Saudi Insurance Sector- Quarterly AWS

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Insurance Sector Report

November 2017

Sector report | KSA | Q3-2017

Please read Disclaimer on the back

Saudi Insurance Sector- Quarterly Q3-2017

November 2017

Insurance Sector Report

November 2017 Please read Disclaimer on the back

Sector report | KSA | Q3-2017

Company Name

Codes

The Company for Cooperative Insurance

Tawuniya

Salama Cooperative Insurance Co.

Salama

UCA Cooperative Assurance Co.

UCA

Al-Rajhi Company for Cooperative Insurance

Al Rajihi Takaful

Al Alamiya for Cooperative Insurance Co.

Al Alamiya

Allied Cooperative Insurance Group

ACIG

Bupa Arabia for Cooperative Insurance Co.

Bupa Arabia

Arabian Shield Cooperative Insurance Co.

Arabian Shield

Buruj Cooperative Insurance Co.

Buruj

Al Sagr Cooperative Insurance Co.

Sagr Insurance

Malath Cooperative Insurance Co.

Malath Insurance

Solidarity Saudi Takaful Co.

Solidarity

Trade Union Cooperative Insurance Co.

Trade Union

Sanad Cooperative Insurance Company

Sanad

Walaa Cooperative Insurance Co.

Walaa

Allianz Saudi Fransi Cooperative Insurance Co.

Allianz SF

Al-Ahlia Insurance Co.

Al Ahlia

The Mediterranean and Gulf Insurance and Reinsurance Co.

MEDGULF

Saudi Indian Company for Cooperative Insurance

Wafa Insurance

SABB Takaful Co.

SABB Takaful

Saudi Arabian Cooperative Insurance Company

SAICO

Gulf Union Cooperative Insurance Co.

Gulf Union

Saudi Re for Cooperative Reinsurance Co.

Saudi Re

Arabia Insurance Cooperative Company

AICC

ALAHLI TAKAFUL COMPANY

ATC

AXA Cooperative Insurance Co.

AXA-Cooperative

Weqaya Takaful insurance and reinsurance Company

Weqaya Takaful

CHUBB Arabia Cooperative Insurance Co.

Chubb Arabia

Gulf General Cooperative Insurance Co.

Gulf General

Wataniya Insurance Co.

Wataniya

Amana Cooperative Insurance Co.

Amana Insurance

Saudi Enaya Cooperative Insurance Co.

Enaya

Alinma Tokio Marine Co.

Alinma Tokio

MetLife AIG ANB Cooperative Insurance Co.

MetLife

Aljazira Takaful Taawuni Co.

Jazira Takaful

Insurance Sector Report

November 2017 Please read Disclaimer on the back

Sector report | KSA | Q3-2017 Gross Written Premium 30.2%

12000 10000

NWP (Net Written Premiums) in Q3-2017 stood at SAR 6.9bn, depicting a fall of 2.6%YoY.

8000

NPE (Net Premium Earned) in Q3-2017 at SAR 7.7bn showed a jump of 2.3%YoY.

4000

6000

20.4% 14.5%

26.7%

18.3% 19.3%

22.6% 22.7% 21.5%

12.2%

8.0%

GWP - LHS

NPE-Sector Wise

Q2 - 2017

Q1 - 2017

Q4 - 2016

Q3 - 2016

Q2 - 2016

Q3 - 2017

Q2 - 2017

Q1 - 2017

Q4 - 2016

Q3 - 2016

Q2 - 2016

Q1 - 2016

Q4 - 2015

Q3 - 2015

-2.4%

Q4 - 2016

Q1 - 2017

-4.4%

2.3%

Q3 - 2017

2.2%

Q2 - 2017

6.8%

Q3 - 2016

19.9%

Q2 - 2016

Q1 - 2016

Q2 - 2015

Q4 - 2015

24.8% 27.2% 26.1% 23.8%

Q3 - 2015

25.1%

Q1 - 2015

Q4 - 2014

Q3 - 2014

Q1 - 2014

Q4 - 2013

Q3 - 2013

Q2 - 2013

16.9%

32.1%

20.9%

Q2 - 2014

17.8%

35.0% 30.0% 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% -5.0% -10.0%

% Growth (YoY) - RHS

-6.0% -8.0%

Arabian Shield

-2.1%

AICC

Trade Union

Malath

0.6%

Bupa Arabia

-2.0%

0.8%

UCA

0.0%

-4.0%

Others

2.07%

MetLife AIG Alarabi

MEDGULF

2.66%

Tawuniya

Gulf General

Alinma Tokio M

Amana Insurance

UCA

ATC

Malath Insurance

Salama

Al Rajihi Takaful

Bupa Arabia

Enaya

Basis Points

1

3.7%

2.0%

AXA-Cooperative

20.4%

27.3%

6.0% 4.0%

17.2% 9.0%

Retention Ratio - RHS

Top 5 Gainers and Losers- GWP market Share Tawuniya

30.5%

Al Rajihi Takaful

6.2%

17.5%

24.4%

23.9%

NPE

Gross Written Premium- Market Share Bupa Arabia

13.4%

Q1 - 2013

Others

26.9%

Saudi Re

Others

Accident and Liability

8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 -

Q4 - 2012

Protection and Saving 60%

4.5%

Q2 - 2015

Q1 - 2015

Q4 - 2014

Q3 - 2014

Q2 - 2014

Q1 - 2014

Q4 - 2013

Q3 - 2013

Q2 - 2013

Q1 - 2013

0

Q4 - 2012

2,000

Q3 - 2012

34%

32.6%

Q1 - 2016

4,000

Q2 - 2012

Health

Motor

Top 5 and Bottom 5- Retention Ratio

Q4 - 2015

6,000

Al Rajihi Takaful

2% 2%

Energy

100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%

Q3 - 2015

8,000

90% 88% 86% 84% 82% 80% 78% 76% 74% 72% 70%

Net Premium Earned

Motor

55%

-2.1%

% Growth (YoY) - RHS

Premium Ceded - LHS

27%

-9.5%

10,000

Q3 - 2012

Retention Ratio: Industry retention ratio stood at 83% in Q3-2017, as compared to 85.8% in Q3-2016. Enaya has the highest retention ratio of 101% in Q3-2017 BUPA Arabia at 98.8% had the second highest retention ratio.

