ny-21 ny-21 voter registration opportunities AWS

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NY-21

NY-21 VOTER REGISTRATION OPPORTUNITIES DEMOGRAPHIC ANALYSIS

Group

Total

Voting Age Pop % of Population Registered Voters % of Voters Unreg Citizens Projected Support

532,618 100% 405,670 100% 126,948 43.4%

African Hispanic / American Latino 10,144 9,955 1.9% 1.9% 1,377 2,048 0.3% 0.5% 8,767 7,907 77.2% 63.7%

REGISTRATION OPPORTUNITY DENSITY Asian Millennial American 8,402 159,778 1.6% 30% 1,038 94,731 0.3% 23.4% 7,364 65,047 56.8% 51%

VOTER REGISTRATION TRENDS Group

Total Reg #

OVERALL Current 393,713 2014 416,750 2012 443,607 MILLENNIAL (18-35) Current 87,445 2014 92,491 2012 103,701 AFRICAN AMERICAN Current 1,372 2014 3,361 2012 3,873 HISPANIC / LATINO Current 2,062 2014 5,417 2012 6,193

% Dem

% Rep

% Ind

Reg Advantage

New Reg Turnout

29.3% 29.0% 29.4%

41.7% 41.8% 42.5%

29.0% 29.2% 28.2%

R+12.3% R+12.8% R+13.1%

0.0% 26.8% 53.1%

30.1% 29.0% 30.2%

27.6% 27.2% 27.8%

42.2% 43.7% 41.9%

D+2.5% D+1.8% D+2.4%

0.0% 14.5% 15.4%

56.0% 59.7% 60.9%

13.1% 13.1% 13.0%

30.8% 27.1% 26.1%

D+42.9% D+46.6% D+48.0%

0.0% 15.9% 46.6%

38.7% 36.4% 36.0%

21.5% 28.7% 29.0%

39.8% 34.9% 35.0%

D+17.2% D+7.8% D+7.0%

0.0% 14.6% 47.3%

CHANGES IN PARTISANSHIP 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000

Dem %

2012

Rep %

2014

Ind %

Current