Planalytics February 2017 Weekly Details
After Further Review, Winter Goods Won With Cold Temps vs. LY North & East While Spring Demand Scored Across the Southwest. Dry Conditions Across NA Resulted in a TD for Traffic. Precipitation vs. Last Year
Temperature vs. Last Year
Warmer
Wetter
Colder
Drier
Weather-Driven Demand (WDD) Category Notables Heating Industry
US +58%
Weekend Review
Colder than both normal and LY temperatures were felt in the Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, and western Canada, while above normal and LY temperatures continued across the Southern Tier of the U.S. and central Rockies. Temperatures trended above normal in the Midwest, although colder than LY, aiding comps of cold weather categories. A system brought light snow to the Upper Midwest on Saturday and New England into southeast Canada on Sunday. Snow was also in the Pacific NW markets on Sunday. Sat., Sat.2/4 1/28
Sun., 2/5 Sun. 1/29
Temperature vs. LY
Boots
US +43%
Favorable
Restaurant Traffic
US +0.4%
Hats & Gloves
Unfavorable
CA +28%
Weekly Summary • Retail 2017 Started With a QB Sneak. Despite a milder feel, cold weather merchandise got a late season boost as the northern and eastern U.S. comped a very warm week LY. The coldest departures vs. LY were felt in the Northeast and Pacific Northwest, helping to clear remaining winter goods. • A Touchdown for Spring in the Southwest. Temperatures across the Southwest and South Central regions warmed above both normal and LY, driving early spring sales. Dallas, Houston, Los Angeles, Oklahoma City, Phoenix, Sacramento, Salt Lake City, San Antonio, San Diego, and San Francisco were the only major U.S. markets to trend warmer vs. LY. • Snow Stiff Armed to the North. Overall, it was the driest week 1 since 2009, supporting retail and restaurant traffic. Exceptions included late week rain in California, light snow across the Northern Tier, and moderate snow in higher elevations of the Northwest and eastern Great Lakes. Overall, the U.S. had its least February week 1 snow since 2012. • Canada Outkicked Its Coverage. All major Canadian cities trended colder vs. LY, with coldest anomalies focused in the East. Although light snow fell along the border, Canada was driest for the week since 2010 with its least snow since 2012. The cold and dry conditions were ideal for retailers looking to move winter goods. • Last year, in the U.S. it was the warmest February week 1 since 2008, driven by the East. Canada had its warmest start to the month since 2006. In both the U.S. and Canada, rainfall was above normal and snowfall was the least since 2012.
Temperature & Precipitation Notables
Precipitation vs. LY
US
Colder Than LY; Driest Since 2009; Least Snow Since 2012
CA
Colder Than LY; Driest Since 2010; Least Snow Since 2012
Warmest Since
2012 – Los Angeles; 2013 – Dallas, Houston, Oklahoma City, & San Antonio
Coldest Since
2009 – Orlando & Miami; 2014 – Cincinnati, Seattle, Portland, OR, & Vancouver
Wettest Since
2007 – Calgary; 2010 – Los Angeles
Driest Since Snowiest Since © 2017 Planalytics, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Proprietary and Confidential.