Property/ Fire

15.5%

32.0% 28.0% 24.0% -2.6% 0.74% 20.0% 16.0% 12.0% 8.0% 4.0% 0.0% -4.0% -8.0% -12.0%

12,000

Q2 - 2012

Gainer/Loser: Alrajhi Takaful improved its market share from 5.3% in Q3-2016 to 7.7% in Q32017 an improvement of 240bps , followed by Saudi Re which showed an improvement of 266bps. Tawuniya improved its market share from 15.1% in Q3-2017 to 17.2% in Q3-2017.

4% 4%

-2.2% 2.0%

Premium Ceded-Industry

BUPA with 30.5% market share in GWP was the biggest player.

Health

Q2 - 2015

Q1 - 2015

Q4 - 2014

Q3 - 2014

Q2 - 2014

Q1 - 2014

Q4 - 2013

Q3 - 2013

Q2 - 2013

Q1 - 2013

Q4 - 2012

Q3 - 2012

Q2 - 2012

0

Market Share

10%

16.7%

2000

Health Sector Accounted for 55% of the total GWP, followed by Motor which accounted for 27% of GWP

GWP-Sector WIse

11.9%

24.2% 24.6%

Q3 - 2017

GWP (Gross Written Premiums) in Q3-2017 stood at SAR 8.3bn depicting a jump of 0.7% YoY.

