RR 2012 Post-Elect Toplines
RESURGENT REPUBLIC POST-ELECTION NATIONAL SURVEY OF 2012 VOTERS NOVEMBER 6-8, 2012 Hello, this is _____ with North Star Opinion Research, a national public opinion research company. We're talking with people in your area today about the election. We are not trying to sell anything, your answers are completely confidential, and we would really appreciate your cooperation (DO NOT PAUSE). FOR CELL PHONE SAMPLE: CELL 1. Have I reached you on a cell phone? YES ............................................................................................ GO TO QUESTION CELL 2 NO............................................................................................. THANK AND TERMINATE CELL 2. Are you in a place right now where you can safely take the survey? YES ...................................................................................................... GO TO QUESTION A NO..................................................................................................SCHEDULE CALLBACK NOT WILLING TO TAKE SURVEY ..................................... THANK AND TERMINATE DON’T KNOW/REFUSED........................................ SCHEDULE CALLBACK OR TERM A. Are you registered to vote in the county in which you live? YES ...................................................................................................... GO TO QUESTION C NO........................................................................................................ GO TO QUESTION B B. Is there anyone else in your household who is registered to vote in your county? YES .................................................... May I speak with that person please? GO TO INTRO NO........................................................................................................THANK AND CLOSE C. Some people have a chance to vote, while others just can't get to the polls. How about you, did you get a chance to vote in the presidential election? IF YES, ASK: Did you vote on Election Day (today/on Tuesday), or before Election Day by absentee ballot or early voting? ALL VOTED ON ELECTION DAY ..............................................68% VOTED EARLY BY ABSENTEE BALLOT ........................13% VOTED IN EARLY VOTING ...............................................19%
REP 69% 16% 16%
IND 68% 12% 20%
DEM 68% 11% 21%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 295 respondents, MoE = ±5.71 percent. IND results are based on 330 respondents, MoE = ±5.39 percent. DEM results are based on 357 respondents, MoE = ±5.19 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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1. Keeping in mind that this survey is completely confidential, in the election for President, did you vote for (ROTATE: Mitt Romney, the Republican, or Barack Obama, the Democrat)? ALL ROMNEY ...............................................................................48% OBAMA..................................................................................50% ANOTHER CANDIDATE (VOL.) .........................................2% 2.
REP 96% 3% 1%
IND 51% 45% 4%
DEM 4% 96% 0%
Was your vote for Mitt Romney primarily a vote for Romney, or a vote against Barack Obama? ALL FOR ROMNEY ......................................................................55% AGAINST OBAMA ...............................................................28% BOTH (VOL.).........................................................................13% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ................................................3%
REP 61% 23% 14% 2%
IND 50% 34% 13% 3%
DEM 33% 33% 17% 17%
Note: Results based on 480 respondents. 3.
Was your vote for Barack Obama primarily a vote for Obama, or a vote against Mitt Romney? ALL FOR OBAMA .........................................................................80% AGAINST ROMNEY.............................................................10% BOTH (VOL.)..........................................................................9% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ................................................1%
REP 80% 20% 0% 0%
IND 72% 14% 14% 1%
DEM 84% 9% 7% 0%
Note: Results based on 504 respondents. 4. When did you make up your mind whom to vote for for President: before the national conventions, between the national conventions and the debates, after the debates but prior to the last week before the election, during the last week before the election, or on the day of the election? ALL BEFORE NATIONAL CONVENTIONS ..............................62% BETWEEN CONVENTIONS AND DEBATES ...................14% AFTER DEBATES/BEFORE LAST WEEK .........................13% DURING THE LAST WEEK..................................................3% ON DAY OF ELECTION .......................................................2% DON'T KNOW ........................................................................6%
REP 67% 14% 8% 3% 1% 7%
IND 52% 18% 18% 4% 4% 4%
DEM 66% 12% 12% 2% 2% 6%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 295 respondents, MoE = ±5.71 percent. IND results are based on 330 respondents, MoE = ±5.39 percent. DEM results are based on 357 respondents, MoE = ±5.19 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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Which candidate (ROTATE: Mitt Romney or Barack Obama), do you think is better described by each of the following phrases (RANDOMIZE): ROMNEY
OBAMA
BOTH SAME
NEITHER ONE
DON'T KNOW
5.
Showed a genuine passion for leading America
ALL 42% REP 84% IND 46% DEM 2%
45% 5% 37% 88%
11% 9% 13% 10%
2% 1% 4% 0%
0% 1% 0% 0%
6.
Presented a clear vision for the next four years
ALL 41% REP 85% IND 42% DEM 4%
45% 5% 37% 88%
2% 2% 4% 1%
9% 7% 16% 4%
1% 1% 1% 2%
7.
Presented a credible plan for fixing the economy
ALL 45% REP 89% IND 46% DEM 5%
44% 2% 35% 88%
1% 1% 2% 2%
8% 6% 14% 3%
2% 2% 3% 2%
8.
Would help the middle class
ALL 41% REP 85% IND 41% DEM 2%
52% 7% 47% 96%
2% 3% 3% 1%
3% 3% 6% 1%
2% 1% 3% 0%
9.
Won the debates
ALL 40% REP 76% IND 45% DEM 4%
40% 4% 30% 78%
9% 10% 8% 8%
4% 3% 6% 2%
8% 6% 11% 7%
10. Thinks America is an exceptional nation
ALL 42% REP 81% IND 46% DEM 5%
34% 3% 24% 71%
18% 12% 23% 20%
1% 0% 1% 1%
5% 4% 5% 4%
11. Makes me proud to be an American
ALL 40% REP 83% IND 42% DEM 3%
43% 3% 32% 88%
8% 5% 11% 7%
7% 7% 13% 2%
2% 2% 2% 1%
12. Ran a negative campaign
ALL REP IND DEM
33% 10% 29% 59%
37% 65% 37% 14%
16% 13% 22% 14%
8% 7% 8% 7%
5% 4% 4% 7%
13. Would be better able to work with both parties and get things done.
ALL 44% REP 86% IND 46% DEM 6%
43% 4% 33% 86%
4% 2% 6% 3%
6% 6% 9% 3%
3% 2% 6% 2%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 295 respondents, MoE = ±5.71 percent. IND results are based on 330 respondents, MoE = ±5.39 percent. DEM results are based on 357 respondents, MoE = ±5.19 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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14. Regardless of the presidential candidate for whom you ultimately voted, did you view Mitt Romney as someone who had the qualifications and experience to be president? ALL YES .........................................................................................67% NO...........................................................................................32% DON’T KNOW/REFUSED.....................................................1%
REP 97% 2% 0%
IND 73% 25% 2%
DEM 35% 63% 2%
15. Did the way President Obama handled Hurricane Sandy and its aftermath make you more likely to vote for Obama, less likely to vote for Obama, or did it have no real effect on your vote for President? ALL MORE LIKELY......................................................................18% LESS LIKELY.........................................................................8% NO REAL EFFECT ................................................................73% DON’T KNOW/REFUSED.....................................................2%
REP 2% 13% 85% 1%
IND 13% 10% 75% 2%
DEM 36% 2% 60% 2%
16. In the race for the U.S. House of Representatives in your district, did you vote for (ROTATE: the Republican candidate, or the Democratic candidate)? ALL REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE ...............................................45% DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATE..............................................48% ANOTHER CANDIDATE (VOL.) .........................................2% DON'T KNOW/REFUSED .....................................................5%
REP 93% 3% 0% 3%
IND 47% 40% 4% 8%
DEM 2% 94% 1% 3%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 295 respondents, MoE = ±5.71 percent. IND results are based on 330 respondents, MoE = ±5.39 percent. DEM results are based on 357 respondents, MoE = ±5.19 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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Name IDs I would like to read you a list of names of people and groups and have you tell me, for each one, whether you've heard of that person or group and, if so, whether you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them. If you haven't heard of the person or group, just say so (RANDOMIZE): IF FAVORABLE/UNFAVORABLE: Would that be very (FAVORABLE/UNFAVORABLE) or just somewhat (FAVORABLE/UNFAVORABLE)? VERY FAV
17. Joe Biden
ALL 28% REP 1% IND 18% DEM 61% ALL REP IND DEM
18. Barack Obama
ALL 42% REP 3% IND 28% DEM 87%
NO OPINION
NEVER HEARD OF
22% 9% 26% 28%
11% 17% 15% 2%
32% 65% 34% 2%
5% 5% 6% 4%
2% 2% 1% 3%
33% 69% 33% 2%
1% 1% 2% 1%
0% 0% 0% 0%
25% 2% 15% 53%
3% 0% 4% 5%
0% 0% 0% 1%
25% 1% 20% 49%
7% 4% 6% 10%
4% 2% 2% 7%
43% 82% 49% 4% 14% 7% 25% 10%
ALL 36% REP 77% IND 34% DEM 3%
10% 19% 12% 0% 43% 88% 45% 2%
20% 19% 28% 12%
17% 1% 20% 27%
56% 96% 62% 15%
ALL 31% REP 67% IND 26% DEM 4% ALL REP IND DEM
VERY UNFAV
56% 10% 53% 97%
ALL REP IND DEM 20. Paul Ryan
SMWHT UNFAV
50% 10% 44% 89%
ALL REP IND DEM 19. Mitt Romney
SMWHT FAV
42% 3% 35% 80% 19% 23% 29% 8%
14% 3% 16% 23%
50% 90% 55% 12%
