ia-03 ia-03 voter registration opportunities AWS

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IA-03

IA-03 VOTER REGISTRATION OPPORTUNITIES DEMOGRAPHIC ANALYSIS

Group

Total

Voting Age Pop % of Population Registered Voters % of Voters Unreg Citizens Projected Support

577,171 100% 514,760 100% 62,411 46.9%

African Hispanic / American Latino 17,541 14,920 3% 2.6% 9,547 9,705 1.9% 1.9% 7,994 5,215 89.4% 72.7%

REGISTRATION OPPORTUNITY DENSITY Asian Millennial American 11,995 183,303 2.1% 31.8% 5,650 154,944 1.1% 30.1% 6,345 28,359 60.9% 50.8%

VOTER REGISTRATION TRENDS Group

Total Reg #

OVERALL Current 514,760 2014 521,852 2012 525,513 MILLENNIAL (18-35) Current 154,944 2014 148,611 2012 157,655 AFRICAN AMERICAN Current 9,547 2014 12,764 2012 13,468 HISPANIC / LATINO Current 9,705 2014 12,712 2012 12,471

% Dem

% Rep

% Ind

Reg Advantage

New Reg Turnout

32.4% 31.7% 33.0%

34.4% 33.6% 33.9%

33.2% 34.8% 33.1%

R+2.0% R+1.9% R+0.9%

67.4% 44.7% 74.9%

28.6% 26.7% 28.4%

26.4% 25.4% 26.2%

44.9% 47.9% 45.4%

D+2.2% D+1.3% D+2.1%

62.2% 30.6% 25.0%

73.2% 71.2% 73.1%

4.5% 5.8% 5.5%

22.2% 22.9% 21.5%

D+68.7% D+65.4% D+67.6%

59.8% 27.1% 64.2%

52.7% 46.1% 46.0%

10.5% 15.7% 16.4%

36.7% 38.2% 37.6%

D+42.2% D+30.4% D+29.6%

70.2% 30.2% 63.5%

CHANGES IN PARTISANSHIP 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000

Dem %

2012

Rep %

2014

Ind %

Current