-0.9%

-0.6%

-0.5%

-5.7%

Source: Argaam, SAMA

Insurance Sector Report

November 2017 Please read Disclaimer on the back

Sector report | KSA | Q3-2017 Gross Claims Paid 6,000

24% 22%

Claims Market Share-sector wise Others

Q2 - 2017

Q1 - 2017

Q4 - 2016

Q3 - 2016

Q2 - 2016

Q1 - 2016

Q4 - 2015

Q3 - 2015

Q2 - 2015

Q1 - 2015

Q4 - 2014

Q3 - 2014

Q2 - 2014

Q1 - 2014

Q1 - 2013

Q4 - 2012

40% 30%

19%

17%

7%

-2%

3.4%

0.2%

20% 10% 0%

Q3 - 2017

-10%

Q2 - 2017

Q1 - 2017

Q4 - 2016

Q3 - 2016

Q2 - 2016

Q1 - 2016

Q4 - 2015

-13.2%

Q3 - 2015

Q4 - 2014

Q3 - 2014

Q2 - 2014

Q1 - 2014

Q4 - 2013

Q3 - 2013

Q2 - 2013

Q1 - 2013

Q4 - 2012

Q3 - 2012

Q2 - 2012

-20%

Q3 - 2017

Jazira Takaful

SABB Takaful

Amana Insurance

ATC

Al Alamiya

Al Ahlia

Solidarity

Sagr Insurance

Alinma Tokio M

Enaya

Chubb Arabia

Gulf General

AICC

Gulf Union

Saudi Re

MetLife AIG Alarabi

Buruj

ACIG

UCA

Arabian Shield

Wataniya

Wafa Insurance

Amana Insurance

ATC

Jazira Takaful

Q3 - 2017

Walaa Insurance

Buruj

Al Alamiya

Salama

Arabian Shield

Bupa Arabia

Chubb Arabia

Sagr Insurance

Al Rajihi Takaful

MEDGULF

Tawuniya

Al Ahlia

Trade Union

Malath Insurance

AICC

SAICO

Enaya

AXA

Allianz SF

Gulf General

SABB Takaful

ACIG

Saudi Re

Gulf Union

Wataniya

Wafa Insurance

MetLife AIG Alarabi

Jazira Takaful

ATC

SABB Takaful

zira Takaful

UCA

BB Takaful

Amana Insurance

Solidarity

Al Alamiya a Insurance

Chubb Arabia

Gulf General

Buruj ubb Arabia

Wataniya

Gulf Union ulf General

AICC

Enaya

Sagr Insurance

gr Insurance

Walaa

Arabian Shield

bian Shield

Alinma Tokio M

a Tokio M

a Insurance

SAICO

Saudi Re

Al Ahlia

Trade Union

ACIG

Salama

Allianz SF

Wafa Insurance

fa Insurance

Tawuniya

Bupa Arabia

AXA ooperative

upa Arabia

jihi Takaful

Al Rajihi Takaful

20.0%

Alinma Tokio M

40.0%

UCA

60.0%

Q3 - 2016

Solidarity

180% 160% 140% 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0%

Q3 - 2017

80.0%

MetLife

21%

Combined Ratio Q3 - 2016

MEDGULF

Walaa Insurance

Others

SAICO

Engineering

Others

100.0%

AIG Alarabi

17%

23%

29%

Q3 - 2016

Salama

64%

Loss Ratio

th Insurance Malath Insurance

24%

1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0

Trade Union

Protection and Saving

AXA

-

Allianz SF

Al Rajihi Takaful

120.0%

0.0%

17%

1,000

Malath Insurance

10%

50%

40%

-7%

AXA

25%

38%

25%

Al Rajihi Takaful

Malath

29%

3,000

MEDGULF

3%

24%

24%

Bupa Arabia

MEDGULF

8%

Motor

32%

3%

4,000

32%

60%

Claims Paid-Company wise

Health

Tawuniya

25%

5,000

70%

% Growth (YoY) - RHS

Net Claims Paid - LHS

IN MN SAR

Bupa Arabia

66%

6,000

Tawuniya

2% 2%

-7%

Net Claims Paid 7,000

2,000

UCA had the highest combined ratio of 153%, whereas Amana insurance had the lowest combined ratio of 23.4%. Claims Market Share-Company wise

Q3 - 2012

-

35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 7% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10%

7% -3% -1%

Q2 - 2015

Aljazira Takaful had the lowest loss ratio of 10.3%.

9%

1,500

Q1 - 2015

Malath insurance had the highest loss ratio of 99.0% in Q3-2017,followed by MedGulf at 88.1% in Q3-2017.

13%

9%

3,000

Aljazira Takaful paid the lowest claims of SAR 2.02mn. Health sector accounted for the highest share in claims at 64% , followed by Motor sector at 32%.

24%

17%

% Growth (YoY) - RHS

28%

18%

Q2 - 2012

BUPA Arabia with 25.3% market share in GCP paid the highest claims of SAR 1.33bn, followed by Tawuniya at 24.9% market share in claims.

25%

27% 19%

4,500 9%

Gross Claims Paid - LHS

23%

24%

Q4 - 2013

Market Share

31%

25%

Q3 - 2013

NCP (Net Claim Paid) in Q3-2017 stood at SAR 5.7bn, depicting a rise of 3.4%YoY.

30%

Q3 - 2017

7,500

Q2 - 2013

GCP (Gross Claims Paid) in Q3-2017 stood at SAR 6.1bn depicting a jump of 7.0% YoY.

Source: Argaam, SAMA, AlJazira Capital

Insurance Sector Report

November 2017 Please read Disclaimer on the back

Sector report | KSA | Q3-2017 Net Income 1,100

432

803

620

319

197.9

664.1

Q3 - 2017

285

Q1 - 2017

Q4 - 2016

Q3 - 2016

Q2 - 2016

Q1 - 2016

Q4 - 2015

Q3 - 2015

Q2 - 2015

Q1 - 2015

Q4 - 2014

Q3 - 2014

Q2 - 2014

Q1 - 2014

Q4 - 2013

Q3 - 2013

Q2 - 2013

Q1 - 2013

Wafa Insurance

Wafa Insurance

Alinma Tokio M

Gulf General

Walaa

MetLife AIG Alarabi

Alinma Tokio M

UCA

UCA Malath

Saudi Re

Enaya

SABB Takaful

Gulf Union Al Ahlia

AICC

ACIG

Gulf General

Al Alamiya

Chubb Arabia

Sagr Insurance

Wataniya

AXA

Allianz SF

Malath Insurance

SAICO

Amana Insurance

Trade Union

Solidarity

Arabian Shield

Salama

Buruj

Walaa Insurance

Al Rajihi Takaful

Tawuniya

Enaya

SABB Takaful

Al Ahlia

Gulf Union

AICC

ACIG

Gulf General

Jazira Takaful

Allianz SF

Sagr Insurance

Trade Union Al Ahlia

Al Alamiya

SAICO

Solidarity

Salama

Buruj

Arabian Shield

MEDGULF

Tawuniya

Alinma Tokio M

50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0

Wafa Insurance

Sagr Insurance

Gulf Union

Chubb Arabia

AICC

Arabian Shield

Enaya

ACIG

Salama

Wataniya

UCA

SAICO

Buruj

MetLife AIG

SABB Takaful

Amana

Jazira Takaful

Trade Union

AXA

MEDGULF

Saudi Re

Tawuniya

In Mn SAR

MEDGULF

Enaya

MetLife AIG

Alinma Tokio M

Malath Insurance Salama

Walaa Insurance

Solidarity

MEDGULF

MetLife AIG

Enaya

Walaa Insurance

Saudi Re

Al Rajihi Takaful

ATC

Bupa Arabia

Sagr Arabian Gulf Shield General

Bupa Arabia

-15.0%

Buruj

Salama

0.0%

-10.0%

122

Investment Income

5.0%

-5.0%

0

Al Rajihi Takaful

-80%

Chubb Arabia

10.0%

Arabian Shield

-60%

Walaa Insurance

-40%

Arabian Shield

-20%

Al Rajihi Takaful

Buruj

0%

Malath

20%

491

50 -50

ROA-Top 5/ Bottom 5 Alinma Tokio M

ROE-Top 5 /Bottom 5

Wataniya

5.0%

Chubb Arabia

0.5%

Jazira Takaful

10.0%

ATC

1.0%

ATC

15.0%

ATC

1.5%

AXA Cooperative

100

20.0%

Al Alamiya

2.0%

Malath Insurance

150

25.0%

Amana Insurance

2.5%

Solidarity

200

30.0%

Allianz SF

3.0%

40%

Q4 - 2012

Q3 - 2012

250

35.0%

Jazira Solidarity Amana Buruj Takaful

240

Surplus From Insurance Operations

In Mn SAR

Net Margins-Highest 10 40.0%

MEDGULF

0

-100

0.0%

(31)

50

Operating Margins-Highest 10

Wataniya Sagr

233

100

4.0%

ATC

405

150

-50

Buruj also posted the highest ROA of 11.0%.

