Planalytics FlashWeather 06082015
Precipitation vs Last Year
Temperature vs Last Year
Warmer
Wetter
Colder
Drier
North American Summary • Last year, the U.S. had its 3rd warmest start to June in over 50 years. Warmth was focused in the East with cooler temperatures in the West. Conditions trended drier than normal in most regions. Canada saw its warmest start to June since 2006, and its driest start since 2009. • Weekend Review: Above normal warmth continued in the Pacific Northwest and Northern Rockies. Temperatures were cooler than LY and normal for portions of the Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, and Southeast. Similarly in the West, conditions trended cooler than LY for southern California and Central Rockies. Thunderstorms and severe weather stretched from the Midwest into the Central Plains and Southwest. In Canada, eastern provinces saw cooler and wet conditions, with a warmer West and Prairies. • Coolest Start to June Since 2009. Cooler temperatures to LY covered most of the U.S. New England had its coolest start to June since 1984. The Mid-Atlantic and East South Central regions were also coolest since 2009, limiting seasonal demand. • Limited Warmth was Focused in the Northwest and Southeast. A few select markets were warmer than LY. San Francisco was warmest since 2010, New Orleans and Denver since 2012. • A Wet Start to June. Nationally, rainfall was above LY and normal. The Mountain region had it wettest start to June since 2009. Heavy rain early in the week impacted major markets in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast regions. Above normal rain brought localized flooding to parts of the Desert Southwest. Phoenix had its wettest start to June in over 55 years. The increased precipitation drove demand for rainwear, wiper blades, and sump pumps. • Relief in Texas and the Plains With Limited Severe Weather. There was some relief in Texas and the Plains as rainfall was limited and flooding began to subside. There were over 550 confirmed severe weather reports, including 32 tornadoes. Severe weather was focused in the Rockies, Northern Plains, and Midwest. • Canada Cool in the East, Warm in the West. Seasonal purchasing was challenged as Canada began June with its coolest start since 2009. Quebec City was coolest since 2004. Toronto, Montreal, and Ottawa were all coolest since 2009. Conversely, Edmonton and Calgary were warmest since 2007. Rainfall was above normal and LY; Toronto was wettest in 5 years.
Weather-Driven Demand (WDD*) Category Notables EXTERIOR PAINT North America Chicago San Diego Baltimore Charlotte
-3% +11% +2% -6% -11%
SHORT SLEEVE SHIRTS North America New Orleans St. Louis New York City Montreal
-5% +4% -8% -20% -22%
SPORT DRINKS North America Orlando Los Angeles Philadelphia Nashville
INDOOR ENTERTAINMENT TRAFFIC
-13% +7% -7% -20% -21%
North America Boston Phoenix Detroit Jacksonville
+3.4% +13.6% +13.2% +4.8% -1.9%
* WDDs represent the change in demand vs. LY based purely on changes in weather.
© 2015 Planalytics, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Proprietary and Confidential.
www.planalytics.com · 800.882.5881
Temperature vs. LY
Precipitation vs. LY
Warmer
Wetter
Colder
Drier
Weather-Driven Demand (WDD) by Product Category Air Conditioners: +37%
Swimwear (Canada): +2%
More Favorable
Temperature vs. LY
Less Favorable
Precipitation vs. LY
Warmer
Wetter
Colder
Drier
Weather-Driven Demand (WDD) by Product Category Lawn Mowers: +1%
More Favorable
Sandals (Canada): +8%
• Last year the U.S had its coolest 2nd week of June since 2009 and the wettest since 2004. Canada had its warmest 2nd week of June since 2012, with rainfall slightly above normal. • Warming for Much of North America. Temperatures will be warmer than normal and LY across western and central North America early week. The East will start a bit cooler but warmer conditions will spread in for the second half of the week. By the middle of the week, high temperatures will be in the 80s to 90s from the Central Plains to the East Coast while the Northern Tier is in the 70s. • Hot for Most of the West Coast. Summer heat makes its first real appearance in the West as highs soar into the 90s and even 100s from interior Washington down to the California valleys, averaging above normal and LY. Demand will be strong for fans, sunscreen, and cold drinks. • Interior Southwest Sees a Cool Down. A cooler pocket will develop from Arizona to New Mexico. • Stormy From the Plains to the East. Rain and severe weather will stretch across the central and eastern U.S. • Tropical Remnants Push Into the Southwest. Early week, Tropical Storm Blanca will make landfall in Baja California. Moisture from the storm will stream into the southwestern U.S., causing heavy rain and flash flooding. • Warmth in Canada. Most markets will trend warmer than LY and normal with the strongest warmth in the West. Rainfall will be focused in eastern provinces.