39% 4% 36% 72%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 295 respondents, MoE = ±5.71 percent. IND results are based on 330 respondents, MoE = ±5.39 percent. DEM results are based on 357 respondents, MoE = ±5.19 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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VERY FAV
21. Republicans in Congress
ALL 16% REP 41% IND 10% DEM 2% ALL REP IND DEM
22. Democrats in Congress
SMWHT UNFAV
VERY UNFAV
NO OPINION
NEVER HEARD OF
28% 42% 36% 11%
18% 6% 23% 25%
27% 3% 22% 51%
9% 8% 9% 8%
2% 1% 1% 3%
23% 44% 27% 2%
8% 7% 12% 5%
1% 2% 1% 1%
44% 83% 46% 13%
ALL 21% REP 1% IND 13% DEM 47% ALL REP IND DEM
SMWHT FAV
45% 9% 45% 76% 26% 11% 26% 40%
19% 35% 22% 5%
47% 12% 39% 87%
42% 79% 49% 7%
President Obama's Image 23. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? IF APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE, ASK: Would that be strongly (approve/disapprove), or just somewhat (approve/disapprove)? ALL STRONGLY APPROVE ........................................................33% SOMEWHAT APPROVE ......................................................18% SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE.................................................8% STRONGLY DISAPPROVE..................................................39% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ................................................2%
REP 2% 4% 11% 83% 0%
IND 22% 24% 14% 38% 2%
DEM 71% 23% 1% 2% 2%
APPROVE ..............................................................................51% DISAPPROVE ........................................................................47% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ................................................2%
6% 94% 0%
46% 52% 2%
94% 3% 2%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 295 respondents, MoE = ±5.71 percent. IND results are based on 330 respondents, MoE = ±5.39 percent. DEM results are based on 357 respondents, MoE = ±5.19 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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24. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy? IF APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE, ASK: Would that be strongly (approve/disapprove), or just somewhat (approve/disapprove)? ALL STRONGLY APPROVE ........................................................27% SOMEWHAT APPROVE ......................................................22% SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE.................................................8% STRONGLY DISAPPROVE..................................................42% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ................................................1%
REP 1% 2% 8% 87% 1%
IND 20% 23% 13% 43% 2%
DEM 56% 38% 3% 2% 1%
APPROVE ..............................................................................49% DISAPPROVE ........................................................................50% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ................................................1%
3% 95% 1%
43% 56% 2%
94% 5% 1%
25. How responsible do you hold the Obama Administration for the current state of the American economy: very responsible, somewhat responsible, not too responsible, or not at all responsible? ALL VERY RESPONSIBLE ..........................................................36% SOMEWHAT RESPONSIBLE ..............................................36% NOT TOO RESPONSIBLE....................................................15% NOT AT ALL RESPONSIBLE..............................................12% DON'T KNOW ........................................................................1%
REP 55% 35% 3% 7% 1%
IND 30% 45% 15% 10% 0%
DEM 25% 30% 24% 19% 2%
Political Environment and Important Issues 26. As of today, would you say that America is headed in the right direction, or have things gotten off on the wrong track? ALL RIGHT DIRECTION..............................................................50% WRONG TRACK ...................................................................48% DON'T KNOW ........................................................................2%
REP 7% 92% 2%
IND 46% 51% 3%
DEM 90% 8% 2%
27. Whom do you blame most for America being off on the wrong track (ROTATE: President Obama, former President Bush, Democrats in Congress, or Republicans in Congress)? ALL OBAMA..................................................................................50% BUSH .......................................................................................7% DEMOCRATS IN CONGRESS.............................................25% REPUBLICANS IN CONGRESS ...........................................4% DON'T KNOW .......................................................................14%
REP 59% 3% 25% 2% 11%
IND 43% 6% 29% 4% 18%
DEM 10% 62% 0% 21% 7%
Note: Results based on 481 respondents.
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 295 respondents, MoE = ±5.71 percent. IND results are based on 330 respondents, MoE = ±5.39 percent. DEM results are based on 357 respondents, MoE = ±5.19 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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How important were each of the following issues in deciding which candidates to support for President and Congress. Please use a scale where 1 is not important at all, and 5 is extremely important. (RANDOMIZE) NOT IMPORTANT AT ALL
EXTREMELY IMPORTANT
DON'T KNOW
28. Economy and jobs
ALL REP IND DEM
2% 1% 1% 2%
1% 2% 1% 1%
6% 2% 7% 8%
14% 11% 17% 16%
76% 85% 74% 71%
0% 0% 0% 1%
29. The health care reform law passed in 2010
ALL 8% REP 12% IND 8% DEM 3%
4% 4% 5% 3%
11% 8% 13% 13%
16% 10% 20% 18%
58% 63% 52% 59%
3% 3% 2% 3%
30. Medicare
ALL REP IND DEM
5% 6% 5% 4%
5% 5% 8% 3%
16% 17% 24% 9%
21% 24% 23% 16%
52% 48% 39% 68%
0% 0% 1% 0%
31. Federal deficits and debt
ALL REP IND DEM
2% 1% 3% 2%
2% 1% 1% 5%
12% 7% 12% 19%
19% 13% 20% 24%
63% 78% 63% 49%
1% 0% 0% 2%
32. Taxes
ALL REP IND DEM
3% 2% 3% 5%
3% 1% 4% 4%
16% 10% 19% 18%
23% 22% 24% 23%
54% 65% 49% 48%
1% 0% 0% 1%
33. Energy
ALL REP IND DEM
4% 5% 5% 3%
4% 6% 6% 2%
18% 19% 20% 15%
24% 23% 22% 26%
49% 47% 46% 53%
1% 0% 1% 1%
34. Immigration
ALL 9% REP 8% IND 10% DEM 8%
9% 7% 10% 9%
25% 24% 26% 26%
19% 18% 18% 20%
38% 42% 36% 37%
1% 1% 1% 0%
35. Education
ALL REP IND DEM
4% 4% 3% 3%
3% 5% 4% 1%
13% 20% 15% 4%
20% 20% 25% 16%
60% 50% 53% 75%
0% 0% 0% 0%
36. Abortion
ALL REP IND DEM
20% 21% 25% 15%
9% 9% 9% 9%
16% 14% 17% 17%
14% 11% 13% 19%
38% 44% 34% 37%
2% 1% 2% 3%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 295 respondents, MoE = ±5.71 percent. IND results are based on 330 respondents, MoE = ±5.39 percent. DEM results are based on 357 respondents, MoE = ±5.19 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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NOT IMPORTANT AT ALL
EXTREMELY IMPORTANT
DON'T KNOW
37. Gay marriage
ALL REP IND DEM
30% 32% 36% 22%
9% 9% 8% 9%
18% 15% 20% 20%
13% 8% 14% 17%
29% 35% 22% 31%
2% 2% 1% 2%
38. Terrorism
ALL REP IND DEM
5% 2% 6% 7%
6% 3% 8% 6%
16% 13% 17% 19%
19% 20% 20% 18%
50% 59% 46% 46%
4% 3% 3% 5%
39. War in Afghanistan
ALL REP IND DEM
8% 7% 9% 8%
9% 7% 10% 9%
22% 21% 26% 19%
22% 24% 23% 18%
38% 40% 31% 44%
1% 0% 0% 2%
40. Do you support or oppose repealing and replacing the health care reform plan passed in 2010? IF APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE, ASK: Would that be strongly (support/oppose), or just somewhat (support/oppose)? ALL STRONGLY SUPPORT.........................................................41% SOMEWHAT SUPPORT .......................................................13% SOMEWHAT OPPOSE..........................................................10% STRONGLY OPPOSE ...........................................................28% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ................................................8%
REP 61% 9% 5% 19% 6%
IND 41% 15% 13% 25% 7%
DEM 25% 14% 12% 39% 10%
SUPPORT ...............................................................................54% OPPOSE..................................................................................38% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ................................................8%
70% 24% 6%
55% 38% 7%
39% 51% 10%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 295 respondents, MoE = ±5.71 percent. IND results are based on 330 respondents, MoE = ±5.39 percent. DEM results are based on 357 respondents, MoE = ±5.19 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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41. Republican vice-presidential candidate Paul Ryan has proposed making significant reforms to Medicare. Under Ryan’s plan, Americans under 55 years of age would receive premium support from the government, which would allow them to receive traditional Medicare or could be used to pay for part or all of a private insurance plan. Meanwhile, Medicare would remain the same for Americans 55 and older. Which of the following comes closer to your opinion? (ROTATE) a. Paul Ryan's Medicare plan would preserve and protect this program, saving us trillions of dollars over the long run and keeping Medicare from going bankrupt while giving seniors more choices and control over their own health care. b. Paul Ryan's plan would end Medicare as we know it, leaving senior citizens at the mercy of greedy insurance companies and forcing them to pay for part of their own health insurance which could lead to cuts in lifesaving medical treatment. ALL KEEP MEDICARE FROM GOING BANKRUPT ................52% END MEDICARE AS WE KNOW IT ...................................35% BOTH (DO NOT READ) ........................................................1% NEITHER (DO NOT READ) ..................................................3% DON'T KNOW/REFUSED .....................................................9%
REP 79% 13% 0% 1% 7%
IND 50% 34% 1% 5% 11%
DEM 31% 56% 1% 3% 9%
IND 40% 53% 7%
DEM 75% 19% 6%
Role of Government 42. Which of the following statements comes closer to your view: (ROTATE) a.