Chubb Arabian Arabia Shield

199

200

Bupa Arabia

Buruj posted the highest ROE of 35.8%

Walaa

(1,159) (41)

3

Net Income-Company wise

In Mn SAR

Solidarity showed the highest Operating margins at 3.8%, whereas Jazira takaful showed the highest net margin at 35.7%, respectively.

Buruj

(117)

(900) (1,300)

AlRajhi takaful showed the highest investment income of SAR 47.8mn in the sector, registering growth of 62.7%YoY and 9.9%QoQ.

Solidarity Jazira Amana Takaful

(49)

179

(500)

BUPA showed the highest surplus, from its insurance operations , at SAR 229.4mn, depicting a fall of 21.0%YoY and a QoQ jump of 57.8%.

0.0%

340

Q2 - 2017

300 (100)

BUPA with net income of SAR 198.2mn, showed a fall of 18.3%YoY.

3.5%

17.3% YoY235.5% QoQ

700 In MN SAR

Net income for the sector stood at SAR 664.1mn in Q3-2017, as compared to SAR 802.1mn in Q3-2016, depicting a fall of 17.2%. On a QoQ basis net income showed a 235.5% increase. Net income before Zakat stood at SAR 756.7mn, depicting a fall of 15.4%, whereas a 144.2% jump on QoQ basis

Source: Argaam

Insurance Sector Report

November 2017 Please read Disclaimer on the back

Sector report | KSA | Q3-2017

United Cooperative Assurance had the lowest PE of 8.3x, followed by Buruj with a PE of 8.5x. Saudi Re for Cooperative Reinsurance Co has the lowest PB of 0.8x, followed by Sagr insurance with a PB of 1.4x Only 5 companies gave out dividends, SAGR insurance had the highest dividend yield of 9.1% followed by Arabian Sheild with a dividend yield of 4.8%

Lowest PE 12.0 10.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0

Tawuniya-1 Yr Performance 5,500.00

7,700.00

105

7,500.00

5,300.00

7,500.00

100

7,300.00

5,100.00

7,300.00

7,100.00

4,900.00

7,100.00

6,900.00

4,700.00

6,900.00

6,700.00

4,500.00

6,700.00

4,300.00

6,500.00 Dec 2016

6,500.00 Dec 2016

Mar 2017

Jun 2017

Sep 2017

95 90 85 Mar 2017

Insurance Sector (RHS)

TASI (LHS)

Jun 2017

Insurance Sector (LHS)

BUPA-1 Yr Performance

Sep 2017

80

140

7,700.00

65

7,500.00

130

7,500.00

60

7,100.00 110

6,900.00

6,700.00

90

6,500.00 Dec 2016

Insurance Sector (LHS)

Sep 2017

80

7,700.00

7,500.00

70

7,500.00

60

7,300.00

50

7,100.00 6,900.00 6,700.00 Jun 2017

Insurance Sector (LHS)

35 Mar 2017

Jun 2017

Sep 2017

30

Alrajhi takaful (RHS)

Walaa-1 Yr Performance

7,700.00

Mar 2017

40

Insurance Sector (LHS)

Bupa (RHS)

Medgulf-1 Yr Performance

6,500.00 Dec 2016

45

6,900.00

6,500.00 Dec 2016

Jun 2017

50

7,100.00

6,700.00 Mar 2017

55

7,300.00

100

Sep 2017

Medgulf (RHS)

7,100.00

30

6,900.00

20

6,700.00

10

30 25 20

6,500.00 Dec 2016

Mar 2017

Solidarity

Sagr Insurance

SAICO

UCA

SAICO

Trade Union

UCA

WALAA

Salama

Saudi Re

Saudi Re

Trade Union Gulf General

Gulf Union

Al-Ahlia

AXA Cooperative

Solidarity

10.0% 9.0% 8.0% 7.0% 6.0% 5.0% 4.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0%

9.1%

4.8%

Sagr Insurance

Arabian Shield

4.3%

Tawuniya

2.0%

1.7%

Jazira Takaful

Buruj

Top 5 Companies-Market Cap 35

7,300.00

40

Gulf Union

Highest Dividend Yield

7,700.00

120

2.0 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0

Tawuniya (RHS)

Alrajhi Takaful-1 Yr Performance

7,300.00

Arabian Shield

Lowest PB

7,700.00

Jun 2017

Insurance Sector (LHS)

Sep 2017

WALAA (RHS)