1994 – Philadelphia; 2002 – Cincinnati; 2007 – NYC, Nashville; 2008 – Charlotte 2015 – Buffalo, Cleveland, Detroit, Ottawa, Pittsburgh, & Toronto www.planalytics.com · 800.882.5881
The U.S. Received Its First Record of the Year, Trending Warmest in 55+ Years. The ‘Formation’ of a Snow Storm Entertained the Northeast Mid-Week. Wet & Cold ‘Views’ in the West & Canada. Precipitation vs. Last Year
Temperature vs. Last Year
Warmer
Wetter
Colder
Drier
Weather-Driven Demand (WDD) Category Notables Rainwear
US +41%
Weekend Review
The eastern two-thirds of North America were warmer than normal and LY, while temperatures were colder than LY and normal for the Pacific Northwest and along the West Coast. Mountain snow fell in the Intermountain West while rain and snow showers moved into the Upper Midwest and into the Great Lakes on Saturday. New England received another round of snowfall on Sunday, lingering into the start of the work week. It was drier than normal along the Southeast and Gulf coasts. Sat., Sat.2/11 1/28
Sun., Sun.2/12 1/29
Temperature vs. LY
T-Shirts
US +7%
Favorable
Home Center Traffic
US -0.1%
Boots
Unfavorable
CA +10%
Weekly Summary • ‘Hello’ Spring. A spring feel was in the air for much of the country, which had its warmest 2nd week of February in 55+ years. The West South Central and Mountain regions came in at number one and two on the charts for warmth in the last 55+ years. Texas scored the most hits as 90 degree readings were recorded all the way up to the Oklahoma Panhandle. • No ‘Chance’ for Spring in the West. Temperatures stayed a bit colder than normal along the West Coast with the Pacific region falling well short of LY and coldest since 2013. Los Angeles, Phoenix, Sacramento, San Diego, and San Francisco were the only major U.S. markets to trend colder vs. LY. • ‘Stressed Out’ by Snow. Nationally, precipitation was the most for February week 2 since 2003. A Nor’easter brought 6 to 10 inches of snow from interior Pennsylvania to the NYC metro area and up to 18 inches of snow from Long Island to New England. Boston had its most snow since the infamous 2015 blizzards. The Northwest also experienced excessive rain and mountain snow, leading to mudslides and heavy flooding in California. • Canada: ‘Lemonade’ Optional. Most eastern Canadian markets trended warmest since 2013, while western markets were colder vs. LY. Snow was well distributed as Vancouver, Calgary, and Quebec City all had top 4 snowfalls for the 2nd week of February. • Last year, temperatures in the U.S. were near normal for the week. It was driest in 55+ years with below normal snowfall. Canada was warmer than normal. Snowfall trended above normal with most major markets recording measurable amounts.
Temperature & Precipitation Notables
Precipitation vs. LY
US
Warmest in 55+ Years; Wettest Since 2003; Most Snow Since 2014
CA
Colder Than LY; Wettest Since 2008; Most Snow Since 1988
Warmest Since
55+: Denver, Houston, & Salt Lake City; 1962 - San Antonio; 1976 - Oklahoma City
Coldest Since
1990 - Calgary; 1994 - Edmonton; 2009 - Portland, OR & Seattle; 2013 - LA, Phoenix
Wettest Since
55+: Calgary, Cleveland, Portland, OR, Sacramento, & Seattle; 1992 - San Francisco
Driest Since Snowiest Since © 2017 Planalytics, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Proprietary and Confidential.
2011 - Richmond; 2012 - Baltimore; 2013 - Vancouver; 2014 - Edmonton 1988 - Quebec City; 1990 - Seattle; 2000 - Calgary; 2014 - NYC & Philadelphia www.planalytics.com · 800.882.5881
Eight of Hearts! The 8th Warmest February Week 3 & Valentine’s Day in 55+ Years Drove Seasonal Demand. Strong Storms Broke Hearts in California. Canada was Mild but Snowy. Precipitation vs. Last Year
Temperature vs. Last Year
Warmer
Wetter
Colder
Drier
Weather-Driven Demand (WDD) Category Notables Wiper Blades
US +4%
Weekend Review
California was impacted by a powerful storm that delivered heavy rain to LA, high winds to San Diego, and mountain snow to the Sierra Nevada. The storm caused downed trees and power lines, mudslides, and coastal erosion in southern California. The eastern two-thirds of North America saw above normal warmth, with near record temperatures in parts of the Plains and Midwest. The Southwest and Northwest were colder than normal, while the Northeast gradually warmed up through the weekend. Sat., Sat.2/18 1/28
Sun., Sun.2/19 1/29
Temperature vs. LY
T-Shirts
US +3%
Apparel Outlet Traffic US +4.2%
Favorable
Unfavorable
Ice Melt
CA +13%