• Last year the U.S. had its warmest 3rd week of June since 2012. Rainfall was near normal, although still the wettest 3rd week of June since 2011. Canada had its coolest 3rd week of June since 2011, with above normal rain. • Warm West and East Support Seasonal Purchases. The western and eastern thirds of the U.S. will be warmer than normal. The West will be much warmer than last year while the East is expected to be similar to slightly warmer than 2014. These conditions will increase demand for swimwear, sunglasses, and sandals. • Cool in the Center. Temperatures across interior markets will trend cooler than LY. The sharpest differences will be from the Central Plains to the Tennessee Valley. • Storms North and South. Showers and thunderstorms will continue across the southern U.S. Several weak frontal boundaries will cross Canada and the northern U.S. setting off periods of rain and thunder. • Warmth Continues in Canada. An overall warm week for most markets will support seasonal demand. • Father’s Day Weekend Outlook. Temperatures will be warmer than normal in the Pacific Northwest and nearnormal to slightly above normal throughout the East. Cooler conditions will dominate the Plains and the Southwest. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are likely throughout the Plains and Upper Midwest.
Less Favorable
© 2015 Planalytics, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Proprietary and Confidential.
www.planalytics.com · 800.882.5881
Temperature vs Last Year
Warmer
Wetter
Colder
Drier
North American Summary • Last year, the U.S. had its 3rd warmest start to June in over 50 years. Warmth was focused in the East with cooler temperatures in the West. Conditions trended drier than normal in most regions. Canada saw its warmest start to June since 2006, and its driest start since 2009. • Weekend Review: Above normal warmth continued in the Pacific Northwest and Northern Rockies. Temperatures were cooler than LY and normal for portions of the Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, and Southeast. Similarly in the West, conditions trended cooler than LY for southern California and Central Rockies. Thunderstorms and severe weather stretched from the Midwest into the Central Plains and Southwest. In Canada, eastern provinces saw cooler and wet conditions, with a warmer West and Prairies. • Coolest Start to June Since 2009. Cooler temperatures to LY covered most of the U.S. New England had its coolest start to June since 1984. The Mid-Atlantic and East South Central regions were also coolest since 2009, limiting seasonal demand. • Limited Warmth was Focused in the Northwest and Southeast. A few select markets were warmer than LY. San Francisco was warmest since 2010, New Orleans and Denver since 2012. • A Wet Start to June. Nationally, rainfall was above LY and normal. The Mountain region had it wettest start to June since 2009. Heavy rain early in the week impacted major markets in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast regions. Above normal rain brought localized flooding to parts of the Desert Southwest. Phoenix had its wettest start to June in over 55 years. The increased precipitation drove demand for rainwear, wiper blades, and sump pumps. • Relief in Texas and the Plains With Limited Severe Weather. There was some relief in Texas and the Plains as rainfall was limited and flooding began to subside. There were over 550 confirmed severe weather reports, including 32 tornadoes. Severe weather was focused in the Rockies, Northern Plains, and Midwest. • Canada Cool in the East, Warm in the West. Seasonal purchasing was challenged as Canada began June with its coolest start since 2009. Quebec City was coolest since 2004. Toronto, Montreal, and Ottawa were all coolest since 2009. Conversely, Edmonton and Calgary were warmest since 2007. Rainfall was above normal and LY; Toronto was wettest in 5 years.