15

12,000 10,000 In Mn SAR

Tadawul Insurance Index- 1 Yr Performance

Buruj

8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 -

Tawuniya

Bupa Arabia

AlRajhi Takaful

MEDGULF

WALAA

Source: Tadawul, Bloomberg, prices as of 13 of June 2017

Insurance Sector Report

November 2017 Please read Disclaimer on the back

Sector report | KSA | Q3-2017

APPENDIX 1 GWP

YoY %Increase

QoQ %Increase

NWP

YoY %Increase

QoQ %Increase

NPE

YoY %Increase

QoQ %Increase

Q3-2016

Q2-2017

Q3-2017

Q3-2016

Q2-2017

Q3-2017

Q3-2016

Q2-2017

Q3-2017

MetLife AIG Alarabi

36

88

103

185.4%

17.1%

26

63

89

241.7%

41.2%

42

55

69

66.1%

25.5%

Jazira Takaful

29

32

28

-5.9%

-13.2%

15

13

13

-10.2%

1.0%

7

9

7

-2.9%

-18.9%

Tawuniya

1,241

2,104

1,421

14.5%

-32.5%

1,077

1,764

1,161

7.7%

-34.2%

1,759

1,832

1,883

7.0%

2.8%

Malath Insurance

531

144

62

-88.3%

-56.8%

466

127

55

-88.2%

-56.6%

351

227

220

-37.3%

-3.2%

MEDGULF

511

869

513

0.4%

-40.9%

420

702

426

1.3%

-39.4%

714

586

565

-20.9%

-3.7%

Allianz SF

180

227

147

-18.0%

-35.2%

115

134

102

-11.0%

NM*

130

166

160

23.3%

NM*

Salama

132

202

159

20.4%

-21.3%

125

194

148

18.9%

-23.7%

113

168

181

60.3%

7.9%

Walaa Insurance

268

218

284

5.9%

30.7%

193

173

174

-9.6%

0.7%

161

200

196

21.7%

-2.2%

Arabian Shield

153

165

115

-24.5%

-30.2%

101

114

79

-22.0%

-30.6%

102

122

106

3.3%

-13.5%

SABB Takaful

49

45

51

2.8%

11.6%

36

34

39

6.9%

14.3%

32

34

33

3.0%

-4.3%

SAICO

160

149

157

-2.1%

5.5%

108

105

142

31.6%

36.0%

124

130

142

14.6%

9.1%

Wafa Insurance

93

119

100

7.1%

-16.1%

78

73

62

-20.8%

-15.5%

126

101

98

-22.4%

-3.3%

Gulf Union

46

79

32

-29.4%

-58.9%

26

52

17

-35.2%

-67.2%

23

56

54

130.2%

-4.1%

ATC

115

58

120

4.1%

106.1%

29

10

24

-17.8%

132.3%

21

21

16

-24.3%

-24.3%

Al Ahlia

43

46

53

23.0%

14.7%

38

43

48

25.0%

12.1%

43

37

37

-15.5%

-1.4%

ACIG

136

102

113

-17.4%

10.3%

115

88

98

-14.2%

12.0%

110

87

82

-24.9%

-5.6%

AICC

110

69

59

-46.5%

-14.5%

96

46

38

-60.8%

-19.0%

70

73

54

-23.8%

-26.4%

Trade Union

274

289

103

-62.5%

-64.4%

231

245

77

-66.8%

-68.7%

193

189

176

-9.0%

-6.9%

Solidarity

55

21

37

-33.3%

79.5%

48

18

30

-37.9%

70.7%

52

43

40

-23.7%

-8.0%

Wataniya

148

83

152

2.4%

83.6%

89

42

88

-1.5%

106.5%

65

74

73

11.9%

-1.7%

Amana Insurance

11

16

9

-18.4%

-44.6%

4

6

7

72.0%

16.0%

58

14

11

-81.6%

-24.1%

AXA-Cooperative

387

220

369

-4.6%

67.9%

346

195

334

-3.5%

71.4%

265

323

300

13.5%

-6.9%

Gulf General

37

46

26

-29.9%

-44.5%

17

23

11

-35.5%

-54.1%

34

29

23

-31.8%

-19.5%

Buruj

109

144

95

-12.8%

-34.4%

92

133

81

-12.3%

-39.3%

100

117

131

30.7%

11.6%

Al Alamiya

64

48

57

-11.0%

18.8%

27

26

21

-20.8%

-16.1%

50

46

39

-22.5%

-14.4%

Saudi Re

82

121

303

267.0%

150.2%

75

89

89

18.9%

0.9%

119

143

150

26.0%

5.0%

UCA

64

251

116

82.5%

-53.7%

25

61

39

51.3%

-36.7%

146

52

37

-75.0%

-30.0%

Bupa Arabia

2,579

1,848

2,523

-2.2%

36.5%

2,567

1,832

2,497

-2.7%

36.3%

1,939

1,909

1,937

-0.1%

1.4%

Sagr Insurance

13

93

61

380.0%

-34.6%

(9)