Weekly Summary • Cupid Kept it Warm. Valentine’s Day in the U.S. was warmest since 2011, wettest since 2014, with the least snow since 1998. In Canada, the holiday was warmest since 1984; wettest and snowiest since 2014. • Red Like a Rose. Most of the country east of the Mississippi River was warmer than normal and LY, leading to the warmest week 3 of February since 2011. The central and eastern U.S. were drier than LY, with the West North Central region seeing its driest February week 3 in 55+ years. Despite the dry conditions, an early week nor’easter resulted in the New England region having its snowiest 3rd week of February since 2003. • Wilted Roses for the West. Colder temperatures spread from the West Coast into the Plains through the week. The Pacific, Mountain, and West South Central regions were all colder than a very warm LY. Rain moved across the Southwest and Southern Plains early week. A major Pacific storm system brought torrential rain, high winds, and snow to California late week, negatively impacting traffic into retail and restaurant destinations. • Warm Hugs for Canada, Too. Canada had its warmest February week 3 since 2012. Calgary and Edmonton were 2nd warmest for the week in 55+ years. Western Canada trended colder than normal and LY. Storms in the West and East resulted in Canada having its wettest February week 3 since 2014 and snowiest since 1976. • Last year, temperatures in the U.S. were warmest for the week since 2011 with the most rainfall since 2013 and the least snow since 2011. Valentine’s Day was coldest since 2007 with below normal rain and above normal snow. Canada was warmest for the week since 2012. Rainfall was above normal and snowfall was the least since 2012. Valentine’s Day in Canada was colder than normal and snowfall was the least in 55+ years.
Temperature & Precipitation Notables
Precipitation vs. LY
US
Warmest Since 2011; Driest Since 2015; More Snow Than LY
CA
Warmest Since 2012; Wettest Since 2014; Most Snow Since 1976
Warmest Since
1981-Calgary & Edmonton; 1984-Chicago; 1998-Detroit, Minneapolis, & Winnipeg
Coldest Since
2013-LA, Phoenix, Portland, OR, & Salt Lake City; 2015-Dallas & Vancouver
Wettest Since
1992-Portland, OR & San Antonio; 1997-Oklahoma City; 1998-Las Vegas; 2005-LA
Driest Since Snowiest Since © 2017 Planalytics, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Proprietary and Confidential.
2011-Charlotte, Indianapolis, Nashville, NYC, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, & Raleigh 2000-Montreal & Toronto; 2004-Hailfax; 2015-Boston www.planalytics.com · 800.882.5881
Temperature vs. Last Year
Warmer
Wetter
Colder
Drier
Weather-Driven Demand (WDD) Category Notables Heating Industry
US +58%
Weekend Review
Colder than both normal and LY temperatures were felt in the Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, and western Canada, while above normal and LY temperatures continued across the Southern Tier of the U.S. and central Rockies. Temperatures trended above normal in the Midwest, although colder than LY, aiding comps of cold weather categories. A system brought light snow to the Upper Midwest on Saturday and New England into southeast Canada on Sunday. Snow was also in the Pacific NW markets on Sunday. Sat., Sat.2/4 1/28
Sun., 2/5 Sun. 1/29
Temperature vs. LY
Boots
US +43%
Favorable
Restaurant Traffic
US +0.4%
Hats & Gloves
Unfavorable
CA +28%
Weekly Summary • Retail 2017 Started With a QB Sneak. Despite a milder feel, cold weather merchandise got a late season boost as the northern and eastern U.S. comped a very warm week LY. The coldest departures vs. LY were felt in the Northeast and Pacific Northwest, helping to clear remaining winter goods. • A Touchdown for Spring in the Southwest. Temperatures across the Southwest and South Central regions warmed above both normal and LY, driving early spring sales. Dallas, Houston, Los Angeles, Oklahoma City, Phoenix, Sacramento, Salt Lake City, San Antonio, San Diego, and San Francisco were the only major U.S. markets to trend warmer vs. LY. • Snow Stiff Armed to the North. Overall, it was the driest week 1 since 2009, supporting retail and restaurant traffic. Exceptions included late week rain in California, light snow across the Northern Tier, and moderate snow in higher elevations of the Northwest and eastern Great Lakes. Overall, the U.S. had its least February week 1 snow since 2012. • Canada Outkicked Its Coverage. All major Canadian cities trended colder vs. LY, with coldest anomalies focused in the East. Although light snow fell along the border, Canada was driest for the week since 2010 with its least snow since 2012. The cold and dry conditions were ideal for retailers looking to move winter goods. • Last year, in the U.S. it was the warmest February week 1 since 2008, driven by the East. Canada had its warmest start to the month since 2006. In both the U.S. and Canada, rainfall was above normal and snowfall was the least since 2012.
