va-10 va-10 voter registration opportunities AWS

VA-10

VA-10 VOTER REGISTRATION OPPORTUNITIES DEMOGRAPHIC ANALYSIS

Group

Total

Voting Age Pop % of Population Registered Voters % of Voters Unreg Citizens Projected Support

548,926 100% 510,916 100% 38,010 44.9%

African Hispanic / American Latino 34,552 33,298 6.3% 6.1% 20,397 28,592 4% 5.6% 14,155 4,706 77% 60.3%

REGISTRATION OPPORTUNITY DENSITY Asian Millennial American 57,954 155,689 10.6% 28.4% 51,488 140,107 10.1% 27.4% 6,466 15,582 62.3% 48%

VOTER REGISTRATION TRENDS Group

Total Reg #

OVERALL Current 510,916 2014 504,324 2012 503,202 MILLENNIAL (18-35) Current 140,107 2014 128,493 2012 134,734 AFRICAN AMERICAN Current 20,397 2014 23,732 2012 23,863 HISPANIC / LATINO Current 28,593 2014 29,848 2012 29,180

% Dem

% Rep

% Ind

Reg Advantage

New Reg Turnout

38.8% 39.7% 37.3%

35.5% 38.2% 35.8%

25.7% 22.1% 26.8%

D+3.3% D+1.4% D+1.5%

70.3% 30.0% 75.6%

33.2% 38.2% 36.9%

25.7% 33.5% 30.8%

41.0% 28.3% 32.4%

D+7.5% D+4.7% D+6.1%

63.7% 20.1% 26.1%

78.7% 82.7% 76.6%

4.9% 7.3% 7.2%

16.4% 10.0% 16.3%

D+73.8% D+75.4% D+69.4%

71.9% 23.7% 76.7%

60.7% 65.8% 61.2%

9.7% 13.2% 13.4%

29.6% 21.0% 25.4%

D+51.0% D+52.6% D+47.8%

75.8% 21.7% 77.1%

CHANGES IN PARTISANSHIP 250,000 150,000 50,000

Dem %

2012

Rep %

2014

Ind %

Current