mn-03 mn-03 voter registration opportunities AWS

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MN-03

MN-03 VOTER REGISTRATION OPPORTUNITIES DEMOGRAPHIC ANALYSIS

Group

Total

Voting Age Pop % of Population Registered Voters % of Voters Unreg Citizens Projected Support

477,413 100% 444,025 100% 33,388 44.4%

African Hispanic / American Latino 21,478 8,452 4.5% 1.8% 12,140 4,684 2.7% 1.1% 9,338 3,768 83.2% 64.1%

REGISTRATION OPPORTUNITY DENSITY Asian Millennial American 22,975 138,644 4.8% 29% 14,256 114,703 3.2% 25.8% 8,719 23,941 61% 47.8%

VOTER REGISTRATION TRENDS Group

Total Reg #

OVERALL Current 444,025 2014 426,347 2012 423,872 MILLENNIAL (18-35) Current 114,703 2014 96,996 2012 98,345 AFRICAN AMERICAN Current 12,140 2014 10,927 2012 10,392 HISPANIC / LATINO Current 4,684 2014 6,196 2012 6,499

% Dem

% Rep

% Ind

Reg Advantage

New Reg Turnout

34.6% 36.3% 34.4%

36.9% 39.8% 37.4%

28.6% 23.9% 28.3%

R+2.3% R+3.4% R+3.0%

82.3% 46.3% 86.5%

26.8% 32.7% 32.3%

21.2% 28.7% 25.8%

52.0% 38.6% 41.9%

D+5.6% D+4.0% D+6.4%

78.9% 27.9% 17.5%

73.3% 87.4% 74.0%

0.9% 1.6% 1.6%

25.9% 10.9% 24.4%

D+72.4% D+85.8% D+72.3%

77.1% 30.5% 82.3%

56.5% 64.7% 54.5%

6.4% 12.3% 11.5%

37.1% 23.0% 34.0%

D+50.1% D+52.3% D+43.0%

82.7% 35.8% 84.1%

CHANGES IN PARTISANSHIP 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000

Dem %

2012

Rep %

2014

Ind %

Current