Nordpool price dynamics 70 60
EUR/MWh
50 40 30 20 10 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Impact on final tariff Obligatory puchase compents in in final tariff from Aprlil 1, 2011: -
0.94 s/kwh (Latvenergo gas CHP un gas distributed generation in CHP process)
-
0.23 sant./kwh (wind, small hydro, biogas, solar un biomas generation) Houshold tariff currently 10,74 sant/kWh
Impact on final tariff 1) Green energy weight in the final power tariff is 2,1% but gas power plants - 8,75% 2) Gas power plants in total receive 4x larger support than RES 3) Average household monthly electricity bill (250 kwh consumption) contains 0.5 Ls green energy payment and more than 2 Ls for gas generated power.
Climate change financial instrument Green investment scheme under Kyoto protocol article 17 – in Latvia Climate change financial instrument (CCFI) Established by law, implemented as state budgetary programme Programmatic with scaling-up of technology deployment
12
Climate Change Financial Instrument Investment Portfolio Energy efficiency
2% 4%
3%
9%
26%
Complex measures in public buildings and industry Renewable energy technologies Low energy buidings
6%
28%
22%
Houshold microgeneration Efficient street lighting GHG technology development
180 MEUR, 2009 - 2013
Renewables in transport sector
Finished climate projects
Finished climate projects
CCFI programming principles
GHG emissions Energy efficiency
Renewables
Efficient use of fossil
16
Conclusions – the way forward Climate challenges and financial crises Co-benefits of climate and energy policy: CEP 2020 – non-ETS, RES goals
Kyoto first commitment - GIS as testing ground for post 2012 flexible mechanisms Mainstreaming climate change in new financial perspetive of EU Climate mitigation - low carbon road map, resource efficiency back to sustainable development agenda
Paldies par uzmanību!
Papildus informācija: Klimata politikas un tehnoloģiju departaments
Climate change policy Climate change policy is on political agenda now and put forward challenge for: Scientists (to understand the problem and seek for solutions) Politicians (formulate of long, clear and binding post 2012 regime) Business (invest into low carbon technologies, mitigate fossil risks) Society (accept and create demand for services and change life styles) Climate change is not only environment but also economic prerogative (low carbon path and avoided costs)
EU Goal
CEP
-20% against 1990 -14% comparing to 2005 EU ETS
Non-ETS
-21% comp 2005
-10% comp 2005
27 member states: from -20% to +20%
EUA allocation 3rd ETS trading phases (LV energy operator: example) Aktuālās emisijas
Emisijas kvotas 2005.-7.gadā
Emisijas kvotas 2008.-12.gadā
Emisiju apjoms 1997.gadā
Emisiju apjoms 2005.-2006.gadā
80000 70000 60000
benchmarks
50000 40000
80%
30000 20000 10000 2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
1999
1998
1997
1996
1995
30%
1994
0
1993
Emisijas/Emisijas kvotas
90000
2020
Gads
Phase I
Phase II
Phase III
Non-ETS sector emission projections t.t.CO2 ekv 12000 10843
10000
biogāzes ražošana, izmantošana biodegviela
9289
8000
energoefektivitāte ēkās 2 energoefektivitāte ēkās 1
6000
pārējie
4000
transports enerģētika, rūpniecība
2000
kopā ar pasākumiem
0 17% pieaugums pret 2005. gadu
-2000
2005.g.
2010.g.
2015.g.
2020.g.
GHG Emissions in Latvia, 2010
Carbon Intensity of Economy CO2/Iedzīvotāju / CO2/Pop, 2005 (tCO2/capita) CO2/KPEP / CO2/TPES, 2005 (tCO2/toe) CO2/IKP / CO2/GDP, 2005 (kgCO2/2000$) 100.0
10.0
EU-27
EU-27
1.0 EU-27
SE FR DK GB IE AT IT FI DE BE NL OECD LU ES GR PT Latvija CY SI MT LT HU PL SK CZ RO EE BG
0.1 Source: IEA
Power production structure in Latvia
Nordpool price dynamics 70 60
EUR/MWh
50 40 30 20 10 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Impact on final tariff Obligatory puchase compents in in final tariff from Aprlil 1, 2011: -
0.94 s/kwh (Latvenergo gas CHP un gas distributed generation in CHP process)
-
0.23 sant./kwh (wind, small hydro, biogas, solar un biomas generation) Houshold tariff currently 10,74 sant/kWh
Impact on final tariff 1) Green energy weight in the final power tariff is 2,1% but gas power plants - 8,75% 2) Gas power plants in total receive 4x larger support than RES 3) Average household monthly electricity bill (250 kwh consumption) contains 0.5 Ls green energy payment and more than 2 Ls for gas generated power.
Climate change financial instrument Green investment scheme under Kyoto protocol article 17 – in Latvia Climate change financial instrument (CCFI) Established by law, implemented as state budgetary programme Programmatic with scaling-up of technology deployment
12
Climate Change Financial Instrument Investment Portfolio Energy efficiency
2% 4%
3%
9%
26%
Complex measures in public buildings and industry Renewable energy technologies Low energy buidings
6%
28%
22%
Houshold microgeneration Efficient street lighting GHG technology development
180 MEUR, 2009 - 2013
Renewables in transport sector
Finished climate projects
Finished climate projects
CCFI programming principles
GHG emissions Energy efficiency
Renewables
Efficient use of fossil
16
Conclusions – the way forward Climate challenges and financial crises Co-benefits of climate and energy policy: CEP 2020 – non-ETS, RES goals
Kyoto first commitment - GIS as testing ground for post 2012 flexible mechanisms Mainstreaming climate change in new financial perspetive of EU Climate mitigation - low carbon road map, resource efficiency back to sustainable development agenda
Paldies par uzmanību!
Papildus informācija: Klimata politikas un tehnoloģiju departaments