Temperature & Precipitation Notables
Precipitation vs. LY
US
Colder Than LY; Driest Since 2009; Least Snow Since 2012
CA
Colder Than LY; Driest Since 2010; Least Snow Since 2012
Warmest Since
2012 – Los Angeles; 2013 – Dallas, Houston, Oklahoma City, & San Antonio
Coldest Since
2009 – Orlando & Miami; 2014 – Cincinnati, Seattle, Portland, OR, & Vancouver
Wettest Since
2007 – Calgary; 2010 – Los Angeles
Driest Since Snowiest Since © 2017 Planalytics, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Proprietary and Confidential.
1994 – Philadelphia; 2002 – Cincinnati; 2007 – NYC, Nashville; 2008 – Charlotte 2015 – Buffalo, Cleveland, Detroit, Ottawa, Pittsburgh, & Toronto www.planalytics.com · 800.882.5881
The U.S. Received Its First Record of the Year, Trending Warmest in 55+ Years. The ‘Formation’ of a Snow Storm Entertained the Northeast Mid-Week. Wet & Cold ‘Views’ in the West & Canada. Precipitation vs. Last Year
Temperature vs. Last Year
Warmer
Wetter
Colder
Drier
Weather-Driven Demand (WDD) Category Notables Rainwear
US +41%
Weekend Review
The eastern two-thirds of North America were warmer than normal and LY, while temperatures were colder than LY and normal for the Pacific Northwest and along the West Coast. Mountain snow fell in the Intermountain West while rain and snow showers moved into the Upper Midwest and into the Great Lakes on Saturday. New England received another round of snowfall on Sunday, lingering into the start of the work week. It was drier than normal along the Southeast and Gulf coasts. Sat., Sat.2/11 1/28
Sun., Sun.2/12 1/29
Temperature vs. LY
T-Shirts
US +7%
Favorable
Home Center Traffic
US -0.1%
Boots
Unfavorable
CA +10%
Weekly Summary • ‘Hello’ Spring. A spring feel was in the air for much of the country, which had its warmest 2nd week of February in 55+ years. The West South Central and Mountain regions came in at number one and two on the charts for warmth in the last 55+ years. Texas scored the most hits as 90 degree readings were recorded all the way up to the Oklahoma Panhandle. • No ‘Chance’ for Spring in the West. Temperatures stayed a bit colder than normal along the West Coast with the Pacific region falling well short of LY and coldest since 2013. Los Angeles, Phoenix, Sacramento, San Diego, and San Francisco were the only major U.S. markets to trend colder vs. LY. • ‘Stressed Out’ by Snow. Nationally, precipitation was the most for February week 2 since 2003. A Nor’easter brought 6 to 10 inches of snow from interior Pennsylvania to the NYC metro area and up to 18 inches of snow from Long Island to New England. Boston had its most snow since the infamous 2015 blizzards. The Northwest also experienced excessive rain and mountain snow, leading to mudslides and heavy flooding in California. • Canada: ‘Lemonade’ Optional. Most eastern Canadian markets trended warmest since 2013, while western markets were colder vs. LY. Snow was well distributed as Vancouver, Calgary, and Quebec City all had top 4 snowfalls for the 2nd week of February. • Last year, temperatures in the U.S. were near normal for the week. It was driest in 55+ years with below normal snowfall. Canada was warmer than normal. Snowfall trended above normal with most major markets recording measurable amounts.
Temperature & Precipitation Notables
Precipitation vs. LY
US
Warmest in 55+ Years; Wettest Since 2003; Most Snow Since 2014
CA
Colder Than LY; Wettest Since 2008; Most Snow Since 1988
Warmest Since
55+: Denver, Houston, & Salt Lake City; 1962 - San Antonio; 1976 - Oklahoma City
Coldest Since
1990 - Calgary; 1994 - Edmonton; 2009 - Portland, OR & Seattle; 2013 - LA, Phoenix
Wettest Since
55+: Calgary, Cleveland, Portland, OR, Sacramento, & Seattle; 1992 - San Francisco
Driest Since Snowiest Since © 2017 Planalytics, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Proprietary and Confidential.
