va-02 va-02 voter registration opportunities AWS

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VA-02

VA-02 VOTER REGISTRATION OPPORTUNITIES DEMOGRAPHIC ANALYSIS

Group

Total

Voting Age Pop % of Population Registered Voters % of Voters Unreg Citizens Projected Support

522,177 100% 439,558 100% 82,619 43.7%

African Hispanic / American Latino 102,181 25,015 19.6% 4.8% 72,050 17,021 16.4% 3.9% 30,131 7,994 80.2% 52.4%

REGISTRATION OPPORTUNITY DENSITY Asian Millennial American 28,496 203,982 5.5% 39.1% 9,232 127,645 2.1% 29% 19,264 76,337 48.8% 50%

VOTER REGISTRATION TRENDS Group

Total Reg #

OVERALL Current 439,558 2014 459,059 2012 484,614 MILLENNIAL (18-35) Current 127,645 2014 128,013 2012 145,730 AFRICAN AMERICAN Current 72,050 2014 98,561 2012 103,000 HISPANIC / LATINO Current 17,021 2014 21,476 2012 22,833

% Dem

% Rep

% Ind

Reg Advantage

New Reg Turnout

36.5% 41.1% 38.0%

37.1% 35.3% 32.3%

26.4% 23.6% 29.7%

R+0.6% D+5.9% D+5.6%

65.3% 24.3% 71.7%

34.1% 44.5% 41.6%

23.5% 26.0% 23.7%

42.4% 29.5% 34.7%

D+10.6% D+18.5% D+17.8%

59.6% 16.0% 30.5%

81.0% 86.1% 78.1%

3.6% 4.8% 4.6%

15.4% 9.0% 17.3%

D+77.4% D+81.3% D+73.5%

59.7% 17.5% 73.2%

52.1% 62.0% 55.7%

13.9% 15.8% 14.9%

34.0% 22.2% 29.4%

D+38.2% D+46.2% D+40.9%

63.9% 13.7% 64.8%

CHANGES IN PARTISANSHIP 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000

Dem %

2012

Rep %

2014

Ind %

Current