Government should do more to solve problems and help meet the needs of people.
b.
Government is doing too many things better left to businesses and individuals. ALL GOVT SHOULD DO MORE .................................................46% GOVT DOING TOO MANY THINGS .................................49% DON'T KNOW ........................................................................6%
REP 17% 80% 3%
43. Which of the following statements comes closer to your view: (ROTATE) a. Government policies should promote fairness by narrowing the gap between rich and poor, making the rich pay their fair share, and reducing income inequality. b. Government policies should promote opportunity by fostering job growth, encouraging entrepreneurs, and allowing hardworking people to keep more of what they earn. ALL PROMOTE FAIRNESS..........................................................41% PROMOTE OPPORTUNITY.................................................54% DON'T KNOW ........................................................................5%
REP 17% 80% 3%
IND 37% 57% 6%
DEM 64% 30% 6%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 295 respondents, MoE = ±5.71 percent. IND results are based on 330 respondents, MoE = ±5.39 percent. DEM results are based on 357 respondents, MoE = ±5.19 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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Sources of Information 44. What are your main sources of information about politics and government? (READ AND ALLOW UP TO THREE RESPONSES) ALL NEWSPAPERS.......................................................................40% INTERNET NEWS SITES .....................................................41% INTERNET POLITICAL BLOGS .........................................11% SOCIAL MEDIA LIKE TWITTER OR FACEBOOK ...........8% RADIO NEWS........................................................................19% TALK RADIO PROGRAMS .................................................16% BROADCAST TELEVISION NEWS....................................32% CABLE TELEVISION ...........................................................44% LETTERS AND BROCHURES IN THE MAIL.....................4% OTHER ....................................................................................6% DON’T KNOW (DO NOT READ) .........................................1% REFUSED (DO NOT READ) .................................................0%
REP 39% 44% 10% 6% 18% 24% 28% 47% 4% 5% 1% 0%
IND 34% 45% 14% 10% 20% 14% 30% 42% 3% 9% 0% 0%
DEM 45% 36% 8% 8% 19% 9% 37% 45% 5% 4% 1% 0%
Note: Total exceeds 100 percent because multiple responses were accepted. ROTATE QUESTIONS 45 AND 46 45. Were you personally contacted by the Obama campaign through a telephone call, email, text message, or some other means? IF YES, ASK: How many times were you contacted by the Obama campaign, once, two to four times, or five times or more? ALL NO, NO CONTACT ...............................................................57% YES/ONCE ..............................................................................8% YES, TWO TO FOUR TIMES ...............................................13% YES, FIVE TIMES OR MORE ..............................................19% DON'T KNOW ........................................................................4%
REP 74% 6% 6% 9% 5%
IND 61% 7% 11% 18% 3%
DEM 39% 10% 19% 28% 3%
46. Were you personally contacted by the Romney campaign through a telephone call, email, text message, or some other means? IF YES, ASK: How many times were you contacted by the Romney campaign, once, two to four times, or five times or more? ALL NO, NO CONTACT ...............................................................61% YES/ONCE ..............................................................................5% YES, TWO TO FOUR TIMES ...............................................12% YES, FIVE TIMES OR MORE ..............................................19% DON'T KNOW ........................................................................3%
REP 53% 5% 15% 25% 3%
IND 62% 6% 11% 20% 1%
DEM 68% 6% 10% 13% 4%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 295 respondents, MoE = ±5.71 percent. IND results are based on 330 respondents, MoE = ±5.39 percent. DEM results are based on 357 respondents, MoE = ±5.19 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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47. Would you please tell me if you did any of the following during the course of the presidential campaign: talked with family and friends about the election, visited Mitt Romney's website, visited Barack Obama's website, visited a Republican campaign headquarters, visited a Democratic campaign headquarters, shared political comments on social media like Facebook or Twitter, or read political comments on social media like Facebook and Twitter? (ACCEPT MULTIPLE RESPONSES) ALL TALKED WITH FAMILY AND FRIENDS .........................83% VISITED ROMNEY WEBSITE ............................................20% VISITED OBAMA WEBSITE...............................................21% VISITED REPUBLICAN HEADQUARTERS.......................6% VISITED DEMOCRATIC HEADQUARTERS .....................8% SHARED POL. COMMENTS ON SOCIAL MEDIA ...........32% READ POL. COMMENTS ON SOCIAL MEDIA ................44% DON'T KNOW ........................................................................9%
REP 88% 31% 14% 12% 2% 35% 45% 6%
IND 82% 23% 22% 5% 6% 32% 47% 10%
DEM 82% 9% 28% 2% 16% 30% 41% 10%
Note: Total exceeds 100 percent because multiple responses were accepted.
Demographics Now I have a few questions just for statistical purposes. 48. In politics today, do you normally think of yourself as (ROTATE: a Republican, an independent, or a Democrat)? IF "REP" OR "DEM", ASK: Would you consider yourself a strong or a not-so-strong Republican/Democrat? IF "IND," ASK: Do you think of yourself as closer to the (ROTATE: Republican or Democratic Party)?