Weather-Driven Demand (WDD*) Category Notables EXTERIOR PAINT North America Chicago San Diego Baltimore Charlotte
-3% +11% +2% -6% -11%
SHORT SLEEVE SHIRTS North America New Orleans St. Louis New York City Montreal
-5% +4% -8% -20% -22%
SPORT DRINKS North America Orlando Los Angeles Philadelphia Nashville
INDOOR ENTERTAINMENT TRAFFIC
-13% +7% -7% -20% -21%
North America Boston Phoenix Detroit Jacksonville
+3.4% +13.6% +13.2% +4.8% -1.9%
* WDDs represent the change in demand vs. LY based purely on changes in weather.
© 2015 Planalytics, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Proprietary and Confidential.
www.planalytics.com · 800.882.5881
Temperature vs. LY
Precipitation vs. LY
Warmer
Wetter
Colder
Drier
Weather-Driven Demand (WDD) by Product Category Air Conditioners: +37%
Swimwear (Canada): +2%
More Favorable
Temperature vs. LY
Less Favorable
Precipitation vs. LY
Warmer
Wetter
Colder
Drier
Weather-Driven Demand (WDD) by Product Category Lawn Mowers: +1%
More Favorable
Sandals (Canada): +8%
• Last year the U.S had its coolest 2nd week of June since 2009 and the wettest since 2004. Canada had its warmest 2nd week of June since 2012, with rainfall slightly above normal. • Warming for Much of North America. Temperatures will be warmer than normal and LY across western and central North America early week. The East will start a bit cooler but warmer conditions will spread in for the second half of the week. By the middle of the week, high temperatures will be in the 80s to 90s from the Central Plains to the East Coast while the Northern Tier is in the 70s. • Hot for Most of the West Coast. Summer heat makes its first real appearance in the West as highs soar into the 90s and even 100s from interior Washington down to the California valleys, averaging above normal and LY. Demand will be strong for fans, sunscreen, and cold drinks. • Interior Southwest Sees a Cool Down. A cooler pocket will develop from Arizona to New Mexico. • Stormy From the Plains to the East. Rain and severe weather will stretch across the central and eastern U.S. • Tropical Remnants Push Into the Southwest. Early week, Tropical Storm Blanca will make landfall in Baja California. Moisture from the storm will stream into the southwestern U.S., causing heavy rain and flash flooding. • Warmth in Canada. Most markets will trend warmer than LY and normal with the strongest warmth in the West. Rainfall will be focused in eastern provinces.
• Last year the U.S. had its warmest 3rd week of June since 2012. Rainfall was near normal, although still the wettest 3rd week of June since 2011. Canada had its coolest 3rd week of June since 2011, with above normal rain. • Warm West and East Support Seasonal Purchases. The western and eastern thirds of the U.S. will be warmer than normal. The West will be much warmer than last year while the East is expected to be similar to slightly warmer than 2014. These conditions will increase demand for swimwear, sunglasses, and sandals. • Cool in the Center. Temperatures across interior markets will trend cooler than LY. The sharpest differences will be from the Central Plains to the Tennessee Valley. • Storms North and South. Showers and thunderstorms will continue across the southern U.S. Several weak frontal boundaries will cross Canada and the northern U.S. setting off periods of rain and thunder. • Warmth Continues in Canada. An overall warm week for most markets will support seasonal demand. • Father’s Day Weekend Outlook. Temperatures will be warmer than normal in the Pacific Northwest and nearnormal to slightly above normal throughout the East. Cooler conditions will dominate the Plains and the Southwest. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are likely throughout the Plains and Upper Midwest.
Less Favorable
© 2015 Planalytics, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Proprietary and Confidential.
www.planalytics.com · 800.882.5881