68

56

-744.3%

-18.0%

95

42

58

-39.1%

36.6%

Chubb Arabia

42

48

42

0.6%

-13.4%

17

28

14

-16.8%

-49.0%

29

27

26

-11.1%

-2.7%

Enaya

21

66

59

178.0%

-10.3%

13

65

60

365.4%

-8.6%

14

34

52

270.2%

55.5%

Al Rajhi Takaful

434

680

742

71.2%

9.2%

410

649

711

73.2%

9.6%

407

686

719

76.5%

4.8%

Alinma Tokio M

47

103

51

7.8%

-50.9%

17

25

27

58.8%

8.7%

33

32

35

4.0%

9.1%

8,201

8,794

8,261

0.7%

-6.1%

7,035

7,240

6,856

-2.5%

-5.3%

7,529

7,665

7,706

2.4%

0.5%

Total

Source: Argaam, *NM: Not meaningfull

Insurance Sector Report

November 2017 Please read Disclaimer on the back

Sector report | KSA | Q3-2017

APPENDIX 2 Gross Claims Paid Tawuniya Salama

YoY %Increase

Q3-2016

Q2-2017

Q3-2017

1,237

1,519

1,512

22.2%

62

112

113

81.6%

QoQ %Increase

Net Claims Paid

YoY %Increase

QoQ %Increase

Q3-2016

Q2-2017

Q3-2017

-0.5%

1,306

1,230

1,484

13.6%

20.6%

1.0%

80

83

128

60.0%

54.1% -84.6%

UCA

187

64

60

-67.9%

-5.6%

124

98

15

-87.8%

Al Rajhi Takaful

287

559

462

60.8%

-17.4%

303

329

592

95.1%

79.9%

Al Alamiya

28

23

18

-34.6%

-21.6%

25

25

12

-51.9%

-52.2% -28.0%

ACIG Bupa Arabia Arabian Shield

75

73

60

-19.6%

-17.6%

81

79

57

-29.7%

1,333

1,647

1,536

15.2%

-6.8%

1,511

1,399

1,475

-2.4%

5.5%

43

90

69

58.8%

-23.3%

66

66

61

-6.8%

-7.1%

Buruj

42

61

59

42.1%

-3.8%

56

65

78

39.1%

20.6%

Sagr Insurance

59

42

26

-56.2%

-39.0%

69

41

35

-48.8%

-14.6%

Malath Insurance

436

264

198

-54.6%

-25.0%

400

472

168

-58.1%

-64.5%

Solidarity

36

26

24

-33.6%

-7.2%

25

18

6

-77.3%

-69.0% -24.1%

Trade Union

142

143

141

-0.8%

-1.3%

176

153

116

-34.0%

Walaa Insurance

67

125

101

49.2%

-19.5%

79

83

100

25.9%

20.0%

Allianz SF

89

147

160

79.7%

8.9%

100

102

124

23.8%

22.1%

Al Ahlia

31

24

23

-27.3%

-5.5%

36

27

22

-38.9%

-18.9%

MEDGULF

666

633

632

-5.1%

-0.0%

657

539

459

-30.2%

-14.9%

Wafa Insurance

104

149

96

-7.8%

-35.4%

102

94

74

-27.6%

-21.5%

5

15

8

57.3%

-45.9%

4

5

3

-18.6%

-41.1%

SAICO

93

135

110

18.6%

-19.0%

80

76

95

19.3%

26.1%

Gulf Union

20

47

50

157.5%

7.9%

11

12

31

170.0%

154.0%

SABB Takaful

Saudi Re

48

82

57

19.8%

-30.3%

569

77

114

-79.9%

48.7%

AICC

73

63

47

-35.4%

-25.5%

56

37

27

-52.6%

-28.2% -107.1%

ATC

11

35

18

65.2%

-48.7%

4

5

(0)

-108.3%

AXA-Cooperative

206

211

203

-1.5%

-4.1%

219

217

238

8.4%

9.7%

Chubb Arabia

28

29

31

11.3%

7.3%

10

14

10

8.3%

-27.8% -38.0%

Gulf General

39

35

39

-1.6%

9.1%

20

16

10

-48.3%

Wataniya

75

57

80

6.7%

39.8%

46

42

49

7.1%

15.8%

Amana Insurance

48

22

12

-76.0%

-47.6%

63

33

(8)

-112.4%

-123.5%

Enaya

13

23

31

128.7%

31.9%

8

6

31

286.5%

387.9%

Alinma Tokio M

45

30

30

-34.2%

-1.3%

23

23

18

-23.1%

-23.7%

MetLife AIG Alarabi

37

46

59

59.1%

27.3%

33

36

66

97.3%

85.3%

Jazira Takaful

1

2

2

128.1%

26.9%

1

2

2

157.4%

16.8%

5,667

6,533

6,064

7.0%

-7.2%

6,344

5,505

5,692

-10.3%

3.4%

Total

Source: Argaam, *NM: Not meaningfull

Insurance Sector Report

November 2017 Please read Disclaimer on the back

Sector report | KSA | Q3-2017

APPENDIX 3 Net income Before Zakat

YoY %Increase

Q3-2016

Q2-2017

Q3-2017

MetLife AIG Alarabi

(4.2)

(3.2)

(10.4)

146.0%

Jazira Takaful

6.4

8.9

6.8

6.9%

Tawuniya

QoQ %Increase

Net Income

YoY %Increase

QoQ %Increase

Q3-2016

Q2-2017

Q3-2017

219.7%

(4.2)

(3.8)

(10.9)

158.9%

188.4%

-23.0%

6.0

8.1

6.5

9.2%

-19.8% -38.7%

283.2

248.8

159.7

-43.6%

-35.8%

259.6

231.0

141.5

-45.5%

Malath Insurance

1.3

5.0

11.1

730.9%

120.4%

0.0

3.5

9.6

NM*

171.5%

MEDGULF

60.0

(417.3)

60.1

0.1%

-114.4%

51.8

(440.0)

56.6

9.2%

-112.9%

Allianz SF

6.3

7.8

8.0

26.4%

2.3%

4.9

6.0

6.4

30.2%

6.0%

Salama

8.7

16.2

22.0

152.1%

36.3%

7.5

14.9

20.8

177.5%

39.4% 27.2%

Walaa Insurance

40.0

35.6

44.4

11.0%

24.7%

38.0

32.3

41.1

8.3%

Arabian Shield

18.7

22.3

23.1

23.6%

3.5%

16.1

19.2

20.0

24.7%

4.4%

SABB Takaful

2.7

1.8

2.1

-24.8%

15.5%

1.3

0.6

0.7

-47.0%

19.6%

SAICO

17.4

11.5

16.4

-5.6%

42.4%

15.5

9.8

14.4

-6.9%

46.6%

Wafa Insurance

8.7

2.9

(3.6)

-141.3%

-222.5%

8.4

1.1

(5.2)

-162.3%

-590.6% -76.7%

Gulf Union

(0.2)