ALL STRONG REP .............................23% NOT-SO-STRONG REP ..............7% IND LEAN REP ..........................14% IND NO PREF ..............................7% IND LEAN DEM.........................12% NOT-SO-STRONG DEM ............8% STRONG DEM ...........................28% REFUSED.....................................2%
49. I know it was a long time ago, but do you recall whether you voted for Barack Obama or John McCain for President in 2008? ALL OBAMA..................................................................................49% MCCAIN.................................................................................40% ANOTHER CANDIDATE (VOL.) .........................................2% DID NOT VOTE (VOL.).........................................................9% CAN'T RECALL .....................................................................1% REFUSED (DNR)....................................................................1%
REP 6% 85% 1% 7% 1% 0%
IND 45% 40% 3% 12% 1% 0%
DEM 90% 1% 1% 8% 1% 0%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 295 respondents, MoE = ±5.71 percent. IND results are based on 330 respondents, MoE = ±5.39 percent. DEM results are based on 357 respondents, MoE = ±5.19 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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50. When thinking about politics today, do you normally consider yourself to be (ROTATE: very conservative, somewhat conservative, moderate, somewhat liberal, or very liberal)? ALL VERY CONSERVATIVE ......................................................20% SOMEWHAT CONSERVATIVE..........................................25% MODERATE ..........................................................................24% SOMEWHAT LIBERAL........................................................17% VERY LIBERAL....................................................................10% NO OPINION ..........................................................................5%
REP 41% 36% 17% 3% 1% 2%
IND 14% 29% 32% 16% 5% 5%
DEM 8% 11% 22% 32% 22% 5%
REP 1% 11% 27% 39% 22% 1%
IND 1% 16% 26% 34% 23% 0%
DEM 3% 21% 27% 27% 21% 1%
REP 77% 10% 7% 5% 1%
IND 65% 23% 8% 4% 0%
DEM 52% 25% 12% 10% 0%
REP 72% 24% 4%
IND 40% 52% 8%
DEM 23% 68% 9%
51. Would you please stop me when I read the last level of education you completed? ALL LESS THAN HIGH SCHOOL ................................................2% HIGH SCHOOL GRAD .........................................................16% SOME COLLEGE ..................................................................27% COLLEGE GRAD ..................................................................33% GRADUATE OR PROFESSIONAL SCHOOL.....................22% REFUSED (DO NOT READ) .................................................1% 52. Are you married, single, divorced, or widowed? ALL MARRIED ..............................................................................64% SINGLE ..................................................................................20% DIVORCED .............................................................................9% WIDOWED..............................................................................6% REFUSED (DO NOT READ) .................................................1% 53. In general, would you say you are (ROTATE: pro-life or pro-choice) on abortion? ALL PRO-LIFE ...............................................................................43% PRO-CHOICE.........................................................................49% UNDECIDED/DON'T KNOW/REFUSED .............................8%
54. Would you say you strongly support, somewhat support or do not support the goals of the Tea Party Movement? ALL STRONGLY SUPPORT.........................................................14% SOMEWHAT SUPPORT .......................................................30% DO NOT SUPPORT ...............................................................45% UNDECIDED/DON'T KNOW/REFUSED ............................11%
REP 31% 44% 14% 12%
IND 11% 35% 43% 11%
DEM 3% 14% 73% 10%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 295 respondents, MoE = ±5.71 percent. IND results are based on 330 respondents, MoE = ±5.39 percent. DEM results are based on 357 respondents, MoE = ±5.19 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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55. Are you, or is any member of your immediate family, a member of a labor union? IF YES, ASK: Is that a public-sector union, or a private-sector union? ALL YES/PUBLIC SECTOR .........................................................12% YES/PRIVATE SECTOR........................................................8% NO, NOT UNION MEMBER ................................................77% REFUSED................................................................................3%
REP 6% 6% 85% 2%
IND 12% 8% 78% 2%
DEM 17% 10% 70% 3%
REP 14% 35% 27% 23% 1%
IND 24% 31% 28% 17% 1%
DEM 31% 29% 22% 15% 4%
56. Would you say the area where you live is urban, suburban, small town, or rural? ALL URBAN...................................................................................23% SUBURBAN...........................................................................31% SMALL TOWN ......................................................................26% RURAL ...................................................................................18% REFUSED (DO NOT READ) .................................................3%
57. Is your religious background Protestant, Catholic, Jewish or something else? (IF SOMETHING ELSE OR UNCLEAR RESPONSE ASK: Is that a Christian religion or not?) ALL PROTESTANT .......................................................................36% CATHOLIC ............................................................................25% OTHER CHRISTIAN .............................................................17% JEWISH ...................................................................................3% OTHER NON-CHRISTIAN ....................................................8% AGNOSTIC/ATHEIST............................................................2% NONE ......................................................................................5% DON'T KNOW (DNR) ............................................................1% REFUSED (DNR)....................................................................3%
REP 49% 21% 19% 2% 3% 0% 4% 0% 1%
IND 33% 26% 16% 4% 9% 3% 6% 1% 2%
DEM 29% 27% 16% 3% 12% 3% 6% 3% 3%
REP 47% 51% 2% 0%
IND 29% 68% 3% 0%
DEM 23% 73% 4% 0%
58. Would you call yourself an evangelical Christian or not? ALL YES .........................................................................................33% NO...........................................................................................64% DON'T KNOW (DNR) ............................................................3% REFUSED (DNR)....................................................................0% Note: Results based on 777 respondents.
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 295 respondents, MoE = ±5.71 percent. IND results are based on 330 respondents, MoE = ±5.39 percent. DEM results are based on 357 respondents, MoE = ±5.19 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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59. About how often do you attend church, a synagogue, or mosque: more than once a week, once a week, a few times a month, a few times a year, or almost never? ALL MORE THAN ONCE A WEEK.............................................13% ONCE A WEEK .....................................................................27% FEW TIMES A MONTH........................................................13% FEW TIMES A YEAR ...........................................................18% ALMOST NEVER..................................................................25% REFUSED (DNR)....................................................................4%
REP 19% 36% 11% 16% 17% 2%
IND 12% 22% 15% 21% 28% 3%
DEM 10% 26% 14% 19% 28% 5%
REP 6% 8% 10% 10% 12% 10% 10% 9% 7% 18% 0%
IND 11% 10% 8% 12% 11% 8% 9% 12% 9% 12% 0%
DEM 8% 9% 8% 7% 7% 8% 10% 9% 13% 21% 0%
60. Would you please stop me when I read the correct category for your age? ALL 18 TO 24 ..................................................................................8% 25 TO 29 ..................................................................................9% 30 TO 34 ..................................................................................8% 35 TO 39 .................................................................................10% 40 TO 44 .................................................................................10% 45 TO 49 ..................................................................................9% 50 TO 54 .................................................................................10% 55 TO 59 .................................................................................10% 60 TO 64 .................................................................................10% 65 OR OLDER........................................................................17% REFUSED (DO NOT READ) .................................................0%
61. Would you please stop me when I read the correct category for your total household income? ALL $30,000 OR LESS...................................................................15% $30,000 TO $50,000 ...............................................................17% $50,000 TO $75,000 ...............................................................16% $75,000 TO $100,000 .............................................................16% $100,000 TO $150,000 ...........................................................13% $150,000 TO $200,000 ............................................................6% $200,000 OR MORE ...............................................................6% REFUSED...............................................................................11%
REP 11% 13% 13% 17% 19% 8% 7% 12%
IND 16% 17% 19% 16% 13% 8% 6% 6%
DEM 19% 21% 15% 15% 10% 3% 5% 12%
62. Are you from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background? IF NO, ASK: What would you say is your main race: white, African American, Asian, or something else? ALL YES/HISPANIC .....................................................................10% NO/WHITE.............................................................................73% NO/BLACK/AFRICAN AMERICAN ...................................13% NO/ASIAN ..............................................................................1% NO/OTHER .............................................................................3% REFUSED................................................................................0%
REP 5% 91% 2% 0% 2% 0%
IND 10% 75% 10% 2% 4% 0%
DEM 15% 54% 25% 2% 3% 1%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 295 respondents, MoE = ±5.71 percent. IND results are based on 330 respondents, MoE = ±5.39 percent. DEM results are based on 357 respondents, MoE = ±5.19 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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63. Gender (from observation): ALL MALE .....................................................................................48% FEMALE.................................................................................52%
REP 47% 53%
IND 58% 42%
DEM 38% 62%
ASK IN CELL SAMPLE ONLY 64. Thinking about your telephone use, is there at least one telephone inside your home that is working and is not a cell phone? ALL YES .........................................................................................54% NO...........................................................................................42% DON'T KNOW/REFUSED .....................................................4%
REP 62% 35% 3%
IND 57% 41% 3%
DEM 45% 52% 3%
REP 90% 9% 2%
IND 91% 8% 1%
DEM 82% 16% 2%
Note: Results based on 310 respondents. ASK IN LANDLINE SAMPLE ONLY 65. Thinking about your telephone use, do you have a working cell phone? ALL YES .........................................................................................87% NO...........................................................................................11% DON'T KNOW/REFUSED .....................................................2% Note: Results based on 689 respondents. DO NOT ASK IF Q. 64 IS NO OR IF Q. 65 IS NO 66. Of all the personal telephone calls that you receive, do you get all of them on cell phones, almost all of them on cell phones, some on cell and some on your regular home phone, almost all on your regular home phone, or all on your regular home phone? ALL ALL ON CELL PHONE..........................................................9% ALMOST ALL ON CELL PHONES .....................................21% SOME ON CELL/SOME ON HOME PHONE......................36% ALMOST ALL ON HOME PHONE .....................................16% ALL ON HOME PHONE .......................................................13% DON'T KNOW/REFUSED .....................................................4%
REP 7% 20% 39% 17% 13% 5%
IND 13% 28% 31% 15% 10% 2%
DEM 7% 16% 39% 18% 16% 4%
REP 17% 17% 32% 14% 17% 4%
IND 25% 23% 25% 12% 13% 2%
DEM 18% 12% 30% 13% 24% 3%
Note: Results based on 788 respondents. PHONE USAGE/CALCULATED BASED ON Q.64-66 ALL ALL ON CELL PHONE.........................................................20% ALMOST ALL ON CELL PHONES .....................................17% SOME ON CELL/SOME ON HOME PHONE......................29% ALMOST ALL ON HOME PHONE .....................................13% ALL ON HOME PHONE .......................................................18% DON'T KNOW/REFUSED .....................................................3%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 295 respondents, MoE = ±5.71 percent. IND results are based on 330 respondents, MoE = ±5.39 percent. DEM results are based on 357 respondents, MoE = ±5.19 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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67. Finally, in what state do you live? That's all the questions I have. Thank you very much for sharing your opinions with us.
