pa-07 pa-07 voter registration opportunities AWS

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PA-07

PA-07 VOTER REGISTRATION OPPORTUNITIES DEMOGRAPHIC ANALYSIS

Group

Total

Voting Age Pop % of Population Registered Voters % of Voters Unreg Citizens Projected Support

534,016 100% 467,661 100% 66,355 42.2%

African Hispanic / American Latino 23,646 9,516 4.4% 1.8% 10,303 5,372 2.2% 1.1% 13,343 4,144 88.2% 61%

REGISTRATION OPPORTUNITY DENSITY Asian Millennial American 17,510 135,018 3.3% 25.3% 12,011 118,598 2.6% 25.4% 5,499 16,420 58.2% 48.9%

VOTER REGISTRATION TRENDS Group

Total Reg #

OVERALL Current 467,565 2014 478,419 2012 487,585 MILLENNIAL (18-35) Current 118,314 2014 107,213 2012 116,998 AFRICAN AMERICAN Current 10,271 2014 14,311 2012 12,811 HISPANIC / LATINO Current 5,362 2014 9,347 2012 9,665

% Dem

% Rep

% Ind

Reg Advantage

New Reg Turnout

36.3% 35.6% 35.5%

49.8% 50.0% 50.8%

13.9% 14.4% 13.8%

R+13.6% R+14.4% R+15.3%

72.4% 28.7% 71.9%

41.6% 40.2% 40.6%

38.3% 37.4% 37.8%

20.1% 22.4% 21.6%

D+3.3% D+2.7% D+2.9%

68.4% 23.8% 36.1%

81.3% 80.5% 80.7%

9.1% 10.1% 10.4%

9.6% 9.4% 8.9%

D+72.1% D+70.4% D+70.2%

66.2% 22.5% 76.2%

54.7% 46.8% 46.7%

23.9% 34.4% 34.9%

21.4% 18.8% 18.4%

D+30.8% D+12.4% D+11.8%

73.9% 20.4% 67.1%

CHANGES IN PARTISANSHIP 350,000 250,000 150,000 50,000

Dem %

2012

Rep %

2014

Ind %

Current