5.8

2.0

-954.9%

-65.3%

(0.9)

4.0

0.9

-207.5%

ATC

7.1

11.1

8.7

22.5%

-21.5%

5.8

9.4

8.7

49.9%

-7.8%

Al Ahlia

(8.6)

4.1

3.2

-136.6%

-22.6%

(9.3)

3.4

2.0

-121.6%

-41.6% -51.6%

ACIG

4.7

6.6

3.9

-16.4%

-40.5%

3.8

6.1

3.0

-22.5%

AICC

(1.7)

3.6

3.9

-328.4%

6.0%

(1.7)

1.6

2.5

-248.2%

60.5%

Trade Union

27.2

25.1

16.7

-38.6%

-33.6%

25.7

22.6

16.7

-35.0%

-26.2%

Solidarity

14.1

12.9

19.6

39.1%

51.7%

13.4

13.1

17.8

33.1%

36.0%

Wataniya

8.0

7.7

8.2

1.9%

6.7%

7.4

6.9

5.8

-21.6%

-15.2% -757.6%

Amana Insurance

7.9

(1.8)

14.6

85.3%

-916.1%

7.6

(2.3)

15.1

98.2%

AXA-Cooperative

11.2

14.8

12.6

12.5%

-15.1%

7.5

10.8

8.8

16.8%

-18.4%

Gulf General

7.0

11.3

4.6

-33.4%

-59.0%

6.7

9.8

3.4

-48.8%

-65.1%

Buruj

8.6

27.8

24.0

180.5%

-13.7%

7.0

25.1

21.4

203.6%

-15.0%

Al Alamiya

12.2

7.1

8.8

-27.8%

23.9%

10.0

6.4

4.8

-51.6%

-24.3%

Saudi Re

2.7

13.4

(0.3)

-110.0%

-102.0%

(0.7)

9.4

(3.6)

436.8%

-138.6%

UCA

26.1

27.4

(2.2)

-108.3%

-107.9%

23.1

25.9

(3.7)

-115.9%

-114.1%

Bupa Arabia

260.4

145.8

217.0

-16.7%

48.8%

244.5

127.0

198.2

-18.9%

56.1%

Sagr Insurance

26.7

6.9

7.5

-71.7%

8.8%

21.8

2.3

5.1

-76.5%

123.5%

Chubb Arabia

9.5

9.8

7.8

-17.6%

-20.3%

7.6

8.1

5.8

-23.9%

-28.7%

Enaya

(6.3)

(3.5)

0.7

-111.6%

-120.9%

(6.5)

(4.1)

0.1

-102.0%

-103.1%

Al Rajihi Takaful

29.6

41.1

58.7

98.5%

42.9%

26.5

38.1

54.0

103.8%

41.6%

Alinma Tokio M

(1.1)

(7.5)

(3.2)

193.4%

-56.7%

(2.2)

(8.5)

(4.3)

94.6%

-49.7%

894.2

309.8

756.7

-15.4%

144.2%

802.1

197.9

664.1

-17.2%

Total

235.5%

Source: Argaam, *NM: Not meaningfull

Insurance Sector Report

November 2017 Please read Disclaimer on the back

Sector report | KSA | Q3-2017

APPENDIX 4 Market Cap

PE

PB

Dividend Yield

11,920.00

15.3

4.0

4.3%

METLIFE AIG ANB

525.35

NM*

2.4

Jazira Takaful

895.30

29.3

2.3

Tawuniya

MALATH INSURANCE

-2.03%

651.00

NM*

5.9

--

MEDGULF

1,175.60

NM*

2.5

--

Allianz SF

670.80

22.6

2.8

--

Salama

604.25

9.6

2.5

--

WALAA

1,290.80

9.3

2.4

--

Arabian Shield

830.60

7.5

2.3

4.8%

SABB Takaful

765.34

90.3

2.1

--

SAICO

437.50

8.3

1.3

--

WAFA Insurance

231.56

17.8

1.9

--

Gulf Union

238.35

7.5

1.5

ATC

518.65

13.5

2.2

Al-Ahlia

169.60

19.4

1.5

--

ACIG

319.40

29.3

2.3

--

AICC

483.10

27.6

1.9

--

Trade Union

503.25

8.4

1.4

Sagr Insurance

563.50

22.0

1.2

UCA

602.70

8.5

1.4

Saudi Re

640.00

10.2

0.8

Bupa Arabia

7,808.00

13.2

3.5

AlRajhi Takaful

-1.63%

-9.09% --1.50%

2,440.00

14.7

4.4

--

CHUBB

455.80

11.2

1.8

--

AXA Cooperative

869.40

16.6

1.6

--

Gulf General

311.60

12.2

1.5

Buruj

795.75

6.4

2.1

Al Alamiya

923.20

24.7

2.6

--

Solidarity

490.25

8.2

1.7

--

Wataniya

537.80

10.4

2.5

--

Amana Insurance

335.72

14.0

2.6

--

Enaya

436.80

NM*

2.7

--

Alinma Tokio M

548.10

NM*

2.0

--

39,989.07

13.4

2.7

--

Sector

-1.70%

Source: Argaam, *NM: Not meaningfull, prices as of 27th Nov 2017

RESEARCH DIVISION

Head of Research

Talha Nazar

BROKERAGE AND INVESTMENT CENTERS DIVISION

+966 11 2256115 [email protected]

Analyst

Sultan Al Kadi +966 11 2256374 [email protected]

Analyst

Analyst

Analyst

Jassim Al-Jubran

Waleed Al-Jubayr

Muhanad Al-Odan

+966 11 2256248 [email protected]