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 295 respondents, MoE = ±5.71 percent. IND results are based on 330 respondents, MoE = ±5.39 percent. DEM results are based on 357 respondents, MoE = ±5.19 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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REP 69% 16% 16%
IND 68% 12% 20%
DEM 68% 11% 21%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 295 respondents, MoE = ±5.71 percent. IND results are based on 330 respondents, MoE = ±5.39 percent. DEM results are based on 357 respondents, MoE = ±5.19 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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1. Keeping in mind that this survey is completely confidential, in the election for President, did you vote for (ROTATE: Mitt Romney, the Republican, or Barack Obama, the Democrat)? ALL ROMNEY ...............................................................................48% OBAMA..................................................................................50% ANOTHER CANDIDATE (VOL.) .........................................2% 2.
REP 96% 3% 1%
IND 51% 45% 4%
DEM 4% 96% 0%
Was your vote for Mitt Romney primarily a vote for Romney, or a vote against Barack Obama? ALL FOR ROMNEY ......................................................................55% AGAINST OBAMA ...............................................................28% BOTH (VOL.).........................................................................13% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ................................................3%
REP 61% 23% 14% 2%
IND 50% 34% 13% 3%
DEM 33% 33% 17% 17%
Note: Results based on 480 respondents. 3.
Was your vote for Barack Obama primarily a vote for Obama, or a vote against Mitt Romney? ALL FOR OBAMA .........................................................................80% AGAINST ROMNEY.............................................................10% BOTH (VOL.)..........................................................................9% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ................................................1%
REP 80% 20% 0% 0%
IND 72% 14% 14% 1%
DEM 84% 9% 7% 0%
Note: Results based on 504 respondents. 4. When did you make up your mind whom to vote for for President: before the national conventions, between the national conventions and the debates, after the debates but prior to the last week before the election, during the last week before the election, or on the day of the election? ALL BEFORE NATIONAL CONVENTIONS ..............................62% BETWEEN CONVENTIONS AND DEBATES ...................14% AFTER DEBATES/BEFORE LAST WEEK .........................13% DURING THE LAST WEEK..................................................3% ON DAY OF ELECTION .......................................................2% DON'T KNOW ........................................................................6%
REP 67% 14% 8% 3% 1% 7%
IND 52% 18% 18% 4% 4% 4%
DEM 66% 12% 12% 2% 2% 6%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 295 respondents, MoE = ±5.71 percent. IND results are based on 330 respondents, MoE = ±5.39 percent. DEM results are based on 357 respondents, MoE = ±5.19 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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Which candidate (ROTATE: Mitt Romney or Barack Obama), do you think is better described by each of the following phrases (RANDOMIZE): ROMNEY
OBAMA
BOTH SAME
NEITHER ONE
DON'T KNOW
5.
Showed a genuine passion for leading America
ALL 42% REP 84% IND 46% DEM 2%
45% 5% 37% 88%
11% 9% 13% 10%
2% 1% 4% 0%
0% 1% 0% 0%
6.
Presented a clear vision for the next four years
ALL 41% REP 85% IND 42% DEM 4%
45% 5% 37% 88%
2% 2% 4% 1%
9% 7% 16% 4%
1% 1% 1% 2%
7.
Presented a credible plan for fixing the economy
ALL 45% REP 89% IND 46% DEM 5%
44% 2% 35% 88%
1% 1% 2% 2%
8% 6% 14% 3%
2% 2% 3% 2%
8.
Would help the middle class
ALL 41% REP 85% IND 41% DEM 2%
52% 7% 47% 96%
2% 3% 3% 1%
3% 3% 6% 1%
2% 1% 3% 0%
9.
Won the debates
ALL 40% REP 76% IND 45% DEM 4%
40% 4% 30% 78%
9% 10% 8% 8%
4% 3% 6% 2%
8% 6% 11% 7%
10. Thinks America is an exceptional nation
ALL 42% REP 81% IND 46% DEM 5%
34% 3% 24% 71%
18% 12% 23% 20%
1% 0% 1% 1%
5% 4% 5% 4%
11. Makes me proud to be an American
ALL 40% REP 83% IND 42% DEM 3%
43% 3% 32% 88%
8% 5% 11% 7%
7% 7% 13% 2%
2% 2% 2% 1%
12. Ran a negative campaign
ALL REP IND DEM
33% 10% 29% 59%
37% 65% 37% 14%
16% 13% 22% 14%
8% 7% 8% 7%
5% 4% 4% 7%
13. Would be better able to work with both parties and get things done.
ALL 44% REP 86% IND 46% DEM 6%
43% 4% 33% 86%
4% 2% 6% 3%
6% 6% 9% 3%
3% 2% 6% 2%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 295 respondents, MoE = ±5.71 percent. IND results are based on 330 respondents, MoE = ±5.39 percent. DEM results are based on 357 respondents, MoE = ±5.19 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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14. Regardless of the presidential candidate for whom you ultimately voted, did you view Mitt Romney as someone who had the qualifications and experience to be president? ALL YES .........................................................................................67% NO...........................................................................................32% DON’T KNOW/REFUSED.....................................................1%
REP 97% 2% 0%
IND 73% 25% 2%
DEM 35% 63% 2%
15. Did the way President Obama handled Hurricane Sandy and its aftermath make you more likely to vote for Obama, less likely to vote for Obama, or did it have no real effect on your vote for President? ALL MORE LIKELY......................................................................18% LESS LIKELY.........................................................................8% NO REAL EFFECT ................................................................73% DON’T KNOW/REFUSED.....................................................2%
REP 2% 13% 85% 1%
IND 13% 10% 75% 2%
DEM 36% 2% 60% 2%
16. In the race for the U.S. House of Representatives in your district, did you vote for (ROTATE: the Republican candidate, or the Democratic candidate)? ALL REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE ...............................................45% DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATE..............................................48% ANOTHER CANDIDATE (VOL.) .........................................2% DON'T KNOW/REFUSED .....................................................5%
REP 93% 3% 0% 3%
IND 47% 40% 4% 8%
DEM 2% 94% 1% 3%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 295 respondents, MoE = ±5.71 percent. IND results are based on 330 respondents, MoE = ±5.39 percent. DEM results are based on 357 respondents, MoE = ±5.19 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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Name IDs I would like to read you a list of names of people and groups and have you tell me, for each one, whether you've heard of that person or group and, if so, whether you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them. If you haven't heard of the person or group, just say so (RANDOMIZE): IF FAVORABLE/UNFAVORABLE: Would that be very (FAVORABLE/UNFAVORABLE) or just somewhat (FAVORABLE/UNFAVORABLE)? VERY FAV
17. Joe Biden
ALL 28% REP 1% IND 18% DEM 61% ALL REP IND DEM
18. Barack Obama
ALL 42% REP 3% IND 28% DEM 87%
NO OPINION
NEVER HEARD OF
22% 9% 26% 28%
11% 17% 15% 2%
32% 65% 34% 2%
5% 5% 6% 4%
2% 2% 1% 3%
33% 69% 33% 2%
1% 1% 2% 1%
0% 0% 0% 0%
25% 2% 15% 53%
3% 0% 4% 5%
0% 0% 0% 1%
25% 1% 20% 49%
7% 4% 6% 10%
4% 2% 2% 7%
43% 82% 49% 4% 14% 7% 25% 10%
ALL 36% REP 77% IND 34% DEM 3%
10% 19% 12% 0% 43% 88% 45% 2%
20% 19% 28% 12%
17% 1% 20% 27%
56% 96% 62% 15%
ALL 31% REP 67% IND 26% DEM 4% ALL REP IND DEM
VERY UNFAV
56% 10% 53% 97%
ALL REP IND DEM 20. Paul Ryan
SMWHT UNFAV
50% 10% 44% 89%
ALL REP IND DEM 19. Mitt Romney
SMWHT FAV
42% 3% 35% 80% 19% 23% 29% 8%
14% 3% 16% 23%
50% 90% 55% 12%
39% 4% 36% 72%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 295 respondents, MoE = ±5.71 percent. IND results are based on 330 respondents, MoE = ±5.39 percent. DEM results are based on 357 respondents, MoE = ±5.19 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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VERY FAV
21. Republicans in Congress
ALL 16% REP 41% IND 10% DEM 2% ALL REP IND DEM
22. Democrats in Congress
SMWHT UNFAV
VERY UNFAV
NO OPINION
NEVER HEARD OF
28% 42% 36% 11%
18% 6% 23% 25%
27% 3% 22% 51%
9% 8% 9% 8%
2% 1% 1% 3%
23% 44% 27% 2%
8% 7% 12% 5%
1% 2% 1% 1%
44% 83% 46% 13%
ALL 21% REP 1% IND 13% DEM 47% ALL REP IND DEM
SMWHT FAV
45% 9% 45% 76% 26% 11% 26% 40%
19% 35% 22% 5%
47% 12% 39% 87%
42% 79% 49% 7%