2011 - Richmond; 2012 - Baltimore; 2013 - Vancouver; 2014 - Edmonton 1988 - Quebec City; 1990 - Seattle; 2000 - Calgary; 2014 - NYC & Philadelphia www.planalytics.com · 800.882.5881
Eight of Hearts! The 8th Warmest February Week 3 & Valentine’s Day in 55+ Years Drove Seasonal Demand. Strong Storms Broke Hearts in California. Canada was Mild but Snowy. Precipitation vs. Last Year
Temperature vs. Last Year
Warmer
Wetter
Colder
Drier
Weather-Driven Demand (WDD) Category Notables Wiper Blades
US +4%
Weekend Review
California was impacted by a powerful storm that delivered heavy rain to LA, high winds to San Diego, and mountain snow to the Sierra Nevada. The storm caused downed trees and power lines, mudslides, and coastal erosion in southern California. The eastern two-thirds of North America saw above normal warmth, with near record temperatures in parts of the Plains and Midwest. The Southwest and Northwest were colder than normal, while the Northeast gradually warmed up through the weekend. Sat., Sat.2/18 1/28
Sun., Sun.2/19 1/29
Temperature vs. LY
T-Shirts
US +3%
Apparel Outlet Traffic US +4.2%
Favorable
Unfavorable
Ice Melt
CA +13%
Weekly Summary • Cupid Kept it Warm. Valentine’s Day in the U.S. was warmest since 2011, wettest since 2014, with the least snow since 1998. In Canada, the holiday was warmest since 1984; wettest and snowiest since 2014. • Red Like a Rose. Most of the country east of the Mississippi River was warmer than normal and LY, leading to the warmest week 3 of February since 2011. The central and eastern U.S. were drier than LY, with the West North Central region seeing its driest February week 3 in 55+ years. Despite the dry conditions, an early week nor’easter resulted in the New England region having its snowiest 3rd week of February since 2003. • Wilted Roses for the West. Colder temperatures spread from the West Coast into the Plains through the week. The Pacific, Mountain, and West South Central regions were all colder than a very warm LY. Rain moved across the Southwest and Southern Plains early week. A major Pacific storm system brought torrential rain, high winds, and snow to California late week, negatively impacting traffic into retail and restaurant destinations. • Warm Hugs for Canada, Too. Canada had its warmest February week 3 since 2012. Calgary and Edmonton were 2nd warmest for the week in 55+ years. Western Canada trended colder than normal and LY. Storms in the West and East resulted in Canada having its wettest February week 3 since 2014 and snowiest since 1976. • Last year, temperatures in the U.S. were warmest for the week since 2011 with the most rainfall since 2013 and the least snow since 2011. Valentine’s Day was coldest since 2007 with below normal rain and above normal snow. Canada was warmest for the week since 2012. Rainfall was above normal and snowfall was the least since 2012. Valentine’s Day in Canada was colder than normal and snowfall was the least in 55+ years.
Temperature & Precipitation Notables
Precipitation vs. LY
US
Warmest Since 2011; Driest Since 2015; More Snow Than LY
CA
Warmest Since 2012; Wettest Since 2014; Most Snow Since 1976
Warmest Since
1981-Calgary & Edmonton; 1984-Chicago; 1998-Detroit, Minneapolis, & Winnipeg
Coldest Since
2013-LA, Phoenix, Portland, OR, & Salt Lake City; 2015-Dallas & Vancouver
Wettest Since
1992-Portland, OR & San Antonio; 1997-Oklahoma City; 1998-Las Vegas; 2005-LA
Driest Since Snowiest Since © 2017 Planalytics, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Proprietary and Confidential.
2011-Charlotte, Indianapolis, Nashville, NYC, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, & Raleigh 2000-Montreal & Toronto; 2004-Hailfax; 2015-Boston www.planalytics.com · 800.882.5881