+966 11 2256146 [email protected]

+966 11 2256115 [email protected]

General Manager – Brokerage Services

AGM-Head of international and institutional

AGM- Head of Western and Southern Region

AGM-Head of Sales And Investment Centers

AGM-Head of Qassim & Eastern Province

& sales

brokerage

Investment Centers

Central Region

Abdullah Al-Rahit

Alaa Al-Yousef

Luay Jawad Al-Motawa

Mansour Hamad Al-Shuaibi

Sultan Ibrahim AL-Mutawa

+966 11 2256060 [email protected]

+966 11 2256277 [email protected]

+966 16 3617547 [email protected]

+966 12 6618443 [email protected]

+966 11 2256364 [email protected]

RESEARCH DIVISION

AlJazira Capital, the investment arm of Bank AlJazira, is a Shariaa Compliant Saudi Closed Joint Stock company and operating under the regulatory supervision of the Capital Market Authority. AlJazira Capital is licensed to conduct securities business in all securities business as authorized by CMA, including dealing, managing, arranging, advisory, and custody. AlJazira Capital is the continuation of a long success story in the Saudi Tadawul market, having occupied the market leadership position for several years. With an objective to maintain its market leadership position, AlJazira Capital is expanding its brokerage capabilities to offer further value-added services, brokerage across MENA and International markets, as well as offering a full suite of securities business.

RATING TERMINOLOGY

1. 2. 3. 4.

Overweight: This rating implies that the stock is currently trading at a discount to its 12 months price target. Stocks rated “Overweight” will typically provide an upside potential of over 10% from the current price levels over next twelve months. Underweight: This rating implies that the stock is currently trading at a premium to its 12 months price target. Stocks rated “Underweight” would typically decline by over 10% from the current price levels over next twelve months. Neutral: The rating implies that the stock is trading in the proximate range of its 12 months price target. Stocks rated “Neutral” is expected to stagnate within +/- 10% range from the current price levels over next twelve months. Suspension of rating or rating on hold (SR/RH): This basically implies suspension of a rating pending further analysis of a material change in the fundamentals of the company.

Disclaimer The purpose of producing this report is to present a general view on the company/economic sector/economic subject under research, and not to recommend a buy/sell/hold for any security or any other assets. Based on that, this report does not take into consideration the specific financial position of every investor and/or his/her risk appetite in relation to investing in the security or any other assets, and hence, may not be suitable for all clients depending on their financial position and their ability and willingness to undertake risks. It is advised that every potential investor seek professional advice from several sources concerning investment decision and should study the impact of such decisions on his/her financial/legal/tax position and other concerns before getting into such investments or liquidate them partially or fully. The market of stocks, bonds, macroeconomic or microeconomic variables are of a volatile nature and could witness sudden changes without any prior warning, therefore, the investor in securities or other assets might face some unexpected risks and fluctuations. All the information, views and expectations and fair values or target prices contained in this report have been compiled or arrived at by Aljazira Capital from sources believed to be reliable, but Aljazira Capital has not independently verified the contents obtained from these sources and such information may be condensed or incomplete. Accordingly, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information and opinions contained in this report. Aljazira Capital shall not be liable for any loss as that may arise from the use of this report or its contents or otherwise arising in connection therewith. The past performance of any investment is not an indicator of future performance. Any financial projections, fair value estimates or price targets and statements regarding future prospects contained in this document may not be realized. The value of the security or any other assets or the return from them might increase or decrease. Any change in currency rates may have a positive or negative impact on the value/return on the stock or securities mentioned in the report. The investor might get an amount less than the amount invested in some cases. Some stocks or securities maybe, by nature, of low volume/trades or may become like that unexpectedly in special circumstances and this might increase the risk on the investor. Some fees might be levied on some investments in securities. This report has been written by professional employees in Aljazira Capital, and they undertake that neither them, nor their wives or children hold positions directly in any listed shares or securities contained in this report during the time of publication of this report, however, The authors and/or their wives/children of this document may own securities in funds open to the public that invest in the securities mentioned in this document as part of a diversified portfolio over which they have no discretion. This report has been produced independently and separately by the Research Division at Aljazira Capital and no party (in-house or outside) who might have interest whether direct or indirect have seen the contents of this report before its publishing, except for those whom corporate positions allow them to do so, and/or third-party persons/institutions who signed a non-disclosure agreement with Aljazira Capital. Funds managed by Aljazira Capital and its subsidiaries for third parties may own the securities that are the subject of this document. Aljazira Capital or its subsidiaries may own securities in one or more of the aforementioned companies, and/or indirectly through funds managed by third parties. The Investment Banking division of Aljazira Capital maybe in the process of soliciting or executing fee earning mandates for companies that is either the subject of this document or is mentioned in this document. One or more of Aljazira Capital board members or executive managers could be also a board member or member of the executive management at the company or companies mentioned in this report, or their associated companies. No part of this report may be reproduced whether inside or outside the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia without the written permission of Aljazira Capital. Persons who receive this report should make themselves aware, of and adhere to, any such restrictions. By accepting this report, the recipient agrees to be bound by the foregoing limitations.

Asset Management | Brokerage | Corporate Finance | Custody | Advisory Head Office: King Fahad Road, P.O. Box: 20438, Riyadh 11455, Saudi Arabia، Tel: 011 2256000 - Fax: 011 2256068

Aljazira Capital is a Saudi Investment Company licensed by the Capital Market Authority (CMA), license No. 07076-37