President Obama's Image 23. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? IF APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE, ASK: Would that be strongly (approve/disapprove), or just somewhat (approve/disapprove)? ALL STRONGLY APPROVE ........................................................33% SOMEWHAT APPROVE ......................................................18% SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE.................................................8% STRONGLY DISAPPROVE..................................................39% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ................................................2%
REP 2% 4% 11% 83% 0%
IND 22% 24% 14% 38% 2%
DEM 71% 23% 1% 2% 2%
APPROVE ..............................................................................51% DISAPPROVE ........................................................................47% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ................................................2%
6% 94% 0%
46% 52% 2%
94% 3% 2%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 295 respondents, MoE = ±5.71 percent. IND results are based on 330 respondents, MoE = ±5.39 percent. DEM results are based on 357 respondents, MoE = ±5.19 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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24. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy? IF APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE, ASK: Would that be strongly (approve/disapprove), or just somewhat (approve/disapprove)? ALL STRONGLY APPROVE ........................................................27% SOMEWHAT APPROVE ......................................................22% SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE.................................................8% STRONGLY DISAPPROVE..................................................42% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ................................................1%
REP 1% 2% 8% 87% 1%
IND 20% 23% 13% 43% 2%
DEM 56% 38% 3% 2% 1%
APPROVE ..............................................................................49% DISAPPROVE ........................................................................50% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ................................................1%
3% 95% 1%
43% 56% 2%
94% 5% 1%
25. How responsible do you hold the Obama Administration for the current state of the American economy: very responsible, somewhat responsible, not too responsible, or not at all responsible? ALL VERY RESPONSIBLE ..........................................................36% SOMEWHAT RESPONSIBLE ..............................................36% NOT TOO RESPONSIBLE....................................................15% NOT AT ALL RESPONSIBLE..............................................12% DON'T KNOW ........................................................................1%
REP 55% 35% 3% 7% 1%
IND 30% 45% 15% 10% 0%
DEM 25% 30% 24% 19% 2%
Political Environment and Important Issues 26. As of today, would you say that America is headed in the right direction, or have things gotten off on the wrong track? ALL RIGHT DIRECTION..............................................................50% WRONG TRACK ...................................................................48% DON'T KNOW ........................................................................2%
REP 7% 92% 2%
IND 46% 51% 3%
DEM 90% 8% 2%
27. Whom do you blame most for America being off on the wrong track (ROTATE: President Obama, former President Bush, Democrats in Congress, or Republicans in Congress)? ALL OBAMA..................................................................................50% BUSH .......................................................................................7% DEMOCRATS IN CONGRESS.............................................25% REPUBLICANS IN CONGRESS ...........................................4% DON'T KNOW .......................................................................14%
REP 59% 3% 25% 2% 11%
IND 43% 6% 29% 4% 18%
DEM 10% 62% 0% 21% 7%
Note: Results based on 481 respondents.
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 295 respondents, MoE = ±5.71 percent. IND results are based on 330 respondents, MoE = ±5.39 percent. DEM results are based on 357 respondents, MoE = ±5.19 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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How important were each of the following issues in deciding which candidates to support for President and Congress. Please use a scale where 1 is not important at all, and 5 is extremely important. (RANDOMIZE) NOT IMPORTANT AT ALL
EXTREMELY IMPORTANT
DON'T KNOW
28. Economy and jobs
ALL REP IND DEM
2% 1% 1% 2%
1% 2% 1% 1%
6% 2% 7% 8%
14% 11% 17% 16%
76% 85% 74% 71%
0% 0% 0% 1%
29. The health care reform law passed in 2010
ALL 8% REP 12% IND 8% DEM 3%
4% 4% 5% 3%
11% 8% 13% 13%
16% 10% 20% 18%
58% 63% 52% 59%
3% 3% 2% 3%
30. Medicare
ALL REP IND DEM
5% 6% 5% 4%
5% 5% 8% 3%
16% 17% 24% 9%
21% 24% 23% 16%
52% 48% 39% 68%
0% 0% 1% 0%
31. Federal deficits and debt
ALL REP IND DEM
2% 1% 3% 2%
2% 1% 1% 5%
12% 7% 12% 19%
19% 13% 20% 24%
63% 78% 63% 49%
1% 0% 0% 2%
32. Taxes
ALL REP IND DEM
3% 2% 3% 5%
3% 1% 4% 4%
16% 10% 19% 18%
23% 22% 24% 23%
54% 65% 49% 48%
1% 0% 0% 1%
33. Energy
ALL REP IND DEM
4% 5% 5% 3%
4% 6% 6% 2%
18% 19% 20% 15%
24% 23% 22% 26%
49% 47% 46% 53%
1% 0% 1% 1%
34. Immigration
ALL 9% REP 8% IND 10% DEM 8%
9% 7% 10% 9%
25% 24% 26% 26%
19% 18% 18% 20%
38% 42% 36% 37%
1% 1% 1% 0%
35. Education
ALL REP IND DEM
4% 4% 3% 3%
3% 5% 4% 1%
13% 20% 15% 4%
20% 20% 25% 16%
60% 50% 53% 75%
0% 0% 0% 0%
36. Abortion
ALL REP IND DEM
20% 21% 25% 15%
9% 9% 9% 9%
16% 14% 17% 17%
14% 11% 13% 19%
38% 44% 34% 37%
2% 1% 2% 3%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 295 respondents, MoE = ±5.71 percent. IND results are based on 330 respondents, MoE = ±5.39 percent. DEM results are based on 357 respondents, MoE = ±5.19 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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NOT IMPORTANT AT ALL
EXTREMELY IMPORTANT
DON'T KNOW
37. Gay marriage
ALL REP IND DEM
30% 32% 36% 22%
9% 9% 8% 9%
18% 15% 20% 20%
13% 8% 14% 17%
29% 35% 22% 31%
2% 2% 1% 2%
38. Terrorism
ALL REP IND DEM
5% 2% 6% 7%
6% 3% 8% 6%
16% 13% 17% 19%
19% 20% 20% 18%
50% 59% 46% 46%
4% 3% 3% 5%
39. War in Afghanistan
ALL REP IND DEM
8% 7% 9% 8%
9% 7% 10% 9%
22% 21% 26% 19%
22% 24% 23% 18%
38% 40% 31% 44%
1% 0% 0% 2%
40. Do you support or oppose repealing and replacing the health care reform plan passed in 2010? IF APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE, ASK: Would that be strongly (support/oppose), or just somewhat (support/oppose)? ALL STRONGLY SUPPORT.........................................................41% SOMEWHAT SUPPORT .......................................................13% SOMEWHAT OPPOSE..........................................................10% STRONGLY OPPOSE ...........................................................28% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ................................................8%
REP 61% 9% 5% 19% 6%
IND 41% 15% 13% 25% 7%
DEM 25% 14% 12% 39% 10%
SUPPORT ...............................................................................54% OPPOSE..................................................................................38% DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION ................................................8%
70% 24% 6%
55% 38% 7%
39% 51% 10%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 295 respondents, MoE = ±5.71 percent. IND results are based on 330 respondents, MoE = ±5.39 percent. DEM results are based on 357 respondents, MoE = ±5.19 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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41. Republican vice-presidential candidate Paul Ryan has proposed making significant reforms to Medicare. Under Ryan’s plan, Americans under 55 years of age would receive premium support from the government, which would allow them to receive traditional Medicare or could be used to pay for part or all of a private insurance plan. Meanwhile, Medicare would remain the same for Americans 55 and older. Which of the following comes closer to your opinion? (ROTATE) a. Paul Ryan's Medicare plan would preserve and protect this program, saving us trillions of dollars over the long run and keeping Medicare from going bankrupt while giving seniors more choices and control over their own health care. b. Paul Ryan's plan would end Medicare as we know it, leaving senior citizens at the mercy of greedy insurance companies and forcing them to pay for part of their own health insurance which could lead to cuts in lifesaving medical treatment. ALL KEEP MEDICARE FROM GOING BANKRUPT ................52% END MEDICARE AS WE KNOW IT ...................................35% BOTH (DO NOT READ) ........................................................1% NEITHER (DO NOT READ) ..................................................3% DON'T KNOW/REFUSED .....................................................9%
REP 79% 13% 0% 1% 7%
IND 50% 34% 1% 5% 11%
DEM 31% 56% 1% 3% 9%
IND 40% 53% 7%
DEM 75% 19% 6%
Role of Government 42. Which of the following statements comes closer to your view: (ROTATE) a.
Government should do more to solve problems and help meet the needs of people.
b.
Government is doing too many things better left to businesses and individuals. ALL GOVT SHOULD DO MORE .................................................46% GOVT DOING TOO MANY THINGS .................................49% DON'T KNOW ........................................................................6%
REP 17% 80% 3%
43. Which of the following statements comes closer to your view: (ROTATE) a. Government policies should promote fairness by narrowing the gap between rich and poor, making the rich pay their fair share, and reducing income inequality. b. Government policies should promote opportunity by fostering job growth, encouraging entrepreneurs, and allowing hardworking people to keep more of what they earn. ALL PROMOTE FAIRNESS..........................................................41% PROMOTE OPPORTUNITY.................................................54% DON'T KNOW ........................................................................5%
REP 17% 80% 3%
IND 37% 57% 6%
DEM 64% 30% 6%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 295 respondents, MoE = ±5.71 percent. IND results are based on 330 respondents, MoE = ±5.39 percent. DEM results are based on 357 respondents, MoE = ±5.19 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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Sources of Information 44. What are your main sources of information about politics and government? (READ AND ALLOW UP TO THREE RESPONSES) ALL NEWSPAPERS.......................................................................40% INTERNET NEWS SITES .....................................................41% INTERNET POLITICAL BLOGS .........................................11% SOCIAL MEDIA LIKE TWITTER OR FACEBOOK ...........8% RADIO NEWS........................................................................19% TALK RADIO PROGRAMS .................................................16% BROADCAST TELEVISION NEWS....................................32% CABLE TELEVISION ...........................................................44% LETTERS AND BROCHURES IN THE MAIL.....................4% OTHER ....................................................................................6% DON’T KNOW (DO NOT READ) .........................................1% REFUSED (DO NOT READ) .................................................0%
REP 39% 44% 10% 6% 18% 24% 28% 47% 4% 5% 1% 0%
IND 34% 45% 14% 10% 20% 14% 30% 42% 3% 9% 0% 0%
DEM 45% 36% 8% 8% 19% 9% 37% 45% 5% 4% 1% 0%
Note: Total exceeds 100 percent because multiple responses were accepted. ROTATE QUESTIONS 45 AND 46 45. Were you personally contacted by the Obama campaign through a telephone call, email, text message, or some other means? IF YES, ASK: How many times were you contacted by the Obama campaign, once, two to four times, or five times or more? ALL NO, NO CONTACT ...............................................................57% YES/ONCE ..............................................................................8% YES, TWO TO FOUR TIMES ...............................................13% YES, FIVE TIMES OR MORE ..............................................19% DON'T KNOW ........................................................................4%
REP 74% 6% 6% 9% 5%
IND 61% 7% 11% 18% 3%
DEM 39% 10% 19% 28% 3%
46. Were you personally contacted by the Romney campaign through a telephone call, email, text message, or some other means? IF YES, ASK: How many times were you contacted by the Romney campaign, once, two to four times, or five times or more? ALL NO, NO CONTACT ...............................................................61% YES/ONCE ..............................................................................5% YES, TWO TO FOUR TIMES ...............................................12% YES, FIVE TIMES OR MORE ..............................................19% DON'T KNOW ........................................................................3%
REP 53% 5% 15% 25% 3%
IND 62% 6% 11% 20% 1%
DEM 68% 6% 10% 13% 4%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 295 respondents, MoE = ±5.71 percent. IND results are based on 330 respondents, MoE = ±5.39 percent. DEM results are based on 357 respondents, MoE = ±5.19 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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47. Would you please tell me if you did any of the following during the course of the presidential campaign: talked with family and friends about the election, visited Mitt Romney's website, visited Barack Obama's website, visited a Republican campaign headquarters, visited a Democratic campaign headquarters, shared political comments on social media like Facebook or Twitter, or read political comments on social media like Facebook and Twitter? (ACCEPT MULTIPLE RESPONSES) ALL TALKED WITH FAMILY AND FRIENDS .........................83% VISITED ROMNEY WEBSITE ............................................20% VISITED OBAMA WEBSITE...............................................21% VISITED REPUBLICAN HEADQUARTERS.......................6% VISITED DEMOCRATIC HEADQUARTERS .....................8% SHARED POL. COMMENTS ON SOCIAL MEDIA ...........32% READ POL. COMMENTS ON SOCIAL MEDIA ................44% DON'T KNOW ........................................................................9%
REP 88% 31% 14% 12% 2% 35% 45% 6%
IND 82% 23% 22% 5% 6% 32% 47% 10%
DEM 82% 9% 28% 2% 16% 30% 41% 10%
Note: Total exceeds 100 percent because multiple responses were accepted.
Demographics Now I have a few questions just for statistical purposes. 48. In politics today, do you normally think of yourself as (ROTATE: a Republican, an independent, or a Democrat)? IF "REP" OR "DEM", ASK: Would you consider yourself a strong or a not-so-strong Republican/Democrat? IF "IND," ASK: Do you think of yourself as closer to the (ROTATE: Republican or Democratic Party)?
ALL STRONG REP .............................23% NOT-SO-STRONG REP ..............7% IND LEAN REP ..........................14% IND NO PREF ..............................7% IND LEAN DEM.........................12% NOT-SO-STRONG DEM ............8% STRONG DEM ...........................28% REFUSED.....................................2%
49. I know it was a long time ago, but do you recall whether you voted for Barack Obama or John McCain for President in 2008? ALL OBAMA..................................................................................49% MCCAIN.................................................................................40% ANOTHER CANDIDATE (VOL.) .........................................2% DID NOT VOTE (VOL.).........................................................9% CAN'T RECALL .....................................................................1% REFUSED (DNR)....................................................................1%
REP 6% 85% 1% 7% 1% 0%
IND 45% 40% 3% 12% 1% 0%
DEM 90% 1% 1% 8% 1% 0%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 295 respondents, MoE = ±5.71 percent. IND results are based on 330 respondents, MoE = ±5.39 percent. DEM results are based on 357 respondents, MoE = ±5.19 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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50. When thinking about politics today, do you normally consider yourself to be (ROTATE: very conservative, somewhat conservative, moderate, somewhat liberal, or very liberal)? ALL VERY CONSERVATIVE ......................................................20% SOMEWHAT CONSERVATIVE..........................................25% MODERATE ..........................................................................24% SOMEWHAT LIBERAL........................................................17% VERY LIBERAL....................................................................10% NO OPINION ..........................................................................5%
REP 41% 36% 17% 3% 1% 2%
IND 14% 29% 32% 16% 5% 5%
DEM 8% 11% 22% 32% 22% 5%
REP 1% 11% 27% 39% 22% 1%
IND 1% 16% 26% 34% 23% 0%
DEM 3% 21% 27% 27% 21% 1%
REP 77% 10% 7% 5% 1%
IND 65% 23% 8% 4% 0%
DEM 52% 25% 12% 10% 0%
REP 72% 24% 4%
IND 40% 52% 8%
DEM 23% 68% 9%
51. Would you please stop me when I read the last level of education you completed? ALL LESS THAN HIGH SCHOOL ................................................2% HIGH SCHOOL GRAD .........................................................16% SOME COLLEGE ..................................................................27% COLLEGE GRAD ..................................................................33% GRADUATE OR PROFESSIONAL SCHOOL.....................22% REFUSED (DO NOT READ) .................................................1% 52. Are you married, single, divorced, or widowed? ALL MARRIED ..............................................................................64% SINGLE ..................................................................................20% DIVORCED .............................................................................9% WIDOWED..............................................................................6% REFUSED (DO NOT READ) .................................................1% 53. In general, would you say you are (ROTATE: pro-life or pro-choice) on abortion? ALL PRO-LIFE ...............................................................................43% PRO-CHOICE.........................................................................49% UNDECIDED/DON'T KNOW/REFUSED .............................8%
54. Would you say you strongly support, somewhat support or do not support the goals of the Tea Party Movement? ALL STRONGLY SUPPORT.........................................................14% SOMEWHAT SUPPORT .......................................................30% DO NOT SUPPORT ...............................................................45% UNDECIDED/DON'T KNOW/REFUSED ............................11%
REP 31% 44% 14% 12%
IND 11% 35% 43% 11%
DEM 3% 14% 73% 10%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 295 respondents, MoE = ±5.71 percent. IND results are based on 330 respondents, MoE = ±5.39 percent. DEM results are based on 357 respondents, MoE = ±5.19 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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55. Are you, or is any member of your immediate family, a member of a labor union? IF YES, ASK: Is that a public-sector union, or a private-sector union? ALL YES/PUBLIC SECTOR .........................................................12% YES/PRIVATE SECTOR........................................................8% NO, NOT UNION MEMBER ................................................77% REFUSED................................................................................3%
REP 6% 6% 85% 2%
IND 12% 8% 78% 2%
DEM 17% 10% 70% 3%
REP 14% 35% 27% 23% 1%
IND 24% 31% 28% 17% 1%
DEM 31% 29% 22% 15% 4%
56. Would you say the area where you live is urban, suburban, small town, or rural? ALL URBAN...................................................................................23% SUBURBAN...........................................................................31% SMALL TOWN ......................................................................26% RURAL ...................................................................................18% REFUSED (DO NOT READ) .................................................3%
57. Is your religious background Protestant, Catholic, Jewish or something else? (IF SOMETHING ELSE OR UNCLEAR RESPONSE ASK: Is that a Christian religion or not?) ALL PROTESTANT .......................................................................36% CATHOLIC ............................................................................25% OTHER CHRISTIAN .............................................................17% JEWISH ...................................................................................3% OTHER NON-CHRISTIAN ....................................................8% AGNOSTIC/ATHEIST............................................................2% NONE ......................................................................................5% DON'T KNOW (DNR) ............................................................1% REFUSED (DNR)....................................................................3%
REP 49% 21% 19% 2% 3% 0% 4% 0% 1%
IND 33% 26% 16% 4% 9% 3% 6% 1% 2%
DEM 29% 27% 16% 3% 12% 3% 6% 3% 3%
REP 47% 51% 2% 0%
IND 29% 68% 3% 0%
DEM 23% 73% 4% 0%
58. Would you call yourself an evangelical Christian or not? ALL YES .........................................................................................33% NO...........................................................................................64% DON'T KNOW (DNR) ............................................................3% REFUSED (DNR)....................................................................0% Note: Results based on 777 respondents.
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 295 respondents, MoE = ±5.71 percent. IND results are based on 330 respondents, MoE = ±5.39 percent. DEM results are based on 357 respondents, MoE = ±5.19 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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59. About how often do you attend church, a synagogue, or mosque: more than once a week, once a week, a few times a month, a few times a year, or almost never? ALL MORE THAN ONCE A WEEK.............................................13% ONCE A WEEK .....................................................................27% FEW TIMES A MONTH........................................................13% FEW TIMES A YEAR ...........................................................18% ALMOST NEVER..................................................................25% REFUSED (DNR)....................................................................4%
REP 19% 36% 11% 16% 17% 2%
IND 12% 22% 15% 21% 28% 3%
DEM 10% 26% 14% 19% 28% 5%
REP 6% 8% 10% 10% 12% 10% 10% 9% 7% 18% 0%
IND 11% 10% 8% 12% 11% 8% 9% 12% 9% 12% 0%
DEM 8% 9% 8% 7% 7% 8% 10% 9% 13% 21% 0%
60. Would you please stop me when I read the correct category for your age? ALL 18 TO 24 ..................................................................................8% 25 TO 29 ..................................................................................9% 30 TO 34 ..................................................................................8% 35 TO 39 .................................................................................10% 40 TO 44 .................................................................................10% 45 TO 49 ..................................................................................9% 50 TO 54 .................................................................................10% 55 TO 59 .................................................................................10% 60 TO 64 .................................................................................10% 65 OR OLDER........................................................................17% REFUSED (DO NOT READ) .................................................0%
61. Would you please stop me when I read the correct category for your total household income? ALL $30,000 OR LESS...................................................................15% $30,000 TO $50,000 ...............................................................17% $50,000 TO $75,000 ...............................................................16% $75,000 TO $100,000 .............................................................16% $100,000 TO $150,000 ...........................................................13% $150,000 TO $200,000 ............................................................6% $200,000 OR MORE ...............................................................6% REFUSED...............................................................................11%
REP 11% 13% 13% 17% 19% 8% 7% 12%
IND 16% 17% 19% 16% 13% 8% 6% 6%
DEM 19% 21% 15% 15% 10% 3% 5% 12%
62. Are you from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background? IF NO, ASK: What would you say is your main race: white, African American, Asian, or something else? ALL YES/HISPANIC .....................................................................10% NO/WHITE.............................................................................73% NO/BLACK/AFRICAN AMERICAN ...................................13% NO/ASIAN ..............................................................................1% NO/OTHER .............................................................................3% REFUSED................................................................................0%
REP 5% 91% 2% 0% 2% 0%
IND 10% 75% 10% 2% 4% 0%
DEM 15% 54% 25% 2% 3% 1%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 295 respondents, MoE = ±5.71 percent. IND results are based on 330 respondents, MoE = ±5.39 percent. DEM results are based on 357 respondents, MoE = ±5.19 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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63. Gender (from observation): ALL MALE .....................................................................................48% FEMALE.................................................................................52%
REP 47% 53%
IND 58% 42%
DEM 38% 62%
ASK IN CELL SAMPLE ONLY 64. Thinking about your telephone use, is there at least one telephone inside your home that is working and is not a cell phone? ALL YES .........................................................................................54% NO...........................................................................................42% DON'T KNOW/REFUSED .....................................................4%
REP 62% 35% 3%
IND 57% 41% 3%
DEM 45% 52% 3%
REP 90% 9% 2%
IND 91% 8% 1%
DEM 82% 16% 2%
Note: Results based on 310 respondents. ASK IN LANDLINE SAMPLE ONLY 65. Thinking about your telephone use, do you have a working cell phone? ALL YES .........................................................................................87% NO...........................................................................................11% DON'T KNOW/REFUSED .....................................................2% Note: Results based on 689 respondents. DO NOT ASK IF Q. 64 IS NO OR IF Q. 65 IS NO 66. Of all the personal telephone calls that you receive, do you get all of them on cell phones, almost all of them on cell phones, some on cell and some on your regular home phone, almost all on your regular home phone, or all on your regular home phone? ALL ALL ON CELL PHONE..........................................................9% ALMOST ALL ON CELL PHONES .....................................21% SOME ON CELL/SOME ON HOME PHONE......................36% ALMOST ALL ON HOME PHONE .....................................16% ALL ON HOME PHONE .......................................................13% DON'T KNOW/REFUSED .....................................................4%
REP 7% 20% 39% 17% 13% 5%
IND 13% 28% 31% 15% 10% 2%
DEM 7% 16% 39% 18% 16% 4%
REP 17% 17% 32% 14% 17% 4%
IND 25% 23% 25% 12% 13% 2%
DEM 18% 12% 30% 13% 24% 3%
Note: Results based on 788 respondents. PHONE USAGE/CALCULATED BASED ON Q.64-66 ALL ALL ON CELL PHONE.........................................................20% ALMOST ALL ON CELL PHONES .....................................17% SOME ON CELL/SOME ON HOME PHONE......................29% ALMOST ALL ON HOME PHONE .....................................13% ALL ON HOME PHONE .......................................................18% DON'T KNOW/REFUSED .....................................................3%
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 295 respondents, MoE = ±5.71 percent. IND results are based on 330 respondents, MoE = ±5.39 percent. DEM results are based on 357 respondents, MoE = ±5.19 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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67. Finally, in what state do you live? That's all the questions I have. Thank you very much for sharing your opinions with us.
ALL results are based on 1000 weighted cases, MoE = ±3.10 percent. REP results are based on 295 respondents, MoE = ±5.71 percent. IND results are based on 330 respondents, MoE = ±5.39 percent. DEM results are based on 357 respondents, MoE = ±5.19 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
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